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New York City v Cincinnati : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 20:00 BST, Citi Field, Bronx

Cincinnati pay Major League Soccer rivals New York City a visit on Sunday night, as Pat Noonan guides his team into an away clash with Pascal Gastien & co. at the Citi Field. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both NY City and Cincinnati's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think NY City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
NY City
47%
6/5
4%
-
Draw
24%
23/10
2%
-
Cincinnati
29%
11/5
7%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
NY City 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
-
NY City 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
NY City 2-0
8%
11/1-
Cincinnati 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
-
Cincinnati 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
20%
-
NY City 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
-
Cincinnati 2-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
NY City 3-0
4%
20/1-
NY City 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
-
Cincinnati 3-1
3%
22/1-
Cincinnati 3-2
2%
28/1-
NY City 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/13
5%
-
BTTS - No
43%
6/5
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2
8%
-
Home/draw
71%
4/11-
Away/draw
53%
4/6
6%
-
Home/away
76%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/4
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
30%
-
Home DNB
64%
4/7
6%
-
Away DNB
46%
5/4
7%
-
NY City win to nil
23%
3/1-
Cincinnati win to nil
14%
5/1
9%
-
NY City / NY City
23%
13/5
4%
-
NY City / Cincinnati
3%
25/1
10%
-
NY City / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / NY City
15%
9/2-
Draw / Cincinnati
12%
6/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Cincinnati / NY City
4%
22/1
12%
-
Cincinnati / Cincinnati
16%
4/1
5%
-
Cincinnati / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Cincinnati have won 5 consecutive league games
6
Cincinnati have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
NY City 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
NY City1 - 0Philadelphia
NY City1 - 2Minnesota
NY City2 - 1New England
NY City2 - 1Orlando
NY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Nashville
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
NY City1 - 1Miami
NY City1 - 5Philadelphia
NY City2 - 2Chicago
NY City2 - 0Montreal
NY City4 - 2Orlando
NY City2 - 3Columbus
NY City5 - 1San Jose
NY City2 - 1NY Red Bulls
NY City0 - 2Colorado
NY City2 - 1Charlotte
NY City2 - 0DC United
NY City2 - 0New England
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY City1 - 0Toronto
ANY City0 - 2New England
HNY City1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY City1 - 2Minnesota
ANY City3 - 4Atlanta
ANY City0 - 0Columbus
HNY City2 - 1New England
HNY City2 - 1Orlando
ANY City0 - 1LAFC
ANY City2 - 2Miami
HNY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
ANY City0 - 0Cincinnati
HNY City3 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 1Cincinnati
ANY City0 - 2Montreal
HNY City3 - 1Nashville
HNY City3 - 2Cincinnati
ANY City5 - 1NY Red Bulls
HNY City1 - 1Miami
HNY City1 - 5Philadelphia
Cincinnati 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chicago2 - 3Cincinnati
DC United0 - 1Cincinnati
Nashville1 - 2Cincinnati
Charlotte2 - 0Cincinnati
Philadelphia4 - 1Cincinnati
NY City3 - 1Cincinnati
Philadelphia1 - 2Cincinnati
NY City3 - 2Cincinnati
Nashville2 - 2Cincinnati
Minnesota1 - 2Cincinnati
Miami2 - 0Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls3 - 1Cincinnati
DC United2 - 3Cincinnati
Dallas0 - 1Cincinnati
San Jose2 - 4Cincinnati
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Columbus1 - 2Cincinnati
Orlando0 - 1Cincinnati
Atlanta1 - 2Cincinnati
Montreal2 - 1Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCincinnati2 - 1Sporting KC
ACincinnati3 - 2Chicago
ACincinnati1 - 0DC United
HCincinnati1 - 0New England
ACincinnati2 - 1Nashville
HCincinnati2 - 2Atlanta
ACincinnati0 - 2Charlotte
HCincinnati2 - 0Toronto
ACincinnati1 - 4Philadelphia
HCincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
HCincinnati0 - 0NY City
ACincinnati1 - 3NY City
HCincinnati1 - 0NY City
ACincinnati2 - 1Philadelphia
HCincinnati1 - 3Orlando
ACincinnati2 - 3NY City
HCincinnati1 - 2LAFC
ACincinnati2 - 2Nashville
ACincinnati2 - 1Minnesota
HCincinnati0 - 0Columbus
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at NY City since 2019
NY City
Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
24
10
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
NYC
6
D
1
CIN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY City
NY City3 - 1
NY City3 - 2
1 - 3Cincinnati
Draw1 - 1Draw
NY City5 - 0
NY City4 - 0
NY City2 - 1
NY City5 - 2
League games at Cincinnati since 2019
Cincinnati
NY City
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
NYC
2
D
2
CIN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cincinnati
Draw0 - 0Draw
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati1 - 0
Cincinnati3 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
1 - 2NY City
1 - 4NY City
Goal Statistics
NY City 9th Cincinnati 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that NY City will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Cincinnati will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
NY City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Cincinnati have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290912/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
NY City
PG (predicted goals)
Cincinnati
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
NYC
CIN
27%
better
view stats
Games scored7
9
Failed to score3
1
Scored first4
6
Goals scored12
15
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
NYC
CIN
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded13
12
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%

NY City v Cincinnati Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

NY City Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10623
M FreeseA MartínezJ FernándezK O'Toole
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Freese GLK10
1
-
K Parks MID101
2
-
J Haak MID10
-
M Moralez MID101
1
-
J Fernández FWD1012
1
-
H Wolf FWD1031
-
M. Bakrar FWD10
1
-
A Ojeda FWD10
-
K O'Toole DEF9
2
1
T Martins DEF9
-
J. Shore MID9
1
-
A Martínez FWD96
-
B Risa DEF8
1
-
S Tanasijević DEF4
1
-
A Perea MID4
-
T Gray DEF3
2
-
Cincinnati Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10623
R CelentanoK DenkeyP BuchaK Denkey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Celentano GLK10
1
-
D Yedlin DEF101
1
-
L Engel DEF10
2
-
P Bucha MID102
-
T Anunga MID9
1
-
K Denkey FWD96
3
-
C Baird FWD9
1
-
A Powell DEF8
1
-
M Robinson  DEF8
-
G Melgarejo DEF8
1
1
Evander MID861
1
-
L Orellano FWD82
2
-
S Santos FWD812
-
O Nwobodo MID7
3
-
N Hagglund DEF6
-
G Valenzuela MID51
-
Y Kubo MID51
1
-
T Hadebe DEF4
-
M Miazga DEF3
-
B Halsey DEF1
-
American Major League Soccer match betting previews, predictions and odds
Atlanta v Nashville
Sat 3rd May, 19:45
Toronto v New England
Sat 3rd May, 21:30
Columbus v Charlotte
Sun 4th May, 00:30
Miami v NY Red Bulls
Sun 4th May, 00:30
DC United v Colorado
Sun 4th May, 00:30
Montreal v Philadelphia
Sun 4th May, 00:30
Chicago v Orlando
Sun 4th May, 01:30
Austin v Minnesota
Sun 4th May, 01:30
San Diego v Dallas
Sun 4th May, 02:15
Vancouver v Salt Lake
Sun 4th May, 02:30
LAFC v Houston
Sun 4th May, 03:30
Seattle v Saint Louis City
Sun 4th May, 03:30
San Jose v Portland
Sun 4th May, 03:30
NY City v Cincinnati
Sun 4th May, 20:00
Sporting KC v LA Galaxy
Mon 5th May, 00:00
Chicago v Atlanta
Sat 10th May, 19:30
Toronto v DC United
Sat 10th May, 21:30
Minnesota v Miami
Sat 10th May, 21:30
Cincinnati v Austin
Sun 11th May, 00:30
Orlando v New England
Sun 11th May, 00:30
NY Red Bulls v LA Galaxy
Sun 11th May, 00:30
NY City v Montreal
Sun 11th May, 00:30
Philadelphia v Columbus
Sun 11th May, 00:30
Dallas v Salt Lake
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Houston v Seattle
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Nashville v Charlotte
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Saint Louis City v San Diego
Sun 11th May, 01:30
Colorado v San Jose
Sun 11th May, 02:30
Portland v Sporting KC
Sun 11th May, 03:30
Vancouver v LAFC
Mon 12th May, 00:00
Toronto v Cincinnati
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Philadelphia v LA Galaxy
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Orlando v Charlotte
Thu 15th May, 00:30
DC United v NY City
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Montreal v Columbus
Thu 15th May, 00:30
Houston v Minnesota
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Nashville v NY Red Bulls
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Austin v Atlanta
Thu 15th May, 01:30
Saint Louis City v Sporting KC
Thu 15th May, 01:45
Salt Lake v Portland
Thu 15th May, 02:30
LAFC v Seattle
Thu 15th May, 03:30
San Jose v Miami
Thu 15th May, 03:30
San Diego v Colorado
Thu 15th May, 03:30