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Toronto FC v New York RB : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 17:00 BST, BMO Field, Toronto

Sandro Schwarz will be hoping for a vital away win in the Major League Soccer on Saturday evening, as he takes his New York RB side to the BMO Field to visit Toronto FC and Robin Fraser. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Major League Soccer matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Toronto and NY Red Bulls will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Robin Fraser or Sandro Schwarz has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toronto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
40%
29/20
2%
29/20
4%
Draw
25%
5/223/10
3%
NY Red Bulls
36%
33/2029/20
1%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Toronto 2-1
9%
17/28/1
Toronto 1-0
8%
17/28/1
NY Red Bulls 2-1
8%
9/18/1
NY Red Bulls 1-0
8%
9/18/1
Toronto 2-0
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/110/1
NY Red Bulls 2-0
5%
14/111/1
Toronto 3-1
4%
18/116/1
NY Red Bulls 3-1
4%
20/1
10%
16/1
Toronto 3-0
3%
22/120/1
Toronto 3-2
3%
25/122/1
10%
NY Red Bulls 3-2
3%
25/120/1
NY Red Bulls 3-0
3%
28/120/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
49%
10/11
2%
19/20
Away 1st Goal
48%
1/11/1
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
11/110/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/613/20
BTTS - No
42%
11/1023/20
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/218/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/17/2
Home/draw
64%
4/910/21
2%
Away/draw
60%
1/21/2
Home/away
75%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/427/10
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/115/8
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/114/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/82/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/110/1
Home DNB
57%
4/517/20
Away DNB
53%
10/1117/20
Toronto win to nil
19%
7/2-
NY Red Bulls win to nil
17%
4/1-
Toronto / Toronto
21%
3/129/10
5%
Toronto / NY Red Bulls
3%
25/122/1
Toronto / Draw
7%
12/111/1
Draw / Toronto
13%
5/1
8%
11/2
Draw / NY Red Bulls
13%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/2
5%
NY Red Bulls / Toronto
3%
25/122/1
NY Red Bulls / NY Red Bulls
20%
10/3
8%
3/1
4%
NY Red Bulls / Draw
7%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
7
Toronto have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Toronto 9TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto4 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 1Montreal
Toronto1 - 1Columbus
Toronto1 - 1Atlanta
Toronto3 - 0Portland
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Charlotte
Toronto1 - 2Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto0 - 1Cincinnati
Toronto2 - 0DC United
Toronto0 - 2New England
Toronto0 - 1NY City
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Vancouver
Toronto1 - 2Chicago
Toronto0 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Columbus
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToronto1 - 0Cincinnati
AToronto0 - 3Vancouver
AToronto2 - 3Dallas
HToronto4 - 2Orlando
AToronto0 - 2LAFC
AToronto2 - 2Chicago
HToronto1 - 1Miami
AToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1New England
HToronto1 - 1Montreal
AToronto0 - 0Atlanta
HToronto1 - 1Columbus
AToronto1 - 1Philadelphia
AToronto0 - 2Charlotte
AToronto0 - 1Nashville
AToronto1 - 0San Diego
HToronto1 - 1Atlanta
AToronto1 - 3NY City
HToronto3 - 0Portland
HToronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orlando1 - 2NY Red Bulls
Columbus3 - 1NY Red Bulls
Montreal0 - 2NY Red Bulls
Portland2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Charlotte1 - 0NY Red Bulls
Chicago1 - 0NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia2 - 0NY Red Bulls
San Jose1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Austin2 - 1NY Red Bulls
DC United0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Nashville2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Miami4 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando0 - 0NY Red Bulls
New England2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Atlanta0 - 0NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
LA Galaxy2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando0 - 1NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNY Red Bulls0 - 3Montreal
HNY Red Bulls1 - 0New England
ANY Red Bulls2 - 1Orlando
ANY Red Bulls1 - 3Columbus
HNY Red Bulls0 - 1Cincinnati
HNY Red Bulls2 - 3NY City
ANY Red Bulls2 - 0Montreal
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2Portland
HNY Red Bulls0 - 0Columbus
ANY Red Bulls0 - 1Charlotte
HNY Red Bulls1 - 0Philadelphia
HNY Red Bulls2 - 1Salt Lake
ANY Red Bulls0 - 1Chicago
HNY Red Bulls1 - 5Miami
HNY Red Bulls5 - 3New England
ANY Red Bulls0 - 2Philadelphia
ANY Red Bulls1 - 1San Jose
HNY Red Bulls2 - 2Minnesota
ANY Red Bulls1 - 1Toronto
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2Austin
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
NY Red Bulls have not lost to Toronto in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
8
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
TOR
1
D
4
NYR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toronto3 - 1
0 - 1NY Red Bulls
League games at NY Red Bulls since 2018
NY Red Bulls
Toronto
Goals: Scored
18
2
Games: Scored
8 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
0 / 8
NYR
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls2 - 1
NY Red Bulls3 - 0
NY Red Bulls3 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 1
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Toronto 9th NY Red Bulls 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Toronto will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that NY Red Bulls will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-32
Toronto have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted
-29
NY Red Bulls have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2026/2026 season
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
NY Red Bulls
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
TOR
NYR
2%
better
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score1
1
Scored first1
2
Goals scored3
3
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal8
12
Conversion rate for13
8
Avg. XG for0.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
TOR
NYR
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded6
4
Avg. goals conceded2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against25%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%

Toronto v NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE