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Toronto FC v New York RB : Major League Soccer match betting preview, prediction and odds

BMO Field, Toronto

the BMO Field is the setting on Thursday morning, as Henk Fraser's Toronto FC welcome Sandro Schwarz's New York RB in the Major League Soccer. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

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Toronto FC's next match is v NY City at 00:30 on Friday 4th July
New York RB's next match is v San Jose at 03:30 on Sunday 6th July
The last American Major League Soccer meeting between Toronto and NY Red Bulls was on Thursday 26th June 2025
American Major League Soccer
June 26th 2025
Toronto 1
1 NY Red Bulls
 
T. Corbeanu 51'20' M. Sofo
 
TOR
NYR
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
4
6
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
13
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
TorontoNY Red Bulls
 
S. Johnson
S. Rosted (L. Stefanovic 81')
K. Long
Z. Monlouis (K. Thompson 41')
R. Petretta
M. Longstaff
A. Coello Camarero
M. Dominguez (D. Kerr 76')
T. Corbeanufootball icon (T. Spicer 76')
D. Etienne Jr. (M. Henry 87')
O. Brynhildsen
C. Coronel
K. Duncan
(O. Valencia Arauz 62') R. Edwards
A. Hack
N. Eile
D. Edelman
(R. Donkor 62') F. Carballo Ares
(S. Ngoma 62') W. Carmona Torres
(J. Hall 84') football iconM. Sofo
E. Forsberg
(W. Bogacz 24') L. Morgan

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Toronto and NY Red Bulls both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of NY Red Bulls coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toronto
32%
3/1
25%
13/5
25%
Draw
29%
5/2
3%
23/10
6%
NY Red Bulls
39%
10/11
13%
17/20
16%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/211/2
8%
NY Red Bulls 1-0
13%
13/2
17%
6/1
7%
Toronto 1-0
11%
11/1
9%
9/1
18%
Draw 0-0
11%
10/117/2
12%
NY Red Bulls 2-1
8%
15/2
6%
7/1
11%
NY Red Bulls 2-0
8%
17/2
14%
8/1
10%
Toronto 2-1
7%
12/1
18%
11/1
20%
Toronto 2-0
6%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
NY Red Bulls 3-1
3%
14/1
12%
12/1
24%
NY Red Bulls 3-0
3%
16/1
19%
14/1
21%
Toronto 3-1
2%
28/1
26%
22/1
10%
Toronto 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
31%
NY Red Bulls 3-2
2%
25/1
13%
20/1
9%
Toronto 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
9/10
3%
5/6
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
9/10
3%
17/20
6%
Home 1st Goal
45%
8/5
16%
29/20
11%
Away 1st Goal
48%
4/5
4%
4/6
10%
No 1st Goal
7%
10/117/2
12%
BTTS - Yes
45%
3/4
5%
3/4
3%
BTTS - No
55%
1/1
5%
19/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/2
25%
11/2
13%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
7/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/1
15%
14/5
17%
Home/draw
61%
5/6
10%
5/6
14%
Away/draw
68%
2/9
10%
1/4
8%
Home/away
71%
2/7
1%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
5/2
7%
12/5
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
9/4
8%
2/1
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/3
2%
1/3
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
11/2
8%
19/4
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/9
2%
1/8
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
12/110/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/251/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/201/18
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
10/117/2
12%
Home DNB
52%
7/4
25%
17/10
26%
Away DNB
59%
8/132/5
15%
Toronto win to nil
20%
6/1
17%
-
NY Red Bulls win to nil
24%
3/1-
Toronto / Toronto
14%
11/2
30%
5/1
25%
Toronto / NY Red Bulls
4%
25/1
13%
20/1
9%
Toronto / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Toronto
11%
15/2
21%
7/1
23%
Draw / NY Red Bulls
16%
9/219/5
13%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/24/1
9%
NY Red Bulls / Toronto
3%
28/128/1
12%
NY Red Bulls / NY Red Bulls
24%
11/4
4%
2/1
19%
NY Red Bulls / Draw
6%
12/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Toronto 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toronto0 - 2Charlotte
Toronto1 - 2Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto0 - 1Cincinnati
Toronto2 - 0DC United
Toronto0 - 2New England
Toronto0 - 1NY City
Toronto0 - 0Minnesota
Toronto0 - 0Vancouver
Toronto1 - 2Chicago
Toronto0 - 1Miami
Toronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Toronto0 - 2Columbus
Toronto2 - 1Austin
Toronto1 - 3DC United
Toronto2 - 1Philadelphia
Toronto1 - 2Orlando
Toronto1 - 2Nashville
Toronto1 - 4Chicago
Toronto3 - 4Cincinnati
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToronto0 - 2Charlotte
HToronto1 - 2Philadelphia
HToronto1 - 2Nashville
AToronto6 - 1Montreal
HToronto0 - 1Cincinnati
HToronto2 - 0DC United
HToronto0 - 2New England
HToronto0 - 1NY City
AToronto1 - 0Salt Lake
HToronto0 - 0Minnesota
AToronto1 - 1Miami
HToronto0 - 0Vancouver
AToronto1 - 2NY Red Bulls
HToronto1 - 2Chicago
AToronto0 - 2Cincinnati
AToronto2 - 4Orlando
AToronto2 - 2DC United
HToronto0 - 1Miami
HToronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
AToronto1 - 1Chicago
NY Red Bulls 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Austin2 - 1NY Red Bulls
DC United0 - 2NY Red Bulls
NY City2 - 0NY Red Bulls
Nashville2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Miami4 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando0 - 0NY Red Bulls
New England2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Atlanta0 - 0NY Red Bulls
Cincinnati1 - 0NY Red Bulls
LA Galaxy2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Orlando0 - 1NY Red Bulls
NY City0 - 2NY Red Bulls
Columbus0 - 1NY Red Bulls
Atlanta2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Toronto1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Chicago2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Charlotte1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Colorado1 - 1NY Red Bulls
Philadelphia0 - 0NY Red Bulls
Montreal2 - 2NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2Austin
HNY Red Bulls2 - 0Atlanta
HNY Red Bulls4 - 2Charlotte
ANY Red Bulls2 - 0DC United
ANY Red Bulls0 - 2NY City
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2Nashville
HNY Red Bulls7 - 0LA Galaxy
ANY Red Bulls1 - 4Miami
HNY Red Bulls1 - 0Montreal
HNY Red Bulls1 - 2DC United
ANY Red Bulls0 - 0Orlando
HNY Red Bulls2 - 1Chicago
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2New England
HNY Red Bulls2 - 1Toronto
HNY Red Bulls2 - 2Orlando
ANY Red Bulls0 - 0Atlanta
HNY Red Bulls2 - 0Nashville
ANY Red Bulls0 - 1Cincinnati
ANY Red Bulls1 - 2LA Galaxy
ANY Red Bulls1 - 0Orlando
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
NY Red Bulls have beaten Toronto in 4 consecutive league meetings
12
NY Red Bulls have not lost to Toronto in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toronto since 2018
Toronto
NY Red Bulls
Goals: Scored
7
12
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
TOR
1
D
3
NYR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toronto
1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4NY Red Bulls
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toronto3 - 1
0 - 1NY Red Bulls
League games at NY Red Bulls since 2018
NY Red Bulls
Toronto
Goals: Scored
18
2
Games: Scored
8 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
0 / 8
NYR
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NY Red Bulls
NY Red Bulls2 - 1
NY Red Bulls3 - 0
NY Red Bulls3 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 1
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
NY Red Bulls2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Toronto 14th NY Red Bulls 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Toronto will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that NY Red Bulls will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-44
Toronto have scored 44% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
NY Red Bulls have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Major League Soccer - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291013/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toronto
PG (predicted goals)
NY Red Bulls
1
1.2
Attack rating
TOR
NYR
27%
better
view stats
Games scored10
14
Failed to score7
4
Scored first6
7
Goals scored18
29
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
TOR
NYR
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first9
9
Goals conceded24
21
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Toronto v NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer lLine ups will show here when available.

Toronto Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19426
S JohnsonT CorbeanuD JuniorK Thompson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Johnson GLK19
1
-
Z. Monlouis DEF10
-
K Long DEF15
2
-
S Rosted DEF1711
1
-
R Petretta DEF14
3
-
Alonso MID171
1
-
M Dominguez MID111
1
-
M Longstaff  MID12
1
-
D Junior FWD142
1
-
O Brynhildsen FWD1422
-
T Corbeanu FWD1741
-
Subs
L Gavran GLK
-
L Stefanovic DEF8
-
K Thompson MID16
6
-
M. Sullivan MID1
-
T. Spicer FWD162
-
L Insigne FWD1212
1
-
D Kerr FWD73
-
C. Sharp FWD51
-
M. Henry FWD1
-
NY Red Bulls Major League Soccer squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19656
C CoronelE ForsbergO ArauzN Eile
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Coronel GLK19
-
K Duncan DEF102
2
-
A Hack DEF13
4
-
N Eile DEF191
6
-
R Edwards DEF13
3
-
D Edelman MID14
2
-
F Carballo MID161
2
1
M. Sofo MID1351
2
-
W Carmona MID201
-
E Forsberg MID1964
1
-
L Morgan  FWD3
-
Subs
A Marcucci GLK1
-
T Parker DEF6
-
O Arauz DEF155
5
-
S Nealis DEF15
5
-
R Donkor MID8
1
-
W Bogacz FWD1211
-
J. Hall FWD13
-
D Gjengaar FWD132
-
S Ngoma  FWD101
4
-