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Atlético Tucumán v Independiente : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 1st May, 01:00 BST, Estadio Monumental Presidente Jo, San Miguel de Tucumán

Thursday morning at the Estadio Monumental Presidente Jo, and it’s a Primera División showdown between Atlético Tucumán and Independiente. Lucas Pusineri and Julio César Vaccari will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our expansive database and found the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that A. Tucuman and Independiente will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookies have it at 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A. Tucuman are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A. Tucuman
35%
5/2
6%
-
Draw
26%
21/10
6%
-
Independiente
39%
5/4
2%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
-
Independiente 1-0
10%
5/1
14%
-
A. Tucuman 1-0
9%
7/1
6%
-
Independiente 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
-
A. Tucuman 2-1
8%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
11/2
24%
-
Independiente 2-0
7%
17/2
5%
-
A. Tucuman 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
12%
-
Independiente 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
A. Tucuman 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Independiente 3-0
3%
20/1-
A. Tucuman 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Independiente 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
A. Tucuman 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
6/4
16%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1/2
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/4
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/2
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
11/10
8%
-
BTTS - No
46%
4/6
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
15/2
21%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
61%
8/13
3%
-
Away/draw
65%
2/7
3%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/9
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
13/8
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
4/1
25%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/6
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
10/1
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/20
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
25/1
37%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/100
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/10
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
6/1
18%
-
Home DNB
53%
11/8
6%
-
Away DNB
57%
8/15
3%
-
A. Tucuman win to nil
18%
4/1
9%
-
Independiente win to nil
21%
12/5
3%
-
A. Tucuman / A. Tucuman
14%
5/1
9%
-
A. Tucuman / Independiente
3%
28/1
12%
-
A. Tucuman / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A. Tucuman
12%
6/1-
Draw / Independiente
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
-
Independiente / A. Tucuman
2%
33/1-
Independiente / Independiente
22%
11/4-
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
10
Independiente have not lost in 10 consecutive league games
A. Tucuman 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. Tucuman3 - 2Instituto
A. Tucuman1 - 2Velez
A. Tucuman1 - 2Newells
A. Tucuman0 - 1Gimnasia
A. Tucuman5 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman0 - 3Deportivo Riestra
A. Tucuman2 - 0Central Cor
A. Tucuman0 - 0Newells
A. Tucuman4 - 2Huracan
A. Tucuman1 - 0Sarmiento
A. Tucuman1 - 0Lanus
A. Tucuman1 - 2Tig
A. Tucuman2 - 4Belgrano
A. Tucuman1 - 0Racing Club
A. Tucuman2 - 0Estudiantes
A. Tucuman2 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
A. Tucuman1 - 0Instituto
A. Tucuman1 - 1Defensa
A. Tucuman1 - 1Platense
A. Tucuman1 - 0Boca Juniors
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA. Tucuman0 - 1Godoy Cruz
AA. Tucuman0 - 1San Lorenzo
HA. Tucuman3 - 2Instituto
AA. Tucuman1 - 2Platense
HA. Tucuman1 - 2Velez
AA. Tucuman0 - 1River Plate
HA. Tucuman1 - 2Newells
HA. Tucuman0 - 1Gimnasia
AA. Tucuman1 - 1Tal Cordoba
HA. Tucuman5 - 0Sarmiento
AA. Tucuman1 - 3Rosario
HA. Tucuman0 - 3Deportivo Riestra
AA. Tucuman0 - 2Central Cor
AA. Tucuman1 - 0SM San Juan
HA. Tucuman2 - 0Central Cor
AA. Tucuman1 - 2Independiente
HA. Tucuman0 - 0Newells
AA. Tucuman0 - 1Gimnasia
HA. Tucuman4 - 2Huracan
AA. Tucuman0 - 1U Santa Fe
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lanus1 - 1Independiente
San Lorenzo1 - 2Independiente
Banfield0 - 0Independiente
Platense1 - 1Independiente
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Tal Cordoba2 - 3Independiente
Boca Juniors0 - 0Independiente
Newells2 - 1Independiente
Huracan1 - 0Independiente
Sarmiento0 - 0Independiente
Lanus0 - 2Independiente
Tig1 - 1Independiente
Belgrano1 - 1Independiente
Racing Club0 - 0Independiente
Estudiantes0 - 2Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia1 - 0Independiente
Instituto3 - 1Independiente
Defensa0 - 0Independiente
Platense0 - 0Independiente
Banfield0 - 1Independiente
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente2 - 0SM San Juan
AIndependiente1 - 1Lanus
HIndependiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
HIndependiente1 - 1Racing Club
AIndependiente2 - 1San Lorenzo
AIndependiente0 - 0Banfield
HIndependiente2 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 1Platense
HIndependiente3 - 0Velez
AIndependiente0 - 2River Plate
HIndependiente2 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente3 - 2Tal Cordoba
HIndependiente2 - 1Sarmiento
AIndependiente0 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
HIndependiente2 - 0Central Cor
AIndependiente1 - 2Newells
HIndependiente1 - 0Gimnasia
AIndependiente0 - 1Huracan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A. Tucuman since 2018
A. Tucuman
Independiente
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
ATU
3
IND
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A. Tucuman
1 - 2Independiente
A. Tucuman1 - 0
A. Tucuman2 - 0
0 - 1Independiente
A. Tucuman4 - 2
League games at Independiente since 2021
Independiente
A. Tucuman
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
ATU
2
D
1
IND
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
Independiente2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A. Tucuman
0 - 1A. Tucuman
Goal Statistics

Independiente's defensive record is to be admired, Julio César Vaccari's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Primera División games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Atlético Tucumán makes sense in this context.

A. Tucuman 8th Independiente 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that A. Tucuman will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
A. Tucuman have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Independiente’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291532/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A. Tucuman
PG (predicted goals)
Independiente
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
ATU
IND
33%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score6
3
Scored first5
9
Goals scored14
23
Avg. goals scored1
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
18
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
ATU
IND
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
7
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first9
3
Goals conceded21
9
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against15%
9%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+50%

A. Tucuman v Independiente Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

A. Tucuman Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14427
A SánchezM CoronelM CoronelD Martínez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Quiroga GLK3
-
D Martínez DEF131
7
-
G Ferrari  DEF111
3
-
M Brizuela DEF131
2
-
M Orihuela DEF5
1
-
C Auzqui MID71
-
K López MID7
1
-
A Sánchez MID141
3
-
F. Nicola Albanell MID101
-
M Coronel FWD1142
2
-
L Cabrera FWD8
-
Subs
T Durso GLK11
1
-
M Santos DEF8
1
-
M Ortiz  DEF2
-
G Acosta MID12
1
-
N Castro MID41
1
-
L. Godoy MID5
-
L Rodríguez FWD9
1
-
M Bajamich FWD131
-
R Rodríguez FWD112
-
N Laméndola FWD82
1
-
L Díaz FWD102
3
-
Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14838
R ReyG ÁvalosP GaldamesI Marcone
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rey GLK14
-
F Vera DEF13
3
-
K Lomónaco DEF14
1
-
S Valdéz DEF14
1
-
A Spörle DEF812
-
P Galdames MID1013
1
-
R Fernández MID5
2
-
F Mancuello MID81
2
-
S Hidalgo FWD7
2
-
M Rojas FWD112
1
-
D. Tarzia FWD141
4
-
Subs
J Blázquez GLK
-
F Loyola DEF1432
1
-
G. Bordón DEF
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF133
3
-
G. Millán MID111
1
-
R Martínez MID
-
I Marcone MID13
8
-
S Salle MID2
-
G Ávalos FWD1481
2
-
I Puch FWD51
-
L. Román FWD1
-