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Estudiantes v Boca Juniors : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 2nd Nov, 13:00 BST, Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata

Sunday afternoon at the Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, and it’s a Primera División clash between Estudiantes and Boca Juniors. Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez and Miguel Ángel Russo will be doing all they can to claim victory. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Primera División matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Estudiantes and Boca Juniors go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the players in terms of who might win. The statistics do not provide any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.57 with the bookmakers, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Estudiantes 38%	2.40	-
Draw 30%	3.25	-
Boca Juniors 32%	2.87	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	-
Estudiantes 1-0 13%	6.50	-
Boca Juniors 1-0 12%	7.50	-
Draw 0-0 12%	7.50	-
Estudiantes 2-1 7%	10.00	-
Estudiantes 2-0 7%	11.00	-
Boca Juniors 2-1 7%	11.00	-
Boca Juniors 2-0 6%	13.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	17.00	-
Estudiantes 3-1 3%	23.00	-
Estudiantes 3-0 3%	23.00	-
Boca Juniors 3-1 2%	29.00	-
Boca Juniors 3-0 2%	34.00	-
Estudiantes 3-2 1%	41.00	-
Boca Juniors 3-2 1%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	2.35	-
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	1.57	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	1.91	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.20	-
No 1st Goal 8%	7.50	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	2.00	-
BTTS - No 57%	1.75	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	6.00	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7.00	-
Home/draw 68%	1.40	-
Away/draw 62%	1.53	-
Home/away 70%	1.33	-
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	1.44	-
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	2.63	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	4.50	-
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	1.18	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	11.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1.05	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	23.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.01	-
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1.08	-
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	7.50	-
Home DNB 59%	1.67	-
Away DNB 53%	2.10	-
Estudiantes win to nil 25%	3.75	-
Boca Juniors win to nil 21%	4.50	-
Estudiantes / Estudiantes 21%	4.00	-
Estudiantes / Boca Juniors 2%	34.00	-
Estudiantes / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Estudiantes 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Boca Juniors 13%	6.50	-
Draw / Draw 18%	4.50	-
Boca Juniors / Estudiantes 3%	29.00	-
Boca Juniors / Boca Juniors 17%	5.00	-
Boca Juniors / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Over / under 3.5 goals form

There have been under 3.5 goals in 8 consecutive Boca Juniors away league games

Home

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.5

Conceded

0.9

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Under

HOME FORM Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Estudiantes	2 - 0	Gimnasia
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Barracas
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Aldosivi
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes	2 - 1	Huracan
Estudiantes	0 - 0	Tig
Estudiantes	0 - 1	Belgrano
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Newells
Estudiantes	3 - 2	Central Cor
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Banfield
Estudiantes	2 - 0	Racing Club
Estudiantes	3 - 1	U Santa Fe
Estudiantes	2 - 2	Argentinos
Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Rosario
Estudiantes	1 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes	3 - 2	Instituto
Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa

Avg: Scored

0.9

Conceded

1.3

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 3.5 Goals
H	Estudiantes	2 - 0	Gimnasia
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Belgrano
H	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Barracas
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Newells
H	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Defensa
H	Estudiantes	1 - 2	River Plate
A	Estudiantes	0 - 2	Central Cor
H	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Aldosivi
A	Estudiantes	2 - 3	Banfield
H	Estudiantes	2 - 1	Independiente Rivadavia
A	Estudiantes	1 - 0	Racing Club
H	Estudiantes	2 - 1	Huracan
A	Estudiantes	0 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Estudiantes	0 - 2	Rosario
A	Estudiantes	0 - 4	Argentinos
H	Estudiantes	0 - 0	Tig
A	Estudiantes	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
A	Estudiantes	1 - 1	Gimnasia
H	Estudiantes	0 - 1	Belgrano
A	Estudiantes	1 - 2	Barracas

Away

Overall

Avg: Scored

1.0

Conceded

1.0

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Under

AWAY FORM Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Defensa	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Rosario	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Aldosivi	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Independiente Rivadavia	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Huracan	1 - 0	Boca Juniors
Argentinos	0 - 0	Boca Juniors
Tig	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
River Plate	2 - 1	Boca Juniors
Belgrano	1 - 3	Boca Juniors
Newells	2 - 0	Boca Juniors
Central Cor	0 - 3	Boca Juniors
Banfield	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Racing Club	2 - 0	Boca Juniors
U Santa Fe	1 - 1	Boca Juniors
Newells	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Huracan	0 - 0	Boca Juniors
Sarmiento	0 - 2	Boca Juniors
Lanus	1 - 0	Boca Juniors
Tig	3 - 0	Boca Juniors
Belgrano	2 - 0	Boca Juniors

Avg: Scored

1.4

Conceded

0.9

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Under

OVERALL FORM Over / Under 3.5 Goals
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Belgrano
H	Boca Juniors	5 - 0	Newells
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	Defensa
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 2	Central Cor
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Rosario
A	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Aldosivi
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Banfield
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 0	Independiente Rivadavia
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Racing Club
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Huracan
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	U Santa Fe
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Argentinos
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 1	Independiente
H	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Lanus
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Tig
A	Boca Juniors	1 - 2	River Plate
H	Boca Juniors	2 - 0	Estudiantes
A	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Belgrano
H	Boca Juniors	1 - 0	Barracas
A	Boca Juniors	0 - 2	Newells

Over / under 3.5 goals head to head (H2H)

There have been under 3.5 goals in Estudiantes's last 6 league meetings with Boca Juniors

Estudiantes have not scored more than 1 goal in their last 10 league meetings with Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors have not scored more than 1 goal in their last 6 away league meetings with Estudiantes

Estudiantes

Boca Juniors

Average goals:

0.8

0.5

Games: Scored

4 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

2 / 6

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estudiantes Over \| Under
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Boca Juniors
Estudiantes	1 - 0
Estudiantes	2 - 0

Boca Juniors

Estudiantes

Average goals:

1.2

0.4

Games: Scored

3 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

2 / 5

Over

Under

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Boca Juniors Over \| Under
Boca Juniors	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Estudiantes
Boca Juniors	3 - 1
Boca Juniors	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Estudiantes of late. It has been 7 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Boca Juniors.

	Estudiantes	Boca Juniors
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Estudiantes will score no more than 1 goal	0 37% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability that Boca Juniors will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+4 Estudiantes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-8 Boca Juniors’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2025/2025 season

EST

BOJ

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		23
Failed to score	9		7
Scored first	14		18
Goals scored	31		43
Avg. goals scored	1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate for	11		16
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+21%

EST

BOJ

28%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		16
Clean sheets	8		14
Conceded first	13		9
Goals conceded	34		22
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		12
Conversion rate against	13%		9%
Avg. XG against	1		0.9
KickOff rating		+28%

Estudiantes v Boca Juniors Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Estudiantes Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	4	3	12
T Palacios	S Ascacibar	S Ascacibar	S Nuñez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Palacios FWD	28	3	2	4 -
S Ascacibar MID	27	4	3	10 -
E Cetré FWD	25	3	3	4 -
G Carrillo FWD	25	3	2	2 1
S Arzamendia DEF	24	2		10 1
C Medina MID	24		1	6 -
S Nuñez DEF	23	1		11 1
J Sosa MID	22	1		1 -
E Meza DEF	21	1	1	6 -
F Rodríguez DEF	21	1	1	4 -
F Farías MID	19		2	5 -
G Neves MID	18	2	1	2 -
L Alario FWD	18	1		2 -
A Castro MID	17	2		2 1
G Taffarel DEF	15		3	7 2
R. Gómez DEF	14	1		2 -
E Piovi MID	13			2 -
F Muslera GLK	12			1 -
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	11	2	1	2 -
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	10	1	1	1 -
R Mori DEF	8			3 -
M. Amondarain MID	8			-
L Pírez DEF	7	2		1 -
L Suárez FWD	2			-
F Iacovich GLK	1			-
L. Cornejo MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	24	3	12
S Ascacibar	G Carrillo	S Ascacibar	T Palacios

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Ascacibar MID	4	14	3	7
T Palacios FWD	3	14	2	12
E Cetré FWD	3	12	3	7
G Carrillo FWD	3	24	2	3
S Arzamendia DEF	2	10		5
G Neves MID	2	2	1	2
A Castro MID	2	3
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	2	4	1	4
L Pírez DEF	2	2
S Nuñez DEF	1	1
J Sosa MID	1	2		2
E Meza DEF	1	4	1	5
F Rodríguez DEF	1	4	1
L Alario FWD	1	5		4
R. Gómez DEF	1	2		1
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	1	3	1	1
C Medina MID		8	1	4
F Farías MID		1	2	2
G Taffarel DEF		2	3	2
E Piovi MID		4
R Mori DEF		1
M. Amondarain MID				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1313	63	156
S Ascacibar	S Ascacibar	S Ascacibar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Ascacibar MID	1313	63	156
G Neves MID	1002	40	68
S Nuñez DEF	931	38	120
S Arzamendia DEF	906	45	93
F Rodríguez DEF	853	16	54
T Palacios FWD	779	36	124
C Medina MID	613	33	93
E Meza DEF	585	33	74
J Sosa MID	536	16	49
E Piovi MID	502	18	35
G Taffarel DEF	446	22	33
G Carrillo FWD	419	8	134
L Pírez DEF	384	14	33
R. Gómez DEF	382	31	71
R Mori DEF	362	8	29
A Castro MID	338	16	44
F Muslera GLK	310	1	9
M. Amondarain MID	309	18	40
E Cetré FWD	287	10	62
F Farías MID	239	8	46
L Alario FWD	197	9	54
J. Tobio Burgos FWD	174	10	30
F. Pérez Escudero FWD	127	10	25
L Suárez FWD	42	1	2
F Iacovich GLK	12		1
L. Cornejo MID	10	2	4

Boca Juniors Primera División squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	4	7
A Marchesín	M Merentiel	M Merentiel	L Lollo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Merentiel FWD	30	8	4	1 -
A Marchesín GLK	27			3 -
R Battaglia MID	26	4		6 -
L Blanco DEF	25	1	2	4 -
A Velasco FWD	24	1	1	5 -
C Palacios MID	23	3	4	3 -
E Zeballos FWD	23	3	1	1 -
K Zenón FWD	22	2		2 1
M Giménez FWD	22	7	2	3 -
L Lollo DEF	21	3		7 -
W Cepeda MID	20		1	5 -
E Cavani FWD	18	3	2	3 -
L Advíncula DEF	17	1	1	3 -
A Costa DEF	16	1		6 1
M. Delgado MID	16		1	3 -
T Belmonte MID	15			2 -
B Aguirre FWD	15	1	2	-
J Barinaga DEF	13		1	2 -
L Blondel DEF	11		1	1 -
L Paredes MID	11	1	3	3 -
A Herrera MID	9			1 -
M Pellegrino DEF	6			2 -
C. Rey Domenech MID	5			-
L Brey GLK	4			-
L Janson FWD	4			-
M Braida MID	3			1 -
I Miramón MID	3			1 -
F Fabra DEF	2			1 -
M. Mendia DEF	1			-
N Figal DEF	1			-
A Martegani MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	22	4	12
M Merentiel	M Merentiel	M Merentiel	M Merentiel

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Merentiel FWD	8	22	4	12
M Giménez FWD	7	15	2	3
R Battaglia MID	4	8		1
C Palacios MID	3	6	4	9
E Zeballos FWD	3	10	1
L Lollo DEF	3	4		1
E Cavani FWD	3	8	2	2
K Zenón FWD	2	11		6
L Blanco DEF	1	3	2	6
A Velasco FWD	1	7	1	3
L Advíncula DEF	1	1	1	4
A Costa DEF	1	3
B Aguirre FWD	1	5	2	2
L Paredes MID	1	4	3	5
W Cepeda MID		2	1	4
M. Delgado MID			1
T Belmonte MID		1
J Barinaga DEF		1	1	5
L Blondel DEF		1	1	1
A Herrera MID				3
M Pellegrino DEF		1
F Fabra DEF		1		1
A Martegani MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1358	62	146
R Battaglia	L Blanco	R Battaglia

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Battaglia MID	1358	42	146
L Lollo DEF	1116	39	104
L Blanco DEF	1004	62	110
L Paredes MID	876	25	69
C Palacios MID	860	15	77
M. Delgado MID	672	42	82
A Costa DEF	649	41	85
A Marchesín GLK	616		13
J Barinaga DEF	478	29	69
T Belmonte MID	474	47	90
K Zenón FWD	463	18	57
A Velasco FWD	441	28	96
M Merentiel FWD	428	9	45
L Advíncula DEF	420	15	38
W Cepeda MID	378	11	33
L Blondel DEF	345	20	45
M Pellegrino DEF	318	7	31
A Herrera MID	291	12	28
E Cavani FWD	264	12	47
M Giménez FWD	210	15	80
E Zeballos FWD	198	10	51
B Aguirre FWD	191	7	41
C. Rey Domenech MID	174	9	18
L Brey GLK	63		1
M. Mendia DEF	57	1	4
I Miramón MID	53	8	13
F Fabra DEF	50	3	6
M Braida MID	44	5	17
L Janson FWD	34	3	12
N Figal DEF	26	3	5
A Martegani MID	21	1	4