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Independiente v Estudiantes : Primera División match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 23rd Jan, 23:00 BST, Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda

Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato's Independiente side enjoy home advantage in the Primera División on Friday night, as Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez's Estudiantes visit the Estadio Libertadores de América. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato and Eduardo Rodrigo Domínguez to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Independiente and Estudiantes go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.40 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Independiente are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Independiente
40%
7/529/20
Draw
30%
17/102/1
Estudiantes
30%
5/211/5
Independiente 1-0
14%
5/19/2
Draw 1-1
13%
9/219/4
Draw 0-0
12%
9/219/4
Estudiantes 1-0
12%
13/211/2
Independiente 2-0
8%
9/18/1
Independiente 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Estudiantes 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Estudiantes 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/116/1
Independiente 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Independiente 3-1
3%
25/120/1
Estudiantes 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Estudiantes 3-0
2%
40/125/1
Independiente 3-2
1%
40/133/1
Estudiantes 3-2
1%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
15/89/5
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
2/52/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/2119/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/513/10
No 1st Goal
9%
9/219/4
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/513/10
BTTS - No
58%
8/134/7
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/15/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/113/2
Home/draw
70%
2/77/20
Away/draw
60%
8/158/15
Home/away
70%
2/52/5
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/74/7
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
5/45/4
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
5/119/4
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/81/8
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
14/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/331/40
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
28/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/81/8
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
5/119/4
Home DNB
61%
8/1313/20
Away DNB
51%
6/511/10
Independiente win to nil
26%
5/2-
Estudiantes win to nil
20%
4/1-
Independiente / Independiente
20%
3/129/10
Independiente / Estudiantes
2%
40/128/1
Independiente / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Independiente
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Estudiantes
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
21%
3/114/5
Estudiantes / Independiente
3%
33/122/1
Estudiantes / Estudiantes
15%
9/24/1
Estudiantes / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win form
4
Independiente have won 4 consecutive league games
4
Independiente have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games
Independiente 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Independiente1 - 0Rosario
Independiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
Independiente3 - 0Platense
Independiente0 - 2Lanus
Independiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
Independiente0 - 1Banfield
Independiente0 - 0River Plate
Independiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
Independiente0 - 0Huracan
Independiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente0 - 0Deportivo Riestra
Independiente2 - 0SM San Juan
Independiente4 - 0Godoy Cruz
Independiente1 - 1Racing Club
Independiente2 - 0Instituto
Independiente3 - 0Velez
Independiente2 - 0Gimnasia
Independiente2 - 1Sarmiento
Independiente2 - 1A. Tucuman
Independiente2 - 0Central Cor
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIndependiente1 - 0Rosario
AIndependiente1 - 0Deportivo Riestra
HIndependiente3 - 0A. Tucuman
HIndependiente3 - 0Platense
AIndependiente0 - 1SM San Juan
HIndependiente0 - 2Lanus
AIndependiente1 - 1Godoy Cruz
AIndependiente0 - 0Racing Club
HIndependiente1 - 1San Lorenzo
HIndependiente0 - 1Banfield
AIndependiente0 - 0Instituto
AIndependiente1 - 2Velez
HIndependiente0 - 0River Plate
AIndependiente0 - 1Gimnasia
HIndependiente1 - 2Tal Cordoba
AIndependiente2 - 2Sarmiento
HIndependiente0 - 0Huracan
AIndependiente1 - 0Boca Juniors
HIndependiente1 - 0Independiente Rivadavia
AIndependiente0 - 1Rosario
Estudiantes
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Racing Club1 - 1Estudiantes
Gimnasia0 - 1Estudiantes
Central Cor0 - 1Estudiantes
Rosario0 - 1Estudiantes
Tig1 - 0Estudiantes
Belgrano1 - 1Estudiantes
Newells1 - 1Estudiantes
Central Cor2 - 0Estudiantes
Banfield3 - 2Estudiantes
Racing Club0 - 1Estudiantes
U Santa Fe1 - 0Estudiantes
Rosario2 - 0Estudiantes
Argentinos4 - 0Estudiantes
Boca Juniors2 - 0Estudiantes
Gimnasia1 - 1Estudiantes
Barracas2 - 1Estudiantes
Defensa1 - 0Estudiantes
River Plate0 - 2Estudiantes
Aldosivi2 - 2Estudiantes
Independiente Rivadavia2 - 2Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstudiantes1 - 1Racing Club
AEstudiantes1 - 0Gimnasia
AEstudiantes1 - 0Central Cor
AEstudiantes1 - 0Rosario
HEstudiantes1 - 2Argentinos
AEstudiantes0 - 1Tig
HEstudiantes1 - 2Boca Juniors
HEstudiantes2 - 0Gimnasia
AEstudiantes1 - 1Belgrano
HEstudiantes1 - 1Barracas
AEstudiantes1 - 1Newells
HEstudiantes1 - 0Defensa
HEstudiantes1 - 2River Plate
AEstudiantes0 - 2Central Cor
HEstudiantes1 - 0Aldosivi
AEstudiantes2 - 3Banfield
HEstudiantes2 - 1Independiente Rivadavia
AEstudiantes1 - 0Racing Club
HEstudiantes2 - 1Huracan
AEstudiantes0 - 1U Santa Fe
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Independiente since 2022
Independiente
Estudiantes
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
IND
1
EST
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Independiente
1 - 2Estudiantes
Independiente2 - 1
League games at Estudiantes since 2018
Estudiantes
Independiente
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
IND
2
D
2
EST
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estudiantes
0 - 2Independiente
Estudiantes2 - 1
0 - 1Independiente
Draw0 - 0Draw
Estudiantes3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Estudiantes of late. It has been 7 Primera División games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday night against Independiente.

Independiente 7th Estudiantes st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Independiente will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Estudiantes scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Independiente have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Estudiantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Primera División - 2026/2026 season
Independiente
PG (predicted goals)
Estudiantes
1.2
1
Attack rating
0%
better
IND
EST
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
IND
EST
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Independiente v Estudiantes Primera División lLine ups will show here when available.

Independiente Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Estudiantes Primera División squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE