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Bahia v Internacional : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Jul, 19:00 BST, Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Wednesday evening sees Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia and Roger Machado Marques’s Internacional go up against one another in a Serie A battle at the Arena Fonte Nova. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Bahia and Internacional have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Wednesday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
52%
-6/4
Draw
26%
-11/5
Internacional
22%
-19/10
Bahia 1-0
14%
-11/2
Draw 1-1
12%
-19/4
Bahia 2-0
10%
-9/1
Bahia 2-1
9%
-8/1
Draw 0-0
9%
-11/2
Internacional 1-0
8%
-6/1
Internacional 2-1
5%
-9/1
Bahia 3-0
5%
-18/1
Bahia 3-1
5%
-16/1
Draw 2-2
4%
-12/1
Internacional 2-0
4%
-11/1
Bahia 3-2
2%
-25/1
Bahia 4-0
2%
-40/1
Bahia 4-1
2%
-33/1
Internacional 3-1
2%
-20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
-13/10
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
-4/7
Home 1st Goal
54%
-19/20
Away 1st Goal
40%
-6/5
No 1st Goal
6%
-11/2
BTTS - Yes
46%
-1/1
BTTS - No
54%
-8/11
BTTS - Home Win
20%
-17/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
-7/2
BTTS - Away Win
9%
-5/1
Home/draw
78%
-2/5
Away/draw
48%
-8/15
Home/away
74%
-7/20
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
-4/9
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
-13/8
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
-16/5
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
-1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
-15/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
-1/18
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
-16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
-1/200
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
-1/12
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
-6/1
Home DNB
70%
-7/10
Away DNB
40%
-1/1
Bahia win to nil
32%
--
Internacional win to nil
13%
--
Bahia / Bahia
20%
-29/10
Bahia / Internacional
3%
-25/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Bahia
14%
-9/2
Draw / Internacional
13%
-5/1
Draw / Draw
18%
-16/5
Internacional / Bahia
3%
-22/1
Internacional / Internacional
17%
-18/5
Internacional / Draw
6%
-12/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
9
Internacional have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
Bahia 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Bahia2 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 1Mirassol
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Bahia2 - 0Atletico Go
Bahia1 - 1Athletico PR
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
Bahia0 - 2Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Criciuma
Bahia3 - 0A Mineiro
Bahia0 - 0Botafogo
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Bahia0 - 1Corinthians
Bahia1 - 2Cuiaba
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1Vasco d Gama
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia3 - 0Bragantino
HBahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
ABahia0 - 1Gremio
HBahia2 - 1Vitoria
ABahia0 - 1Flamengo
HBahia1 - 0Botafogo
ABahia1 - 0Palmeiras
HBahia1 - 0Ceara
ABahia0 - 3Cruzeiro
HBahia1 - 1Mirassol
ABahia2 - 2Santos
HBahia1 - 1Corinthians
HBahia2 - 0Atletico Go
ABahia0 - 3Corinthians
ABahia2 - 1Cuiaba
HBahia1 - 1Athletico PR
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
ABahia1 - 2Juventude
HBahia0 - 3Sao Paulo
ABahia2 - 3Vasco d Gama
Internacional 17TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Mineiro2 - 0Internacional
S. Recife1 - 1Internacional
Botafogo4 - 0Internacional
Corinthians4 - 2Internacional
Gremio1 - 1Internacional
Fortaleza0 - 0Internacional
Flamengo1 - 1Internacional
Fortaleza3 - 0Internacional
Flamengo3 - 2Internacional
Vasco d Gama0 - 1Internacional
A Mineiro1 - 3Internacional
Corinthians2 - 2Internacional
Bragantino2 - 2Internacional
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Juventude1 - 3Internacional
Cruzeiro0 - 0Internacional
Atletico Go1 - 0Internacional
Bahia1 - 1Internacional
Botafogo1 - 0Internacional
Fluminense1 - 1Internacional
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInternacional0 - 2A Mineiro
HInternacional0 - 2Fluminense
AInternacional1 - 1S. Recife
HInternacional1 - 1Mirassol
AInternacional0 - 4Botafogo
AInternacional2 - 4Corinthians
HInternacional3 - 1Juventude
AInternacional1 - 1Gremio
HInternacional0 - 1Palmeiras
AInternacional0 - 0Fortaleza
HInternacional3 - 0Cruzeiro
AInternacional1 - 1Flamengo
AInternacional0 - 3Fortaleza
HInternacional0 - 1Botafogo
AInternacional2 - 3Flamengo
HInternacional4 - 1Bragantino
AInternacional1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HInternacional2 - 0Fluminense
HInternacional2 - 0Criciuma
HInternacional1 - 1Flamengo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Internacional
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
BAH
1
D
1
INL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bahia1 - 0
0 - 1Internacional
1 - 2Internacional
2 - 3Internacional
0 - 1Internacional
League games at Internacional since 2018
Internacional
Bahia
Goals: Scored
13
4
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
D
1
INL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Internacional
Internacional2 - 1
Internacional2 - 0
Internacional2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Internacional3 - 1
Internacional2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Bahia's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday evening, not least because Internacional have conceded in each of their last 9 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.5 for Rogério Mücke Ceni's side suggests that run should continue.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Internacional fans, as should a 5 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bahia 5th Internacional 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Internacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Bahia have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
+8
Internacional’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294588/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Internacional
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
26%
better
BAH
INL
view stats
Games scored9
7
Failed to score3
5
Scored first8
2
Goals scored14
12
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
36%
better
BAH
INL
view stats
Games conceded8
10
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first4
9
Goals conceded11
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against9%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%

Bahia v Internacional Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12234
S MingoL JubaL JubaS Suay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Juba DEF1223
1
-
S Mingo DEF12
2
-
S Suay MID111
3
1
Gilberto DEF101
2
-
Cauly MID1012
1
-
J Lucas MID10
1
1
C Alexandre MID101
4
-
M Felipe GLK9
-
D Duarte DEF9
1
-
Erick MID81
3
-
N Acevedo MID7
1
-
Iago DEF5
-
S Arias DEF5
1
-
M Araújo MID52
-
R Nestor MID5
-
Ronaldo  GLK4
-
G Xavier DEF3
1
-
Kanu DEF2
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
Rezende MID1
-
Internacional Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11244
AnthoniA PatrickA PatrickRonaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Anthoni GLK12
-
B Aguirre DEF111
2
-
Ronaldo MID11
3
1
V Vitão DEF101
2
-
Wesley FWD102
1
-
B Henrique MID91
1
1
T Maia MID911
-
Tabata FWD9
2
-
A Bernabéi DEF82
1
-
A Patrick MID824
3
-
Óscar Romero MID81
1
-
R Borré FWD82
-
E Valencia FWD81
-
G. Prado Alves MID71
1
-
Fernando MID6
-
Juninho DEF5
1
-
Ramon DEF5
1
-
L. de Aquino MID5
-
D Rosa MID5
-
L Tavares FWD4
-
R. Mathias da Silva FWD41
-
V Gabriel DEF32
-
G. Carvalho Teixeira FWD3
-
J Carbonero  FWD3
-
Y. Noal Lopes MID2
-
S Rochet GLK1
-
C. Sampaio Pereira DEF1
-
Brazillian Serie A match betting previews, predictions and odds
Santos v Palmeiras
Sat 12th Jul, 16:00
Flamengo v Sao Paulo
Sat 12th Jul, 20:30
Internacional v Vitoria
Sat 12th Jul, 20:30
Vasco d Gama v Botafogo
Sat 12th Jul, 22:30
Bahia v A Mineiro
Sun 13th Jul, 01:00
Corinthians v Bragantino
Sun 13th Jul, 23:00
Fortaleza v Ceara
Mon 14th Jul, 00:30
Cruzeiro v Gremio
Mon 14th Jul, 00:30
Juventude v S. Recife
Tue 15th Jul, 00:00
Botafogo v Vitoria
Wed 16th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Vasco d Gama
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Bahia v Internacional
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Gremio v Fortaleza
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v S. Recife
Wed 16th Jul, 19:00
Palmeiras v Mirassol
Wed 16th Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Corinthians
Wed 16th Jul, 23:30
Bragantino v Sao Paulo
Thu 17th Jul, 00:00
Santos v Flamengo
Thu 17th Jul, 01:30
Fluminense v Cruzeiro
Thu 17th Jul, 23:30
Fortaleza v Bahia
Sat 19th Jul, 20:00
Vasco d Gama v Gremio
Sat 19th Jul, 21:30
Vitoria v Bragantino
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Mirassol v Santos
Sat 19th Jul, 22:30
Sao Paulo v Corinthians
Sun 20th Jul, 01:00
Internacional v Ceara
Sun 20th Jul, 15:00
Cruzeiro v Juventude
Sun 20th Jul, 20:00
Palmeiras v A Mineiro
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
S. Recife v Botafogo
Sun 20th Jul, 21:30
Flamengo v Fluminense
Sun 20th Jul, 23:30
Gremio v Botafogo
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
A Mineiro v Fortaleza
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Vasco d Gama v Bahia
Wed 23rd Jul, 19:00
Fluminense v Palmeiras
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Ceara v Mirassol
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:00
Corinthians v Cruzeiro
Wed 23rd Jul, 23:30
Santos v Internacional
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Vitoria v S. Recife
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Bragantino v Flamengo
Thu 24th Jul, 01:30
Juventude v Sao Paulo
Thu 24th Jul, 23:00