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Bragantino v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Aug, 20:00 BST, Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista

It's an away match for Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro's Gremio side on Sunday night, as they head to the Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid for a Serie A showdown with Vágner Carmo Mancini's Bragantino. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bragantino are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.81.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bragantino 51%	1.81	-
Draw 26%	3.40	-
Gremio 23%	4.00	-
Bragantino 1-0 13%	7.50	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	-
Bragantino 2-0 10%	9.00	-
Bragantino 2-1 9%	8.50	-
Draw 0-0 9%	11.00	-
Gremio 1-0 8%	12.00	-
Gremio 2-1 6%	13.00	-
Bragantino 3-0 5%	15.00	-
Bragantino 3-1 5%	15.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	15.00	-
Gremio 2-0 4%	21.00	-
Bragantino 3-2 2%	26.00	-
Bragantino 4-0 2%	34.00	-
Bragantino 4-1 2%	34.00	-
Gremio 3-1 2%	34.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	1.95	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1.85	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.67	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	2.40	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11.00	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	1.80	-
BTTS - No 53%	1.95	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	4.00	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4.50	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	7.50	-
Home/draw 77%	1.22	-
Away/draw 49%	1.91	-
Home/away 74%	1.30	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.29	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	3.75	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	3.40	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.33	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	6.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.13	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	13.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.04	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.05	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	11.00	-
Home DNB 69%	1.36	-
Away DNB 41%	3.00	-
Bragantino win to nil 31%	3.25	-
Gremio win to nil 13%	7.00	-
Bragantino / Bragantino 28%	3.00	-
Bragantino / Gremio 2%	34.00	-
Bragantino / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Bragantino 17%	5.00	-
Draw / Gremio 10%	8.50	-
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	-
Gremio / Bragantino 4%	23.00	-
Gremio / Gremio 13%	6.50	-
Gremio / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino	0 - 2	Corinthians
Bragantino	0 - 0	Cortiba
Bragantino	3 - 1	Internacional
Bragantino	2 - 0	Vitoria
Bragantino	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Bragantino	4 - 2	Remo
Bragantino	3 - 0	Flamengo
Bragantino	1 - 2	Botafogo
Bragantino	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
Bragantino	1 - 1	Athletico PR
Bragantino	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Bragantino	4 - 0	Vitoria
Bragantino	0 - 1	Fortaleza
Bragantino	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Bragantino	2 - 1	Corinthians
Bragantino	0 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
Bragantino	2 - 2	Santos
Bragantino	1 - 1	S. Recife
Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Bragantino	0 - 2	Corinthians
H	Bragantino	0 - 0	Cortiba
A	Bragantino	1 - 1	Fluminense
H	Bragantino	3 - 1	Internacional
A	Bragantino	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Bragantino	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Bragantino	0 - 2	Santos
A	Bragantino	2 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Bragantino	0 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Bragantino	4 - 2	Remo
A	Bragantino	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Bragantino	1 - 0	Mirassol
H	Bragantino	3 - 0	Flamengo
H	Bragantino	1 - 2	Botafogo
A	Bragantino	0 - 2	Bahia
H	Bragantino	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
A	Bragantino	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Bragantino	1 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Bragantino	0 - 2	Corinthians
H	Bragantino	1 - 0	A Mineiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol	2 - 1	Gremio
Bahia	1 - 1	Gremio
Athletico PR	0 - 0	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Gremio
Internacional	0 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
S. Recife	0 - 4	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Fortaleza	2 - 2	Gremio
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
Internacional	2 - 3	Gremio
Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
A Mineiro	1 - 3	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Gremio	1 - 3	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Athletico PR
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Cortiba
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Remo
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
H	Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Gremio	5 - 3	Botafogo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bragantino have not lost to Gremio in 7 consecutive league meetings

Bragantino

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

1 / 5

Clean sheets

4 / 5

0 / 5

RBB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bragantino
Bragantino	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Bragantino	2 - 0
Bragantino	1 - 0
Bragantino	1 - 0

Gremio

Bragantino

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

RBB

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Bragantino
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Gremio	3 - 0
Gremio	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Bragantino's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Gremio have conceded in each of their last 7 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.5 for V. Carmo Mancini's side suggests that run should continue.

	Bragantino 8th	Gremio 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Bragantino will score 1 or more goals	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 Bragantino’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+8 Gremio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

better

RBB

GRE

view stats

Games scored	15		15
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	12		6
Goals scored	26		24
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	12		8
Avg. shots per goal	10		7
Conversion rate for	10		14
Avg. XG for	1.4		1
KickOff rating		+5%

16%

better

RBB

GRE

view stats

Games conceded	14		16
Clean sheets	7		5
Conceded first	8		12
Goals conceded	22		27
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		9
Conversion rate against	11%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+16%

Bragantino v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bragantino Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	3	9
L Barbosa	I Pitta	H Mosquera	J Capixaba

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Barbosa FWD	19	4	2	5 -
I Pitta FWD	19	5	2	2 -
Alix DEF	18			6 1
J Capixaba DEF	18	3	2	9 -
G Marques DEF	18			2 -
E Sasha FWD	17	1		1 -
H Mosquera FWD	17		3	4 -
Gabriel MID	16	2		5 -
J Herrera FWD	16	1	1	3 -
J Hurtado DEF	15	1		2 -
Gustavinho MID	15	1	1	1 -
I Sosa MID	15			5 -
T Volpi GLK	14	2		1 -
P Henrique DEF	14			3 -
E Ramires MID	14			2 -
M Fernandes MID	13		1	2 -
Rodrigo MID	12	2		3 -
Fernando FWD	10	2	1	-
V. Mendonça Pereira FWD	10		1	-
A Sant'Anna DEF	8		1	1 1
Cleiton GLK	7			1 -
Fabinho MID	6			1 2
R. da Silva DEF	5			-
M. Braz da Silva MID	5		1	-
C. Nascimento Santos DEF	4			1 -
E Santos DEF	3			-
D. Gomes de Alvarenga FWD	2			-
G. Reis Alcantara GLK	1			-
Vanderlan DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	18	3	5
I Pitta	L Barbosa	H Mosquera	L Barbosa

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Pitta FWD	5	12	2
L Barbosa FWD	4	18	2	5
J Capixaba DEF	3	6	2	5
Gabriel MID	2	7		1
T Volpi GLK	2	2
Rodrigo MID	2	3
Fernando FWD	2	5	1	1
E Sasha FWD	1	7		1
J Herrera FWD	1	7	1	3
J Hurtado DEF	1	3		1
Gustavinho MID	1	5	1	4
Alix DEF		2
G Marques DEF		5
H Mosquera FWD		11	3	5
I Sosa MID		1		2
M Fernandes MID		1	1	1
V. Mendonça Pereira FWD		1	1
A Sant'Anna DEF		2	1	4
R. da Silva DEF		1		2
M. Braz da Silva MID		1	1	1
D. Gomes de Alvarenga FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
790	37	119
G Marques	J Capixaba	L Barbosa

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Marques DEF	790	23	67
J Capixaba DEF	757	37	104
Alix DEF	708	19	66
Gabriel MID	555	21	39
T Volpi GLK	497	1	2
P Henrique DEF	464	9	50
J Hurtado DEF	462	18	48
L Barbosa FWD	421	29	119
H Mosquera FWD	286	12	99
M Fernandes MID	266	15	32
E Ramires MID	227	11	22
J Herrera FWD	226	20	43
E Sasha FWD	219	1	32
Gustavinho MID	219	21	39
Cleiton GLK	215	1	2
I Pitta FWD	207	4	41
I Sosa MID	194	15	49
Rodrigo MID	183	15	27
A Sant'Anna DEF	150	12	31
C. Nascimento Santos DEF	114	8	11
Fernando FWD	100	8	32
Fabinho MID	92	5	10
V. Mendonça Pereira FWD	81	7	36
R. da Silva DEF	66	9	24
E Santos DEF	61	4	6
M. Braz da Silva MID	40	3	8
G. Reis Alcantara GLK	10	6
D. Gomes de Alvarenga FWD	9	2	5
Vanderlan DEF	3	1	1

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	10	3	4
C Vinícius	C Vinícius	C Pavón	C Vinícius

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Vinícius FWD	20	10	1	4 -
Weverton GLK	19		1	1 -
C Pavón DEF	19	1	3	4 -
F Amuzu FWD	19	1	3	-
J Enamorado FWD	18		2	3 -
Tetê FWD	16	2		-
E Mola MID	15	1	1	2 -
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	15	2		3 -
G Martins DEF	14		2	4 -
J Nardoni MID	14	1	1	2 -
M Braithwaite FWD	14			-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	11		1	3 -
Wagner DEF	9			2 1
Willian FWD	9			-
C Paulista DEF	8			-
Marlon DEF	8	1	1	2 -
F Balbuena DEF	7			-
M Monsalve MID	7			1 -
Dodi MID	7			2 -
J Pedro DEF	5			-
M Rocha DEF	5			-
W Kannemann DEF	3			2 -
M Villasanti MID	3			1 -
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	3			1 1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	2			-
D Santos DEF	2	1		1 -
J Cabral FWD	2		1	-
Roger FWD	2			-
T. Stallbaum GLK	1			1
G Grando GLK	1			-
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	1	1		-
T. Gonçalves MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	3	5
C Vinícius	C Vinícius	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Vinícius FWD	10	22	1	1
Tetê FWD	2	10
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	2	3		1
C Pavón DEF	1	5	3	5
F Amuzu FWD	1	8	3	5
E Mola MID	1	3	1
J Nardoni MID	1	3	1
Marlon DEF	1	3	1	2
D Santos DEF	1	1
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	1	1
Weverton GLK			1
J Enamorado FWD		3	2	2
G Martins DEF		2	2	1
M Braithwaite FWD		1
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF		3	1	2
Willian FWD		1
C Paulista DEF				1
M Villasanti MID		2
L. Guedes de Souza DEF		1
J Cabral FWD		1	1
Roger FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
730	35	88
C Pavón	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Pavón DEF	730	35	88
E Mola MID	632	20	59
G Martins DEF	632	18	61
Weverton GLK	522	1	10
Wagner DEF	415	11	23
F Balbuena DEF	363	8	21
F Amuzu FWD	342	7	44
Tetê FWD	335	7	53
J Nardoni MID	331	16	47
Marlon DEF	312	24	39
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	254	18	34
C Paulista DEF	215	8	24
Willian FWD	212	2	13
J Enamorado FWD	191	24	66
C Vinícius FWD	152	3	53
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	145	15	55
W Kannemann DEF	139	3	8
M Monsalve MID	129	2	15
M Villasanti MID	117	3	11
J Pedro DEF	105	3	9
M Rocha DEF	90	2	5
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	87	4	6
M Braithwaite FWD	77	5	19
Dodi MID	71	4	6
D Santos DEF	69	1	5
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	57		3
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	44	2	7
G Grando GLK	27
T. Gonçalves MID	26
J Cabral FWD	20		2
T. Stallbaum GLK	17		1
Roger FWD	9	1	1