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Gremio v Chapecoense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Aug, 01:00 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Luís Manuel Ribeiro de Castro's Gremio side will have home backing in the Serie A on Saturday morning, as Rafael dos Santos Lacerda's Chapecoense travel to the Arena do Grêmio. Serie A stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Gremio 52%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Chapecoense 22%	-	-
Gremio 1-0 14%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Gremio 2-0 10%	-	-
Gremio 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Chapecoense 1-0 8%	-	-
Chapecoense 2-1 5%	-	-
Gremio 3-0 5%	-	-
Gremio 3-1 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Chapecoense 2-0 4%	-	-
Gremio 3-2 2%	-	-
Gremio 4-0 2%	-	-
Gremio 4-1 2%	-	-
Chapecoense 3-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	-	-
BTTS - No 54%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	-
Home/draw 78%	-	-
Away/draw 48%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 70%	-	-
Away DNB 40%	-	-
Gremio win to nil 32%	-	-
Chapecoense win to nil 13%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Chapecoense have not won in 13 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 3	Corinthians
Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
Gremio	1 - 0	Cortiba
Gremio	0 - 0	Remo
Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Gremio	5 - 3	Botafogo
Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense
Gremio	3 - 2	Palmeiras
Gremio	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gremio	0 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Gremio	1 - 3	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Athletico PR
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Cortiba
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Remo
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Chapecoense
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
H	Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Sao Paulo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cortiba	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Santos	2 - 2	Chapecoense
Bahia	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Mirassol	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Athletico PR	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Internacional	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Volta Redonda	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Remo	1 - 1	Chapecoense
Goias	1 - 3	Chapecoense
Ferroviaria	0 - 1	Chapecoense
Amazonas	1 - 3	Chapecoense
Cuiaba	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Criciuma	2 - 0	Chapecoense
Athletic Club	0 - 4	Chapecoense
Cortiba	0 - 0	Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chapecoense	3 - 3	Bahia
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cortiba
A	Chapecoense	2 - 2	Santos
H	Chapecoense	0 - 4	Flamengo
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Bahia
A	Chapecoense	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Chapecoense	2 - 3	Remo
A	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Bragantino
A	Chapecoense	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Chapecoense	1 - 4	Botafogo
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Vitoria
H	Chapecoense	0 - 4	A Mineiro
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Chapecoense	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
A	Chapecoense	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Chapecoense	3 - 3	Cortiba

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Gremio

Chapecoense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

GRE

CHP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
	0 - 1	Chapecoense
Gremio	2 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Gremio	2 - 0

Chapecoense

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

2 / 5

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chapecoense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Gremio
	0 - 1	Gremio
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Gremio have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Chapecoense on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Gremio 15th	Chapecoense 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Gremio will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Chapecoense scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+18 Gremio have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted	+7 Chapecoense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

19%

better

GRE

CHP

view stats

Games scored	15		13
Failed to score	6		8
Scored first	6		4
Goals scored	24		20
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		10
Conversion rate for	14		10
Avg. XG for	1		1.1
KickOff rating		+19%

34%

better

GRE

CHP

view stats

Games conceded	16		20
Clean sheets	5		1
Conceded first	12		16
Goals conceded	27		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		6
Conversion rate against	11%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.7
KickOff rating		+34%

Gremio v Chapecoense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	10	3	5
C Vinícius	C Vinícius	F Amuzu	C Pavón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Vinícius FWD	21	10	1	4 -
Weverton GLK	20		1	1 -
F Amuzu FWD	20	1	3	-
C Pavón FWD	20	1	3	5 -
J Enamorado FWD	18		2	3 -
Tetê FWD	17	2		-
E Mola MID	16	1	1	2 -
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	16	2		3 -
G Martins DEF	15		2	4 -
J Nardoni MID	15	1	1	2 -
M Braithwaite FWD	14			-
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	12		1	4 -
C Paulista DEF	9			-
Wagner DEF	9			2 1
Willian FWD	9			-
Marlon DEF	8	1	1	2 -
Dodi MID	8			2 -
F Balbuena DEF	7			-
M Monsalve MID	7			1 -
J Pedro DEF	5			-
M Rocha DEF	5			-
W Kannemann DEF	4			3 -
D Santos DEF	3	1		1 -
M Villasanti MID	3			1 -
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	3			1 1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	2			-
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	2	1		-
J Cabral FWD	2		1	-
Roger FWD	2			-
T. Stallbaum GLK	1			1
G Grando GLK	1			-
F Krovinovic MID	1			-
T. Gonçalves MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	3	5
C Vinícius	C Vinícius	F Amuzu	F Amuzu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Vinícius FWD	10	22	1	1
Tetê FWD	2	10
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	2	3		1
F Amuzu FWD	1	9	3	5
C Pavón FWD	1	5	3	5
E Mola MID	1	3	1
J Nardoni MID	1	3	1
Marlon DEF	1	3	1	2
D Santos DEF	1	1
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	1	1
Weverton GLK			1
J Enamorado FWD		3	2	2
G Martins DEF		2	2	1
M Braithwaite FWD		1
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF		3	1	2
C Paulista DEF				1
Willian FWD		1
M Villasanti MID		2
L. Guedes de Souza DEF		1
J Cabral FWD		1	1
Roger FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
742	35	90
C Pavón	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Pavón FWD	742	35	90
E Mola MID	707	22	63
G Martins DEF	672	18	63
Weverton GLK	548	1	10
Wagner DEF	415	11	23
F Amuzu FWD	367	7	48
Tetê FWD	363	9	57
F Balbuena DEF	363	8	21
J Nardoni MID	339	17	48
Marlon DEF	312	24	39
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	283	21	37
C Paulista DEF	226	8	24
Willian FWD	212	2	13
J Enamorado FWD	191	24	66
W Kannemann DEF	166	5	11
C Vinícius FWD	158	3	55
G. Ferreira de Carvalho MID	151	16	57
M Monsalve MID	129	2	15
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	123	1	9
D Santos DEF	122	1	8
M Villasanti MID	117	3	11
J Pedro DEF	105	3	9
Dodi MID	92	4	7
M Rocha DEF	90	2	5
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	87	4	6
M Braithwaite FWD	77	5	19
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	44	2	7
F Krovinovic MID	35
G Grando GLK	27
T. Gonçalves MID	26
J Cabral FWD	20		2
T. Stallbaum GLK	17		1
Roger FWD	9	1	1

Chapecoense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	3	3	6
E Domachowski	Marcinho	G Augusto	E. Souza da Cruz

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Marcinho FWD	21	3	1	-
E Domachowski DEF	20	1		4 1
Camilo MID	19			5 -
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	18		1	5 1
Y Bolasie FWD	17	1	1	3 -
G Augusto MID	15	1	3	1 -
B Pacheco DEF	14		3	2 -
Rafael MID	14	2		2 -
Enio FWD	13	1		2 -
N Pessoa FWD	10	2	1	1 -
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	10	1		2 -
A Paixão GLK	8			-
V Becker DEF	8			2 -
M Garcez FWD	8			-
D. Antunes da Silva MID	7			-
J Paulo DEF	6	1		2 -
B Matias MID	5			1 -
K Ramírez FWD	5		1	-
R Santos GLK	4			-
R Thyere DEF	4			-
M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes GLK	3			1 -
Fernando DEF	3			-
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	2			1 -
K. Faria Gomes DEF	2			-
Max MID	2			-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	2			-
Heitor DEF	1			-
Y Felipe MID	1		1	-
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	1			-
B Tubarão FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	3	5
Marcinho	Y Bolasie	G Augusto	G Augusto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Marcinho FWD	3	8	1
Rafael MID	2	4
N Pessoa FWD	2	5	1
E Domachowski DEF	1	3		2
Y Bolasie FWD	1	9	1
G Augusto MID	1	3	3	5
Enio FWD	1	5		4
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	1	2
J Paulo DEF	1	1		1
Camilo MID		2		1
E. Souza da Cruz DEF		2	1	1
B Pacheco DEF			3	3
M Garcez FWD		1		1
K Ramírez FWD		3	1	2
Y Felipe MID			1
B Tubarão FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
963	44	82
E Domachowski	Camilo	Camilo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Domachowski DEF	963	16	61
Camilo MID	761	44	82
G Augusto MID	378	12	50
B Pacheco DEF	366	21	68
E. Souza da Cruz DEF	320	15	66
Marcinho FWD	315	16	58
J Paulo DEF	289	4	22
Enio FWD	284	3	43
Rafael MID	266	14	20
V Becker DEF	251	11	31
A Paixão GLK	200		4
Y Bolasie FWD	176	3	52
B Matias MID	126	6	9
R Thyere DEF	99	2	10
R Santos GLK	92		1
K. Faria Gomes DEF	90		4
Fernando DEF	89	4	15
R. Hartmann Ricoldi FWD	73	4	14
M Garcez FWD	73	5	29
M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes GLK	72		1
D. Antunes da Silva MID	65	8	13
K Ramírez FWD	51	2	11
N Pessoa FWD	45	5	16
Max MID	39	1	2
B Tubarão FWD	38	4	7
Y Felipe MID	20	4	5
Vinicius Eduardo DEF	18	1	2
Heitor DEF	18	1	2
F. Rossi Donazar FWD	13	1	6
R. dos Santos Conceição MID	5	1	1