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Botafogo v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 5th Nov, 22:30 BST, Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

It's an away match for Fernando Diniz Silva's Vasco da Gama side on Wednesday night, as they travel to the Estádio Nilton Santos for a Serie A showdown with Davide Ancelotti's Botafogo. We have odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Botafogo and Vasco d Gama will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Davide Ancelotti or Fernando Diniz Silva has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.30 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Botafogo 35%	10/11	-
Draw 25%	5/2	-
Vasco d Gama 40%	29/10	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Vasco d Gama 2-1 9%	12/1	-
Vasco d Gama 1-0 8%	10/1	-
Botafogo 2-1 8%	15/2	-
Botafogo 1-0 8%	13/2	-
Vasco d Gama 2-0 6%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	9/1	-
Botafogo 2-0 5%	8/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-1 4%	33/1	-
Botafogo 3-1 4%	14/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-0 3%	40/1	-
Vasco d Gama 3-2 3%	40/1	-
Botafogo 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Botafogo 3-0 2%	16/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	19/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	17/20	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	4/6	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	7/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 41%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	13/2	-
Home/draw 60%	1/4	-
Away/draw 65%	5/6	-
Home/away 75%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	3/10	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	5/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	9/1	-
Home DNB 52%	2/5	-
Away DNB 58%	7/4	-
Botafogo win to nil 16%	9/4	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 19%	11/2	-
Botafogo / Botafogo 27%	21/10	-
Botafogo / Vasco d Gama 2%	33/1	-
Botafogo / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Botafogo 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Vasco d Gama 10%	15/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Vasco d Gama / Botafogo 4%	22/1	-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 13%	11/2	-
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
Botafogo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol
Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	1 - 1	Corinthians
Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
Botafogo	3 - 2	Ceara
Botafogo	4 - 0	Internacional
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	2 - 0	Juventude
Botafogo	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Botafogo	1 - 1	Vitoria
Botafogo	0 - 0	Cuiaba
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	1 - 1	Criciuma

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Botafogo	2 - 2	Santos
A	Botafogo	2 - 0	Ceara
H	Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
A	Botafogo	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Botafogo	2 - 1	Bahia
A	Botafogo	0 - 2	Fluminense
A	Botafogo	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Botafogo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
H	Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol
A	Botafogo	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Botafogo	4 - 1	Bragantino
A	Botafogo	3 - 1	Juventude
H	Botafogo	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Botafogo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Botafogo	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Botafogo	1 - 0	S. Recife
H	Botafogo	0 - 0	Vitoria
A	Botafogo	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Botafogo	3 - 2	Ceara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bragantino	0 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
S. Recife	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Juventude	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Bragantino
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Vasco d Gama	4 - 3	Vitoria
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Palmeiras
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Bahia
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Ceara
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	S. Recife
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Juventude
A	Vasco d Gama	6 - 0	Santos
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Bragantino

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Botafogo have beaten Vasco d Gama in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Botafogo have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Vasco d Gama

Botafogo

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

0 / 6

BOT

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Botafogo
Botafogo	3 - 0
Botafogo	2 - 0
Botafogo	2 - 0
	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Vasco d Gama

Botafogo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

BOT

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
	0 - 2	Botafogo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Vasco d Gama	1 - 0
	0 - 4	Botafogo
Vasco d Gama	3 - 0
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Botafogo

Goal Statistics

	Botafogo 6th	Vasco d Gama 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Botafogo will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Vasco d Gama will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Botafogo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+34 Vasco d Gama have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

BOT

VDG

15%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		21
Failed to score	12		8
Scored first	15		14
Goals scored	39		46
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+15%

29%

better

BOT

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	17		23
Clean sheets	12		6
Conceded first	11		14
Goals conceded	26		41
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+29%

Botafogo v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Botafogo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	4	5	13
Vitinho	J Savarino	M Freitas	A Barboza

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Vitinho DEF	29	1	1	1 -
M Freitas MID	27	1	5	7 -
Cuiabano DEF	22	3	2	4 -
J Savarino MID	22	4	2	1 -
A Telles DEF	21	3	3	1 -
S Rodríguez MID	21	2	4	5 -
Artur FWD	21	2	4	1 -
A Barboza DEF	19			13 -
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	19	1		3 -
M Ponte DEF	18	1		2 -
Allan MID	17			6 -
D Loiola DEF	15	1		3 1
M Martins FWD	15	1		3 -
A Cabral FWD	14	3	2	-
J Correa FWD	14	2		1 -
Jeffinho FWD	14	2	4	-
L Linck GLK	11			1 -
Kaio DEF	11			1 1
M Marçal DEF	11	2		4 -
?. Montoro MID	11	2	2	3 -
G Mastriani FWD	11	1		1 -
N Fernandes FWD	10	1	2	1 -
C Ramos FWD	9	4		1 1
Danilo MID	8	1		2 -
Neto GLK	3			-
G. Feitosa da Silva DEF	3			-
J Herrera MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	16	5	8
J Savarino	J Savarino	M Freitas	J Savarino

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Savarino MID	4	16	2	8
C Ramos FWD	4	8		1
Cuiabano DEF	3	8	2	2
A Telles DEF	3	5	3	6
A Cabral FWD	3	12	2	2
S Rodríguez MID	2	8	4	8
Artur FWD	2	10	4	5
J Correa FWD	2	8
Jeffinho FWD	2	6	4	2
M Marçal DEF	2	3		1
?. Montoro MID	2	6	2	3
Vitinho DEF	1	3	1	1
M Freitas MID	1	6	5	4
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	1	5
M Ponte DEF	1	1
D Loiola DEF	1	1		1
M Martins FWD	1	8
G Mastriani FWD	1	3		1
N Fernandes FWD	1	5	2	2
Danilo MID	1	3
A Barboza DEF		5
Allan MID		1		1
Kaio DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1654	56	107
M Freitas	Vitinho	Vitinho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freitas MID	1654	37	58
A Barboza DEF	1142	37	97
Vitinho DEF	819	56	107
D Loiola DEF	797	15	54
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID	755	27	67
J Savarino MID	616	7	34
A Telles DEF	574	12	35
Kaio DEF	542	10	52
M Marçal DEF	495	14	43
Allan MID	462	24	38
S Rodríguez MID	444	25	91
Artur FWD	416	12	64
Cuiabano DEF	401	22	55
?. Montoro MID	322	17	50
J Correa FWD	297	10	34
L Linck GLK	288		2
Danilo MID	285	12	23
M Ponte DEF	235	10	32
M Martins FWD	234	13	45
Jeffinho FWD	196	15	54
A Cabral FWD	149	11	65
N Fernandes FWD	115	5	23
G. Feitosa da Silva DEF	101	4	15
Neto GLK	75
C Ramos FWD	73	8	59
G Mastriani FWD	38	1	12
J Herrera MID	1	1	2

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	14	6	7
N Moreira	P Vegetti	L Piton	H Moura

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Moreira FWD	30	6	5	2 -
L Jardim GLK	29			1 2
H Moura MID	27		1	6 1
R Rocha FWD	27	11	1	3 -
P Vegetti FWD	27	14	1	3 -
P Coutinho MID	24	5	3	1 1
L Piton DEF	23	1	6	4 -
P Henrique DEF	23	1	6	7 -
T Tchê MID	22	1		2 -
J Bebanz DEF	19	2	2	-
L Freitas DEF	19	1		4 -
David FWD	18	2	3	2 -
Jair MID	11			3 -
C Luz MID	10			3 -
B Garré FWD	10			1 -
Adson FWD	10			-
A Gomez FWD	10		4	1 -
Paulinho MID	9			2 -
R Renan DEF	8			2 -
M França MID	8			-
L Oliveira DEF	7			1 -
C Cuesta DEF	7	1		1 -
G. Souza da Silva FWD	7	2		-
V Luis DEF	5			-
M Lemos DEF	4			-
T Mendes MID	4			1 -
D Fuzato GLK	2			-
J Meneses FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	31	6	9
P Vegetti	R Rocha	L Piton	N Moreira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	14	22	1	3
R Rocha FWD	11	31	1	5
N Moreira FWD	6	15	5	9
P Coutinho MID	5	22	3	8
J Bebanz DEF	2	8	2	3
David FWD	2	6	3	5
G. Souza da Silva FWD	2	2
L Piton DEF	1	2	6	6
P Henrique DEF	1	9	6	4
T Tchê MID	1	2
L Freitas DEF	1	1
C Cuesta DEF	1	2
H Moura MID		5	1	3
Jair MID		1
C Luz MID		2
B Garré FWD		1		1
Adson FWD		2		1
A Gomez FWD		5	4	4
R Renan DEF				1
M França MID		2
V Luis DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1426	77	181
H Moura	P Henrique	P Henrique

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Moura MID	1426	46	80
L Piton DEF	1177	24	63
P Coutinho MID	1117	19	84
L Freitas DEF	1093	15	54
T Tchê MID	939	15	73
N Moreira FWD	880	29	105
P Henrique DEF	866	77	181
L Jardim GLK	802		16
J Bebanz DEF	562	18	54
R Rocha FWD	501	28	138
C Luz MID	473	19	74
R Renan DEF	455	6	20
Jair MID	413	13	38
P Vegetti FWD	307	16	107
C Cuesta DEF	263	11	25
David FWD	187	8	33
Paulinho MID	159	6	19
B Garré FWD	140	6	9
T Mendes MID	139		3
Adson FWD	138	6	13
M Lemos DEF	136	1	5
V Luis DEF	104	1	6
A Gomez FWD	98	8	31
L Oliveira DEF	91	3	11
M França MID	76	4	13
D Fuzato GLK	52		1
G. Souza da Silva FWD	37	4	12
J Meneses FWD	3	1	2