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Cruzeiro v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Nov, 19:00 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

It's an away trip for Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Fluminense side on Sunday evening, as they travel to the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin for a Serie A showdown with Sergiy Lavrinenko's Cruzeiro. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Cruzeiro and Fluminense will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookies have it at 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cruzeiro 58%	17/20	17/20
Draw 23%	11/5	23/10
Fluminense 19%	4/1	7/2
Cruzeiro 1-0 12%	5/1	9/2
Draw 1-1 11%	5/1	5/1
Cruzeiro 2-0 11%	13/2	13/2
Cruzeiro 2-1 10%	8/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 6%	13/2	6/1
Cruzeiro 3-0 6%	14/1	12/1
Fluminense 1-0 6%	10/1	8/1
Cruzeiro 3-1 6%	16/1	12/1
Fluminense 2-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	14/1
Cruzeiro 4-0 3%	33/1	22/1
Fluminense 2-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Cruzeiro 3-2 3%	33/1	25/1
Cruzeiro 4-1 3%	40/1	25/1
Fluminense 3-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	5/4	5/4
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	8/13	4/7
Home 1st Goal 56%	8/13	13/20
Away 1st Goal 40%	7/4	9/5
No 1st Goal 4%	13/2	6/1
BTTS - Yes 50%	21/20	11/10
BTTS - No 50%	7/10	4/6
BTTS - Home Win 25%	15/4	17/5
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 9%	10/1	15/2
Home/draw 81%	1/6	1/5
Away/draw 42%	10/11	10/11
Home/away 77%	4/11	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/5	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	2/1	17/10
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	10/3	16/5
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	2/9	1/5
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	8/1	15/2
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/14	1/18
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	18/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/66	1/150
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/12	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	7/1	6/1
Home DNB 74%	3/10	1/3
Away DNB 35%	12/5	21/10
Cruzeiro win to nil 33%	7/4	-
Fluminense win to nil 10%	7/1	-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro 27%	2/1	19/10
Cruzeiro / Fluminense 2%	40/1	33/1
Cruzeiro / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Cruzeiro 18%	7/2	7/2
Draw / Fluminense 9%	17/2	15/2
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	10/3
Fluminense / Cruzeiro 3%	25/1	20/1
Fluminense / Fluminense 11%	7/1	6/1
Fluminense / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Fluminense have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Cruzeiro have not lost in 7 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Fortaleza
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	S. Recife
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Internacional
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Santos
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Ceara
Cruzeiro	4 - 0	Juventude
Cruzeiro	4 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	A Mineiro
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Criciuma
Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	S. Recife
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Flamengo
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Internacional
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Santos
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Botafogo
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Ceara
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Cruzeiro	4 - 0	Juventude
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Fluminense
H	Cruzeiro	4 - 1	Gremio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Fluminense
Mirassol	2 - 1	Fluminense
S. Recife	2 - 2	Fluminense
Vitoria	0 - 1	Fluminense
Santos	0 - 0	Fluminense
Bragantino	4 - 2	Fluminense
Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
Sao Paulo	3 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	0 - 2	Fluminense
Juventude	1 - 1	Fluminense
A Mineiro	3 - 2	Fluminense
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fluminense
Corinthians	0 - 2	Fluminense
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fluminense
Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense
Vitoria	2 - 1	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Flamengo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Cruzeiro

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

CRU

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Fluminense
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Cruzeiro	2 - 1

Fluminense

Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

1 / 5

CRU

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	1 - 0
Fluminense	4 - 1
Fluminense	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Cruzeiro 3rd	Fluminense 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Cruzeiro will score 1 or more goals	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Fluminense scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-2 Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

CRU

FLU

view stats

Games scored	24		24
Failed to score	8		8
Scored first	20		18
Goals scored	46		38
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+8%

29%

better

CRU

FLU

view stats

Games conceded	17		20
Clean sheets	15		12
Conceded first	7		13
Goals conceded	22		37
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	14		6
Conversion rate against	7%		16%
Avg. XG against	1		0.9
KickOff rating		+29%

Cruzeiro v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	17	7	10
C Cássio	K Jorge	M Pereira	Kaiki

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Cássio GLK	30			5 -
L Silva MID	30	2	2	6 -
M Pereira MID	30	6	7	5 -
Kaiki DEF	29	1	4	10 -
L Romero MID	29	1	3	10 -
K Jorge FWD	29	17	7	4 1
F Bruno DEF	28	3		6 1
L Villalba DEF	27	1		10 -
Wanderson FWD	27		2	2 -
Christian MID	26	4	2	8 -
William DEF	25		5	3 1
C Eduardo MID	25	1		1 1
G Barbosa FWD	25	6	2	5 -
Marquinhos FWD	17			1 -
Y Bolasie FWD	14		1	1 -
M Henrique MID	13			2 -
J Alves DEF	12		1	1 1
Walace MID	12			2 -
Fagner DEF	9			1 -
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID	8	1	1	2 -
L Sinisterra FWD	6	1		-
K. de Almeida DEF	5			1 -
L Carvalho GLK	3			1 -
K. Moraes Silva DEF	3			-
J Marcelo DEF	3			-
M Gamarra DEF	2			-
K. Takamura Correa FWD	2			-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	1			-
J. de Oliveira MID	1			-
R. da Silva Pae MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	38	7	13
K Jorge	K Jorge	M Pereira	M Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Jorge FWD	17	38	7	7
M Pereira MID	6	25	7	13
G Barbosa FWD	6	17	2	1
Christian MID	4	13	2	5
F Bruno DEF	3	5		1
L Silva MID	2	4	2	2
Kaiki DEF	1	8	4	5
L Romero MID	1	5	3	2
L Villalba DEF	1	5
C Eduardo MID	1	3
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID	1	9	1	2
L Sinisterra FWD	1	2
Wanderson FWD		11	2	8
William DEF		4	5	9
Marquinhos FWD		2
Y Bolasie FWD		2	1	1
M Henrique MID		2		1
J Alves DEF			1	1
Fagner DEF				1
K. Moraes Silva DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1256	81	187
L Romero	Kaiki	Kaiki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Romero MID	1256	56	130
F Bruno DEF	1249	41	125
L Villalba DEF	1225	26	111
L Silva MID	1216	44	103
M Pereira MID	1096	37	170
William DEF	806	58	104
Kaiki DEF	753	81	187
C Cássio GLK	554	1	10
Christian MID	458	32	101
K Jorge FWD	390	11	109
Wanderson FWD	389	12	65
C Eduardo MID	295	14	46
J Alves DEF	261	14	29
Fagner DEF	255	19	38
M Henrique MID	246	20	38
G Barbosa FWD	208	6	22
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID	129	3	23
Walace MID	105	5	8
K. Moraes Silva DEF	83	3	9
M Gamarra DEF	83	6	10
Marquinhos FWD	80	15	27
K. de Almeida DEF	65	11	15
J Marcelo DEF	61	2	10
L Carvalho GLK	55		2
L Sinisterra FWD	41	2	10
Y Bolasie FWD	41	4	24
R. da Silva Pae MID	14	2	3
K. Takamura Correa FWD	5		3
J. de Oliveira MID	5	1	1
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	4		1

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	6	3	7
F Fábio	G Cano	K Serna	J Freytes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	32			2 -
H Hércules MID	28	3		1 -
Martinelli MID	28	2	2	6 -
J Freytes DEF	27		1	6 1
K Serna FWD	27	5	3	3 -
Lima MID	25	2	1	2 -
A Canobbio FWD	25	2	2	4 -
S Xavier DEF	23	4	1	3 -
Renê DEF	23	2		2 -
Everaldo FWD	22	2		1 -
G Cano FWD	22	6		1 -
T Silva DEF	21	1		1 -
F Cruz MID	18			5 -
Guga DEF	17	1	1	1 -
Keno FWD	16	1	2	1 -
Ignacio DEF	15			2 1
Nonato MID	14	1		3 -
Ganso MID	14			2 -
J Kennedy FWD	13	1	2	1 -
Y Soteldo FWD	12			-
L Acosta MID	11	2	1	4 -
G Fuentes DEF	10			3 -
T Santos DEF	8			2 -
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	6		1	1 -
Manoel DEF	5			-
O Otávio MID	5			-
S Moreno FWD	5			2 -
R Lezcano MID	4			-
I Rabello DEF	3			1 1
J Lavega FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	3	4
G Cano	K Serna	K Serna	K Serna

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Cano FWD	6	13		1
K Serna FWD	5	15	3	4
S Xavier DEF	4	5	1	1
H Hércules MID	3	8
Martinelli MID	2	5	2	3
Lima MID	2	6	1	2
A Canobbio FWD	2	11	2	2
Renê DEF	2	2		1
Everaldo FWD	2	8		3
L Acosta MID	2	6	1	4
T Silva DEF	1	4
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Keno FWD	1	6	2	2
Nonato MID	1	3
J Kennedy FWD	1	7	2	1
J Freytes DEF		4	1	1
F Cruz MID		4		1
Ignacio DEF		3		1
Ganso MID				2
Y Soteldo FWD				2
G Fuentes DEF		2
R. Silva de Almeida FWD		1	1	1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1847	49	123
J Freytes	H Hércules	K Serna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1847	19	95
Martinelli MID	1344	42	110
T Silva DEF	1335	10	59
S Xavier DEF	1074	31	68
Renê DEF	1067	42	107
H Hércules MID	976	49	96
Ignacio DEF	581	21	62
F Fábio GLK	576		7
Guga DEF	568	30	64
A Canobbio FWD	554	45	119
F Cruz MID	532	26	55
K Serna FWD	479	30	123
Lima MID	459	15	62
Ganso MID	443	10	34
G Fuentes DEF	416	20	47
L Acosta MID	383	13	46
G Cano FWD	341	6	43
Nonato MID	316	14	29
Everaldo FWD	195	7	64
Manoel DEF	178		6
O Otávio MID	176	5	16
Keno FWD	131	8	45
Y Soteldo FWD	120	4	27
I Rabello DEF	117	2	7
J Kennedy FWD	109		22
T Santos DEF	108	9	19
S Moreno FWD	74	2	6
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	49	9	17
R Lezcano MID	36	1	5
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6