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Ceará v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 19:00 BST, Estádio Governador Plácido Adera, Fortaleza

Ceará and their manager Leonardo Rodrigues Condé will be hoping for victory against Rogério Mücke Ceni and his Bahia side on Sunday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Estádio Governador Plácido Adera in the Serie A. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head-to-head records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ceara 44%	-	-
Draw 30%	-	-
Bahia 27%	-	-
Ceara 1-0 15%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Draw 0-0 12%	-	-
Bahia 1-0 11%	-	-
Ceara 2-0 9%	-	-
Ceara 2-1 8%	-	-
Bahia 2-1 6%	-	-
Bahia 2-0 5%	-	-
Ceara 3-0 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 3%	-	-
Ceara 3-1 3%	-	-
Bahia 3-1 2%	-	-
Ceara 3-2 1%	-	-
Bahia 3-0 1%	-	-
Ceara 4-0 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 35%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 65%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	-	-
No 1st Goal 9%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 41%	-	-
BTTS - No 59%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	-
Home/draw 73%	-	-
Away/draw 56%	-	-
Home/away 70%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 62%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 38%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 16%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 84%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	-	-
Home DNB 64%	-	-
Away DNB 47%	-	-
Ceara win to nil 29%	-	-
Bahia win to nil 17%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
Ceara	1 - 0	Vitoria
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
Ceara	1 - 0	America
Ceara	2 - 0	Avai
Ceara	2 - 1	Paysandu
Ceara	1 - 0	Ponte Preta
Ceara	1 - 0	Brusque
Ceara	4 - 0	Vila Nova
Ceara	2 - 1	Operario
Ceara	1 - 0	Novorizontin
Ceara	1 - 2	Mirassol

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Gremio
H	Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
A	Ceara	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
A	Ceara	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Internacional
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Ceara	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Santos
H	Ceara	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Ceara	1 - 2	Juventude
H	Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol	5 - 1	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
S. Recife	0 - 0	Bahia
Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	0 - 3	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Bahia
Juventude	2 - 1	Bahia
Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Bahia
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Bahia
Fortaleza	4 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	2 - 1	Bahia
Gremio	0 - 2	Bahia
Fluminense	1 - 0	Bahia
Atletico Go	1 - 1	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bahia	1 - 5	Mirassol
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Santos
A	Bahia	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
A	Bahia	0 - 0	S. Recife
H	Bahia	3 - 0	Juventude
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Bahia	3 - 0	Bragantino
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
A	Bahia	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ceara

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

CEA

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
	1 - 2	Bahia
Ceara	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Bahia

Bahia

Ceara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

CEA

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
Bahia	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Ceara
	1 - 2	Ceara
Bahia	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Ceará of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Bahia.

	Ceara 11th	Bahia 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Ceara will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-17 Ceara have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted	-4 Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

CEA

BAH

15%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		12
Failed to score	6		4
Scored first	8		10
Goals scored	17		20
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		13
Avg. XG for	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+15%

CEA

BAH

19%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		10
Clean sheets	5		6
Conceded first	8		5
Goals conceded	17		13
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		11
Conversion rate against	11%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+19%

Ceara v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	7	5	6
Diego	P Raul	L Mugni	F Sobral

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Diego DEF	21		2	2 -
Galeano FWD	21	4	2	2 -
W Machado DEF	20			3 -
P Raul FWD	20	7		3 -
F Silva DEF	19		1	5 -
F Sobral MID	19			6 -
L Mugni MID	19	1	5	4 -
Marllon DEF	18	2		2 -
L Lourenço MID	18	1	1	-
Bruno GLK	14			2 -
P Henrique FWD	14	1		5 -
Aylon FWD	14	2		1 -
R Ramos DEF	13			2 -
M Bahia DEF	13		1	4 -
Nicolas DEF	10			1 -
M Araújo MID	10	1	1	-
L Lima MID	10			-
F Miguel GLK	8			-
Richardson MID	7			2 -
Fernandinho FWD	7		1	1 -
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	6		1	-
M Victor DEF	3			-
Éder DEF	2			-
Rodriguinho FWD	2			-
P Baya FWD	2			-
Vina MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	25	5	4
P Raul	P Raul	L Mugni	L Mugni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Raul FWD	7	25		3
Galeano FWD	4	9	2	3
Marllon DEF	2	2
Aylon FWD	2	7
L Mugni MID	1	2	5	4
L Lourenço MID	1	5	1	3
P Henrique FWD	1	8		1
M Araújo MID	1	2	1	1
Diego DEF		2	2	3
W Machado DEF		5		1
F Silva DEF		1	1	2
F Sobral MID				1
R Ramos DEF		1
M Bahia DEF		2	1	1
Nicolas DEF		1
Richardson MID				1
Fernandinho FWD		2	1	1
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD		1	1	1
Éder DEF		1
P Baya FWD		1		1
Vina MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
729	40	135
W Machado	Diego	Diego

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Machado DEF	729	26	91
Diego DEF	690	40	135
Marllon DEF	578	19	57
F Silva DEF	558	26	78
F Sobral MID	482	31	62
Galeano FWD	454	23	94
L Mugni MID	403	30	74
M Bahia DEF	386	25	51
Bruno GLK	359		8
P Raul FWD	314	10	100
L Lourenço MID	304	15	39
Nicolas DEF	205	12	22
F Miguel GLK	202	1	8
R Ramos DEF	191	21	33
P Henrique FWD	162	21	46
Richardson MID	154	11	19
Aylon FWD	137	14	52
M Victor DEF	120	4	11
Éder DEF	94		7
M Araújo MID	79	3	14
L Lima MID	67	6	13
Fernandinho FWD	60	6	22
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	23	5	15
P Baya FWD	16		2
Vina MID	14		1
Rodriguinho FWD	4

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	3	5
L Juba	L Juba	L Juba	S Suay

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Juba DEF	20	5	3	2 -
S Mingo DEF	19			4 -
S Suay MID	18	2	2	4 1
J Lucas MID	18	2	1	2 1
L Rodriguez FWD	18	2		1 -
D Duarte DEF	17			2 -
Cauly MID	17	1	3	1 -
C Alexandre MID	16		1	4 -
W José FWD	16	3	3	2 -
Ademir FWD	16		1	3 -
E Pulga FWD	16	2	3	1 -
Gilberto DEF	15	1		3 -
N Acevedo MID	15			2 -
Kayky FWD	15	1	1	1 -
M Araújo FWD	11	4		1 -
Ronaldo GLK	10			-
S Arias DEF	9			2 -
R Nestor MID	9	2		1 -
Erick MID	8	1		3 -
Iago DEF	6			-
G Xavier DEF	4			1 -
Rezende MID	3			-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	3		1	-
Kanu DEF	2			-
M Sanabria FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	7
L Juba	L Rodriguez	L Juba	E Pulga

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Juba DEF	5	9	3	5
M Araújo FWD	4	4		1
W José FWD	3	10	3	3
S Suay MID	2	6	2	6
J Lucas MID	2	6	1	5
L Rodriguez FWD	2	11		1
E Pulga FWD	2	7	3	7
R Nestor MID	2	3		1
Cauly MID	1	4	3	2
Gilberto DEF	1	2		1
Kayky FWD	1	5	1	1
Erick MID	1	1
S Mingo DEF				2
D Duarte DEF		2
C Alexandre MID		1	1	1
Ademir FWD		6	1	6
N Acevedo MID		3		1
S Arias DEF		2
Iago DEF		1
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1071	35	92
S Mingo	L Juba	E Pulga

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Mingo DEF	1071	18	78
L Juba DEF	934	35	67
C Alexandre MID	931	25	64
D Duarte DEF	925	14	69
S Suay MID	702	26	74
Gilberto DEF	680	32	66
J Lucas MID	558	30	84
N Acevedo MID	382	20	38
E Pulga FWD	316	26	92
Cauly MID	314	3	20
S Arias DEF	293	10	18
Ademir FWD	285	25	82
Ronaldo GLK	285		8
W José FWD	212	3	29
Kayky FWD	201	13	36
R Nestor MID	173	9	15
L Rodriguez FWD	146	8	33
Erick MID	143	10	22
G Xavier DEF	126	2	8
M Araújo FWD	121	9	25
Rezende MID	94	4	13
Iago DEF	90	6	10
Kanu DEF	61	1	2
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	17	5	13
M Sanabria FWD	5		2