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Vitória v Fluminense : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Nov, 23:00 BST, Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Vitória and Fluminense take on one another at the Estádio Manoel Barradas on Friday night, with both Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura and Marco Aurelio De Oliveira seeking a win in the Serie A. We've got bespoke stats for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Vitoria and Fluminense will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura or Marco Aurelio De Oliveira has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.33 equating to about a 74% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Vitoria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Vitoria 43%	21/10	-
Draw 26%	9/4	-
Fluminense 31%	5/4	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	-
Vitoria 1-0 10%	8/1	-
Vitoria 2-1 9%	10/1	-
Fluminense 1-0 9%	13/2	-
Vitoria 2-0 7%	14/1	-
Fluminense 2-1 7%	17/2	-
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
Fluminense 2-0 5%	10/1	-
Vitoria 3-1 4%	25/1	-
Vitoria 3-0 4%	33/1	-
Fluminense 3-1 3%	18/1	-
Vitoria 3-2 3%	33/1	-
Fluminense 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Fluminense 3-0 2%	20/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	21/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	3/4	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	11/10	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	5/6	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 47%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	11/2	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	4/1	-
Home/draw 69%	4/7	-
Away/draw 57%	4/11	-
Home/away 74%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/3	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	12/5	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	11/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	2/7	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	6/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1	-
Home DNB 61%	11/10	-
Away DNB 50%	4/6	-
Vitoria win to nil 23%	4/1	-
Fluminense win to nil 17%	11/4	-
Vitoria / Vitoria 17%	4/1	-
Vitoria / Fluminense 3%	25/1	-
Vitoria / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Vitoria 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Fluminense 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	-
Fluminense / Vitoria 3%	28/1	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 22%	11/4	-
Fluminense / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vitoria	1 - 1	Athletico PR
Vitoria	4 - 0	Chapecoense
Vitoria	1 - 3	Cruzeiro
Vitoria	1 - 0	Gremio
Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
Vitoria	1 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba
Vitoria	0 - 0	Corinthians
Vitoria	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	2 - 0	A Mineiro
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Remo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol
Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
Vitoria	1 - 0	Internacional

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Vitoria	1 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Vitoria	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Vitoria	1 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Vitoria	4 - 0	Chapecoense
H	Vitoria	1 - 3	Cruzeiro
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Mirassol
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Vitoria	1 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Flamengo
H	Vitoria	0 - 4	Palmeiras
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Remo
A	Vitoria	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Vitoria	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Vitoria	1 - 3	Santos
H	Vitoria	2 - 0	Internacional
A	Vitoria	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vitoria	2 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vitoria	4 - 1	Cortiba

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chapecoense	2 - 1	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Corinthians	1 - 3	Fluminense
A Mineiro	3 - 1	Fluminense
Athletico PR	3 - 3	Fluminense
Botafogo	1 - 1	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Fluminense
Mirassol	1 - 0	Fluminense
Internacional	2 - 0	Fluminense
Santos	2 - 3	Fluminense
Cortiba	1 - 1	Fluminense
Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Fluminense
Remo	0 - 2	Fluminense
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
Bahia	1 - 1	Fluminense
Gremio	1 - 2	Fluminense
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
Ceara	2 - 0	Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Chapecoense
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Santos
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Fluminense	4 - 0	Cortiba
A	Fluminense	3 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Athletico PR
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Remo
H	Fluminense	3 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Botafogo
H	Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Fluminense	1 - 1	Bragantino
A	Fluminense	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminense	0 - 1	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	2 - 2	Vitoria
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Internacional
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Chapecoense

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Vitoria

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

VIT

FLU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vitoria
	0 - 1	Fluminense
Vitoria	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Fluminense

Fluminense

Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

VIT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Vitoria
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Vitoria 14th	Fluminense 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Vitoria will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Vitoria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-4 Fluminense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

VIT

FLU

23%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		28
Failed to score	9		4
Scored first	15		16
Goals scored	35		50
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.6
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		14
Avg. XG for	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+23%

better

VIT

FLU

view stats

Games conceded	21		26
Clean sheets	11		6
Conceded first	15		15
Goals conceded	46		41
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.3
KickOff rating		+8%

Vitoria v Fluminense Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	10	6	8
L Arcanjo	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Erick FWD	30	5	6	2 -
Matheuzinho MID	29	5	4	5 -
L Arcanjo GLK	28		1	1 -
Caique MID	27			5 -
E Martínez MID	26	1		8 -
D. Tarzia FWD	26	2	2	4 -
L Cândido DEF	24		2	3 1
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	24	10	1	3 -
Cacá DEF	23	1		6 1
R Kayzer FWD	23	5	1	4 -
J. Silva Neves MID	21	1		4 -
Jamerson DEF	20			1 -
Ramon DEF	20	2		5 -
G Baralhas MID	18	2	3	4 -
Marinho FWD	15			2 1
N Mendes DEF	13		1	3 -
T Pochettino MID	13			-
F Fabrício FWD	13		1	-
Matheusinho DEF	12		3	1 -
E. Santos Nascimento Filho DEF	11			3 1
E Brítez DEF	11		1	2 -
Walace MID	9			-
L Silva FWD	9			1 -
Camutanga DEF	8			-
A. Santos FWD	5			1 -
Alex Bruno FWD	4			-
F Silva DEF	3			1 -
Dudu MID	3	1		-
Z Marcos DEF	2			1 -
Riccieli DEF	2			-
I Laquintana FWD	2			-
Osvaldo FWD	2			-
Edu DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	28	6	13
C. de Sousa Ferreira	C. de Sousa Ferreira	Erick	Erick

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	10	28	1	2
Erick FWD	5	13	6	13
Matheuzinho MID	5	18	4	4
R Kayzer FWD	5	11	1	2
D. Tarzia FWD	2	12	2	2
Ramon DEF	2	5
G Baralhas MID	2	5	3	5
E Martínez MID	1	3
Cacá DEF	1	2		1
J. Silva Neves MID	1	6		1
Dudu MID	1	1
L Arcanjo GLK			1	1
Caique MID		1
L Cândido DEF		7	2	1
Jamerson DEF		4
Marinho FWD		2
N Mendes DEF			1	1
T Pochettino MID		3		1
F Fabrício FWD		3	1	1
Matheusinho DEF		3	3	4
E Brítez DEF		1	1	1
Walace MID		1		1
L Silva FWD		2
Camutanga DEF		1		1
A. Santos FWD		1
Alex Bruno FWD		1
Z Marcos DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1025	54	186
Caique	Caique	J. Silva Neves

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Caique MID	1025	54	113
E Martínez MID	964	41	98
L Arcanjo GLK	813		8
L Cândido DEF	810	28	86
Cacá DEF	802	18	59
Erick FWD	793	18	107
J. Silva Neves MID	706	54	186
Ramon DEF	647	35	72
Matheuzinho MID	613	16	102
Jamerson DEF	572	40	108
G Baralhas MID	538	28	64
N Mendes DEF	388	26	54
E Brítez DEF	297	13	32
D. Tarzia FWD	276	23	78
Matheusinho DEF	276	23	57
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD	212	11	89
Walace MID	190	6	10
Camutanga DEF	179	11	32
E. Santos Nascimento Filho DEF	156	14	23
R Kayzer FWD	126	4	36
Marinho FWD	106	16	43
T Pochettino MID	101	17	24
Dudu MID	75	4	18
F Silva DEF	73	2	9
Z Marcos DEF	67	3	5
L Silva FWD	51	4	17
Edu DEF	35	1	3
Riccieli DEF	32	1	4
F Fabrício FWD	31	10	27
Alex Bruno FWD	23		6
A. Santos FWD	20	5	8
I Laquintana FWD	10	1	1
Osvaldo FWD	9	1	1

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	9	5	8
F Fábio	J Kennedy	L Acosta	A Canobbio

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	32			1 -
K Serna FWD	31	4	4	1 -
L Acosta MID	27	5	5	7 -
H Hércules MID	27	3		3 -
J Savarino MID	23	6	2	3 -
Ganso MID	23		1	2 -
A Canobbio FWD	23	5	3	7 1
Renê DEF	22		2	1 -
Martinelli MID	22		3	5 -
Y Soteldo FWD	21		2	1 -
G Arana DEF	19	1	1	4 -
J Freytes DEF	19			5 -
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	19		1	3 -
S Xavier DEF	19			5 -
R Castillo FWD	19	5	1	2 -
Guga DEF	18	1	2	3 -
Nonato MID	18	1	1	6 -
J Kennedy FWD	18	9	1	1
Ignacio DEF	17	3	1	5 -
Hulk FWD	13	6	3	1 -
J Millán DEF	10			1 -
G Cano FWD	10	1		-
Alisson MID	8		1	3 -
O Otávio MID	8			2 -
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	7		1	1 -
I Rabello DEF	5		1	-
T Silva DEF	5		1	1 -
W. de Freitas Prado FWD	5		1	-
J. Lima Fidelis DEF	4			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	26	5	10
J Kennedy	J Kennedy	L Acosta	L Acosta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Kennedy FWD	9	26	1	3
J Savarino MID	6	20	2	5
Hulk FWD	6	17	3	4
L Acosta MID	5	13	5	10
A Canobbio FWD	5	16	3	5
R Castillo FWD	5	10	1
K Serna FWD	4	17	4	5
H Hércules MID	3	12		1
Ignacio DEF	3	5	1	1
G Arana DEF	1	6	1	1
Guga DEF	1	1	2	4
Nonato MID	1	2	1	2
G Cano FWD	1	4		1
Ganso MID		5	1	1
Renê DEF		4	2	1
Martinelli MID		7	3	4
Y Soteldo FWD		5	2	4
J Freytes DEF		2		1
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF			1
S Xavier DEF		2		3
J Millán DEF		1		1
Alisson MID		1	1
O Otávio MID		1
R. Silva de Almeida FWD			1	2
I Rabello DEF		1	1	1
T Silva DEF			1
W. de Freitas Prado FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1416	45	113
Martinelli	Renê	A Canobbio

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Martinelli MID	1416	27	71
J Freytes DEF	1281	18	60
Renê DEF	1130	45	106
H Hércules MID	996	43	70
Ignacio DEF	890	26	76
L Acosta MID	888	20	79
S Xavier DEF	875	28	75
G Arana DEF	841	20	42
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	833	21	72
Guga DEF	824	22	55
Nonato MID	782	33	69
Ganso MID	764	14	38
J Savarino MID	701	11	49
A Canobbio FWD	649	37	113
F Fábio GLK	610	1	13
K Serna FWD	552	25	111
J Millán DEF	540	12	26
Y Soteldo FWD	441	6	52
T Silva DEF	378	2	15
O Otávio MID	279	4	11
R Castillo FWD	271	8	64
I Rabello DEF	237	10	22
Hulk FWD	227	9	59
J Kennedy FWD	222	11	57
Alisson MID	199	4	13
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	88	4	16
J. Lima Fidelis DEF	85	8	18
W. de Freitas Prado FWD	38	3	10
G Cano FWD	27		1