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Cruzeiro v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Nov, 00:30 BST, Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin, Belo Horizonte

Home advantage can be vital in the Serie A, and Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim’s Cruzeiro will have the joy of it on Friday morning. Rogério Mücke Ceni’s Bahia are their opponents at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pin. Stats power the predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Cruzeiro and Bahia's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cruzeiro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.79.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cruzeiro 48%	79/100	-
Draw 24%	13/5	-
Bahia 28%	3/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Cruzeiro 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Cruzeiro 1-0 9%	8/1	-
Cruzeiro 2-0 8%	9/1	-
Bahia 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Bahia 1-0 7%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	14/1	-
Cruzeiro 3-1 5%	12/1	-
Cruzeiro 3-0 4%	16/1	-
Bahia 2-0 4%	22/1	-
Cruzeiro 3-2 3%	20/1	-
Bahia 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Bahia 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Cruzeiro 4-1 2%	25/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	4/6	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	23/20	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/13	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	11/8	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	8/13	-
BTTS - No 43%	6/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	12/5	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	6/1	-
Home/draw 72%	2/9	-
Away/draw 52%	10/11	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	7/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	13/8	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1/2	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	7/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/5	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	14/1	-
Home DNB 65%	4/11	-
Away DNB 44%	2/1	-
Cruzeiro win to nil 24%	5/2	-
Bahia win to nil 13%	7/1	-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro 29%	15/8	-
Cruzeiro / Bahia 3%	28/1	-
Cruzeiro / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Cruzeiro 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Bahia 9%	8/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Bahia / Cruzeiro 4%	20/1	-
Bahia / Bahia 13%	11/2	-
Bahia / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Remo
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Athletico PR
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Mirassol
Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Botafogo
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Chapecoense
Cruzeiro	1 - 3	A Mineiro
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Vitoria
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Santos
Cruzeiro	3 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Corinthians
Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Cortiba
Cruzeiro	2 - 2	Botafogo
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Corinthians
Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Fluminense
Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Remo
A	Cruzeiro	4 - 2	Gremio
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Vitoria
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Santos
H	Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Cruzeiro	3 - 1	Mirassol
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Cortiba
H	Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Botafogo
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Internacional
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Fluminense
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 3	A Mineiro
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Remo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santos	1 - 1	Bahia
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Bahia
Athletico PR	2 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	2 - 3	Bahia
Vitoria	0 - 2	Bahia
Chapecoense	3 - 3	Bahia
Fluminense	0 - 0	Bahia
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Bahia
Cortiba	3 - 2	Bahia
Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Bahia
Flamengo	2 - 0	Bahia
Mirassol	1 - 2	Bahia
Remo	4 - 1	Bahia
Internacional	0 - 1	Bahia
Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Bahia
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
Fluminense	2 - 0	Bahia
Juventude	1 - 1	Bahia
Internacional	2 - 2	Bahia
A Mineiro	3 - 0	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Santos
H	Bahia	0 - 3	Flamengo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Bahia	1 - 2	Athletico PR
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Remo
A	Bahia	3 - 2	Bragantino
H	Bahia	3 - 2	Internacional
A	Bahia	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Bahia	3 - 3	Chapecoense
H	Bahia	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
A	Bahia	0 - 0	Fluminense
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Bahia	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Chapecoense
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Botafogo
A	Bahia	2 - 3	Cortiba
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Sao Paulo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Cruzeiro have beaten Bahia in 3 consecutive league meetings

Cruzeiro

Bahia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

0 / 6

CRU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Cruzeiro	3 - 0
Cruzeiro	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Bahia

Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

2 / 7

CRU

BAH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Bahia	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Bahia	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Cruzeiro have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Bahia on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Cruzeiro 3rd	Bahia 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Cruzeiro will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Bahia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+3 Cruzeiro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+6 Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

12%

better

CRU

BAH

view stats

Games scored	28		27
Failed to score	4		5
Scored first	16		13
Goals scored	51		45
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.4
Avg. shots per game	12		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+12%

CRU

BAH

better

view stats

Games conceded	25		23
Clean sheets	7		9
Conceded first	15		17
Goals conceded	46		40
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.4
KickOff rating		+9%

Cruzeiro v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	11	7	11
M Pereira	K Jorge	M Pereira	M Pereira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Henrique MID	29	1	1	3 -
M Pereira MID	29	9	7	11 -
Gerson MID	28		4	5 -
F Bruno DEF	27	1		8 -
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	27	4	4	6 1
K Jorge FWD	25	11	2	2 -
L Romero MID	22	2	3	3 -
Fagner DEF	21		4	3 -
J Alves DEF	21			4 -
O Otávio GLK	19			2 -
B Rodrigues FWD	18	1	2	-
Wanderson FWD	18	2		-
William DEF	17		1	3 1
L Villalba DEF	17	1	2	2 -
L Silva MID	17			5 -
J Marcelo DEF	16	2		3 -
N. Villareal FWD	14	3	1	-
J. Gomes da Silva MID	11	2		-
K. Takamura Correa FWD	11	1		3 -
K. Moraes Silva DEF	10	2	1	2 -
G Rojas DEF	10			2 -
Wesley FWD	9	1		2 -
L Sinisterra FWD	8	1		-
F. de Morais Barbosa Penna dos Santos MID	6	1		3 -
J. e Costa Cesco FWD	6			-
L Rodriguez FWD	6		2	1 -
C Cássio GLK	5			-
M Viña DEF	2			-
Marquinhos FWD	2			-
G Pec FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	26	7	10
K Jorge	M Pereira	M Pereira	M Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Jorge FWD	11	24	2	4
M Pereira MID	9	26	7	10
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	4	20	4	6
N. Villareal FWD	3	8	1	1
L Romero MID	2	7	3
Wanderson FWD	2	5		1
J Marcelo DEF	2	2
J. Gomes da Silva MID	2	4		1
K. Moraes Silva DEF	2	4	1	1
M Henrique MID	1	3	1
F Bruno DEF	1	5		2
B Rodrigues FWD	1	4	2	2
L Villalba DEF	1	4	2	1
K. Takamura Correa FWD	1	4		1
Wesley FWD	1	2
L Sinisterra FWD	1	3		1
F. de Morais Barbosa Penna dos Santos MID	1	7
Gerson MID		8	4	5
Fagner DEF		2	4	3
J Alves DEF		1
William DEF		2	1	4
L Silva MID				1
G Rojas DEF		1		4
J. e Costa Cesco FWD		4
L Rodriguez FWD		1	2	1
Marquinhos FWD				1
G Pec FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1482	37	150
F Bruno	Gerson	M Pereira

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Bruno DEF	1482	22	93
Gerson MID	1433	37	136
M Pereira MID	1275	22	150
L Romero MID	1145	35	77
J Alves DEF	1055	36	88
M Henrique MID	847	26	61
J Marcelo DEF	821	16	61
L Villalba DEF	737	13	42
William DEF	562	29	59
Fagner DEF	546	26	58
K. Arroyo Alvarado FWD	542	20	90
O Otávio GLK	432	1	5
K Jorge FWD	405	6	65
L Silva MID	360	11	21
G Rojas DEF	283	17	33
J. Gomes da Silva MID	267	13	31
B Rodrigues FWD	197	8	40
K. Moraes Silva DEF	171	19	37
Wanderson FWD	136	11	21
Wesley FWD	124	3	30
K. Takamura Correa FWD	103	7	17
L Sinisterra FWD	92	2	12
C Cássio GLK	86		3
F. de Morais Barbosa Penna dos Santos MID	78	8	25
N. Villareal FWD	69	8	31
J. e Costa Cesco FWD	66	6	14
M Viña DEF	36	3	7
Marquinhos FWD	27	1	6
L Rodriguez FWD	19	2	6
G Pec FWD	6	1	4

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	11	4	10
E Pulga	L Juba	R Nestor	N Acevedo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Pulga FWD	31	3	2	5 -
N Acevedo MID	29	1	1	10 -
Ademir FWD	29	1	1	2 -
L Juba DEF	28	11	1	4 -
J Lucas MID	27	4	3	6 -
D Duarte DEF	25	3	1	4 -
R Nestor MID	25	1	4	4 -
Erick MID	24	4		6 -
C Olivera FWD	24	1	2	4 -
W José FWD	24	3	1	1 -
Ronaldo GLK	23			2 -
S Suay MID	21		4	1 -
C Alexandre MID	20			1 -
M Araújo FWD	19		1	2 1
Everaldo FWD	18	4		2 -
R. Gómez DEF	16	1		3 -
M Sanabria FWD	16	2	1	2 -
A Véliz FWD	13	3	1	-
M Victor DEF	10			-
L Vieira GLK	9			-
J Costa DEF	7			3 -
Kanu DEF	7			3 -
K. Furquim FWD	7			1 -
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	4			-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD	4			1
M Moreno DEF	3			1 -
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	19	4	9
L Juba	C Olivera	R Nestor	R Nestor

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Juba DEF	11	18	1	4
J Lucas MID	4	7	3	3
Erick MID	4	9		1
Everaldo FWD	4	8
E Pulga FWD	3	16	2	2
D Duarte DEF	3	8	1	2
W José FWD	3	8	1	3
A Véliz FWD	3	7	1	2
M Sanabria FWD	2	4	1	1
N Acevedo MID	1	9	1	1
Ademir FWD	1	10	1	3
R Nestor MID	1	9	4	9
C Olivera FWD	1	19	2	7
R. Gómez DEF	1	1		1
S Suay MID		4	4	1
C Alexandre MID				1
M Araújo FWD		2	1	2
M Victor DEF		1		1
J Costa DEF		1		1
Kanu DEF		1
K. Furquim FWD		1		1
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1744	69	162
N Acevedo	N Acevedo	N Acevedo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Acevedo MID	1744	69	162
D Duarte DEF	1435	26	123
L Juba DEF	1201	37	84
Ronaldo GLK	703	2	9
R Nestor MID	697	34	71
S Suay MID	662	25	72
J Lucas MID	652	36	82
C Alexandre MID	622	14	33
R. Gómez DEF	611	29	87
Erick MID	526	38	91
E Pulga FWD	523	28	139
C Olivera FWD	510	26	102
Kanu DEF	413	6	15
Ademir FWD	288	21	82
M Victor DEF	278	13	26
W José FWD	250	5	40
L Vieira GLK	223		3
M Araújo FWD	192	18	40
J Costa DEF	163	13	32
A Véliz FWD	159	7	74
M Moreno DEF	121	2	7
M Sanabria FWD	85	5	28
Everaldo FWD	83	11	44
K. Furquim FWD	69	5	19
D. Martins Almeida de Lira MID	23	2	2
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD	13	2	12
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD	12	1	2