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Flamengo v Gremio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Nov, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Wednesday night sees José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim’s Flamengo and Renato Portaluppi’s Gremio go head to head in a Serie A clash at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Below you'll find unique stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Flamengo to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Flamengo. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Gremio too. The odds point towards José Leonardo Nunes Alves Sousa Jardim's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Wednesday night too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Flamengo 69%	3/20 6%	-
Draw 20%	5/1 4%	-
Gremio 11%	14/1 58%	-
Flamengo 1-0 14%	7/1 6%	-
Flamengo 2-0 14%	11/2	-
Draw 1-1 9%	11/1 9%	-
Flamengo 3-0 9%	6/1 13%	-
Flamengo 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	-
Draw 0-0 7%	16/1	-
Flamengo 3-1 6%	10/1	-
Gremio 1-0 5%	33/1 31%	-
Flamengo 4-0 5%	9/1 17%	-
Gremio 2-1 3%	40/1 41%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	25/1 13%	-
Flamengo 4-1 3%	16/1	-
Flamengo 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	-
Flamengo 5-0 2%	18/1 10%	-
Gremio 2-0 2%	66/1 31%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	1/2	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	6/4	-
Home 1st Goal 61%	1/4 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 34%	3/1 11%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	16/1	-
BTTS - Yes 41%	11/10 8%	-
BTTS - No 59%	4/6 7%	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	15/8	-
BTTS - Draw 13%	7/1 7%	-
BTTS - Away Win 5%	22/1 35%	-
Home/draw 89%	1/33 4%	-
Away/draw 31%	7/2 20%	-
Home/away 80%	1/8 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1/6	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	4/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	13/10	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	8/13	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	3/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/4	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	6/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/10	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/40	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	16/1	-
Home DNB 83%	1/25 3%	-
Away DNB 25%	12/1 44%	-
Flamengo win to nil 45%	5/6 9%	-
Gremio win to nil 7%	22/1 35%	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 50%	8/13 6%	-
Flamengo / Gremio 1%	66/1 31%	-
Flamengo / Draw 4%	20/1 11%	-
Draw / Flamengo 22%	11/4 6%	-
Draw / Gremio 3%	25/1 24%	-
Draw / Draw 9%	17/2 6%	-
Gremio / Flamengo 4%	18/1	-
Gremio / Gremio 4%	22/1 21%	-
Gremio / Draw 3%	25/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino
Flamengo	2 - 1	Corinthians
Flamengo	2 - 0	Mirassol
Flamengo	3 - 0	Botafogo
Flamengo	2 - 0	Vitoria
Flamengo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	3 - 0	Cortiba
Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
Flamengo	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	2 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	3 - 1	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 0	Remo
Flamengo	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
Flamengo	1 - 0	Ceara
Flamengo	3 - 0	Bragantino
Flamengo	3 - 2	Santos
Flamengo	3 - 0	S. Recife
Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	Bahia
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
A	Flamengo	2 - 2	Santos
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Flamengo	1 - 0	Remo
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Mirassol
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Botafogo
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	5 - 1	Mirassol
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Flamengo	4 - 0	Chapecoense
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	Cortiba
H	Flamengo	0 - 3	Palmeiras
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Athletico PR
A	Flamengo	1 - 0	Gremio
H	Flamengo	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Flamengo	4 - 0	A Mineiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo	1 - 1	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Vitoria	1 - 0	Gremio
Bragantino	1 - 0	Gremio
A Mineiro	3 - 0	Gremio
Mirassol	2 - 1	Gremio
Bahia	1 - 1	Gremio
Athletico PR	0 - 0	Gremio
Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Gremio
Internacional	0 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Gremio
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
Chapecoense	1 - 1	Gremio
Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	2 - 1	Gremio
S. Recife	0 - 4	Gremio
Botafogo	3 - 2	Gremio
Fortaleza	2 - 2	Gremio
Corinthians	2 - 0	Gremio
Bahia	4 - 0	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gremio	2 - 4	Cruzeiro
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Internacional
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Remo
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Gremio	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Vitoria
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Chapecoense
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Gremio	0 - 3	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Fluminense
A	Gremio	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Gremio	1 - 3	Corinthians
H	Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Flamengo
A	Gremio	0 - 0	Athletico PR
H	Gremio	1 - 0	Cortiba
A	Gremio	0 - 2	Cruzeiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Flamengo

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

FLA

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Flamengo	2 - 1
Flamengo	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Gremio
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Flamengo	3 - 1
Flamengo	2 - 0

Gremio

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

3 / 8

FLA

GRE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
	0 - 1	Flamengo
	0 - 2	Flamengo
Gremio	3 - 2
Gremio	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 4	Flamengo
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Gremio	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Flamengo in their meeting with Gremio, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 44 consecutive Serie A games.

	Flamengo 2nd	Gremio 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	0.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals	0 52% 1 34% 2 3 4+ There is a 52% probability that Gremio will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Flamengo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-16 Gremio have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season

42%

better

FLA

GRE

view stats

Games scored	29		21
Failed to score	2		10
Scored first	25		9
Goals scored	61		34
Avg. goals scored	2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		13
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+42%

38%

better

FLA

GRE

view stats

Games conceded	17		25
Clean sheets	14		6
Conceded first	6		18
Goals conceded	25		44
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		9
Conversion rate against	9%		11%
Avg. XG against	1		1.7
KickOff rating		+38%

Flamengo v Gremio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	16	8	9
A Rossi	Pedro	S Lino	E Farfán

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	31			-
Pedro FWD	31	16	6	2 -
S Lino FWD	30	9	8	3 -
L Pereira DEF	26	2	1	7 -
L Ortiz DEF	26	1	1	-
J Carrascal MID	25	6	8	2 2
Jorginho MID	24	3	3	4 2
B Henrique FWD	24	2	3	5 -
G Varela DEF	23	1	4	4 -
L Paquetá MID	22	7	1	4 -
G Arrascaeta MID	21	3	4	2 -
E Farfán MID	21	2		8 1
A Sandro DEF	20			5 -
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	20		1	4 1
G Plata FWD	19	3	3	2 -
Ayrton DEF	18		2	-
L Araújo FWD	16	2	1	1 -
E Royal DEF	15		1	1 -
N Cruz MID	14			2 -
Danilo DEF	11	1		1 1
S Ñíguez MID	11		1	1 -
V Vitão DEF	10			2 -
J. Freitas FWD	5		1	1 -
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	1			-
A Valencia FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	39	8	16
Pedro	Pedro	S Lino	S Lino

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Pedro FWD	16	39	6	12
S Lino FWD	9	26	8	16
L Paquetá MID	7	18	1	2
J Carrascal MID	6	21	8	12
Jorginho MID	3	3	3	6
G Arrascaeta MID	3	13	4	6
G Plata FWD	3	17	3	5
L Pereira DEF	2	6	1
B Henrique FWD	2	6	3	5
E Farfán MID	2	4		1
L Araújo FWD	2	4	1	2
L Ortiz DEF	1	3	1	1
G Varela DEF	1	2	4	5
Danilo DEF	1	1
A Sandro DEF				2
E. Fernandes Araújo MID			1	1
Ayrton DEF		5	2	4
E Royal DEF		2	1	3
S Ñíguez MID			1	1
J. Freitas FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1882	49	132
L Pereira	S Lino	S Lino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	1882	27	79
Jorginho MID	1688	28	68
L Ortiz DEF	1636	18	69
E Farfán MID	1187	37	78
S Lino FWD	995	49	132
L Paquetá MID	976	39	118
G Varela DEF	945	17	74
A Sandro DEF	802	31	76
A Rossi GLK	791		6
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	780	14	27
G Arrascaeta MID	753	24	59
J Carrascal MID	665	27	93
Ayrton DEF	607	19	48
E Royal DEF	565	23	62
Pedro FWD	524	22	88
Danilo DEF	475	8	15
V Vitão DEF	432	1	15
G Plata FWD	429	30	81
L Araújo FWD	267	24	45
B Henrique FWD	211	10	58
S Ñíguez MID	174	8	11
N Cruz MID	173	10	26
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	63
J. Freitas FWD	22	2	12
A Valencia FWD	4

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	11	4	7
Weverton	C Vinícius	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Vinícius FWD	30	11	1	5 -
Weverton GLK	29		1	2 -
C Pavón FWD	28	3	4	7 -
J Enamorado FWD	26		3	4 -
F Amuzu FWD	26	1	3	1 -
Tetê FWD	25	2	1	1 -
E Mola MID	22	1	1	6 -
M Braithwaite FWD	22			-
G Martins DEF	21	3	2	6 -
J Nardoni MID	18	1	1	2 -
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	16		1	7 -
C Paulista DEF	13			1 -
Marlon DEF	12	1	1	3 -
M Villasanti MID	12	1		2 -
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	10	2	1	3 -
Wagner DEF	10			2 1
D Santos DEF	9	1		2 -
Dodi MID	9			3 -
F Balbuena DEF	8			-
J Pedro DEF	8			2 -
W Kannemann DEF	8	1		5 1
F Krovinovic MID	8			-
D Barbosa MID	7			-
M Rocha DEF	6			-
J Cabral FWD	6	1	1	-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	3			1 1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	2			-
M Nascimento FWD	2			-
Roger FWD	2			-
G. Menegon GLK	1			-
T. Stallbaum GLK	1			1
G Grando GLK	1			-
T. Gonçalves MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	26	4	7
C Vinícius	C Vinícius	C Pavón	F Amuzu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Vinícius FWD	11	26	1	1
C Pavón FWD	3	12	4	5
G Martins DEF	3	7	2	1
Tetê FWD	2	13	1	2
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	2	2	1	1
F Amuzu FWD	1	10	3	7
E Mola MID	1	4	1
J Nardoni MID	1	3	1
Marlon DEF	1	4	1	3
M Villasanti MID	1	3		1
D Santos DEF	1	5
W Kannemann DEF	1	1
J Cabral FWD	1	2	1
Weverton GLK			1
J Enamorado FWD		5	3	3
M Braithwaite FWD		2		1
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF		3	1	2
C Paulista DEF				1
F Krovinovic MID		2
D Barbosa MID		1		1
L. Guedes de Souza DEF		1
M Nascimento FWD		1
Roger FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1002	44	125
C Pavón	C Pavón	C Pavón

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Pavón FWD	1002	44	125
G Martins DEF	936	26	99
E Mola MID	934	31	81
Weverton GLK	838	1	17
M Villasanti MID	571	20	47
W. Gomes da Silva Santos DEF	553	14	51
Tetê FWD	535	14	76
Marlon DEF	507	36	61
F Amuzu FWD	482	8	70
Wagner DEF	456	11	24
F Balbuena DEF	384	8	22
J Nardoni MID	377	18	56
D Santos DEF	371	12	46
W Kannemann DEF	362	10	34
C Paulista DEF	359	15	37
F Krovinovic MID	357	9	19
P. Crisostomo Pinheiro DEF	355	26	45
J Enamorado FWD	253	27	88
C Vinícius FWD	234	3	77
D Barbosa MID	174	3	19
J Pedro DEF	162	5	19
M Braithwaite FWD	136	8	34
Dodi MID	107	4	10
J Cabral FWD	95	2	11
M Rocha DEF	94	2	5
L. Guedes de Souza DEF	87	4	6
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	44	2	7
G Grando GLK	27
T. Gonçalves MID	26
T. Stallbaum GLK	17		1
M Nascimento FWD	10		3
Roger FWD	9	1	1
G. Menegon GLK	3