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Sao Paulo v Corinthians : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 5th Nov, 00:30 BST, Estádio Nicolau Alayon, Sao Paulo

Thursday morning at the Estádio Nicolau Alayon, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Sao Paulo and Corinthians. Dorival Silvestre Júnior and William Batista de Almeida will be doing all they can to guide their side to victory. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Sao Paulo or Corinthians are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sao Paulo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
48%
1/1-
Draw
25%
21/10-
Corinthians
27%
27/10-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Sao Paulo 1-0
11%
5/1-
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
17/2-
Sao Paulo 2-0
8%
15/2-
Corinthians 1-0
8%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
6/1-
Corinthians 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1-
Sao Paulo 3-1
5%
20/1-
Sao Paulo 3-0
4%
18/1-
Corinthians 2-0
4%
16/1-
Sao Paulo 3-2
3%
40/1-
Corinthians 3-1
2%
33/1-
Corinthians 3-2
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
4%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
11/10-
BTTS - No
47%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
8/1-
Home/draw
73%
2/7-
Away/draw
52%
8/11-
Home/away
75%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
6/1-
Home DNB
65%
4/9-
Away DNB
45%
13/8-
Sao Paulo win to nil
26%
9/4-
Corinthians win to nil
14%
9/2-
Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo
24%
12/5-
Sao Paulo / Corinthians
2%
40/1-
Sao Paulo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sao Paulo
17%
4/1-
Draw / Corinthians
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Corinthians / Sao Paulo
3%
28/1-
Corinthians / Corinthians
13%
11/2-
Corinthians / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 2Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cortiba
Sao Paulo1 - 2Athletico PR
Sao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
Sao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
Sao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
Sao Paulo2 - 0Chapecoense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Gremio
Sao Paulo2 - 1Flamengo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Juventude
Sao Paulo0 - 1Bragantino
Sao Paulo2 - 2Flamengo
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASao Paulo1 - 1Mirassol
HSao Paulo1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HSao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
ASao Paulo0 - 2Cruzeiro
HSao Paulo1 - 2Santos
HSao Paulo1 - 0Internacional
ASao Paulo0 - 2Palmeiras
HSao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
HSao Paulo2 - 1Bragantino
ASao Paulo0 - 1Chapecoense
HSao Paulo1 - 1Cortiba
ASao Paulo1 - 2Gremio
ASao Paulo1 - 1Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 2Athletico PR
ASao Paulo0 - 1Remo
HSao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
ASao Paulo1 - 2Fluminense
ASao Paulo2 - 3Corinthians
HSao Paulo2 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo1 - 0Mirassol
Corinthians 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vasco d Gama3 - 2Corinthians
Palmeiras4 - 1Corinthians
Internacional2 - 1Corinthians
Flamengo2 - 1Corinthians
Cortiba2 - 1Corinthians
Bragantino0 - 2Corinthians
Bahia1 - 1Corinthians
Gremio1 - 3Corinthians
Botafogo3 - 1Corinthians
Mirassol2 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria0 - 0Corinthians
Fluminense3 - 1Corinthians
Chapecoense0 - 0Corinthians
Santos1 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
Athletico PR0 - 1Corinthians
Fortaleza2 - 1Corinthians
Cruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
Bragantino2 - 1Corinthians
Vitoria0 - 1Corinthians
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACorinthians2 - 3Vasco d Gama
HCorinthians1 - 1Vitoria
ACorinthians1 - 4Palmeiras
ACorinthians1 - 2Internacional
HCorinthians1 - 3Fluminense
ACorinthians1 - 2Flamengo
HCorinthians1 - 2Chapecoense
HCorinthians0 - 1Santos
ACorinthians1 - 2Cortiba
HCorinthians1 - 2Cruzeiro
ACorinthians2 - 0Bragantino
HCorinthians0 - 0Athletico PR
ACorinthians1 - 1Bahia
HCorinthians3 - 0Remo
ACorinthians3 - 1Gremio
HCorinthians1 - 0A Mineiro
ACorinthians1 - 3Botafogo
HCorinthians3 - 2Sao Paulo
ACorinthians1 - 2Mirassol
HCorinthians1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have beaten Corinthians in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Goals: Scored
15
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
SAO
7
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo2 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 1
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo2 - 1
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo3 - 1
League games at Corinthians since 2018
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
D
5
CTH
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Corinthians
Corinthians3 - 2
Corinthians3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Corinthians1 - 0
Corinthians1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Sao Paulo's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday morning, not least because Corinthians have conceded in each of their last 9 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for D. Silvestre Júnior's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Corinthians of late. It has been 9 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday morning against Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo 9th Corinthians 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Sao Paulo will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Corinthians will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Corinthians’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Corinthians
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
8%
better
SAO
CTH
view stats
Games scored25
25
Failed to score7
7
Scored first17
11
Goals scored37
34
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
1%
better
SAO
CTH
view stats
Games conceded25
22
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first15
17
Goals conceded36
42
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%

Sao Paulo v Corinthians Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291037
RafaelJ CalleriWendellE Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK29
1
-
J Calleri FWD26101
6
-
Danielzinho MID2511
2
-
M Antônio MID2512
2
-
Luciano FWD2592
5
-
Sabino DEF2311
2
-
Ferreira FWD234
2
-
P Maia MID221
3
-
Artur FWD2232
2
-
L Ramon DEF212
2
1
Wendell DEF213
5
-
D Bobadilla MID213
3
-
R Arboleda DEF19
1
-
A Silva FWD16
5
-
Cauly MID151
-
E Díaz DEF131
7
-
R Tolói DEF12
3
-
L Moura FWD1111
-
Iago DEF1011
3
-
D. Ferreira MID9
4
-
L. Osorio Messias de Oliveira DEF81
1
1
C Soares DEF8
1
-
N. Araújo da Costa Júnior MID8
-
G. Domingos Santana FWD81
1
-
V Sá FWD81
-
P. Cardoso de Lima DEF611
-
P. da Silva Ferreira MID6
-
D Duarte DEF5
-
P. dos Santos FWD5
1
-
L. Marques Alencar FWD4
-
C Coronel GLK3
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD2
-
A Buta DEF1
-
N. Bosshardt DEF1
-
Corinthians Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
284611
H SouzaG HenriqueR GarroR Garro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Bidon MID2922
5
-
R Garro MID2936
11
-
H Souza GLK28
3
-
G Henrique DEF2741
4
-
Matheuzinho DEF2712
5
1
M Bidu DEF2641
5
-
Raniele MID252
7
-
G Paulista DEF231
7
-
Allan MID231
4
1
A. Santos Dias MID2242
2
2
A Carrillo MID221
4
-
M Pereira MID21
2
-
Y Alberto FWD2142
2
-
J Lingard MID191
3
-
K César FWD1922
3
-
D. da Cruz Lopes FWD171
-
P Raul FWD161
1
-
M Depay FWD141
3
-
G. Silva Inácio FWD141
1
-
F Angileri DEF1211
4
-
Z Labyad MID1112
1
-
Vitinho FWD112
1
-
A Ramalho DEF9
4
-
P Milans DEF7
-
Charles MID7
1
-
K Guimarães FWD6
-
J Rodrigues DEF51
1
-
K. de Souza Camargo GLK4
2
-
I. Machado DEF2
-
A Santana MID1
-