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Ceará v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 6th Nov, 23:00 BST, Estádio Governador Plácido Adera, Fortaleza

Thursday night sees Leonardo Rodrigues Condé’s Ceará and Martín Palermo’s Fortaleza go head to head in a Serie A clash at the Estádio Governador Plácido Adera. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Ceara and Fortaleza both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ceara 48%	13/10	-
Draw 28%	9/4	-
Fortaleza 24%	21/10	-
Ceara 1-0 14%	5/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 10%	6/1	-
Ceara 2-0 10%	9/1	-
Fortaleza 1-0 9%	6/1	-
Ceara 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Fortaleza 2-1 6%	11/1	-
Ceara 3-0 5%	20/1	-
Fortaleza 2-0 4%	12/1	-
Ceara 3-1 4%	22/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	-
Ceara 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Fortaleza 3-1 2%	28/1	-
Ceara 4-0 2%	50/1	-
Ceara 4-1 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	6/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1/2	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	5/4	-
No 1st Goal 7%	6/1	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	11/10	-
BTTS - No 56%	4/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	5/1	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	13/2	-
Home/draw 76%	4/11	-
Away/draw 52%	4/7	-
Home/away 72%	1/3	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1/2	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	13/8	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	6/1	-
Home DNB 68%	4/6	-
Away DNB 43%	11/10	-
Ceara win to nil 31%	5/2	-
Fortaleza win to nil 15%	7/2	-
Ceara / Ceara 21%	3/1	-
Ceara / Fortaleza 2%	33/1	-
Ceara / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Ceara 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Fortaleza 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	-
Fortaleza / Ceara 3%	28/1	-
Fortaleza / Fortaleza 15%	9/2	-
Fortaleza / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ceara	0 - 2	Botafogo
Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
Ceara	2 - 0	S. Recife
Ceara	1 - 0	Vitoria
Ceara	1 - 1	Sao Paulo
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 0	Gremio
Ceara	1 - 0	America
Ceara	2 - 0	Avai
Ceara	2 - 1	Paysandu
Ceara	1 - 0	Ponte Preta
Ceara	1 - 0	Brusque
Ceara	4 - 0	Vila Nova

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Ceara	1 - 1	S. Recife
H	Ceara	3 - 0	Santos
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Vitoria
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Bahia
A	Ceara	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Juventude
A	Ceara	0 - 0	Gremio
H	Ceara	1 - 0	Bragantino
A	Ceara	1 - 2	Palmeiras
H	Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
A	Ceara	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Ceara	0 - 2	Mirassol
A	Ceara	0 - 1	Internacional
H	Ceara	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Ceara	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Ceara	2 - 3	Botafogo
H	Ceara	0 - 1	A Mineiro

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Fortaleza
Juventude	1 - 2	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	4 - 1	Fortaleza
Internacional	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Fortaleza
S. Recife	0 - 0	Fortaleza
Vitoria	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Atletico Go	3 - 1	Fortaleza
Vitoria	2 - 0	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Juventude	0 - 3	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Gremio	3 - 1	Fortaleza
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fortaleza	1 - 0	Flamengo
A	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
A	Fortaleza	2 - 1	Juventude
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Fortaleza	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Fortaleza	1 - 4	Palmeiras
H	Fortaleza	2 - 0	Vitoria
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Internacional
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Botafogo
A	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Gremio
H	Fortaleza	3 - 1	Bragantino
H	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Ceara
H	Fortaleza	2 - 3	Santos
A	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Flamengo
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Cruzeiro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ceara

Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

CEA

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
	0 - 1	Fortaleza
Ceara	3 - 1
Ceara	1 - 0
Ceara	2 - 1

Fortaleza

Ceara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

4 / 5

CEA

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
	0 - 1	Ceara
	0 - 1	Ceara
	0 - 4	Ceara
	0 - 2	Ceara
Fortaleza	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Ceara 14th	Fortaleza 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Ceara will score no more than 1 goal	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Fortaleza scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-13 Ceara have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted	+2 Fortaleza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

better

CEA

FOR

view stats

Games scored	18		17
Failed to score	11		12
Scored first	14		9
Goals scored	27		27
Avg. goals scored	0.9		0.9
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	10		10
Conversion rate for	10		10
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+9%

19%

better

CEA

FOR

view stats

Games conceded	20		21
Clean sheets	9		8
Conceded first	13		17
Goals conceded	28		44
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	11%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+19%

Ceara v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	8	5	7
Galeano	P Raul	L Mugni	F Sobral

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Galeano FWD	29	5	3	2 -
W Machado DEF	28			3 -
P Raul FWD	27	8	1	4 -
F Silva DEF	26		1	6 -
Diego DEF	25		2	3 -
F Sobral MID	25	1		7 -
L Lourenço MID	25	2	1	3 -
L Mugni MID	24	2	5	5 -
Bruno GLK	22			2 -
Marllon DEF	22	2		2 -
P Henrique FWD	21	4	2	6 -
M Bahia DEF	20		1	4 -
Aylon FWD	18	2		2 -
R Ramos DEF	16			2 -
Richardson MID	13			3 -
Fernandinho FWD	13		1	2 -
Nicolas DEF	12			1 -
L Lima MID	11			-
M Araújo MID	10	1	1	-
Vina MID	9			1 -
F Miguel GLK	8			-
P Baya FWD	8			-
M Victor DEF	7			-
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	7		1	1 -
V Zanocelo MID	6			-
Rodriguinho FWD	4			1
Éder DEF	2			-
L Tavares FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	33	5	6
P Raul	P Raul	L Mugni	Galeano

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Raul FWD	8	33	1	4
Galeano FWD	5	14	3	6
P Henrique FWD	4	13	2	2
L Lourenço MID	2	10	1	3
L Mugni MID	2	4	5	5
Marllon DEF	2	2
Aylon FWD	2	8
F Sobral MID	1	1		1
M Araújo MID	1	2	1	1
W Machado DEF		5		1
F Silva DEF		1	1	2
Diego DEF		3	2	4
M Bahia DEF		2	1	2
R Ramos DEF		1
Richardson MID		2		1
Fernandinho FWD		4	1	1
Nicolas DEF		1
Vina MID		7		1
P Baya FWD		4		3
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD		1	1	1
V Zanocelo MID		2
Éder DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
986	51	159
W Machado	Diego	Diego

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Machado DEF	986	34	124
F Silva DEF	809	32	97
Diego DEF	800	51	159
Marllon DEF	687	24	73
Galeano FWD	643	31	127
M Bahia DEF	630	37	86
F Sobral MID	591	38	74
Bruno GLK	530	1	19
L Lourenço MID	515	21	68
L Mugni MID	485	37	84
P Raul FWD	434	12	136
Richardson MID	307	14	29
R Ramos DEF	252	27	43
M Victor DEF	247	8	24
Nicolas DEF	234	14	28
P Henrique FWD	221	29	67
V Zanocelo MID	206	8	11
F Miguel GLK	202	1	8
Vina MID	186		6
Aylon FWD	160	16	61
Fernandinho FWD	123	12	53
Éder DEF	94		7
M Araújo MID	79	3	14
P Baya FWD	79	4	7
L Lima MID	70	7	15
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD	30	5	15
Rodriguinho FWD	11		3
L Tavares FWD	3		1

Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	5	3	7
L Sasha	B Lopes	M Pereira	E Brítez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Pikachu FWD	25	2	1	2 -
J Lucero FWD	25	3	1	6 -
L Sasha MID	23	1		2 -
B Lopes FWD	23	5		3 -
E Mancuso DEF	21	1	2	4 -
B Kuscevic DEF	20	1		3 -
Deyverson FWD	20	3		3 -
T Pochettino MID	19	1	2	2 -
G Ávila DEF	18			3 -
Marinho FWD	17	1	2	3 1
J Ricardo GLK	14			1 -
M Rossetto MID	14			-
E Martínez MID	14	1	1	6 -
D Barbosa DEF	13	1		1 -
M Pereira MID	13		3	3 -
A Bareiro FWD	13	1		3 1
E Brítez DEF	12		1	7 -
B Pacheco DEF	11	1	1	3 -
L. Prior Pimenta MID	11	2		2 -
J Herrera FWD	11		1	1 -
Tinga DEF	10	1		1 -
J Welison MID	9			3 -
Brenno GLK	7			1 1
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	7			1 -
Allanzinho FWD	7		2	1 -
M Moisés FWD	6		1	1 -
H Leite GLK	4			-
L Crispim MID	4	1		-
Y Guzmán MID	4			-
Pierre MID	4			1 -
M Magrão GLK	3			1 -
L Gazal DEF	3			2 -
Weverson DEF	3			-
V Silvestre GLK	2			-
Pablo MID	2			-
K. Gouvêa Queiroz FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	13	3	5
B Lopes	B Lopes	M Pereira	J Lucero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Lopes FWD	5	13		2
J Lucero FWD	3	11	1	5
Deyverson FWD	3	8
Y Pikachu FWD	2	7	1	3
L. Prior Pimenta MID	2	4		3
L Sasha MID	1	6		2
E Mancuso DEF	1	7	2	3
B Kuscevic DEF	1	3
T Pochettino MID	1	10	2	4
Marinho FWD	1	6	2	4
E Martínez MID	1	4	1	1
D Barbosa DEF	1	1		1
A Bareiro FWD	1	10
B Pacheco DEF	1	2	1	1
Tinga DEF	1	1
L Crispim MID	1	1		1
G Ávila DEF		5
M Pereira MID		2	3	2
E Brítez DEF		1	1	1
J Herrera FWD		4	1	3
J Welison MID		1
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID		1
Allanzinho FWD			2	4
M Moisés FWD		2	1
Pierre MID				1
L Gazal DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
897	83	133
L Sasha	L Sasha	L Sasha

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Sasha MID	897	83	133
B Kuscevic DEF	721	37	91
G Ávila DEF	691	50	90
M Pereira MID	664	16	41
E Mancuso DEF	601	40	84
M Rossetto MID	507	14	26
E Brítez DEF	497	19	57
B Lopes FWD	478	10	71
Y Pikachu FWD	412	15	45
E Martínez MID	401	17	38
J Ricardo GLK	325		3
Tinga DEF	312	12	39
T Pochettino MID	301	28	59
B Pacheco DEF	281	19	64
Deyverson FWD	249	6	86
L. Prior Pimenta MID	243	10	41
D Barbosa DEF	243	19	48
J Lucero FWD	233	20	64
J Welison MID	208	16	29
Marinho FWD	183	10	52
J Herrera FWD	171	13	37
L Gazal DEF	168	5	20
Brenno GLK	127	1	3
Pierre MID	109	3	5
Y Guzmán MID	101	1	6
L Crispim MID	94	1	10
Weverson DEF	85	3	6
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	82	9	18
A Bareiro FWD	79	4	34
H Leite GLK	68		2
Allanzinho FWD	63	3	26
M Magrão GLK	57
V Silvestre GLK	53		1
M Moisés FWD	52	2	14
Pablo MID	48	3	5
K. Gouvêa Queiroz FWD	4	1	7