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Flamengo v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 19:00 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Serie A, and Filipe Luis Kasmirski’s Flamengo will have the blessing of it on Sunday evening. Fernando Santos’s Vasco da Gama are their opponents at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. For each and every Serie A match preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

Best Tip: Flamengo to win

A Serie A home win for Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Flamengo win is the bet we'd suggest, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Flamengo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Flamengo 62%	1/2	-
Draw 21%	16/5	-
Vasco d Gama 17%	5/1	-
Flamengo 1-0 11%	5/1	-
Flamengo 2-0 11%	11/2	-
Draw 1-1 10%	7/1	-
Flamengo 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Flamengo 3-0 7%	9/1	-
Flamengo 3-1 7%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	10/1	-
Vasco d Gama 1-0 5%	12/1	-
Vasco d Gama 2-1 5%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	20/1	-
Flamengo 4-0 4%	20/1	-
Flamengo 4-1 3%	25/1	-
Flamengo 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Vasco d Gama 2-0 2%	28/1	-
Flamengo 4-2 2%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	19/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	17/20	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	4/9	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	21/20	-
BTTS - No 47%	7/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	11/4	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	5/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	11/1	-
Home/draw 83%	1/8	-
Away/draw 38%	6/4	-
Home/away 79%	2/9	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	3/10	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	1/3	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1	-
Home DNB 77%	2/11	-
Away DNB 32%	7/2	-
Flamengo win to nil 34%	5/4	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 8%	9/1	-
Flamengo / Flamengo 36%	13/10	-
Flamengo / Vasco d Gama 2%	40/1	-
Flamengo / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Flamengo 21%	3/1	-
Draw / Vasco d Gama 7%	11/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Vasco d Gama / Flamengo 4%	22/1	-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 8%	10/1	-
Vasco d Gama / Draw 4%	18/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Flamengo have not lost in 16 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
Flamengo	8 - 0	Vitoria
Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
Flamengo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
Flamengo	0 - 0	Botafogo
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
Flamengo	1 - 1	Internacional
Flamengo	2 - 2	Vitoria
Flamengo	3 - 2	Internacional
Flamengo	0 - 0	A Mineiro
Flamengo	4 - 2	Juventude
Flamengo	0 - 2	Fluminense
Flamengo	1 - 0	Athletico PR
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Flamengo	8 - 0	Vitoria
A	Flamengo	3 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Santos
H	Flamengo	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	Botafogo
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
A	Flamengo	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Flamengo	4 - 0	Corinthians
A	Flamengo	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Flamengo	6 - 0	Juventude
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Gremio
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Vitoria

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Recife	2 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Juventude	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Santos	0 - 6	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	1 - 3	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Ceara	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	3 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Vitoria	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Criciuma	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	S. Recife
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Juventude
A	Vasco d Gama	6 - 0	Santos
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 3	Mirassol
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	Sao Paulo
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 2	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Flamengo
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Ceara
H	Vasco d Gama	3 - 1	S. Recife
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 3	Corinthians

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Flamengo have not lost to Vasco d Gama in 11 consecutive league meetings

Flamengo

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Flamengo	1 - 0
Flamengo	2 - 0
Draw	4 - 4	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Vasco d Gama

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vasco d Gama
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 6	Flamengo
	1 - 4	Flamengo
	1 - 2	Flamengo
	1 - 4	Flamengo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Vasco da Gama have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Serie A games. This run could continue, with Flamengo's PG an impressive 2.0.

	Flamengo 1st	Vasco d Gama 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Flamengo will score 1 or more goals	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Vasco d Gama scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+26 Flamengo have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted	+39 Vasco d Gama have scored 39% more goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

34%

better

FLA

VDG

view stats

Games scored	14		10
Failed to score	3		6
Scored first	11		7
Goals scored	31		18
Avg. goals scored	1.5		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	17		11
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+34%

57%

better

FLA

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	6		14
Clean sheets	11		2
Conceded first	4		8
Goals conceded	7		23
Avg. goals conceded	0.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	15		7
Conversion rate against	6%		15%
Avg. XG against	0.7		1.3
KickOff rating		+57%

Flamengo v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	12	10	3
A Rossi	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta	L Pereira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	21			1 -
L Pereira DEF	20	3		3 -
L Ortiz DEF	20	1	2	3 -
G Arrascaeta MID	19	12	10	1 -
B Henrique FWD	19	2		3 -
L Araújo FWD	19	4	2	-
G Varela DEF	16		4	-
Pedro FWD	15	10	4	3 -
Éverton FWD	14	1	1	-
G Plata FWD	14	3	1	-
A Sandro DEF	13			1 -
N Cruz MID	12			3 -
Allan MID	11			2 -
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	11	1		1 -
Juninho FWD	11			-
Michael FWD	10	1	3	-
E Farfán MID	9	1		2 -
W Barreto FWD	9	1	2	3 -
Ayrton DEF	8	1		1 -
Jorginho MID	8			3 -
Danilo DEF	7	1		-
M Viña DEF	5			1 -
S Lino FWD	5	2	4	-
S Ñíguez MID	4			-
E Royal DEF	3			-
J Carrascal MID	2			-
Cleiton DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	23	10	10
G Arrascaeta	Pedro	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Arrascaeta MID	12	16	10	10
Pedro FWD	10	23	4	3
L Araújo FWD	4	11	2	3
L Pereira DEF	3	6		1
G Plata FWD	3	8	1	3
B Henrique FWD	2	11		1
S Lino FWD	2	4	4	2
L Ortiz DEF	1	5	2	2
Éverton FWD	1	5	1
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	1	5		1
Michael FWD	1	4	3	4
E Farfán MID	1	3		1
W Barreto FWD	1	2	2	1
Ayrton DEF	1	3		1
Danilo DEF	1	2
G Varela DEF		1	4	2
A Sandro DEF		1		2
N Cruz MID		3		1
Allan MID		2
Juninho FWD		2		1
Jorginho MID		1
S Ñíguez MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1546	33	94
L Pereira	L Araújo	G Arrascaeta

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	1546	17	58
L Ortiz DEF	1513	24	75
Jorginho MID	715	13	22
G Arrascaeta MID	703	24	94
A Sandro DEF	679	11	43
N Cruz MID	633	15	45
G Varela DEF	543	16	39
A Rossi GLK	527		9
E Farfán MID	471	10	29
Danilo DEF	453	4	12
L Araújo FWD	432	33	65
Allan MID	417	4	18
G Plata FWD	359	19	46
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	352	12	30
Ayrton DEF	294	14	38
B Henrique FWD	249	14	67
S Ñíguez MID	226	7	11
Éverton FWD	213	7	25
S Lino FWD	192	8	28
Pedro FWD	146	6	23
Michael FWD	144	5	22
M Viña DEF	130	4	11
E Royal DEF	67	2	9
W Barreto FWD	60	2	28
Juninho FWD	38	7	17
J Carrascal MID	35	4	5
Cleiton DEF	2

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	12	5	6
N Moreira	P Vegetti	L Piton	H Moura

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Moreira FWD	21	4	4	1 -
L Jardim GLK	20			1 2
H Moura MID	20		1	6 -
R Rocha FWD	20	5	1	2 -
L Piton DEF	19	1	5	4 -
P Vegetti FWD	19	12	1	3 -
L Freitas DEF	17	1		3 -
T Tchê MID	17	1		1 -
P Henrique DEF	15		3	6 -
P Coutinho MID	15	3	1	1
J Bebanz DEF	11	1	2	-
Jair MID	11			3 -
L Augusto FWD	10			1 -
Adson FWD	10			-
A Teixeira FWD	9			1 -
David FWD	9	1	3	1 -
B Garré FWD	9			1 -
Paulinho MID	8			2 -
V Luis DEF	4			-
M Lemos DEF	4			-
T Mendes MID	4			1 -
G. Souza da Silva FWD	4			-
D Fuzato GLK	2			-
L Oliveira DEF	2			-
C Luz MID	2			-
M França MID	1			-
J Meneses MID	1			-
A Gomez FWD	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	21	5	7
P Vegetti	R Rocha	L Piton	N Moreira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Vegetti FWD	12	18	1	2
R Rocha FWD	5	21	1	4
N Moreira FWD	4	13	4	7
P Coutinho MID	3	16	1	4
L Piton DEF	1	1	5	5
L Freitas DEF	1	1
T Tchê MID	1	2
J Bebanz DEF	1	3	2	3
David FWD	1	3	3	4
H Moura MID		5	1	3
P Henrique DEF		7	3	3
Jair MID		1
L Augusto FWD		2
Adson FWD		2		1
A Teixeira FWD		2
B Garré FWD		1		1
V Luis DEF		1
C Luz MID		2
M França MID		1
A Gomez FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1074	53	121
H Moura	P Henrique	P Henrique

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Moura MID	1074	33	58
L Piton DEF	1051	19	54
L Freitas DEF	1000	15	54
T Tchê MID	735	12	56
P Coutinho MID	711	9	55
N Moreira FWD	628	24	83
P Henrique DEF	578	53	121
L Jardim GLK	534		11
Jair MID	413	13	38
R Rocha FWD	380	18	93
J Bebanz DEF	311	12	32
P Vegetti FWD	212	10	76
Paulinho MID	154	6	19
T Mendes MID	139		3
Adson FWD	138	6	13
M Lemos DEF	136	1	5
B Garré FWD	135	5	8
David FWD	132	4	20
V Luis DEF	97		5
L Augusto FWD	73	2	10
A Teixeira FWD	53	4	7
D Fuzato GLK	52		1
C Luz MID	45	1	6
G. Souza da Silva FWD	30	3	7
L Oliveira DEF	10		1
M França MID	6		1
J Meneses MID	3	1	2
A Gomez FWD	2		2