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Fluminense v Flamengo : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Nov, 00:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

It's an away match for Filipe Luis Kasmirski's Flamengo side on Thursday morning, as they visit the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho for a Serie A clash with Luis Francisco Zubeldía's Fluminense. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Luis Francisco Zubeldía and Filipe Luis Kasmirski to park the bus here, but we do not expect a deluge of goals as Fluminense and Flamengo go head-to-head. The statistics belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.53 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 37% chance of Flamengo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Fluminense 33%	4.00 11%	3.70
Draw 29%	3.10 9%	3.20
Flamengo 37%	2.00 11%	2.10
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00 8%	6.00
Flamengo 1-0 13%	6.00	5.75
Fluminense 1-0 12%	9.50 14%	8.00
Draw 0-0 12%	7.00 18%	6.50
Flamengo 2-1 7%	9.00	8.50
Flamengo 2-0 7%	8.50 6%	8.00
Fluminense 2-1 7%	15.00	11.00
Fluminense 2-0 6%	19.00 10%	15.00
Draw 2-2 4%	17.00	15.00
Flamengo 3-1 3%	19.00 12%	15.00
Flamengo 3-0 3%	17.00 13%	15.00
Fluminense 3-1 2%	41.00	26.00
Fluminense 3-0 2%	41.00 20%	29.00
Flamengo 3-2 1%	34.00	26.00
Fluminense 3-2 1%	41.00	34.00
Over 2.5 Goals 37%	2.35 9%	2.30
Under 2.5 Goals 63%	1.57 6%	1.55
Home 1st Goal 45%	2.50 5%	2.50
Away 1st Goal 47%	1.73 7%	1.75
No 1st Goal 8%	7.00 18%	6.50
BTTS - Yes 44%	2.05 3%	2.05
BTTS - No 56%	1.70 3%	1.70
BTTS - Home Win 12%	9.50	7.50
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75 5%	4.60
BTTS - Away Win 13%	5.00 15%	4.80
Home/draw 63%	1.80 8%	1.73
Away/draw 67%	1.22 3%	1.25
Home/away 71%	1.36 5%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals 64%	1.44 3%	1.44
Under 1.5 Goals 36%	2.75 8%	2.62
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	4.50 13%	4.33
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	1.20 4%	1.20
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	10.00 25%	8.50
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1.06 2%	1.06
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	21.00 11%	17.00
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1.02	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1.10 3%	1.09
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	7.00 18%	6.50
Home DNB 54%	2.75 15%	2.50
Away DNB 58%	1.40 5%	1.44
Fluminense win to nil 21%	6.50 7%	-
Flamengo win to nil 24%	3.00 9%	-
Fluminense / Fluminense 13%	6.50 13%	5.75
Fluminense / Flamengo 3%	29.00 12%	23.00
Fluminense / Draw 6%	15.00 12%	13.00
Draw / Fluminense 10%	8.00 11%	7.50
Draw / Flamengo 17%	4.75 6%	4.80
Draw / Draw 18%	4.50 10%	4.20
Flamengo / Fluminense 2%	41.00	29.00
Flamengo / Flamengo 25%	3.25 13%	3.25
Flamengo / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win form

Fluminense have won 6 consecutive home league games

Fluminense have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Fluminense have kept a clean sheet for 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fluminense	2 - 1	S. Recife
Fluminense	1 - 1	Vitoria
Fluminense	1 - 0	Santos
Fluminense	2 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminense	1 - 0	Cuiaba
Fluminense	0 - 0	Criciuma
Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 2	Gremio

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Mirassol
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Ceara
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminense	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Juventude
A	Fluminense	1 - 2	Mirassol
H	Fluminense	3 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Fluminense	2 - 2	S. Recife
H	Fluminense	2 - 0	Botafogo
A	Fluminense	1 - 0	Vitoria
H	Fluminense	0 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fluminense	0 - 0	Santos
A	Fluminense	2 - 4	Bragantino
H	Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Fluminense	3 - 3	Bahia
H	Fluminense	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Fluminense	1 - 3	Sao Paulo
H	Fluminense	1 - 2	Palmeiras

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo	2 - 2	Flamengo
Fortaleza	1 - 0	Flamengo
Botafogo	0 - 3	Flamengo
Bahia	1 - 0	Flamengo
Corinthians	1 - 2	Flamengo
Juventude	0 - 2	Flamengo
Internacional	1 - 3	Flamengo
Ceara	1 - 1	Flamengo
Bragantino	1 - 2	Flamengo
Santos	1 - 0	Flamengo
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Flamengo
Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Flamengo
Gremio	0 - 2	Flamengo
Vitoria	1 - 2	Flamengo
Criciuma	0 - 3	Flamengo
Fortaleza	0 - 0	Flamengo
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Flamengo
Internacional	1 - 1	Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Flamengo	3 - 2	Santos
A	Flamengo	2 - 2	Sao Paulo
H	Flamengo	3 - 0	S. Recife
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Flamengo	3 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Flamengo	3 - 0	Botafogo
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Bahia
H	Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Flamengo	2 - 0	Juventude
H	Flamengo	1 - 1	Gremio
H	Flamengo	8 - 0	Vitoria
A	Flamengo	3 - 1	Internacional
H	Flamengo	2 - 1	Mirassol
A	Flamengo	1 - 1	Ceara
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	A Mineiro
A	Flamengo	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Flamengo	1 - 0	Fluminense
A	Flamengo	0 - 1	Santos

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminense

Flamengo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

4 / 7

FLU

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminense
	0 - 1	Flamengo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Flamengo
Fluminense	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Flamengo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Flamengo

Flamengo

Fluminense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

2 / 8

FLU

FLA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Flamengo
Flamengo	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Fluminense
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Fluminense
	0 - 1	Fluminense
	1 - 2	Fluminense
Flamengo	2 - 0
Flamengo	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Fluminense of late. It has been 8 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday morning against Flamengo.

	Fluminense 7th	Flamengo 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Fluminense will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Flamengo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-8 Fluminense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+8 Flamengo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	0.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

FLU

FLA

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	24		26
Failed to score	9		6
Scored first	18		21
Goals scored	38		64
Avg. goals scored	1.2		2
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	13		19
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.6
KickOff rating		+26%

FLU

FLA

29%

better

view stats

Games conceded	20		16
Clean sheets	13		16
Conceded first	13		8
Goals conceded	37		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		12
Conversion rate against	15%		9%
Avg. XG against	0.9		0.9
KickOff rating		+29%

Fluminense v Flamengo Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	6	3	8
F Fábio	G Cano	K Serna	J Freytes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	33			2 -
H Hércules MID	29	3		1 -
J Freytes DEF	28		1	7 1
Martinelli MID	28	2	2	6 -
K Serna FWD	28	5	3	3 -
Lima MID	26	2	1	2 -
A Canobbio FWD	26	2	2	5 -
S Xavier DEF	24	4	1	3 -
Renê DEF	24	2		2 -
Everaldo FWD	23	2		1 -
T Silva DEF	22	1		1 -
G Cano FWD	22	6		1 -
F Cruz MID	19			6 -
Guga DEF	17	1	1	1 -
Keno FWD	17	1	2	1 -
Ignacio DEF	15			2 1
Nonato MID	15	1		3 -
Ganso MID	14			2 -
J Kennedy FWD	14	1	2	1 -
Y Soteldo FWD	13			-
L Acosta MID	12	2	1	4 -
G Fuentes DEF	10			3 -
T Santos DEF	8			2 -
O Otávio MID	6			-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	6		1	1 -
Manoel DEF	5			-
S Moreno FWD	5			2 -
R Lezcano MID	4			-
I Rabello DEF	3			1 1
J Lavega FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	3	4
G Cano	K Serna	K Serna	K Serna

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Cano FWD	6	13		1
K Serna FWD	5	16	3	4
S Xavier DEF	4	5	1	1
H Hércules MID	3	9
Martinelli MID	2	5	2	3
Lima MID	2	6	1	2
A Canobbio FWD	2	11	2	2
Renê DEF	2	2		2
Everaldo FWD	2	8		3
L Acosta MID	2	7	1	4
T Silva DEF	1	4
Guga DEF	1	2	1	3
Keno FWD	1	6	2	2
Nonato MID	1	3
J Kennedy FWD	1	7	2	1
J Freytes DEF		5	1	1
F Cruz MID		4		1
Ignacio DEF		3		1
Ganso MID				2
Y Soteldo FWD				2
G Fuentes DEF		2
R. Silva de Almeida FWD		1	1	1
J Lavega FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1898	50	126
J Freytes	H Hércules	K Serna

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Freytes DEF	1898	19	97
T Silva DEF	1380	10	59
Martinelli MID	1344	42	110
S Xavier DEF	1116	33	72
Renê DEF	1116	45	114
H Hércules MID	999	50	101
F Fábio GLK	602		7
Ignacio DEF	580	21	62
A Canobbio FWD	575	46	122
Guga DEF	568	30	64
F Cruz MID	562	27	57
K Serna FWD	502	31	126
Lima MID	461	15	62
Ganso MID	443	10	34
L Acosta MID	419	15	53
G Fuentes DEF	416	20	47
G Cano FWD	341	6	43
Nonato MID	337	14	29
Everaldo FWD	206	7	71
O Otávio MID	179	5	16
Manoel DEF	178		6
Keno FWD	133	9	46
Y Soteldo FWD	129	5	29
I Rabello DEF	117	2	7
J Kennedy FWD	115		22
T Santos DEF	108	9	19
S Moreno FWD	74	2	6
R. Silva de Almeida FWD	49	9	17
R Lezcano MID	36	1	5
J Lavega FWD	22	1	6

Flamengo Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	17	13	6
A Rossi	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta	L Pereira

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rossi GLK	32			2 -
G Arrascaeta MID	30	17	13	3 -
L Araújo FWD	30	6	2	2 -
L Pereira DEF	29	4		6 -
B Henrique FWD	27	5		5 -
L Ortiz DEF	26	1	2	4 -
G Plata FWD	24	4	1	1
Pedro FWD	21	12	6	3 -
G Varela DEF	18		4	-
A Sandro DEF	18			4 -
Éverton FWD	18	1	1	-
N Cruz MID	17			4 -
Danilo DEF	16	1		2 1
S Lino FWD	16	3	5	1 -
Ayrton DEF	15	1		4 -
Jorginho MID	14	1		5 -
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	14	1		1 1
S Ñíguez MID	13		1	1 -
Allan MID	13			2 -
E Farfán MID	13	1		4 -
Michael FWD	13	1	3	-
Juninho FWD	13			-
W Barreto FWD	13	1	2	4 1
E Royal DEF	12	1	1	1 -
J Carrascal MID	12	2	4	4 -
M Viña DEF	8			1 -
Cleiton DEF	2			-
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	26	13	15
G Arrascaeta	Pedro	G Arrascaeta	G Arrascaeta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Arrascaeta MID	17	21	13	15
Pedro FWD	12	26	6	5
L Araújo FWD	6	16	2	5
B Henrique FWD	5	16		2
L Pereira DEF	4	7		1
G Plata FWD	4	10	1	4
S Lino FWD	3	10	5	3
J Carrascal MID	2	2	4	4
L Ortiz DEF	1	6	2	2
Éverton FWD	1	5	1
Danilo DEF	1	3		2
Ayrton DEF	1	3		2
Jorginho MID	1	2
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	1	5		1
E Farfán MID	1	3		1
Michael FWD	1	5	3	4
W Barreto FWD	1	2	2	1
E Royal DEF	1	5	1	2
G Varela DEF		1	4	2
A Sandro DEF		1		3
N Cruz MID		4		1
S Ñíguez MID		3	1	1
Allan MID		2
Juninho FWD		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2223	45	136
L Pereira	L Araújo	G Arrascaeta

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Pereira DEF	2223	22	83
L Ortiz DEF	1826	32	103
Jorginho MID	1130	17	36
G Arrascaeta MID	1059	33	136
Danilo DEF	999	9	32
A Sandro DEF	882	14	58
N Cruz MID	852	19	59
A Rossi GLK	829	1	17
S Ñíguez MID	653	29	49
L Araújo FWD	647	45	92
G Varela DEF	641	20	49
Ayrton DEF	634	26	70
E Farfán MID	626	14	38
Allan MID	550	6	21
G Plata FWD	548	23	70
S Lino FWD	523	23	72
E Royal DEF	464	25	72
E. Fernandes Araújo MID	400	14	32
B Henrique FWD	337	19	100
Éverton FWD	237	10	31
J Carrascal MID	228	21	63
Pedro FWD	200	9	41
M Viña DEF	161	10	23
Michael FWD	156	6	24
W Barreto FWD	84	4	36
Juninho FWD	46	7	19
Cleiton DEF	46	3	6
J. de Souza Cunha DEF	17