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Fluminense v Vasco da Gama : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Ramón Ángel Díaz guides his Vasco da Gama side to the Estádio Nilton Santos in the Serie A on Saturday night, with Fernando Diniz Silva's Fluminense their rivals. We have the best odds for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Serie A Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Fluminense's next match is v A Mineiro at 20:00 on Saturday 4th May
Vasco da Gama's next match is v Athletico PR at 20:00 on Sunday 5th May

The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Fluminese and Vasco d Gama was on Saturday 20th April 2024

Brazillian Serie A

April 20th 2024

Fluminese 2	1 Vasco d Gama

P. Chagas de Lima 10'	55' P. Vegetti Pfaffen
M. Martinelli 53'

	FLU VDG
Shots On	8 5
Shots Off	2 9
Corners	2 7
Possession	58% 42%
Fouls	15 17
Yellow/red cards	4/0 5/0

Fluminese	Vasco d Gama

F. Lopes Maciel F. Melo de Carvalho (A. Cunha Capocasali Junior 46') M. Silva Carvalho M. Vieira da Silva Júnior S. Brito J. Arias Andrade P. Chagas de Lima (V. Moreira de Lima 74') M. Martinelli A. Trindade da Costa Neto G. Cano (J. Kennedy Batista de Souza 88') M. Oliveira Alencar (D. Costa de Souza 88')	L. Jardim L. Pinheiro da Conceição M. Pereira Roque L. Piton Crivellaro P. de Oliveira Alves (H. Moura Arruda da Silva 46') P. Galdames Millán (R. Rocha 46') M. Carvalho dos Santos (J. dos Santos Silva 71') J. Sforza (E. dos Santos Oliveira 46') R. Pereira da Silva (Clayton 90') D. Correia da Fonseca P. Vegetti Pfaffen

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of Fluminese and Vasco d Gama no more than 3 goals combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminese are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Fluminese 47%	19/20 13%	19/20 17%	-	-
Draw 26%	12/5 9%	21/10 11%	-	-
Vasco d Gama 27%	3/1 16%	5/2 17%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2 7%	5/1 8%	-	-
Fluminese 1-0 11%	11/2	11/2 8%	-	-
Fluminese 2-1 9%	8/1 6%	7/1 7%	-	-
Fluminese 2-0 8%	15/2 6%	15/2 21%	-	-
Vasco d Gama 1-0 8%	9/1 17%	8/1 10%	-	-
Draw 0-0 7%	15/2 15%	13/2 12%	-	-
Vasco d Gama 2-1 7%	12/1 13%	10/1 15%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1	-	-
Fluminese 3-1 5%	16/1 13%	12/1 8%	-	-
Vasco d Gama 2-0 4%	18/1 17%	14/1 12%	-	-
Fluminese 3-0 4%	16/1 31%	12/1 18%	-	-
Fluminese 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1 11%	-	-
Vasco d Gama 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	22/1 12%	-	-
Vasco d Gama 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1 10%	-	-
Fluminese 4-1 2%	40/1 41%	25/1 24%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	11/10 5%	-	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	7/10 6%	-	-	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/7 5%	-	-	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	7/4 8%	-	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	15/2 15%	-	-	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	19/20	10/11 2%	-	-
BTTS - No 48%	4/5	5/6 2%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	7/2 13%	16/5 12%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4 5%	7/2 10%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	15/2 11%	6/1 18%	-	-
Home/draw 73%	2/9 3%	1/4 6%	-	-
Away/draw 53%	4/5 12%	3/4 15%	-	-
Home/away 74%	3/10 4%	3/10 4%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	4/11 2%	-	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	11/5 6%	-	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	3/1 14%	-	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1/4 4%	-	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	7/1 14%	-	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/12 2%	-	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1 13%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40 1%	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14 1%	-	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	15/2 15%	-	-	-
Home DNB 65%	2/5 9%	4/9 12%	-	-
Away DNB 45%	7/4 21%	13/8 21%	-	-
Fluminese win to nil 26%	9/4 18%	-	-	-
Vasco d Gama win to nil 15%	11/2 19%	-	-	-
Fluminese / Fluminese 24%	11/5 16%	21/10 18%	-	-
Fluminese / Vasco d Gama 3%	33/1 17%	25/1 10%	-	-
Fluminese / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	-	-
Draw / Fluminese 16%	15/4 6%	19/5 11%	-	-
Draw / Vasco d Gama 11%	7/1 16%	13/2 17%	-	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 9%	18/5 8%	-	-
Vasco d Gama / Fluminese 3%	25/1 13%	20/1 11%	-	-
Vasco d Gama / Vasco d Gama 14%	11/2 19%	19/4 18%	-	-
Vasco d Gama / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM
Fluminese	2 - 2	Bragantino
Fluminese	2 - 3	Gremio
Fluminese	2 - 1	Cortiba
Fluminese	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Fluminese	5 - 3	Goias
Fluminese	3 - 3	Corinthians
Fluminese	0 - 2	Botafogo
Fluminese	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
Fluminese	1 - 0	Fortaleza
Fluminese	3 - 1	America
Fluminese	2 - 1	Palmeiras
Fluminese	1 - 0	Santos
Fluminese	0 - 0	Flamengo
Fluminese	2 - 0	Internacional
Fluminese	2 - 1	Bahia
Fluminese	1 - 1	A Mineiro
Fluminese	2 - 1	Bragantino
Fluminese	2 - 0	Cuiaba
Fluminese	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fluminese	2 - 0	Athletico PR

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Fluminese	1 - 2	Bahia
H	Fluminese	2 - 2	Bragantino
H	Fluminese	2 - 3	Gremio
A	Fluminese	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Fluminese	3 - 0	Santos
H	Fluminese	2 - 1	Cortiba
H	Fluminese	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Fluminese	1 - 1	Flamengo
A	Fluminese	0 - 0	Internacional
A	Fluminese	0 - 1	Bahia
A	Fluminese	0 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Fluminese	5 - 3	Goias
A	Fluminese	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Fluminese	3 - 3	Corinthians
H	Fluminese	0 - 2	Botafogo
A	Fluminese	0 - 3	Cuiaba
H	Fluminese	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
A	Fluminese	2 - 4	Vasco d Gama
H	Fluminese	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Fluminese	2 - 2	Athletico PR

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Bragantino	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Gremio	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Athletico PR	0 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Cruzeiro	2 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Cuiaba	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Goias	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Flamengo	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Santos	4 - 1	Vasco d Gama
America	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Bahia	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Bragantino	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Corinthians	3 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Botafogo	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Internacional	2 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fortaleza	2 - 0	Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo	4 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Cortiba	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Fluminese	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A Mineiro	1 - 2	Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Bragantino
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 4	Corinthians
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Athletico PR
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Vasco d Gama	2 - 1	America
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cuiaba
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Goias
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 2	Internacional
A	Vasco d Gama	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	Fortaleza
H	Vasco d Gama	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 4	Santos
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 0	America
H	Vasco d Gama	5 - 1	Cortiba
H	Vasco d Gama	4 - 2	Fluminese
A	Vasco d Gama	1 - 1	Bahia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Fluminese

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

FLU

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fluminese
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminese	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama

Fluminese

Vasco d Gama

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

2 / 8

FLU

VDG

FIXTURE HISTORY
Vasco d Gama	4 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fluminese	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Vasco d Gama	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Vasco d Gama
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Fluminense's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Vasco da Gama have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A games. A PG of 1.5 for F. Diniz Silva's side suggests that run should continue.

	Fluminese 16th	Vasco d Gama 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Fluminese will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Vasco d Gama will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+4 Fluminese’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Vasco d Gama’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics Serie A - 2024/2024 Season

19%

better

FLU

VDG

view stats

Games scored	3		3
Failed to score	1		1
Scored first	3		1
Goals scored	5		4
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1
Avg. shots per game	11		12
Avg. shots per goal	9		12
Conversion rate	11%		8%
KickOff rating		+19%

15%

better

FLU

VDG

view stats

Games conceded	4		4
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	1		3
Goals conceded	8		9
Avg. goals conceded	2		2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate	16%		20%
KickOff rating		+15%

Fluminese v Vasco d Gama Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminese Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	2	2	1
F Fábio	Lima	Ganso	André

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Fábio GLK	1			-
S Xavier DEF	1			-
Manoel DEF				-
F Melo DEF	1			-
Marcelo DEF	1			-
André MID	1			1 -
Martinelli MID	1			-
Marquinhos MID	1			1 -
Ganso MID	1		2	-
J Arias MID	1			-
G Cano FWD	1			-
Subs
F Alves GLK				-
D Barbosa DEF				-
F Vieira DEF	1			-
Guga DEF				1 -
A Carlos DEF				-
Alexsander MID				-
Lima MID	1	2		-
D Terans MID				-
D Costa MID	1			-
J Kennedy FWD	1			-
J. Lucumií González FWD				-
K Nogueira FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	2	1
Lima	G Cano	Ganso	Marquinhos

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Xavier DEF		1
Marquinhos MID		2		1
Ganso MID			2	1
J Arias MID		2
G Cano FWD		3
Subs
Lima MID	2	2
J Kennedy FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
67	2	8
André	S Xavier	F Melo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
André MID	67		7
Ganso MID	62	1	3
Martinelli MID	49		3
Marcelo DEF	43	1	1
Marquinhos MID	40		6
J Arias MID	40		5
F Melo DEF	34		8
S Xavier DEF	32	2	4
F Fábio GLK	25
G Cano FWD	24		1
Subs
Lima MID	55		5
D Costa MID	20		5
J Kennedy FWD	6		4
F Vieira DEF	5
K Nogueira FWD	1		1

Vasco d Gama Serie A squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	1	1
L Jardim	David	Rossi	L Léo

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jardim GLK	1			-
P Henrique DEF	1			-
Maicon DEF				-
L Léo DEF	1			1 -
L Piton DEF	1			-
P Galdames MID	1			-
J Sforza MID	1			1 -
M Santos MID	1			-
Rossi FWD	1		1	1 -
P Vegetti FWD	1			-
David FWD	1	1		-
Subs
Keiller GLK				-
J Victor DEF	1			1 -
R Rojas DEF	1			-
J Bebanz DEF				-
V Luis DEF				-
J. de Paula Morais MID	1			-
Z Gabriel MID				-
H Moura MID				-
Adson MID	1			-
R Rocha FWD	1			-
Clayton FWD				-
E Oliveira FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	1	1	0
David	M Santos	Rossi

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists
David FWD	1	1
M Santos MID		1
Rossi FWD			1
P Vegetti FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
59	5	9
M Santos	L Léo	P Henrique

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Santos MID	59	1	6
J Sforza MID	56	1	1
L Léo DEF	49	5	6
L Piton DEF	44	2	7
David FWD	30	2	5
P Henrique DEF	30	4	9
P Galdames MID	25	2	4
P Vegetti FWD	22		7
L Jardim GLK	20
Rossi FWD	19		4
Subs
J Victor DEF	16	2	5
J. de Paula Morais MID	8	3	4
Adson MID	8
R Rojas DEF	7	1	1
R Rocha FWD	6	1	3