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Gremio v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Bahia pay Serie A competitors Gremio a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Rogério Mücke Ceni leads his men into an away clash with Gustavo Enrique Domingo Quinteros Desábato & co. at the Arena do Grêmio. Serie A statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Gremio's next match is v Juventude at 20:00 on Sunday 1st June
Bahia's next match is v Sao Paulo at 22:30 on Saturday 31st May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Gremio and Bahia was on Sunday 25th May 2025
Brazillian Serie A
May 25th 2025
Gremio 1
0 Bahia
 
M. Braithwait 61'
 
GRE
BAH
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
5
9
Corners
4
17
Possession
32%
68%
Fouls
10
13
Yellow/red cards
4/0
5/0
 
GremioBahia
 
T. Volpi
W. Calvelo de Souza
M. Rodrigues Xavier
J. Maturano dos Santos (R. Cardoso Falkoski 23')
W. Kannemann
D. Moreira Fagundes
M. Villasanti Rolón
F. Cristaldo (G. Martins de Souza Santos 74')
F. Amuzu (C. Pavón 46')
M. Braithwaitfootball icon (D. Arezo Martínez 79')
C. Olivera Ibarra (A. Aravena Guzmán 79')
M. de Freitas Monteiro
Luciano
D. de Duarte Macedo
(S. Arias Naranjo 84') G. Moraes Junior
S. Ramos Mingo
C. Souza e Silva
(R. Bertalia 68') M. Araújo Villar
(K. da Silva Chagas 68') É. de Barros Ribeiro
(I. Amaral Borduchi 85') C. Oliveira Souza
E. da Costa Farias
(W. da Silva 68') L. Rodríguez Rosales

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Gremio and Bahia during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gremio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gremio
43%
29/20-
Draw
28%
11/5-
Bahia
29%
2/1-
Gremio 1-0
13%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
15/2-
Bahia 1-0
10%
15/2-
Gremio 2-0
8%
10/1-
Gremio 2-1
8%
17/2-
Bahia 2-1
7%
10/1-
Bahia 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1-
Gremio 3-0
4%
22/1-
Gremio 3-1
4%
20/1-
Bahia 3-1
2%
25/1-
Gremio 3-2
2%
28/1-
Bahia 3-0
2%
28/1-
Bahia 3-2
1%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
43%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
7%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
45%
4/5-
BTTS - No
55%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11/2-
Home/draw
71%
4/11-
Away/draw
57%
8/15-
Home/away
72%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Home DNB
62%
4/6-
Away DNB
49%
11/10-
Gremio win to nil
27%
3/1-
Bahia win to nil
18%
4/1-
Gremio / Gremio
21%
3/1-
Gremio / Bahia
3%
28/1-
Gremio / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Gremio
14%
9/2-
Draw / Bahia
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Bahia / Gremio
3%
28/1-
Bahia / Bahia
18%
15/4-
Bahia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Gremio 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Bahia 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gremio since 2018
Gremio
Bahia
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
GRE
3
D
2
BAH
2
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Gremio
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
GRE
3
D
1
BAH
3
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Gremio of late. It has been 8 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Bahia.

Gremio 12th Bahia 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Gremio will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294547/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gremio
PG (predicted goals)
Bahia
1.3
1
Attack rating
GRE
BAH
3%
better
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score2
2
Scored first6
6
Goals scored8
9
Avg. goals scored0.9
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
GRE
BAH
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded14
9
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against16%
10%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%

Gremio v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10214
T VolpiM BraithwaiteWagnerM Villasanti
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK10
2
-
J Pedro DEF6
-
W Kannemann DEF2
1
-
Wagner DEF101
1
-
Marlon DEF6
2
-
M Villasanti MID8
4
-
Dodi MID8
2
-
F Amuzu MID71
2
-
F Cristaldo MID7
1
-
C Olivera MID61
1
-
M Braithwaite FWD821
2
-
Subs
G Grando GLK1
1
1
L Esteves DEF4
-
L Cândido DEF
-
V Lopes DEF2
-
G Martins DEF1
-
Nathan MID2
-
Camilo MID8
-
Ronald MID3
-
C Pavón FWD6
3
-
A Guzmán FWD51
1
-
D Martínez FWD711
1
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD6
-
Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10235
S MingoE PulgaL JubaC Alexandre
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Felipe GLK7
-
Gilberto DEF81
2
-
D Duarte DEF7
1
-
S Mingo DEF10
2
-
L Juba DEF1013
-
S Suay MID91
3
1
C Alexandre MID81
4
1
M Araújo MID31
-
Cauly MID912
1
-
E Pulga MID1021
1
-
L Rodriguez FWD9
1
-
Subs
Ronaldo  GLK4
-
G Xavier DEF3
1
-
S Arias DEF3
1
-
Iago DEF5
-
F. Lippert Neto Gomes DEF1
-
R Nestor MID5
-
N Acevedo MID6
1
-
P. da Silva Santos MID
-
W José FWD8
-
Kayky FWD51
-
R. Barbosa Sousa FWD1
-
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD31
-