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Gremio v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 5th Nov, 23:00 BST, Arena do Grêmio, Rio

Cruzeiro are on the road on Wednesday night, as manager Sergiy Lavrinenko takes his team to visit Gremio and Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes at the Arena do Grêmio in the Serie A. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Gremio and Cruzeiro both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Gremio 36%	21/10	-
Draw 32%	11/5	-
Cruzeiro 32%	27/20	-
Draw 0-0 15%	13/2	-
Gremio 1-0 15%	7/1	-
Cruzeiro 1-0 14%	11/2	-
Draw 1-1 14%	5/1	-
Gremio 2-0 7%	14/1	-
Gremio 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Cruzeiro 2-0 6%	9/1	-
Cruzeiro 2-1 6%	9/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	16/1	-
Gremio 3-0 2%	33/1	-
Gremio 3-1 2%	28/1	-
Cruzeiro 3-0 2%	20/1	-
Cruzeiro 3-1 2%	20/1	-
Gremio 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Cruzeiro 3-2 1%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 30%	27/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 70%	4/7	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	5/4	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	10/11	-
No 1st Goal 10%	13/2	-
BTTS - Yes 38%	1/1	-
BTTS - No 62%	3/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 11%	13/2	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	9/2	-
Home/draw 68%	4/7	-
Away/draw 64%	4/11	-
Home/away 68%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 57%	4/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 43%	7/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 13%	7/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 87%	1/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 5%	9/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 95%	1/16	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	20/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/66	-
Over 0.5 Goals 85%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 15%	13/2	-
Home DNB 58%	6/5	-
Away DNB 54%	8/13	-
Gremio win to nil 25%	7/2	-
Cruzeiro win to nil 22%	5/2	-
Gremio / Gremio 15%	9/2	-
Gremio / Cruzeiro 3%	28/1	-
Gremio / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Gremio 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Cruzeiro 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 19%	7/2	-
Cruzeiro / Gremio 2%	33/1	-
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro 21%	3/1	-
Cruzeiro / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 1	Bragantino
Gremio	1 - 0	Santos
Gremio	1 - 1	Internacional
Gremio	0 - 2	Flamengo
Gremio	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Gremio	0 - 3	Corinthians
Gremio	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Gremio	2 - 2	Juventude
Gremio	3 - 1	Atletico Go
Gremio	3 - 1	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Juventude
A	Gremio	0 - 4	Bahia
H	Gremio	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Bragantino
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Santos
H	Gremio	3 - 1	Vitoria
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Botafogo
A	Gremio	3 - 2	Internacional
H	Gremio	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Flamengo
H	Gremio	0 - 0	Ceara
A	Gremio	3 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Gremio	0 - 1	S. Recife
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Fluminense
H	Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Gremio	0 - 1	Palmeiras
A	Gremio	1 - 1	Vasco d Gama
A	Gremio	1 - 4	Cruzeiro
H	Gremio	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Gremio	2 - 0	Juventude

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
A Mineiro	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
Bahia	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Botafogo	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Vitoria	0 - 0	Cruzeiro
Fortaleza	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
S. Recife	0 - 4	Cruzeiro
Bragantino	1 - 0	Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Internacional	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
Juventude	0 - 1	Cruzeiro
Bragantino	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Corinthians	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
Athletico PR	3 - 0	Cruzeiro
Fluminense	1 - 0	Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Fortaleza
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	A Mineiro
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	S. Recife
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Flamengo
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bragantino
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Bahia
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Internacional
A	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Mirassol
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Santos
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Botafogo
H	Cruzeiro	1 - 2	Ceara
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Corinthians
H	Cruzeiro	4 - 0	Juventude
A	Cruzeiro	2 - 0	Fluminense
H	Cruzeiro	4 - 1	Gremio
A	Cruzeiro	0 - 0	Vitoria
H	Cruzeiro	2 - 1	Palmeiras

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Gremio

Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

1 / 5

GRE

CRU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gremio
	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
Gremio	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Gremio	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Cruzeiro

Gremio

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

GRE

CRU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Cruzeiro	1 - 0
Cruzeiro	1 - 0
	1 - 4	Gremio
	0 - 1	Gremio

Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Cruzeiro fans, as should a 5 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Gremio 11th	Cruzeiro 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Gremio scoring 1 goal or less	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Gremio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-13 Cruzeiro have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

GRE

CRU

18%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		22
Failed to score	9		7
Scored first	13		18
Goals scored	30		42
Avg. goals scored	1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	13		14
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+18%

GRE

CRU

37%

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		16
Clean sheets	5		13
Conceded first	15		7
Goals conceded	37		21
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		13
Conversion rate against	11%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1
KickOff rating		+37%

Gremio v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Gremio Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	2	7
T Volpi	M Braithwaite	Marlon	Dodi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Volpi GLK	25	2		2 -
Dodi MID	25			6 1
Wagner DEF	24		1	2 -
Edenilson MID	24	3	1	5 -
Marlon DEF	23		2	6 -
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	23	1	2	4 -
F Cristaldo MID	22		2	1 -
C Pavón FWD	21		2	4 -
C Olivera FWD	20	2		3 -
A Guzmán FWD	19	3		1 -
André FWD	18	3	2	3 -
M Braithwaite FWD	18	6	1	3 -
W Kannemann DEF	17			6 1
M Villasanti MID	16			5 -
F Amuzu FWD	16	2	2	2 -
G Martins DEF	14	1		2 -
Camilo MID	14			1 -
E Mola MID	10			-
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	10			-
G Cuéllar MID	10			1 -
Jemerson DEF	9	1		3 -
A Santana MID	8			4 -
M Monsalve MID	8		1	2 -
M Rocha DEF	7			1 -
L Esteves DEF	7			1 -
J Pedro DEF	7			-
Arthur MID	7			1 1
C Vinícius FWD	7	6		2 1
G Grando GLK	6			1 1
J Lucas DEF	5			1 -
F Balbuena DEF	3	1		-
Willian FWD	3		1	-
V Lopes DEF	2			-
R Ely DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	2	7
M Braithwaite	M Braithwaite	Marlon	Marlon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Braithwaite FWD	6	16	1	1
C Vinícius FWD	6	8		1
Edenilson MID	3	9	1	4
A Guzmán FWD	3	5		2
André FWD	3	10	2	2
T Volpi GLK	2	2
C Olivera FWD	2	10		1
F Amuzu FWD	2	8	2	2
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	1	8	2	5
G Martins DEF	1	6
Jemerson DEF	1	2
F Balbuena DEF	1	1
Dodi MID		2		1
Wagner DEF		5	1	2
Marlon DEF		3	2	7
F Cristaldo MID		3	2	3
C Pavón FWD		5	2	4
W Kannemann DEF		2
Camilo MID		1		1
R. Freitas dos Santos MID		1		2
A Santana MID		1
M Monsalve MID		1	1
M Rocha DEF				1
L Esteves DEF		1
J Pedro DEF		3
Arthur MID		1
Willian FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
947	59	158
Wagner	Marlon	A. da Rocha dos Santos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Wagner DEF	947	20	81
Marlon DEF	866	59	119
T Volpi GLK	652		17
Dodi MID	630	42	98
W Kannemann DEF	594	24	85
M Villasanti MID	535	43	81
Edenilson MID	434	16	66
C Pavón FWD	420	20	57
G Martins DEF	417	21	52
E Mola MID	390	10	29
Arthur MID	376	19	43
F Cristaldo MID	358	16	63
Jemerson DEF	336	18	43
G Cuéllar MID	334	22	41
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD	331	39	158
M Rocha DEF	305	23	40
L Esteves DEF	274	11	33
C Olivera FWD	264	28	88
M Braithwaite FWD	260	10	70
Camilo MID	211	22	36
J Pedro DEF	209	8	20
André FWD	188	8	41
F Amuzu FWD	181	7	37
F Balbuena DEF	166	3	12
R. Freitas dos Santos MID	166	6	32
A Santana MID	165	4	19
A Guzmán FWD	155	8	24
G Grando GLK	117		5
M Monsalve MID	103	5	24
Willian FWD	90		9
J Lucas DEF	69	7	13
C Vinícius FWD	61	1	28
R Ely DEF	13	1	3
V Lopes DEF	7

Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	15	7	10
C Cássio	K Jorge	M Pereira	Kaiki

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Cássio GLK	28			5 -
L Silva MID	28	2	2	5 -
M Pereira MID	28	6	7	5 -
Kaiki DEF	27	1	3	10 -
F Bruno DEF	27	2		6 1
L Romero MID	27	1	2	10 -
K Jorge FWD	27	15	7	4 1
Wanderson FWD	27		2	2 -
L Villalba DEF	26	1		9 -
Christian MID	24	4	2	7 -
William DEF	23		4	2 1
C Eduardo MID	23	1		1 1
G Barbosa FWD	23	6	2	4 -
Marquinhos FWD	17			1 -
Y Bolasie FWD	14		1	1 -
M Henrique MID	13			2 -
J Alves DEF	11		1	1
Walace MID	10			2 -
Fagner DEF	9			1 -
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID	6		1	1 -
K. de Almeida DEF	5			1 -
L Sinisterra FWD	4	1		-
L Carvalho GLK	3			1 -
K. Moraes Silva DEF	3			-
J Marcelo DEF	2			-
M Gamarra DEF	2			-
K. Takamura Correa FWD	2			-
R. da Silva Pae MID	1			-
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	33	7	11
K Jorge	K Jorge	M Pereira	M Pereira

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Jorge FWD	15	33	7	7
M Pereira MID	6	23	7	11
G Barbosa FWD	6	15	2	1
Christian MID	4	11	2	5
L Silva MID	2	4	2	2
F Bruno DEF	2	4		1
Kaiki DEF	1	8	3	4
L Romero MID	1	5	2	2
L Villalba DEF	1	5
C Eduardo MID	1	3
L Sinisterra FWD	1	2
Wanderson FWD		11	2	8
William DEF		4	4	8
Marquinhos FWD		2
Y Bolasie FWD		2	1	1
M Henrique MID		2		1
J Alves DEF			1	1
Fagner DEF				1
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID		5	1	1
K. Moraes Silva DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1210	76	177
F Bruno	Kaiki	Kaiki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Bruno DEF	1210	41	121
L Villalba DEF	1191	26	107
L Romero MID	1177	52	123
L Silva MID	1136	44	99
M Pereira MID	1023	34	164
William DEF	734	56	101
Kaiki DEF	693	76	177
C Cássio GLK	507	1	8
Christian MID	425	31	98
Wanderson FWD	389	12	65
K Jorge FWD	369	10	103
C Eduardo MID	288	12	43
Fagner DEF	255	19	38
M Henrique MID	246	20	38
J Alves DEF	238	12	25
G Barbosa FWD	202	6	21
K. Arroyo Alvarado MID	99	2	17
Walace MID	98	5	8
K. Moraes Silva DEF	83	3	9
M Gamarra DEF	83	6	10
Marquinhos FWD	80	15	27
K. de Almeida DEF	65	11	15
L Carvalho GLK	55		2
Y Bolasie FWD	41	4	24
J Marcelo DEF	31		5
L Sinisterra FWD	25	1	6
R. da Silva Pae MID	14	2	3
K. Takamura Correa FWD	5		3
M. Rhikman Alves Pimentel MID	4		1