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Mirassol v Bahia : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 31st Aug, 22:30 BST, Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Rogério Mücke Ceni takes his Bahia team to the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in the Serie A on Sunday night, with Rafael Escobar Obrero's Mirassol waiting for them. Stats drive the predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mirassol 50%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Bahia 24%	-	-
Mirassol 1-0 13%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Mirassol 2-0 10%	-	-
Mirassol 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	-	-
Bahia 1-0 8%	-	-
Bahia 2-1 6%	-	-
Mirassol 3-0 5%	-	-
Mirassol 3-1 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Bahia 2-0 4%	-	-
Mirassol 3-2 2%	-	-
Bahia 3-1 2%	-	-
Mirassol 4-0 2%	-	-
Mirassol 4-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	-	-
BTTS - No 52%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	-	-
Home/draw 76%	-	-
Away/draw 50%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Home DNB 68%	-	-
Away DNB 42%	-	-
Mirassol win to nil 30%	-	-
Bahia win to nil 14%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria
Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos
Mirassol	1 - 0	S. Recife
Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
Mirassol	2 - 2	A Mineiro
Mirassol	4 - 1	Gremio
Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Mirassol	1 - 0	Chapecoense
Mirassol	4 - 1	Cortiba
Mirassol	3 - 0	Ponte Preta
Mirassol	1 - 0	Novorizontin
Mirassol	1 - 0	Vila Nova
Mirassol	0 - 0	S. Recife
Mirassol	0 - 0	Amazonas
Mirassol	1 - 0	America
Mirassol	1 - 2	Botafogo
Mirassol	2 - 0	Brusque
Mirassol	1 - 0	Operario

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Cruzeiro
A	Mirassol	1 - 2	Flamengo
H	Mirassol	3 - 2	Vasco d Gama
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Ceara
H	Mirassol	3 - 0	Santos
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Palmeiras
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	S. Recife
A	Mirassol	2 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Internacional
H	Mirassol	2 - 1	Corinthians
A	Mirassol	0 - 1	Bragantino
H	Mirassol	2 - 2	A Mineiro
A	Mirassol	2 - 2	Juventude
H	Mirassol	4 - 1	Gremio
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Mirassol	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Mirassol	1 - 0	Chapecoense
A	Mirassol	1 - 1	Operario

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Corinthians	1 - 2	Bahia
S. Recife	0 - 0	Bahia
Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	0 - 3	Bahia
Gremio	1 - 0	Bahia
Flamengo	1 - 0	Bahia
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Cruzeiro	3 - 0	Bahia
Santos	2 - 2	Bahia
Corinthians	3 - 0	Bahia
Cuiaba	1 - 2	Bahia
Juventude	2 - 1	Bahia
Vasco d Gama	3 - 2	Bahia
Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Bahia
Fortaleza	4 - 1	Bahia
Bragantino	2 - 1	Bahia
Gremio	0 - 2	Bahia
Fluminense	1 - 0	Bahia
Atletico Go	1 - 1	Bahia
Athletico PR	1 - 3	Bahia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bahia	2 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bahia	3 - 3	Fluminense
A	Bahia	0 - 0	S. Recife
H	Bahia	3 - 0	Juventude
A	Bahia	1 - 1	Fortaleza
H	Bahia	2 - 1	A Mineiro
A	Bahia	3 - 0	Bragantino
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Gremio
H	Bahia	2 - 1	Vitoria
A	Bahia	0 - 1	Flamengo
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Botafogo
A	Bahia	1 - 0	Palmeiras
H	Bahia	1 - 0	Ceara
A	Bahia	0 - 3	Cruzeiro
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Bahia	2 - 2	Santos
H	Bahia	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Bahia	2 - 0	Atletico Go
A	Bahia	0 - 3	Corinthians

Goal Statistics

Mirassol have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Bahia on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Mirassol 6th	Bahia 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Mirassol will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Bahia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+18 Mirassol have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted	+6 Bahia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

26%

better

BAH

view stats

Games scored	15		12
Failed to score	1		4
Scored first	10		10
Goals scored	27		20
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		8
Conversion rate for	20		13
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+26%

BAH

17%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		10
Clean sheets	4		6
Conceded first	6		5
Goals conceded	16		13
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		11
Conversion rate against	10%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+17%

Mirassol v Bahia Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Mirassol Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	7	2	4
J. Ribeiro da Silva	Reinaldo	Reinaldo	J Victor

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	17	1		1 -
Reinaldo DEF	16	7	2	3 -
Danielzinho MID	16		1	3 -
Edson FWD	16	3	2	1 -
L Ramon DEF	15	1	2	3 -
J Victor DEF	15		1	3 1
Gabriel MID	15	3	1	2 -
N Moura MID	15			4 -
J Aldo MID	14			2 -
C Renato FWD	13	2	1	2 -
Negueba FWD	13	2		2 -
Y Felipe MID	12		1	1 -
Walter GLK	11			2 -
D Borges DEF	8	2		2 -
M Bianqui MID	7			1 -
A Muralha GLK	6			2 -
Chico MID	6			-
Chico FWD	6	4		-
Alesson FWD	6	1	2	-
Roni MID	5			1 -
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	5			1 -
C Eduardo FWD	4		2	1 -
Gabriel DEF	2			-
F Jonatan DEF	1			-
L Filipe FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	12	2	5
Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Reinaldo	Reinaldo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Reinaldo DEF	7	12	2	5
Chico FWD	4	5
Edson FWD	3	11	2	4
Gabriel MID	3	8	1	3
C Renato FWD	2	10	1	1
Negueba FWD	2	4		3
D Borges DEF	2	2
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	1	3
L Ramon DEF	1	9	2	1
Alesson FWD	1	1	2
Danielzinho MID		3	1	2
J Victor DEF		1	1	1
J Aldo MID		1		1
Y Felipe MID			1	1
M Bianqui MID		1
Chico MID		1
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD		1		1
C Eduardo FWD		1	2	3
Gabriel DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
872	35	87
Danielzinho	N Moura	L Ramon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Danielzinho MID	872	29	72
J. Ribeiro da Silva DEF	761	24	67
J Victor DEF	681	13	50
N Moura MID	665	35	60
Reinaldo DEF	578	14	46
L Ramon DEF	466	34	87
Gabriel MID	420	6	35
J Aldo MID	317	18	41
Walter GLK	290		10
Y Felipe MID	234	14	36
Negueba FWD	213	12	54
Edson FWD	164	20	55
A Muralha GLK	140		2
D Borges DEF	139	7	16
Chico FWD	86	1	18
C Renato FWD	80	5	32
Gabriel DEF	72	1	8
Chico MID	62	8	20
Roni MID	49	4	4
Alesson FWD	46	3	15
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	41	1	8
F Jonatan DEF	32	1	3
M Bianqui MID	18	2	7
L Filipe FWD	11	1	1
C Eduardo FWD	10	1	6

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	4	3	5
L Juba	L Juba	L Juba	S Suay

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Juba DEF	18	4	3	2 -
S Mingo DEF	17			4 -
C Alexandre MID	16		1	4 -
S Suay MID	16	2		4 1
J Lucas MID	16	2		2 1
L Rodriguez FWD	16	1		1 -
Gilberto DEF	15	1		3 -
D Duarte DEF	15			2 -
Cauly MID	15	1	3	1 -
W José FWD	15	3	3	2 -
Ademir FWD	15		1	2 -
E Pulga FWD	15	2	3	1 -
N Acevedo MID	13			1 -
Kayky FWD	13	1	1	1 -
M Felipe GLK	11			-
M Araújo FWD	11	4		1 -
Ronaldo GLK	8			-
Erick MID	8	1		3 -
S Arias DEF	7			2 -
R Nestor MID	7	1		1 -
Iago DEF	6			-
G Xavier DEF	4			1 -
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	3		1	-
Kanu DEF	2			-
Rezende MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	3	7
L Juba	W José	L Juba	E Pulga

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Juba DEF	4	7	3	5
M Araújo FWD	4	4		1
W José FWD	3	10	3	3
S Suay MID	2	5		5
J Lucas MID	2	6		4
E Pulga FWD	2	7	3	7
L Rodriguez FWD	1	7		1
Gilberto DEF	1	2		1
Cauly MID	1	3	3	2
Kayky FWD	1	4	1	1
Erick MID	1	1
R Nestor MID	1	2		1
S Mingo DEF				2
C Alexandre MID		1	1	1
D Duarte DEF		2
Ademir FWD		6	1	6
N Acevedo MID		1		1
S Arias DEF		2
Iago DEF		1
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
937	32	92
S Mingo	Gilberto	E Pulga

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Mingo DEF	937	18	74
C Alexandre MID	931	25	64
L Juba DEF	817	31	61
D Duarte DEF	802	9	56
Gilberto DEF	681	32	66
S Suay MID	605	21	63
J Lucas MID	491	27	76
M Felipe GLK	375		6
E Pulga FWD	316	26	92
N Acevedo MID	302	16	30
Ademir FWD	283	25	82
Cauly MID	264	3	18
Ronaldo GLK	216		6
W José FWD	199	3	28
S Arias DEF	178	7	12
Kayky FWD	156	9	27
R Nestor MID	155	6	10
Erick MID	143	9	21
G Xavier DEF	126	2	8
L Rodriguez FWD	123	7	24
M Araújo FWD	118	10	25
Iago DEF	90	6	10
Kanu DEF	61	1	2
Rezende MID	40	2	7
T. Souza de Jesus Carvalho FWD	17	5	13