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Palmeiras v Fortaleza : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 19:00 BST, Allianz Parque, São Paulo

The Serie A is the focus for both Palmeiras and Fortaleza on Sunday evening, as bosses Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira and Martin Svedik battle it out at the Allianz Parque. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head records, will change as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

Best Tip: Palmeiras to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this match, and it's Palmeiras. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Fortaleza too. The odds point towards Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Sunday evening too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Palmeiras are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Palmeiras 62%	4/9 8%	-
Draw 23%	31/10 14%	-
Fortaleza 15%	7/1 16%	-
Palmeiras 1-0 15%	11/2 8%	-
Palmeiras 2-0 13%	11/2 18%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	7/1 16%	-
Palmeiras 2-1 9%	15/2 11%	-
Draw 0-0 9%	9/1	-
Palmeiras 3-0 8%	17/2 27%	-
Fortaleza 1-0 6%	18/1	-
Palmeiras 3-1 5%	12/1	-
Fortaleza 2-1 4%	22/1 12%	-
Palmeiras 4-0 3%	16/1 31%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	18/1 27%	-
Palmeiras 4-1 2%	22/1 10%	-
Fortaleza 2-0 2%	40/1	-
Palmeiras 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	-
Palmeiras 5-0 1%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	17/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	19/20	-
Home 1st Goal 59%	2/5 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 36%	9/4 13%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 41%	21/20 9%	-
BTTS - No 59%	7/10 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	5/2 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	9/2 21%	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	14/1 21%	-
Home/draw 85%	1/12 1%	-
Away/draw 38%	13/8 19%	-
Home/away 77%	2/9 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	11/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	9/1	-
Home DNB 78%	1/8 5%	-
Away DNB 31%	5/1 25%	-
Palmeiras win to nil 41%	6/5 15%	-
Fortaleza win to nil 9%	12/1 13%	-
Palmeiras / Palmeiras 39%	11/10 10%	-
Palmeiras / Fortaleza 2%	50/1 24%	-
Palmeiras / Draw 5%	16/1 11%	-
Draw / Palmeiras 21%	3/1 7%	-
Draw / Fortaleza 5%	14/1 12%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 14%	-
Fortaleza / Palmeiras 4%	20/1 9%	-
Fortaleza / Fortaleza 6%	12/1 32%	-
Fortaleza / Draw 4%	18/1 17%	-

Win / draw / win form

Fortaleza have not won in 13 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Ceara
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo
Palmeiras	0 - 1	Fluminense
Palmeiras	1 - 3	Botafogo
Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	2 - 1	A Mineiro
Palmeiras	5 - 0	Criciuma
Palmeiras	5 - 0	Cuiaba
Palmeiras	2 - 1	Sao Paulo
Palmeiras	0 - 2	Vitoria
Palmeiras	2 - 0	Cruzeiro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Corinthians
H	Palmeiras	3 - 0	S. Recife
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Botafogo
H	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Ceara
A	Palmeiras	2 - 2	Vitoria
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Gremio
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fluminense
H	Palmeiras	3 - 2	A Mineiro
H	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Mirassol
A	Palmeiras	1 - 2	Cruzeiro
H	Palmeiras	0 - 2	Flamengo
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Bragantino
H	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Vasco d Gama
H	Palmeiras	0 - 1	Bahia
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	Fortaleza
A	Palmeiras	1 - 0	Internacional
H	Palmeiras	2 - 0	Corinthians
A	Palmeiras	2 - 1	S. Recife
H	Palmeiras	0 - 0	Botafogo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Internacional	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Corinthians	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Gremio	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Flamengo	5 - 0	Fortaleza
Vasco d Gama	3 - 0	Fortaleza
Sao Paulo	0 - 0	Fortaleza
S. Recife	0 - 0	Fortaleza
Vitoria	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Mirassol	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Atletico Go	3 - 1	Fortaleza
Vitoria	2 - 0	Fortaleza
Fluminense	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Juventude	0 - 3	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	2 - 2	Fortaleza
Gremio	3 - 1	Fortaleza
Athletico PR	1 - 1	Fortaleza
Internacional	2 - 1	Fortaleza
Botafogo	2 - 0	Fortaleza
Bragantino	1 - 2	Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Internacional
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Mirassol
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Fluminense
H	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Botafogo
A	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Corinthians
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Gremio
H	Fortaleza	3 - 1	Bragantino
H	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Bahia
H	Fortaleza	0 - 1	Ceara
H	Fortaleza	2 - 3	Santos
A	Fortaleza	0 - 5	Flamengo
H	Fortaleza	0 - 2	Cruzeiro
A	Fortaleza	0 - 3	Vasco d Gama
H	Fortaleza	5 - 0	Juventude
A	Fortaleza	0 - 0	Sao Paulo
A	Fortaleza	0 - 0	S. Recife
H	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Palmeiras
A	Fortaleza	1 - 2	Vitoria
H	Fortaleza	0 - 0	Internacional
A	Fortaleza	1 - 1	Mirassol

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Palmeiras

Fortaleza

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

0 / 6

PAL

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palmeiras
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Palmeiras	3 - 1
Palmeiras	4 - 0
	2 - 3	Fortaleza
Palmeiras	3 - 0
Palmeiras	4 - 0

Fortaleza

Palmeiras

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

2 / 7

PAL

FOR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fortaleza
	1 - 2	Palmeiras
Fortaleza	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Fortaleza	1 - 0
Fortaleza	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Palmeiras

Goal Statistics

Palmeiras have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.7 against Fortaleza on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A truly dismal PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Fortaleza fans, as should a 6 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Palmeiras 3rd	Fortaleza 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ There is a 82% probability that Palmeiras will score 1 or more goals	0 50% 1 35% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 85% probability of Fortaleza scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Palmeiras’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+1 Fortaleza’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season

25%

better

PAL

FOR

view stats

Games scored	13		10
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	9		6
Goals scored	21		18
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	14		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+25%

21%

better

PAL

FOR

view stats

Games conceded	10		12
Clean sheets	6		5
Conceded first	6		8
Goals conceded	14		24
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.5
KickOff rating		+21%

Palmeiras v Fortaleza Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Palmeiras Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	6	3	4
Weverton	J López	V Roque	G Portillo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Weverton GLK	19			2 -
J Piquerez DEF	19	3	1	2 -
V Roque FWD	19	5	3	2 -
J López FWD	18	6		3 -
F Torres FWD	18	4	2	2 -
A Giay DEF	17			-
G Portillo DEF	16	1		4 -
L Evangelista MID	16	1	1	2 -
E Martínez MID	16	1		2 -
M Maurício MID	15	3	3	-
A Moreno MID	15			3 -
F Anderson FWD	15	1		-
A. Andrade Elias FWD	13	1		1 1
B Fuchs DEF	12			4 -
R Veiga MID	10		1	-
Micael DEF	9			2 -
R Sosa FWD	8		2	-
Murilo DEF	7	1		4 -
Paulinho FWD	7			-
L. Sousa Santos FWD	6			-
Khellven DEF	4			-
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	2			-
M Lomba GLK	1			-
J Dias DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	18	3	4
J López	V Roque	V Roque	F Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J López FWD	6	12		1
V Roque FWD	5	18	3	3
F Torres FWD	4	11	2	4
J Piquerez DEF	3	6	1	2
M Maurício MID	3	7	3	2
G Portillo DEF	1	2		2
L Evangelista MID	1	6	1	1
E Martínez MID	1	4		2
F Anderson FWD	1	4		1
A. Andrade Elias FWD	1	2
Murilo DEF	1	2
A Giay DEF				1
A Moreno MID		1		3
B Fuchs DEF				1
R Veiga MID		2	1
Micael DEF		1
R Sosa FWD		1	2	3
Paulinho FWD		1		1
L. Sousa Santos FWD				1
Khellven DEF				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
756	42	106
J Piquerez	A Giay	J López

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Piquerez DEF	756	33	65
G Portillo DEF	689	35	82
A Giay DEF	640	42	84
A Moreno MID	506	27	46
Weverton GLK	495		7
L Evangelista MID	473	27	63
E Martínez MID	430	29	51
F Torres FWD	429	9	42
Micael DEF	396	18	44
B Fuchs DEF	375	15	45
F Anderson FWD	374	32	63
Murilo DEF	310	8	20
M Maurício MID	298	5	16
J López FWD	196	18	106
R Veiga MID	154	6	24
V Roque FWD	144	9	85
Paulinho FWD	101	1	13
R Sosa FWD	98	3	17
A. Andrade Elias FWD	91	13	34
Khellven DEF	90	4	11
L. Roncholeta Benedetti DEF	86	2	7
L. Sousa Santos FWD	66	3	16
M Lomba GLK	23
J Dias DEF	3	1	2

Fortaleza Serie A squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	3	2	6
B Kuscevic	J Lucero	Marinho	E Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Lucero FWD	19	3	1	4 -
Y Pikachu FWD	18	2		2 -
B Kuscevic DEF	17	1		1 -
L Sasha MID	16			1 -
Deyverson FWD	16	3		2 -
B Lopes FWD	15	3		2 -
E Mancuso DEF	14			2 -
E Martínez MID	14	1	1	6 -
Marinho FWD	13	1	2	3 1
J Ricardo GLK	12			1 -
T Pochettino MID	12	1	2	-
G Ávila DEF	11			1 -
M Rossetto MID	11			-
L. Prior Pimenta MID	11	2		2 -
D Barbosa DEF	10	1		1 -
Tinga DEF	10	1		1 -
J Welison MID	9			3 -
M Pereira MID	8		2	2 -
A Bareiro FWD	7			2 -
Allanzinho FWD	7		2	1 -
B Pacheco DEF	6		1	2 -
J Herrera FWD	6			1 -
E Brítez DEF	5			3 -
M Magrão GLK	3			1 -
H Leite GLK	3			-
Weverson DEF	3			-
M Moisés FWD	3		1	1 -
Brenno GLK	2			1 1
V Silvestre GLK	2			-
Pablo MID	2			-
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	1			-
Pierre MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	2	5
J Lucero	J Lucero	Marinho	J Lucero

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Lucero FWD	3	9	1	5
Deyverson FWD	3	7
B Lopes FWD	3	8		2
Y Pikachu FWD	2	6		2
L. Prior Pimenta MID	2	4		3
B Kuscevic DEF	1	2
E Martínez MID	1	4	1	1
Marinho FWD	1	6	2	3
T Pochettino MID	1	8	2
D Barbosa DEF	1	1		1
Tinga DEF	1	1
L Sasha MID		2		1
E Mancuso DEF		1		1
G Ávila DEF		4
J Welison MID		1
M Pereira MID		1	2	1
A Bareiro FWD		5
Allanzinho FWD			2	3
B Pacheco DEF			1	1
J Herrera FWD		1		1
E Brítez DEF		1
M Moisés FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
665	60	98
B Kuscevic	L Sasha	L Sasha

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Kuscevic DEF	665	35	82
L Sasha MID	585	60	98
G Ávila DEF	446	26	46
M Rossetto MID	443	14	25
M Pereira MID	418	10	29
E Martínez MID	401	17	38
E Mancuso DEF	361	25	54
Y Pikachu FWD	323	12	36
Tinga DEF	312	12	39
B Lopes FWD	289	4	46
J Ricardo GLK	280
L. Prior Pimenta MID	226	11	35
E Brítez DEF	216	10	29
J Welison MID	208	16	29
Deyverson FWD	193	5	62
T Pochettino MID	192	21	43
D Barbosa DEF	184	14	39
J Lucero FWD	173	10	39
B Pacheco DEF	173	14	32
Marinho FWD	152	9	44
J Herrera FWD	96	7	20
Weverson DEF	85	3	6
Allanzinho FWD	64	3	26
M Magrão GLK	57
V Silvestre GLK	53		1
H Leite GLK	47
Pablo MID	45	3	5
A Bareiro FWD	44	3	19
Brenno GLK	26	1	2
M Moisés FWD	21	1	6
Pierre MID	20		1
R. Oliveira dos Santos MID	6	1	1