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Sao Paulo v Ceará : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 30th Sep, 00:00 BST, Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, São Paulo

Sunday evening at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Sao Paulo and Ceará. Hernán Jorge Crespo and Leonardo Rodrigues Condé going all-out to ensure victory. Serie A statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sao Paulo
47%
--
Draw
28%
--
Ceara
25%
--
Sao Paulo 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Sao Paulo 2-0
10%
--
Ceara 1-0
9%
--
Sao Paulo 2-1
9%
--
Ceara 2-1
6%
--
Sao Paulo 3-0
4%
--
Ceara 2-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Sao Paulo 3-1
4%
--
Sao Paulo 3-2
2%
--
Ceara 3-1
2%
--
Sao Paulo 4-0
1%
--
Sao Paulo 4-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
45%
--
BTTS - No
55%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
53%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
67%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Sao Paulo win to nil
30%
--
Ceara win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Sao Paulo 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
Sao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
Sao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
Sao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Sao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Sao Paulo1 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo0 - 0S. Recife
Sao Paulo1 - 2Juventude
Sao Paulo2 - 2A Mineiro
Sao Paulo2 - 1Athletico PR
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco d Gama
Sao Paulo3 - 1Corinthians
Sao Paulo1 - 3Internacional
Sao Paulo2 - 1Vitoria
Sao Paulo1 - 0Atletico Go
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSao Paulo1 - 0Botafogo
ASao Paulo0 - 1Cruzeiro
HSao Paulo2 - 0A Mineiro
ASao Paulo2 - 2S. Recife
HSao Paulo2 - 0Vitoria
ASao Paulo2 - 1Internacional
HSao Paulo3 - 1Fluminense
ASao Paulo1 - 0Juventude
HSao Paulo2 - 0Corinthians
ASao Paulo2 - 2Bragantino
ASao Paulo0 - 2Flamengo
HSao Paulo1 - 3Vasco d Gama
ASao Paulo1 - 2Bahia
HSao Paulo0 - 2Mirassol
HSao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
ASao Paulo0 - 1Palmeiras
HSao Paulo0 - 0Fortaleza
ASao Paulo1 - 1Ceara
HSao Paulo2 - 1Santos
ASao Paulo2 - 2Botafogo
Ceara 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gremio0 - 0Ceara
Palmeiras2 - 1Ceara
Cruzeiro1 - 2Ceara
Internacional1 - 0Ceara
Fortaleza0 - 1Ceara
Botafogo3 - 2Ceara
Santos0 - 0Ceara
Bahia1 - 0Ceara
Juventude2 - 1Ceara
Bragantino2 - 2Ceara
Guarani0 - 0Ceara
Botafogo1 - 4Ceara
Santos1 - 0Ceara
Ituano1 - 2Ceara
S. Recife2 - 1Ceara
Cortiba3 - 1Ceara
Chapecoense2 - 1Ceara
Amazonas1 - 1Ceara
CRB0 - 2Ceara
Goias2 - 1Ceara
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCeara0 - 1Juventude
ACeara0 - 0Gremio
HCeara1 - 0Bragantino
ACeara1 - 2Palmeiras
HCeara1 - 1Flamengo
ACeara2 - 1Cruzeiro
HCeara0 - 2Mirassol
ACeara0 - 1Internacional
HCeara0 - 1Corinthians
ACeara1 - 0Fortaleza
ACeara2 - 3Botafogo
HCeara0 - 1A Mineiro
HCeara2 - 0S. Recife
ACeara0 - 0Santos
HCeara1 - 0Vitoria
HCeara1 - 1Sao Paulo
ACeara0 - 1Bahia
HCeara2 - 1Vasco d Gama
ACeara1 - 2Juventude
HCeara2 - 0Gremio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sao Paulo have drawn with Ceara in 3 consecutive home league meetings
11
Sao Paulo have not lost to Ceara in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sao Paulo since 2018
Sao Paulo
Ceara
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
SAO
2
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sao Paulo
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sao Paulo1 - 0
Sao Paulo1 - 0
League games at Ceara since 2018
Ceara
Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
SAO
1
D
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ceara
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Sao Paulo
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Ceará fans, as should a 5 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Sao Paulo 7th Ceara 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Sao Paulo will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Ceara scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Sao Paulo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Ceara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
Sao Paulo
PG (predicted goals)
Ceara
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
5%
better
SAO
CEA
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score6
6
Scored first8
8
Goals scored20
17
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.8
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
SAO
CEA
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded20
17
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+5%

Sao Paulo v Ceara Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sao Paulo Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22536
RafaelA SilvaN Ferraresi E Díaz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Rafael GLK22
2
-
C Soares DEF202
1
-
A Silva FWD2052
5
-
N Ferraresi  DEF193
2
-
E Díaz DEF193
6
-
Luciano FWD1943
6
-
A Franco DEF18
5
-
D Bobadilla MID1821
3
-
Alisson MID181
4
-
Sabino DEF171
2
-
M Antônio MID172
4
-
Ferreira FWD1742
3
-
R Arboleda DEF143
2
-
P Maia MID141
2
-
Wendell DEF131
-
Rodrigo MID13
4
-
R. Rodrigues dos Santos Silva FWD82
-
G Tapia FWD72
3
-
Oscar MID6
1
-
Luan MID5
-
J Dinenno FWD51
1
-
Patryck DEF3
1
-
L Moura FWD31
-
J Calleri FWD3
1
L. Marques Alencar FWD3
-
M. Gomes Viegas DEF21
2
-
Young GLK1
-
R Tolói DEF1
-
L Gustavo MID1
-
E Rigoni FWD1
-
Ceara Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21756
DiegoP RaulL MugniF Sobral
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Diego DEF212
2
-
Galeano FWD2142
2
-
W Machado DEF20
3
-
P Raul FWD207
3
-
F Silva DEF191
5
-
F Sobral MID19
6
-
L Mugni MID1915
4
-
Marllon DEF182
2
-
L Lourenço MID1811
-
Bruno GLK14
2
-
P Henrique FWD141
5
-
Aylon FWD142
1
-
R Ramos DEF13
2
-
M Bahia DEF131
4
-
Nicolas DEF10
1
-
L Lima MID10
-
M Araújo MID1011
-
F Miguel GLK8
-
Richardson MID7
2
-
Fernandinho FWD71
1
-
G. Oliveira da Silva FWD61
-
M Victor DEF3
-
Éder DEF2
-
Rodriguinho FWD2
-
P Baya FWD2
-
Vina MID1
-