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Ajax v Groningen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 19:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

We’ve Eredivisie action to enjoy on Sunday evening, as Fred Grim and his Ajax side host Dick Lukkien’s Groningen at the Johan Cruijff Arena. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Ajax and Groningen will score at least 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it available at 1.18.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Ajax 59%	9/20	-
Draw 22%	10/3	-
Groningen 20%	11/2	-
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2	-
Ajax 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Ajax 1-0 10%	15/2	-
Ajax 2-0 10%	7/1	-
Ajax 3-1 6%	10/1	-
Ajax 3-0 6%	10/1	-
Groningen 2-1 5%	18/1	-
Groningen 1-0 5%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	-
Ajax 3-2 3%	20/1	-
Ajax 4-1 3%	18/1	-
Ajax 4-0 3%	18/1	-
Groningen 2-0 3%	33/1	-
Groningen 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	3/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	13/10	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/9	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	15/8	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	3/4	-
BTTS - No 44%	1/1	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	15/8	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	10/1	-
Home/draw 80%	1/9	-
Away/draw 41%	13/8	-
Home/away 78%	1/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	7/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	6/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	1/2	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	10/3	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/5	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	8/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/14	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	-
Home DNB 74%	1/6	-
Away DNB 35%	4/1	-
Ajax win to nil 30%	13/8	-
Groningen win to nil 9%	12/1	-
Ajax / Ajax 38%	6/5	-
Ajax / Groningen 2%	40/1	-
Ajax / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Ajax 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Groningen 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	-
Groningen / Ajax 4%	18/1	-
Groningen / Groningen 8%	10/1	-
Groningen / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Groningen are in 6th position in the Eredivisie on 19 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Groningen have conceded 9 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Ajax Groningen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSV	12	10	1	1	23	31	May 2	d 2-2A	Feb 7	l 4-2A
2	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	19	28	Dec 14	Mar 21	l 0-1A	Apr 23
3	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	3	2	7	24	l 0-2A	Feb 7	Mar 21	l 4-1A
4	Ajax	12	5	5	2	5	20	-	-	Mar 7	Nov 30
5	Utrecht	12	6	1	5	6	19	May 10	l 2-1A	Feb 14	w 0-1F
6	Groningen	12	6	1	5	0	19	Nov 30	Mar 7	-	-
7	NEC	12	5	3	4	9	18	Feb 21	Dec 20	May 10	l 2-0A
8	Twente	12	4	4	4	2	16	Apr 4	w 2-3A	d 1-1A	Feb 21
9	GA Eagles	12	4	4	4	1	16	Jan 17	d 2-2F	Apr 11	Dec 21
10	Fortuna	12	5	1	6	-2	16	Feb 14	Dec 6	Jan 25	w 1-2F
11	S.Rotterdam	12	5	1	6	-10	16	Mar 14	d 3-3F	l 0-2A	Jan 31
12	Heerenveen	12	3	5	4	-2	14	d 1-1F	May 17	w 2-1A	Jan 18
13	FC Volendam	12	3	4	5	-4	13	Jan 24	d 1-1A	Dec 13	Feb 28
14	NAC	12	3	3	6	-6	12	w 2-1F	Apr 23	Jan 10	w 1-2F
15	PEC Zwolle	12	3	3	6	-13	12	w 3-1F	Feb 28	Nov 23	Mar 14
16	Excelsior	12	3	1	8	-12	10	Nov 22	Feb 1	May 2	Dec 5
17	Telstar	12	2	3	7	-7	9	w 2-0F	Jan 11	w 2-0F	Apr 4
18	Heracles	12	3	0	9	-16	9	w 2-0F	Apr 11	w 4-0F	May 17

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax	1 - 1	Heerenveen
Ajax	0 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
Ajax	2 - 1	NAC
Ajax	3 - 1	PEC Zwolle
Ajax	2 - 0	Heracles
Ajax	2 - 0	Telstar
Ajax	2 - 0	Twente
Ajax	0 - 3	NEC
Ajax	1 - 1	S.Rotterdam
Ajax	3 - 1	NAC
Ajax	2 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
Ajax	2 - 0	GA Eagles
Ajax	4 - 0	Heracles
Ajax	2 - 1	Feyenoord
Ajax	2 - 1	Waalwijk
Ajax	3 - 0	Almere City
Ajax	2 - 2	Utrecht
Ajax	2 - 0	PEC Zwolle
Ajax	3 - 2	PSV
Ajax	1 - 0	Willem II

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ajax	1 - 2	Utrecht
H	Ajax	1 - 1	Heerenveen
A	Ajax	3 - 2	Twente
H	Ajax	0 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
A	Ajax	3 - 3	S.Rotterdam
H	Ajax	2 - 1	NAC
A	Ajax	2 - 2	PSV
H	Ajax	3 - 1	PEC Zwolle
A	Ajax	1 - 1	FC Volendam
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Heracles
A	Ajax	2 - 2	GA Eagles
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Telstar
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Twente
A	Ajax	2 - 2	Groningen
H	Ajax	0 - 3	NEC
H	Ajax	1 - 1	S.Rotterdam
A	Ajax	0 - 4	Utrecht
A	Ajax	2 - 1	Willem II
H	Ajax	3 - 1	NAC
A	Ajax	2 - 0	PSV

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NEC	2 - 0	Groningen
Fortuna	1 - 2	Groningen
NAC	1 - 2	Groningen
Utrecht	0 - 1	Groningen
PSV	4 - 2	Groningen
AZ Alkmaar	4 - 1	Groningen
PEC Zwolle	2 - 0	Groningen
AZ Alkmaar	3 - 0	Groningen
Utrecht	3 - 1	Groningen
Feyenoord	4 - 1	Groningen
NAC	1 - 1	Groningen
Willem II	1 - 3	Groningen
S.Rotterdam	1 - 0	Groningen
Heracles	1 - 1	Groningen
GA Eagles	2 - 1	Groningen
Twente	2 - 0	Groningen
PSV	5 - 0	Groningen
NEC	6 - 0	Groningen
Fortuna	1 - 0	Groningen
Ajax	3 - 1	Groningen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Groningen	0 - 2	NEC
H	Groningen	1 - 1	Twente
A	Groningen	2 - 1	Fortuna
H	Groningen	0 - 2	S.Rotterdam
A	Groningen	2 - 1	NAC
H	Groningen	0 - 1	Feyenoord
H	Groningen	2 - 0	Telstar
A	Groningen	1 - 0	Utrecht
H	Groningen	4 - 0	Heracles
A	Groningen	2 - 4	PSV
H	Groningen	2 - 1	Heerenveen
A	Groningen	1 - 4	AZ Alkmaar
A	Groningen	0 - 2	PEC Zwolle
H	Groningen	2 - 2	Ajax
A	Groningen	0 - 3	AZ Alkmaar
H	Groningen	6 - 1	Waalwijk
H	Groningen	4 - 1	Heracles
A	Groningen	1 - 3	Utrecht
H	Groningen	1 - 3	PSV
A	Groningen	1 - 4	Feyenoord

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ajax have beaten Groningen in 9 consecutive home league meetings

Ajax have not lost to Groningen in 9 consecutive home league meetings

Ajax

Groningen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 9

4 / 9

Clean sheets

5 / 9

0 / 9

AJA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax		3 - 1
Ajax		6 - 1
Ajax		3 - 0
Ajax		3 - 1
Ajax		2 - 0
Ajax		3 - 0
Ajax		3 - 1
Ajax		2 - 0
Ajax		2 - 0

Groningen

Ajax

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

Clean sheets

1 / 9

AJA

GRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Groningen
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	Ajax
	1 - 3	Ajax
Groningen	1 - 0
Groningen	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Ajax
	1 - 2	Ajax
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Ajax

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Ajax in their meeting with Groningen, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 77 consecutive Eredivisie outings.

	Ajax 4th	Groningen 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 13% There is a 86% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Groningen will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-13 Ajax have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted	-18 Groningen have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	2.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season

25%

better

AJA

GRO

view stats

Games scored	11		9
Failed to score	1		3
Scored first	7		5
Goals scored	22		17
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.4
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	17		14
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.5
KickOff rating		+25%

better

AJA

GRO

view stats

Games conceded	10		9
Clean sheets	2		3
Conceded first	5		7
Goals conceded	17		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		0%

Ajax v Groningen Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	6	4	3
K Taylor	W Weghorst	M Godts	K Taylor

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Taylor MID	12	2	3	3 -
O Gloukh MID	12	4	2	2 -
D Klaassen MID	12	2	1	1 -
Y Baas DEF	11	1		1 -
R Moro FWD	11		1	1 -
W Weghorst FWD	11	6	1	3 -
M Godts FWD	10	5	4	1 -
V Jaroš GLK	9			-
J Sutalo DEF	9			-
A Gaaei DEF	9		1	1 -
O Wijndal DEF	9			2 -
L Rosa DEF	9			1 -
O Edvardsen FWD	9			2 -
Y Regeer MID	8		1	2 -
J. Mokio MID	8			-
S Berghuis FWD	8	1	2	-
K Itakura DEF	7	1		1 -
K Fitz-Jim MID	6			2 -
J. McConnell MID	4			-
R Pasveer GLK	3			-
R. Bounida FWD	3			-
G. Alders DEF	2			-
K Dolberg FWD	2			-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD	2			-
A. Bouwman DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	11	4	5
W Weghorst	O Gloukh	M Godts	K Taylor

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W Weghorst FWD	6	11	1	3
M Godts FWD	5	9	4	4
O Gloukh MID	4	11	2	2
K Taylor MID	2	9	3	5
D Klaassen MID	2	3	1
Y Baas DEF	1	3		2
S Berghuis FWD	1	10	2	2
K Itakura DEF	1	2
R Moro FWD		5	1	4
A Gaaei DEF		3	1	1
O Wijndal DEF		2		1
L Rosa DEF		2
O Edvardsen FWD		1		1
Y Regeer MID			1
J. Mokio MID		1
K Fitz-Jim MID		1
R. Bounida FWD				1
K Dolberg FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
890	22	71
Y Baas	Y Baas	W Weghorst

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Baas DEF	890	22	66
J Sutalo DEF	502	5	32
K Taylor MID	495	16	45
L Rosa DEF	436	13	28
O Wijndal DEF	358	13	35
O Gloukh MID	349	10	34
K Itakura DEF	345	8	24
S Berghuis FWD	321	5	12
V Jaroš GLK	321		3
Y Regeer MID	281	15	27
M Godts FWD	262	7	41
A Gaaei DEF	260	3	15
W Weghorst FWD	259	7	71
D Klaassen MID	250	21	35
K Fitz-Jim MID	212	7	11
R Moro FWD	162	6	14
O Edvardsen FWD	154	7	32
R Pasveer GLK	143	1	1
J. Mokio MID	140	10	18
G. Alders DEF	61	8	11
A. Bouwman DEF	61	2	3
J. McConnell MID	59	5	8
R. Bounida FWD	13	2	3
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD	8	1	4
K Dolberg FWD	6	1	2

Groningen Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	5	4	3
M Peersman	B Willumsson	S Resink	M Peersman

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Peersman DEF	12	1		3 -
T Blokzijl DEF	12			1 -
T. de Jonge MID	12	1		2 -
S Resink MID	12	1	4	3 -
D. van der Werff MID	12	2		1 -
Y Taha FWD	12	2	3	2 -
J Schreuders FWD	12			1 -
T Bergen FWD	12	1	1	2 -
D. Janse DEF	10			3 -
M Rente DEF	10	2	2	1 -
M Seuntjens MID	10	1		-
E Vaessen GLK	9		1	-
T. Mercera DEF	8			-
B Willumsson FWD	8	5		1 -
T Land MID	6			2 1
W. Prins DEF	5		1	-
O Zawada FWD	5	1		1 -
H Jurjus GLK	3			-
N. Emeran FWD	3			-
R Mendes FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	14	4	6
B Willumsson	Y Taha	S Resink	Y Taha

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Willumsson FWD	5	9
D. van der Werff MID	2	11		4
Y Taha FWD	2	14	3	6
M Rente DEF	2	4	2
M Peersman DEF	1	3		1
T. de Jonge MID	1	3		1
S Resink MID	1	6	4	2
T Bergen FWD	1	9	1	3
M Seuntjens MID	1	2
O Zawada FWD	1	1
J Schreuders FWD		8		1
D. Janse DEF		1		1
E Vaessen GLK			1
T. Mercera DEF				1
W. Prins DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
658	32	86
T Blokzijl	T. de Jonge	T Bergen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Blokzijl DEF	658	14	47
S Resink MID	528	27	73
D. Janse DEF	511	12	43
M Peersman DEF	505	17	43
E Vaessen GLK	425		10
T. de Jonge MID	385	32	53
J Schreuders FWD	283	18	56
M Rente DEF	271	14	58
T Bergen FWD	243	24	86
Y Taha FWD	215	19	41
D. van der Werff MID	194	19	29
H Jurjus GLK	104
T. Mercera DEF	101	9	20
B Willumsson FWD	68	4	22
W. Prins DEF	68	7	10
M Seuntjens MID	46	3	5
T Land MID	43	3	4
O Zawada FWD	31		13
N. Emeran FWD	13	2	4