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Ajax v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Marinus Dijkhuizen is aiming for a crucial away win in the Eredivisie on Wednesday night, as he takes his Excelsior side to the Johan Cruijff Arena to visit Ajax and John van 't Schip. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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Ajax's next match is v Vitesse at 13:30 on Sunday 19th May
Excelsior's next match is v Feyenoord at 13:30 on Sunday 19th May
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between Ajax and Excelsior was on Wednesday 24th April 2024
Dutch Eredivisie
April 24th 2024
Ajax 2
2 Excelsior
 
D. Rensch 27'38' J. Baas
C. Akpom 89'53' L. Lamprou
 
AJA
EXC
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
4
3
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
4
8
Yellow/red cards
2/1
2/0
 
AjaxExcelsior
 
G. Rulli
J. Hato
J. Šutalo
A. Kaplan (B. Sosa 81')
D. Renschfootball icon
B. Tahirovic (A. Gaaei 68')
S. Mannsverk (B. van den Boomen 80')
K. Taylor
S. Bergwijn
B. Brobbey (C. Akpom 44')
M. Godts (J. Rijkhoff 80')
S. van Gassel
R. El Yaakoubi
S. Horemans
M. Benita
A. Zagre
(C. Widell 84') K. Goudmijn
C. Sandra
(R. Omorowa 89') L. Duijvestijn
football iconJ. Baas
(O. Uddenäs 73') D. Sanches Fernandes
(N. Naujoks 73') football iconL. Lamprou
Best Tip: Ajax to win

A Eredivisie win on home turf for John van 't Schip's Ajax team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Ajax win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
71%
4/11
2%
4/11
2%
Draw
16%
17/4
5%
17/4
5%
Excelsior
13%
13/2
6%
6/1
18%
Ajax 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
13/2
Ajax 3-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Ajax 2-0
8%
15/2
21%
7/1
23%
Ajax 3-0
7%
9/1
11%
8/1
13%
Draw 1-1
6%
10/1
10%
17/2
Ajax 1-0
6%
10/1
38%
15/2
21%
Ajax 4-1
6%
16/112/1
13%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
24%
Ajax 4-0
5%
14/112/1
8%
Ajax 3-2
5%
20/1
9%
14/1
21%
Excelsior 2-1
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
11%
Ajax 4-2
3%
28/1
29%
20/1
19%
Ajax 5-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Ajax 5-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Excelsior 1-0
2%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
4/9
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
17/10
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
5/2
13%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1
40%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/6
13%
13/20
15%
BTTS - No
37%
11/10
10%
23/20
19%
BTTS - Home Win
41%
8/5
10%
6/4
13%
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
12%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1
23%
17/2
21%
Home/draw
87%
1/10
2%
1/11
2%
Away/draw
29%
2/1
8%
2/1
9%
Home/away
84%
1/62/13
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/8
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
5/1
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
11/10
12%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
4/6
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
35%
5/2
19%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
65%
2/7
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
11/2
28%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
80%
1/9
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/50
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
18/1
27%
-
Home DNB
82%
1/7
3%
1/8
3%
Away DNB
24%
9/2
15%
9/2
15%
Ajax win to nil
30%
13/8
16%
-
Excelsior win to nil
4%
14/1-
Ajax / Ajax
45%
1/1
3%
10/11
3%
Ajax / Excelsior
2%
40/133/1
17%
Ajax / Draw
5%
16/114/1
12%
Draw / Ajax
20%
10/3
8%
10/3
8%
Draw / Excelsior
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Draw / Draw
9%
15/2
13%
13/2
Excelsior / Ajax
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Excelsior / Excelsior
6%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
Excelsior / Draw
4%
18/114/1
12%
bet365
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 8 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 63 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Excelsior are in 15th position in the Eredivisie on 25 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 40 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Excelsior have conceded 56 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Ajax
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Excelsior
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1F
l
 
5-2F
 PSV3328418888 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
6-0A
 Feyenoord3325626281 
l
 
2-4A
May 19
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
 Twente3320673266 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
 AZ Alkmaar3319773164 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
-
-
 Ajax Home33151081355 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
 NEC33131191450 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
3-4F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-3A
 Utrecht33131010249 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
 S.Rotterdam3313713246 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
 GA Eagles33111012043 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-2A
 Heerenveen3310716-1637 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 Fortuna3391014-1937 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3F
 PEC Zwolle339915-2136 
l
 
2-4F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
 Almere City3371313-2334 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4A
 Heracles339519-3332 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Waalwijk337818-1629 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
 Excelsior Away3361116-1929 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
 FC Volendam334722-5319 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
5-0F
May 19
 Vitesse336522-445 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Excelsior 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
49
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Ajax have beaten Excelsior in 5 consecutive home league meetings
11
Ajax have not lost to Excelsior in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
20
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
AJA
5
All league games since 2015
Ajax
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
38
10
Games: Scored
11 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
0 / 11
AJA
9
D
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.7 is fairly strong for Ajax in their clash with Excelsior, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 27 consecutive Eredivisie matches.

Ajax 5th Excelsior 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 82% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Excelsior will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Excelsior’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.5
conceded
 
Statistics Eredivisie - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/262296/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
2.7
1.1
Attack rating
23%
better
AJA
EXC
view stats
Games scored29
26
Failed to score4
7
Scored first20
15
Goals scored72
50
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate19%
18%
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
2%
better
AJA
EXC
view stats
Games conceded28
27
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded59
69
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate19%
18%
KickOff rating
+2%

Ajax v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331885
J HatoB BrobbeyB BrobbeyJ Hato
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK6
-
D Rensch DEF2724
2
1
J Sutalo DEF22
1
-
A Kaplan DEF101
3
1
J Hato DEF3312
5
-
B Tahirovic MID2524
5
-
S Mannsverk MID12
4
-
K Taylor MID3355
3
-
M Godts FWD132
-
B Brobbey FWD29188
4
-
S Bergwijn  FWD23124
4
1
Subs
R Pasveer GLK
-
T. de Graaff GLK
-
J Medić DEF61
1
-
B Sosa DEF174
1
-
T. Gooijer DEF91
-
A Gaaei DEF2411
1
-
B Boomen MID2121
1
-
S Vos MID11
3
-
K Fitz-Jim MID101
1
-
C Akpom FWD24113
-
J. Rijkhoff FWD8
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33658
S GasselL LamprouL LamprouJ Baas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Gassel GLK33
-
M Benita DEF191
1
-
S Horemans DEF3334
5
1
R Yaakoubi DEF263
2
1
A Zagre DEF2714
6
1
K Goudmijn MID172
2
-
J Baas MID3232
8
-
D Fernandes MID292
-
C Sandra MID2511
2
-
L Lamprou MID2765
3
-
L Duijvestijn MID1345
1
-
Subs
P Kuiper GLK
-
S. de Moes DEF7
3
-
C Widell DEF301
1
-
S Nieuwpoort DEF221
2
-
N Naujoks MID221
1
-
R Omorowa FWD2122
1
-
M Duinen FWD6
1
-
O Uddenäs FWD243
1
-