Ajax's team badge Excelsior's team badge

Ajax v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Sep, 19:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz welcomes Ruben den Uil to the Johan Cruijff Arena on Saturday evening, as their Ajax and Excelsior sides meet in the Eredivisie. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Ajax to win

A Eredivisie win on home turf for Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz's Ajax team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Ajax win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
72%
1.33-
Draw
16%
5.25-
Excelsior
12%
7.50-
Ajax 2-0
9%
8.50-
Ajax 2-1
9%
9.00-
Ajax 3-0
8%
10.00-
Ajax 3-1
8%
10.00-
Ajax 1-0
7%
11.00-
Draw 1-1
7%
11.00-
Ajax 4-0
5%
15.00-
Ajax 4-1
5%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00-
Ajax 3-2
4%
19.00-
Excelsior 2-1
3%
21.00-
Ajax 5-0
3%
26.00-
Ajax 5-1
3%
26.00-
Ajax 4-2
3%
29.00-
Draw 0-0
3%
23.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.40-
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
2.88-
Home 1st Goal
59%
1.36-
Away 1st Goal
40%
3.00-
No 1st Goal
1%
23.00-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.62-
BTTS - No
41%
2.20-
BTTS - Home Win
38%
2.50-
BTTS - Draw
13%
6.00-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11.00-
Home/draw
88%
1.10-
Away/draw
27%
3.25-
Home/away
84%
1.17-
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.11-
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
6.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
1.91-
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
1.80-
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
3.25-
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
1.33-
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
6.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1.13-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.01-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
23.00-
Home DNB
83%
1.13-
Away DNB
23%
6.00-
Ajax win to nil
34%
2.63-
Excelsior win to nil
4%
17.00-
Ajax / Ajax
44%
1.91-
Ajax / Excelsior
2%
41.00-
Ajax / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Ajax
19%
4.33-
Draw / Excelsior
5%
17.00-
Draw / Draw
9%
9.00-
Excelsior / Ajax
5%
17.00-
Excelsior / Excelsior
6%
13.00-
Excelsior / Draw
4%
19.00-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Excelsior
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
AZ Alkmaar55001115 
Oct 31
May 8
Dec 19
Mar 20
2
PSV54101213 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 24
l
 
1-2A
May 8
3
Feyenoord5320611 
Feb 27
Nov 28
Jan 16
Nov 21
4
Excelsior5311710 
Sep 19
Feb 13
-
-
5
Fortuna5311210 
May 1
Sep 12
Jan 23
Oct 25
6
GA Eagles522128 
Feb 20
Dec 19
Nov 7
Mar 6
7
Ajax421147 
-
-
Feb 13
Sep 19
8
Twente421147 
Apr 3
Nov 8
Nov 1
Feb 20
9
NEC521227 
Oct 10
Mar 20
Mar 13
d
 
2-2A
10
Groningen5212-17 
Jan 16
Oct 18
Oct 11
Apr 10
11
S.Rotterdam512205 
May 16
Oct 25
w
 
2-1F
Jan 9
12
Heerenveen5122-25 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 30
Feb 27
Oct 16
13
PEC Zwolle5113-44 
Mar 13
w
 
0-2F
Apr 3
Dec 12
14
Telstar4112-54 
Jan 23
w
 
0-4F
Nov 28
May 23
15
Utrecht5023-92 
Dec 5
Apr 10
Sep 13
Jan 30
16
Den Haag5014-81 
Nov 21
Mar 6
May 16
Dec 5
17
Willem II4013-91 
Sep 15
Jan 9
Apr 24
w
 
0-3F
18
Cambuur5014-121 
Dec 12
May 23
May 1
w
 
0-4F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax1 - 3PSV
Ajax2 - 2Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 0Utrecht
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Utrecht
Ajax2 - 2PSV
Ajax1 - 2Twente
Ajax4 - 0S.Rotterdam
Ajax1 - 1NEC
Ajax4 - 1Fortuna
Ajax2 - 0FC Volendam
Ajax2 - 2GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 0Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Ajax1 - 1Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 1NAC
Ajax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
Ajax2 - 0Heracles
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAjax1 - 3PSV
AAjax4 - 0Telstar
HAjax2 - 2Heerenveen
AAjax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
HAjax0 - 0Utrecht
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
AAjax0 - 0Heerenveen
HAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax2 - 2PSV
AAjax2 - 0NAC
AAjax3 - 0Heracles
HAjax1 - 2Twente
AAjax1 - 0Feyenoord
HAjax4 - 0S.Rotterdam
AAjax1 - 3Groningen
AAjax0 - 0PEC Zwolle
HAjax1 - 1NEC
HAjax4 - 1Fortuna
AAjax1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
AAjax2 - 2Excelsior
Excelsior 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Willem II0 - 3Excelsior
Cambuur0 - 4Excelsior
S.Rotterdam2 - 3Excelsior
Groningen2 - 3Excelsior
PEC Zwolle2 - 2Excelsior
Heracles1 - 1Excelsior
Feyenoord2 - 1Excelsior
Fortuna2 - 1Excelsior
NAC0 - 2Excelsior
Twente0 - 0Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Excelsior
PSV5 - 1Excelsior
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Telstar2 - 2Excelsior
GA Eagles2 - 0Excelsior
Heerenveen2 - 1Excelsior
FC Volendam1 - 2Excelsior
Utrecht4 - 1Excelsior
NEC5 - 0Excelsior
Feyenoord4 - 0Excelsior
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AExcelsior3 - 0Willem II
HExcelsior2 - 1S.Rotterdam
HExcelsior1 - 2PSV
AExcelsior4 - 0Cambuur
AExcelsior3 - 2S.Rotterdam
HExcelsior1 - 1FC Volendam
AExcelsior3 - 2Groningen
HExcelsior5 - 0Utrecht
AExcelsior2 - 2PEC Zwolle
HExcelsior0 - 2NEC
AExcelsior1 - 1Heracles
AExcelsior1 - 2Feyenoord
HExcelsior1 - 2Heerenveen
HExcelsior0 - 1GA Eagles
AExcelsior1 - 2Fortuna
HExcelsior1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AExcelsior2 - 0NAC
HExcelsior2 - 2Ajax
AExcelsior0 - 0Twente
AExcelsior1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
23
8
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
AJA
5
D
1
EXC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
1 - 2Excelsior
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ajax7 - 1
Ajax6 - 2
Ajax3 - 1
Ajax1 - 0
Ajax3 - 0
League games at Excelsior since 2015
Excelsior
Ajax
Goals: Scored
8
20
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
AJA
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Ajax
1 - 7Ajax
1 - 2Ajax
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Ajax
Goal Statistics

Ajax's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Eredivisie outings. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Ajax 7th Excelsior 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Excelsior scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Ajax have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
+17
Excelsior have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2026/2027 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
2.7
1
Attack rating
AJA
EXC
7%
better
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
3
Goals scored9
10
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.5
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for17
28
Avg. XG for2.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
AJA
EXC
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded5
3
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
13
Conversion rate against14%
8%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%

Ajax v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4222
M StegenT ArokodareS Berghuis D Klaassen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Stegen GLK4
-
C Henrique DEF41
-
A. Bouwman DEF4
1
-
Y Baas  DEF4
1
-
A. Ouazane MID41
1
-
J Brandt MID41
-
O Gloukh MID41
-
J. Mokio MID41
-
D Klaassen MID41
2
-
T Arokodare FWD421
-
M Leonardo FWD41
-
S Berghuis  FWD412
-
K Dolberg FWD3
-
L Rosa DEF2
1
-
A Gaaei DEF2
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD2
-
J. Torrents Salvat DEF1
-
D. Janse DEF1
-
T Kehrer DEF1
-
S Amrabat MID1
-
V Tsygankov FWD1
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4231
S GasselI YegoianS JanssenJ. Plug
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Gassel GLK41
-
J. Plug DEF4
1
-
C Widell DEF41
-
R Meissen DEF41
-
S Janssen DEF43
1
-
D. van Vianen MID4
-
I Yegoian MID423
-
L Hartjes MID4
-
A. Sliti FWD41
-
I. Silva Timas FWD41
-
D. Garden FWD42
-
N. Groen FWD411
1
-
O. Turay DEF2
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF2
-
Ágúst Þorsteinsson FWD2
1
-
A Jahanbakhsh FWD2
-
G. Cairo DEF1
-
K. Bos DEF1
-
Y. Muse Finey MID1
-
N Naujoks MID12
-
M Dominguez FWD1
-