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Ajax v Willem II : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 15th Sep, 19:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

John Stegeman takes his Willem II team to the Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Tuesday evening, with Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz's Ajax waiting for them. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Eredivisie matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Ajax to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Ajax. Their recent form stats show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Willem II too. The odds point towards Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Tuesday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
83%
1/7-
Draw
11%
6/1-
Willem II
6%
14/1-
Ajax 3-0
11%
13/2-
Ajax 2-0
10%
13/2-
Ajax 4-0
8%
17/2-
Ajax 3-1
8%
9/1-
Ajax 2-1
8%
10/1-
Ajax 1-0
7%
10/1-
Ajax 4-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 1-1
5%
14/1-
Ajax 5-0
5%
14/1-
Ajax 5-1
4%
20/1-
Ajax 3-2
3%
25/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1-
Ajax 6-0
3%
25/1-
Ajax 4-2
2%
33/1-
Draw 0-0
2%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
1/3-
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
12/5-
Home 1st Goal
64%
1/4-
Away 1st Goal
35%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/20-
BTTS - No
50%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
38%
6/4-
BTTS - Draw
9%
15/2-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
20/1-
Home/draw
94%
1/33-
Away/draw
17%
9/2-
Home/away
89%
1/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
5/6-
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
5/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
7/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
2/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
22/1-
Home DNB
90%
1/25-
Away DNB
14%
12/1-
Ajax win to nil
45%
1/1-
Willem II win to nil
3%
25/1-
Ajax / Ajax
54%
8/15-
Ajax / Willem II
2%
50/1-
Ajax / Draw
4%
22/1-
Draw / Ajax
21%
3/1-
Draw / Willem II
3%
28/1-
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1-
Willem II / Ajax
5%
16/1-
Willem II / Willem II
3%
28/1-
Willem II / Draw
3%
25/1-
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Willem II
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
AZ Alkmaar44001012 
Oct 31
May 8
Apr 10
Sep 11
2
PSV43101010 
Sep 5
Apr 24
Jan 30
Oct 31
3
Feyenoord422048 
Feb 27
Nov 28
Dec 5
May 1
4
Ajax321067 
-
-
Jan 9
Sep 15
5
GA Eagles421127 
Feb 20
Dec 19
May 23
l
 
4-1F
6
Fortuna421117 
May 1
Sep 12
Sep 19
May 16
7
NEC320146 
Oct 10
Mar 20
l
 
1-4A
Jan 23
8
Twente320146 
Apr 3
Nov 8
Mar 13
Nov 21
9
Excelsior320146 
Sep 19
Feb 13
Sep 5
Apr 24
10
Groningen4202-16 
Jan 16
Oct 18
Feb 27
Nov 28
11
Heerenveen4121-15 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 30
d
 
2-2F
Feb 20
12
S.Rotterdam411204 
May 16
Oct 25
Feb 13
Oct 17
13
PEC Zwolle4103-43 
Mar 13
w
 
0-2F
Nov 6
Mar 6
14
Telstar3102-53 
Jan 23
w
 
0-4F
May 8
Dec 19
15
Willem II3012-61 
Sep 15
Jan 9
-
-
16
Den Haag4013-71 
Nov 21
Mar 6
Dec 12
Mar 20
17
Utrecht4013-91 
Dec 5
Apr 10
Apr 3
Oct 11
18
Cambuur4004-120 
Dec 12
May 23
Oct 24
Jan 16
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax2 - 2Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 0Utrecht
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Utrecht
Ajax2 - 2PSV
Ajax1 - 2Twente
Ajax4 - 0S.Rotterdam
Ajax1 - 1NEC
Ajax4 - 1Fortuna
Ajax2 - 0FC Volendam
Ajax2 - 2GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 0Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Ajax1 - 1Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 1NAC
Ajax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
Ajax2 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 0Telstar
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax4 - 0Telstar
HAjax2 - 2Heerenveen
AAjax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
HAjax0 - 0Utrecht
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
AAjax0 - 0Heerenveen
HAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax2 - 2PSV
AAjax2 - 0NAC
AAjax3 - 0Heracles
HAjax1 - 2Twente
AAjax1 - 0Feyenoord
HAjax4 - 0S.Rotterdam
AAjax1 - 3Groningen
AAjax0 - 0PEC Zwolle
HAjax1 - 1NEC
HAjax4 - 1Fortuna
AAjax1 - 1AZ Alkmaar
AAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax2 - 0FC Volendam
Willem II 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
GA Eagles4 - 1Willem II
NAC1 - 1Willem II
NEC1 - 1Willem II
Fortuna1 - 0Willem II
Heerenveen3 - 1Willem II
GA Eagles1 - 0Willem II
S.Rotterdam4 - 0Willem II
PSV1 - 1Willem II
Waalwijk2 - 0Willem II
Twente6 - 2Willem II
PEC Zwolle0 - 1Willem II
Groningen2 - 0Willem II
AZ Alkmaar1 - 2Willem II
Ajax1 - 0Willem II
Almere City0 - 1Willem II
Utrecht3 - 2Willem II
Heracles1 - 1Willem II
Feyenoord1 - 1Willem II
Cambuur1 - 1Willem II
PSV4 - 2Willem II
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Draw
5
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWillem II2 - 2Heerenveen
HWillem II1 - 4NEC
AWillem II1 - 4GA Eagles
AWillem II1 - 1NAC
HWillem II1 - 2PEC Zwolle
HWillem II1 - 2Heracles
AWillem II1 - 1NEC
AWillem II0 - 1Fortuna
HWillem II1 - 2Ajax
AWillem II1 - 3Heerenveen
HWillem II0 - 2Almere City
AWillem II0 - 1GA Eagles
HWillem II2 - 3Utrecht
AWillem II0 - 4S.Rotterdam
HWillem II1 - 3Groningen
AWillem II1 - 1PSV
HWillem II0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AWillem II0 - 2Waalwijk
HWillem II1 - 1Feyenoord
AWillem II2 - 6Twente
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ajax since 2015
Ajax
Willem II
Goals: Scored
18
6
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
AJA
6
WIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax1 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax3 - 1
0 - 2Willem II
Ajax2 - 0
Ajax3 - 1
1 - 2Willem II
Ajax3 - 0
League games at Willem II since 2016
Willem II
Ajax
Goals: Scored
5
18
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
AJA
6
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Willem II
1 - 2Ajax
0 - 1Ajax
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Ajax
1 - 3Ajax
1 - 3Ajax
0 - 4Ajax
Goal Statistics
Ajax 4th Willem II 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.0
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
24%
There is a 25% probability that Ajax will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Willem II scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Ajax have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-15
Willem II have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2026/2027 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Willem II
3
0.7
Attack rating
%
better
AJA
WIL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
AJA
WIL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Ajax v Willem II Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3121
M StegenA. OuazaneS Berghuis A. Bouwman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Stegen GLK3
-
C Henrique DEF31
-
A. Bouwman DEF3
1
-
Y Baas  DEF3
-
A. Ouazane MID31
1
-
J Brandt MID31
-
O Gloukh MID31
-
J. Mokio MID31
-
D Klaassen MID31
1
-
T Arokodare FWD311
-
M Leonardo FWD31
-
S Berghuis  FWD312
-
L Rosa DEF2
1
-
O Edvardsen FWD2
-
K Dolberg FWD2
-
D. Janse DEF1
-
A Gaaei DEF1
-
J. Torrents Salvat DEF1
-
Willem II Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3221
F. StamD. HaenN Tjoe-A-OnN Tjoe-A-On
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Lemmens DEF3
-
F. Stam DEF3
-
J Hoogma DEF3
-
P. van Loon DEF3
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF32
1
-
A Ciranni DEF3
-
K. Boogaard MID3
-
U. van Aalst MID31
-
E. Gürbüz FWD3
-
J. Slory FWD3
-
D. Haen FWD32
-
K. de Leeuw GLK2
-
H Avest DEF21
-
A. Et-Taibi DEF2
-
T. Verheydt FWD21
-
van der Steen GLK1
-
T Didillon GLK1
-
C Twigt MID11
-