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Fortuna Sittard v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 17:45 BST, Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard-Geleen

The Eredivisie is the focus for both Fortuna Sittard and Ajax on Saturday evening, as bosses Danny Buijs and Fred Grim battle it out at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After looking at the KickOff match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market that seems hard to ignore for this tie: both teams to score. In Fortuna and Ajax we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to maintain that reputation on Saturday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.57.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fortuna are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fortuna
37%
10/316/5
Draw
23%
29/1029/10
Ajax
40%
3/44/5
Draw 1-1
10%
13/26/1
Ajax 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Fortuna 2-1
8%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
7%
12/110/1
Ajax 1-0
7%
8/17/1
Fortuna 1-0
6%
14/111/1
Ajax 2-0
5%
17/28/1
Fortuna 2-0
5%
25/118/1
Ajax 3-1
5%
12/110/1
Fortuna 3-1
4%
33/122/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/110/1
Ajax 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Fortuna 3-2
4%
33/122/1
Ajax 3-0
3%
14/111/1
Fortuna 3-0
3%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
13/208/13
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
6/56/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
7/56/4
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/73/5
No 1st Goal
2%
14/110/1
BTTS - Yes
64%
8/138/13
BTTS - No
36%
6/56/5
BTTS - Home Win
22%
13/211/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
23%
9/411/5
Home/draw
60%
1/11/1
Away/draw
63%
1/52/9
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/111/5
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/216/5
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/46/4
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1/210/21
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
7/210/3
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/112/11
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/161/16
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/33
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/110/1
Home DNB
53%
12/52/1
Away DNB
56%
3/101/3
Fortuna win to nil
15%
8/1-
Ajax win to nil
17%
12/5-
Fortuna / Fortuna
12%
6/111/2
Fortuna / Ajax
4%
20/116/1
Fortuna / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Fortuna
9%
17/215/2
Draw / Ajax
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Draw
13%
11/29/2
Ajax / Fortuna
3%
33/125/1
Ajax / Ajax
29%
7/417/10
Ajax / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Fortuna have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 2. Fortuna have conceded 14 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Fortuna have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Ajax lay in 5th place on 23 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 15 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 6 away games, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Fortuna
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1412112737 
Jan 17
l
 
5-2A
May 2
d
 
2-2A
2
Feyenoord1410131831 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
Dec 14
Mar 21
3
NEC147341324 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
Feb 21
Dec 20
4
AZ Alkmaar14734424 
Dec 21
Apr 4
l
 
0-2A
Feb 7
5
Ajax14653623 
Dec 6
Feb 14
-
-
6
Utrecht14635621 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
May 10
l
 
2-1A
7
Twente14554320 
Mar 21
l
 
3-2A
Apr 4
w
 
2-3A
8
Groningen14626-220 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 25
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
9
Fortuna14536-218 
-
-
Feb 14
Dec 6
10
GA Eagles14455-117 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 11
Jan 17
d
 
2-2F
11
Heerenveen14455-117 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
d
 
1-1F
May 17
12
S.Rotterdam14527-1217 
Feb 7
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
d
 
3-3F
13
Excelsior14518-1016 
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 1
14
PEC Zwolle14446-1216 
May 10
Dec 13
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
15
FC Volendam14356-714 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
16
Heracles14419-1413 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
17
NAC14338-812 
Apr 11
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 23
18
Telstar14248-810 
Mar 7
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
Jan 11
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Fortuna 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Ajax 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
Ajax have not lost to Fortuna in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Fortuna since 2018
Fortuna
Ajax
Goals: Scored
3
14
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
D
1
AJA
5
League games at Ajax since 2019
Ajax
Fortuna
Goals: Scored
30
4
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
D
1
AJA
6
Goal Statistics

Fortuna Sittard have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Eredivisie games. Their PG of 1.6 against Ajax on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Fortuna 9th Ajax 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Fortuna will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Fortuna have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
+4
Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Fortuna
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.6
1.6
Attack rating
FOR
AJA
18%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score2
1
Scored first6
8
Goals scored20
25
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
FOR
AJA
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded22
19
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%

Fortuna v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Fortuna Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14434
M BranderhorstP GladonM IhattarenJ. Hubner
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Branderhorst GLK14
3
-
I Márquez DEF14
2
-
J Dahlhaus DEF141
3
-
P. Brittijn MID1421
3
-
R Fosso MID14
2
-
D Limnios  FWD142
1
-
K Peterson FWD1411
1
-
S Adewoye DEF13
3
-
P Gladon FWD1342
1
-
I Pinto DEF122
1
-
M Ihattaren MID1243
1
-
J Lonwijk MID123
-
L. Tunjic MID122
1
-
M. Aiko FWD1222
2
-
K Sierhuis FWD112
1
-
J. Hubner DEF9
4
-
Édouard Michut MID8
3
-
H Mendes DEF6
-
M. Kerkez DEF2
-
S Ottele DEF1
-
T. Schenkhuizen MID1
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14654
K TaylorW WeghorstM GodtsW Weghorst
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Gloukh MID1443
2
-
D Klaassen MID1421
1
-
K Taylor MID1424
3
-
Y Baas  DEF131
1
-
W Weghorst FWD1361
4
-
R Moro FWD121
1
-
M Godts FWD1265
1
-
O Wijndal DEF11
2
-
V Jaroš GLK10
-
J Sutalo DEF10
1
-
A Gaaei DEF101
1
-
L Rosa DEF10
1
-
Y Regeer MID101
2
-
O Edvardsen FWD10
2
-
K Itakura DEF81
1
-
J. Mokio MID8
-
S Berghuis  FWD812
-
K Fitz-Jim MID7
2
-
R Pasveer GLK4
-
J. McConnell MID4
-
R. Bounida FWD4
-
K Dolberg FWD41
-
G. Alders DEF3
-
A. Bouwman DEF21
1
-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD2
-
S. Steur MID1
-