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AZ v NEC Nijmegen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Saturday afternoon sees Maarten Martens’s AZ and Dick Schreuder’s NEC Nijmegen go head to head in a Eredivisie clash at the AFAS Stadion. You'll find stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Eredivisie performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

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AZ's next match is v Excelsior at 17:45 on Saturday 14th February
NEC Nijmegen's next match is v Utrecht at 20:00 on Wednesday 11th February
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between AZ Alkmaar and NEC was on Saturday 31st January 2026
Dutch Eredivisie
January 31st 2026
AZ Alkmaar 1
3 NEC
 
T. Parrott 40'10' T. Chery
12' B. Onal
52' K. Sano
 
AZ
NEC
Shots On
2
8
Shots Off
4
8
Corners
3
3
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
15
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
AZ AlkmaarNEC
 
J. Zoet
W. Goes
M. Dekker (S. Maikuma 65')
A. Penetra Correia
P. Koopmeiners
T. Parrottfootball icon
M. De Wit
K. Boogaard (M. Chávez García 83')
M. Šín (J. Hornkamp 65')
R. Daal (I. Sadiq 65')
I. Jensen (A. Oufkir 65')
G. Crettaz
A. Kaplan
E. Dasa
D. Nejašmić
(Y. El Kachati 90') football iconT. Chery
(V. Misidjan 82') football iconB. Onal
D. Fonville
(P. Sandler 76') N. Lebreton
football iconK. Sano
(B. Pereira 75') S. Ouaissa
(D. Proper 76') B. Linssen

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Saturday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect AZ Alkmaar and NEC to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean the time doesn't win but, with statistics below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
45%
8/11
4%
1/50
Draw
21%
10/3
3%
100/1
NEC
34%
14/5
4%
1/1000
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
7%
8/111/2
Draw 2-2
7%
12/116/5
NEC 2-1
7%
12/118/5
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
6%
11/111/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
5%
16/17/1
NEC 3-2
4%
25/119/4
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
4%
11/19/1
NEC 3-1
4%
25/11/3
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
4%
11/115/2
NEC 1-0
3%
18/111/1
NEC 2-0
3%
25/1
12%
11/2
Draw 3-3
3%
33/1
10%
28/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
3%
16/114/1
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
3%
20/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
2/51/12
Under 2.5 Goals
24%
15/86/1
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/7
3%
4/6
Away 1st Goal
49%
5/411/8
No 1st Goal
1%
22/111/1
BTTS - Yes
74%
4/91/3
BTTS - No
26%
13/821/10
BTTS - Home Win
31%
15/8
4%
90/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/125/1
BTTS - Away Win
24%
9/2
9%
1/1000
Home/draw
66%
1/4
3%
80/1
Away/draw
55%
21/201/50
Home/away
79%
1/5
2%
1/200
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1/81/5
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
5/110/3
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
1/11/6
Under 3.5 Goals
44%
8/1118/5
Over 4.5 Goals
37%
12/517/2
Under 4.5 Goals
63%
3/101/20
Over 5.5 Goals
21%
11/260/1
Under 5.5 Goals
79%
1/91/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/801/66
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
22/111/1
Home DNB
59%
4/11
3%
90/1
Away DNB
49%
2/1
4%
1/300
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
14%
11/4
4%
-
NEC win to nil
10%
9/1
10%
-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
30%
13/8
4%
60/1
AZ Alkmaar / NEC
3%
25/1
12%
125/1
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
7%
12/1100/1
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
16%
4/116/1
Draw / NEC
9%
17/2
6%
22/1
Draw / Draw
12%
13/220/1
NEC / AZ Alkmaar
5%
16/1
12%
17/4
NEC / NEC
13%
11/2
8%
3/4
NEC / Draw
6%
14/15/2
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. AZ Alkmaar have conceded 10 goals, scored 7, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

NEC lay in 4th place on 35 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 19 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. NEC have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

NEC have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
NEC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2219214059 
l
 
1-5A
Mar 7
l
 
3-5A
Mar 14
2
Feyenoord2213362042 
d
 
3-3F
May 10
Apr 12
w
 
2-4F
3
NEC2112542141 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
4
Ajax2210931339 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 21
5
S.Rotterdam221138-736 
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
6
Twente2281041234 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3A
Apr 25
7
AZ Alkmaar22967133 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
8
Groningen22949131 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
May 10
9
Fortuna227510-526 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3A
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
10
Excelsior227510-1326 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 14
w
 
5-0F
Apr 4
11
PEC Zwolle227510-1426 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Heerenveen21678-425 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
Mar 22
l
 
3-2A
13
Utrecht21669224 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 1
Feb 11
l
 
1-0A
14
GA Eagles214116-323 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
May 17
d
 
1-1F
15
FC Volendam225611-1321 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
w
 
2-3A
16
Telstar223811-1217 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
May 2
d
 
2-2A
17
Heracles225215-2617 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4A
18
NAC223712-1316 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
3-4F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
AZ Alkmaar 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
NEC 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
NEC
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
AZ
2
D
2
NEC
2
League games at NEC since 2016
NEC
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
8
17
Games: Scored
4 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
3 / 7
AZ
4
D
1
NEC
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for AZ in their clash with NEC Nijmegen, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 37 consecutive Eredivisie matches.

NEC Nijmegen have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Eredivisie matches. Their PG of 1.8 against AZ on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

AZ Alkmaar 7th NEC 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that NEC will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
NEC have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
NEC
2.1
1.8
Attack rating
AZ
NEC
11%
better
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score1
1
Scored first12
10
Goals scored35
49
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.6
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal7
4
Conversion rate for15
23
Avg. XG for2.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
11%
better
AZ
NEC
view stats
Games conceded15
16
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded32
33
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%

AZ Alkmaar v NEC Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221128
A PenetraT ParrottM WitW Goes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zoet GLK7
-
A Penetra DEF2211
4
-
W Goes DEF211
8
-
M Dekker DEF6
-
M Wit DEF2122
8
-
P Koopmeiners MID211
5
-
M Šín MID1511
1
-
K. Boogaard MID51
1
-
I Jensen FWD2112
-
T Parrott FWD17111
2
-
R. Daal FWD141
-
Subs
R Owusu-Oduro GLK16
-
H Verhulst GLK
-
S Maikuma DEF5
-
M. Chávez García DEF151
4
-
E. Dijkstra DEF8
1
-
B Duijl DEF
-
R. Robbemond MID
-
Weslley FWD1822
-
I Sadiq FWD172
3
-
J Hornkamp FWD5
-
A. Oufkir FWD3
-
NEC Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21776
G CrettazK OgawaB LinssenA Kaplan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Crettaz GLK21
3
-
E Dasa DEF141
-
A Kaplan DEF161
6
-
D. Fonville DEF162
-
S. Ouaissa MID2052
4
1
D Nejasmic MID161
1
-
K Sano MID2134
2
-
B. Onal MID1856
4
-
N Lebreton FWD1023
1
-
T Chery FWD2065
2
1
B Linssen FWD1967
5
-
Subs
J Cillessen GLK
-
R Janse GLK
-
J Willems DEF4
-
B Pereira DEF161
1
-
P Sandler DEF1512
4
1
T Ouwejan DEF612
-
S. de Laat MID1
-
D Proper MID163
2
-
V Misidjan FWD1512
-
K Ogawa FWD1873
1
-
Y Kachati FWD1022
-
K. Kers FWD1
-