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AZ v Telstar : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 15:45 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Home advantage makes a difference in the Eredivisie, and Maarten Martens’s AZ will have the luxury of it on Sunday afternoon. Anthony Limbrick’s Telstar are their opponents at the AFAS Stadion. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is published below. Flip between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for each one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: AZ Alkmaar to win

As training goes on this week and the AZ Alkmaar players prepare themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The AFAS Stadion hasn't been a successful away day for Telstar in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 75% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
74%
1.301.29
Draw
15%
5.756.00
Telstar
11%
8.009.00
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
9%
8.507.50
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
9%
9.008.00
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
8%
9.508.50
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
8%
10.009.00
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
7%
11.009.00
Draw 1-1
7%
12.0010.00
AZ Alkmaar 4-0
6%
15.0011.00
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0015.00
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Telstar 2-1
3%
23.0019.00
AZ Alkmaar 5-0
3%
23.0017.00
AZ Alkmaar 5-1
3%
26.0019.00
AZ Alkmaar 4-2
3%
29.0021.00
Draw 0-0
3%
23.0017.00
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.361.36
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
3.102.88
Home 1st Goal
59%
1.331.30
Away 1st Goal
39%
3.253.60
No 1st Goal
1%
23.0017.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.671.70
BTTS - No
42%
2.102.05
BTTS - Home Win
38%
2.402.40
BTTS - Draw
13%
6.506.50
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12.0012.00
Home/draw
89%
1.081.06
Away/draw
26%
3.403.50
Home/away
85%
1.141.12
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.111.11
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
6.506.00
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1.911.95
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
1.801.80
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
3.253.00
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1.331.35
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
5.505.25
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1.141.14
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
23.0017.00
Home DNB
84%
1.111.08
Away DNB
22%
6.507.00
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
35%
2.50-
Telstar win to nil
4%
17.00-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
45%
1.831.80
AZ Alkmaar / Telstar
2%
41.0034.00
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
5%
17.0017.00
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
19%
4.334.20
Draw / Telstar
5%
19.0015.00
Draw / Draw
9%
9.508.50
Telstar / AZ Alkmaar
5%
17.0015.00
Telstar / Telstar
6%
15.0012.00
Telstar / Draw
5%
19.0017.00
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Feyenoord76101119 
d
 
3-3F
May 10
Nov 30
Feb 21
2
PSV75111016 
Nov 9
Mar 7
Mar 21
w
 
0-2F
3
Ajax7430715 
Feb 7
Oct 18
Jan 11
l
 
2-0A
4
NEC7403812 
Jan 31
l
 
2-1A
Dec 13
May 2
5
AZ Alkmaar7331412 
-
-
Jan 25
Oct 5
6
Groningen7403212 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 21
Apr 4
l
 
2-0A
7
Utrecht7313610 
Oct 26
Feb 28
Nov 22
Apr 11
8
Twente7313210 
May 2
Nov 30
Feb 14
Nov 7
9
Fortuna7313010 
Apr 4
Dec 21
l
 
1-3A
Mar 7
10
GA Eagles723209 
Dec 7
Apr 23
w
 
4-2F
Feb 7
11
S.Rotterdam7304-119 
Feb 21
Nov 2
Apr 23
Oct 25
12
FC Volendam7142-37 
Jan 10
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 17
13
Telstar7214-47 
Oct 5
Jan 25
-
-
14
PEC Zwolle7214-47 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
15
NAC7214-57 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
Feb 28
Dec 20
16
Heerenveen7133-26 
Apr 11
Nov 23
Oct 19
Mar 14
17
Excelsior7205-96 
Dec 14
Feb 14
Nov 1
Jan 16
18
Heracles7106-123 
Mar 14
w
 
1-2F
May 10
Dec 6
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
AZ Alkmaar have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
AZ Alkmaar 5TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Telstar 13TH
3 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
2
Conceded
4
Games: Scored
1 / 3
Conceded
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
Failed to score
2 / 3
Won
1
Lost
2
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
4 / 7
Conceded
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
Failed to score
3 / 7
Won
2
D
1
Lost
4
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.7 is fairly strong for AZ in their meeting with Telstar, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 58 consecutive Eredivisie games.

AZ Alkmaar 5th Telstar 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
20%
There is a 82% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Telstar scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Telstar’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Telstar
2.7
1
Attack rating
57%
better
AZ
view stats
Games scored6
3
Failed to score0
3
Scored first5
2
Goals scored14
5
Avg. goals scored2
0.7
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal6
12
Conversion rate for17
8
Avg. XG for2.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+57%
Defence rating
17%
better
AZ
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first1
4
Goals conceded9
11
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

AZ Alkmaar v Telstar Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7345
M WitT ParrottS MijnansM Wit
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Wit DEF7
5
-
W Goes DEF7
2
-
A Penetra DEF71
3
-
D Kasius DEF72
1
-
J Clasie MID7
3
1
P Koopmeiners MID7
1
-
S Mijnans MID714
1
-
R. Daal FWD71
-
I Jensen FWD7
-
M Meerdink FWD721
1
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK6
-
K. Smit MID612
3
-
I Sadiq FWD62
2
-
M Šín MID51
-
L Zeefuik FWD5
1
-
Weslley FWD41
-
M. Chávez García DEF31
-
T Parrott FWD23
1
-
J Zoet GLK1
-
D. Kwakman MID1
-
Telstar Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7222
R. Koeman Jr.P BrouwerJ Hardeveld G Offerhaus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Koeman Jr. GLK7
1
-
G Offerhaus DEF71
2
-
D Mertens MID7
2
-
N Rossen MID71
-
T. Noslin MID7
2
-
J Hardeveld  MID72
1
-
M. Zonneveld FWD71
1
-
P Brouwer FWD72
-
S. Hetli FWD72
2
-
D Malone DEF6
-
D. Koswal DEF6
-
D Bakker DEF51
-
J Kamp MID521
1
-
T. Owusu MID51
-
S. Hagedoorn FWD5
-
N. Ogidi Nwankwo DEF4
-
A. Lechkar MID4
-
K Tejan FWD41
-
N. Nwankwo MID1
-