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SC Heerenveen v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 16th Oct, 19:00 BST, Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

SC Heerenveen and Excelsior clash at the Abe Lenstra Stadion on Friday evening, with both Robin Veldeman and Ruben den Uil aiming for victory in the Eredivisie. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Heerenveen may feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Excelsior. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Excelsior coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Heerenveen 28%	3/4	-
Draw 23%	3/1	-
Excelsior 49%	3/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	15/2	-
Excelsior 2-1 9%	14/1	-
Excelsior 1-0 8%	18/1	-
Excelsior 2-0 7%	25/1	-
Heerenveen 2-1 7%	8/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Heerenveen 1-0 6%	11/1	-
Excelsior 3-1 6%	28/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	20/1	-
Excelsior 3-0 4%	40/1	-
Heerenveen 2-0 4%	11/1	-
Excelsior 3-2 4%	25/1	-
Heerenveen 3-1 3%	11/1	-
Heerenveen 3-2 3%	16/1	-
Excelsior 4-1 3%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	4/9	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	17/10	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	13/10	-
No 1st Goal 3%	20/1	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	4/9	-
BTTS - No 39%	13/8	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	15/8	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 26%	5/1	-
Home/draw 51%	2/9	-
Away/draw 72%	1/1	-
Home/away 77%	2/9	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/8	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	5/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	1/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	8/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	12/5	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	3/10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	5/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/8	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/66	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	20/1	-
Home DNB 44%	1/3	-
Away DNB 65%	9/4	-
Heerenveen win to nil 12%	3/1	-
Excelsior win to nil 23%	9/1	-
Heerenveen / Heerenveen 31%	13/8	-
Heerenveen / Excelsior 3%	25/1	-
Heerenveen / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Heerenveen 16%	4/1	-
Draw / Excelsior 9%	17/2	-
Draw / Draw 11%	13/2	-
Excelsior / Heerenveen 5%	16/1	-
Excelsior / Excelsior 13%	11/2	-
Excelsior / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Heerenveen Excelsior
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	12	19	l 2-3A	Jan 9	Dec 19	Mar 20
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	18	17	Nov 8	Mar 6	Jan 16	Nov 21
3	PSV	7	5	1	1	14	16	May 23	Oct 9	l 1-2A	May 8
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	8	16	w 1-0F	Jan 23	Nov 1	Feb 20
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	12	14	Jan 31	d 2-2A	Feb 13	d 2-2A
6	Fortuna	7	4	1	2	-1	13	Mar 13	Nov 29	Jan 22	Oct 25
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	6	11	Oct 16	Feb 27	-	-
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	2	11	Apr 3	Nov 21	Oct 11	Apr 10
9	GA Eagles	7	2	4	1	2	10	Dec 12	May 16	Nov 7	Mar 6
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	2	9	-	-	Feb 27	Oct 16
11	NEC	7	2	2	3	-1	8	Oct 31	Apr 10	Mar 13	d 2-2A
12	S.Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5	Jan 15	w 0-4F	w 2-1F	Jan 9
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5	d 0-00-0	Feb 13	Nov 28	May 23
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5	Dec 6	May 8	May 1	w 0-4F
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5	May 1	Dec 19	l 1-2A	Jan 29
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4	l 0-2A	Mar 20	Apr 3	Dec 12
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2	Apr 24	Oct 24	May 16	Dec 6
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2	Feb 20	d 2-2A	Apr 24	w 0-3F

	UEFA Champions League
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	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heerenveen	0 - 0	Telstar
Heerenveen	2 - 3	AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen	0 - 2	PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen	1 - 0	Twente
Heerenveen	0 - 0	Ajax
Heerenveen	2 - 1	Fortuna
Heerenveen	4 - 1	Heracles
Heerenveen	3 - 0	Telstar
Heerenveen	2 - 1	S.Rotterdam
Heerenveen	4 - 2	PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen	1 - 1	Utrecht
Heerenveen	0 - 2	Groningen
Heerenveen	2 - 2	Feyenoord
Heerenveen	0 - 2	PSV
Heerenveen	3 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen	3 - 3	NAC
Heerenveen	2 - 1	Excelsior
Heerenveen	3 - 2	NEC
Heerenveen	2 - 2	GA Eagles
Heerenveen	1 - 2	Twente

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Heerenveen	4 - 0	S.Rotterdam
H	Heerenveen	0 - 0	Telstar
H	Heerenveen	2 - 3	AZ Alkmaar
A	Heerenveen	2 - 2	Willem II
H	Heerenveen	0 - 2	PEC Zwolle
A	Heerenveen	2 - 2	Ajax
H	Heerenveen	1 - 0	Twente
A	Heerenveen	2 - 3	Utrecht
H	Heerenveen	0 - 0	Ajax
A	Heerenveen	0 - 2	NAC
A	Heerenveen	2 - 0	FC Volendam
H	Heerenveen	2 - 1	Fortuna
A	Heerenveen	0 - 3	AZ Alkmaar
H	Heerenveen	4 - 1	Heracles
A	Heerenveen	2 - 2	NEC
H	Heerenveen	3 - 0	Telstar
A	Heerenveen	2 - 1	Excelsior
H	Heerenveen	2 - 1	S.Rotterdam
A	Heerenveen	1 - 3	PSV
H	Heerenveen	4 - 2	PEC Zwolle

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax	2 - 2	Excelsior
NEC	2 - 2	Excelsior
Willem II	0 - 3	Excelsior
Cambuur	0 - 4	Excelsior
S.Rotterdam	2 - 3	Excelsior
Groningen	2 - 3	Excelsior
PEC Zwolle	2 - 2	Excelsior
Heracles	1 - 1	Excelsior
Feyenoord	2 - 1	Excelsior
Fortuna	2 - 1	Excelsior
NAC	0 - 2	Excelsior
Twente	0 - 0	Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	Excelsior
PSV	5 - 1	Excelsior
Ajax	1 - 2	Excelsior
Telstar	2 - 2	Excelsior
GA Eagles	2 - 0	Excelsior
Heerenveen	2 - 1	Excelsior
FC Volendam	1 - 2	Excelsior
Utrecht	4 - 1	Excelsior

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Excelsior	2 - 2	Ajax
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	Utrecht
A	Excelsior	2 - 2	NEC
A	Excelsior	3 - 0	Willem II
H	Excelsior	2 - 1	S.Rotterdam
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	PSV
A	Excelsior	4 - 0	Cambuur
A	Excelsior	3 - 2	S.Rotterdam
H	Excelsior	1 - 1	FC Volendam
A	Excelsior	3 - 2	Groningen
H	Excelsior	5 - 0	Utrecht
A	Excelsior	2 - 2	PEC Zwolle
H	Excelsior	0 - 2	NEC
A	Excelsior	1 - 1	Heracles
A	Excelsior	1 - 2	Feyenoord
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	Heerenveen
H	Excelsior	0 - 1	GA Eagles
A	Excelsior	1 - 2	Fortuna
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
A	Excelsior	2 - 0	NAC

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Heerenveen

Excelsior

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

3 / 7

HEE

EXC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Heerenveen
Heerenveen	2 - 1
	0 - 3	Excelsior
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Heerenveen	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Excelsior
Heerenveen	2 - 1
Heerenveen	2 - 1

Excelsior

Heerenveen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

HEE

EXC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
	1 - 2	Heerenveen
Excelsior	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Heerenveen
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	1 - 2	Heerenveen
Excelsior	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Excelsior have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Eredivisie games. Their PG of 1.8 against SC Heerenveen on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Heerenveen 10th	Excelsior 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 73% probability that Heerenveen will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Excelsior will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Heerenveen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+33 Excelsior have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2026/2027 season

HEE

EXC

36%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		7
Failed to score	2		0
Scored first	2		3
Goals scored	11		15
Avg. goals scored	1.6		2.1
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		4
Conversion rate for	14		26
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.4
KickOff rating		+36%

better

HEE

EXC

view stats

Games conceded	4		5
Clean sheets	3		2
Conceded first	4		4
Goals conceded	9		9
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		9
Conversion rate against	12%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+6%

Heerenveen v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Heerenveen Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	3	1
B Klaverboer	J Trenskow	L. Smans	V Zagaritis

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Klaverboer GLK	7			-
V Zagaritis DEF	7			1 -
M. Willemsen DEF	7			-
S Kersten DEF	7		1	-
R Meerveld MID	7	1		-
J Trenskow FWD	7	3	1	1 -
D Vente FWD	7		2	-
O. Johansen Braude DEF	6	1		-
L Oyen FWD	6	1	1	1 -
M Rivera FWD	6	2	1	-
H Petrov DEF	5			-
D Proper MID	5		1	1 -
N. Courtens Mabeneyshi MID	5	2		1 -
L. Smans MID	5		3	-
M. Linday MID	4			1 -
R Uldrikis FWD	3			-
L. Machine FWD	3			-
M Farji FWD	2	1		1 -
D. Bladi DEF	1			-
M. Egbring DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	10	3	3
J Trenskow	M Rivera	L. Smans	R Meerveld

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Trenskow FWD	3	8	1	2
M Rivera FWD	2	10	1	1
N. Courtens Mabeneyshi MID	2	3
R Meerveld MID	1	2		3
O. Johansen Braude DEF	1	1
L Oyen FWD	1	3	1	1
M Farji FWD	1	1
V Zagaritis DEF		2		1
M. Willemsen DEF		1
S Kersten DEF			1
D Vente FWD		6	2	2
D Proper MID		1	1	1
L. Smans MID		1	3	2
M. Linday MID		1		1
R Uldrikis FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
566	16	33
M. Willemsen	S Kersten	O. Johansen Braude

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M. Willemsen DEF	566	10	22
S Kersten DEF	408	16	29
O. Johansen Braude DEF	331	14	33
B Klaverboer GLK	324	1	4
V Zagaritis DEF	267	3	28
M. Linday MID	266	2	11
D Proper MID	226	7	15
J Trenskow FWD	209	6	19
R Meerveld MID	169	3	19
N. Courtens Mabeneyshi MID	147	8	18
M Rivera FWD	125	2	13
D Vente FWD	125		28
H Petrov DEF	92	4	11
L. Smans MID	89	4	15
L Oyen FWD	60	2	14
M. Egbring DEF	31	2	3
L. Machine FWD	20	1	3
R Uldrikis FWD	19		10
M Farji FWD	9	1	4
D. Bladi DEF	2	1	1

Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	5	2
S Gassel	A. Sliti	I Yegoian	J. Plug

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Gassel GLK	7		1	-
J. Plug DEF	7			2 -
C Widell DEF	7	1		-
R Meissen DEF	7	1		1 -
S Janssen DEF	7		3	1 -
I Yegoian MID	7	2	5	1 -
L Hartjes MID	7	1		1 -
A. Sliti FWD	7	3	1	-
D. Garden FWD	7	3		-
I. Silva Timas FWD	6		1	-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF	5			-
Ágúst Þorsteinsson MID	5		1	1 -
N. Groen FWD	5	1	1	1 -
A Jahanbakhsh FWD	5			-
K. Bos DEF	4			-
D. van Vianen MID	4			-
M Dominguez FWD	3			1 -
O. Turay DEF	2			-
G. Cairo DEF	2			-
V. Sulzbacher MID	2	1		2 -
Y. Muse Finey MID	1			-
N Naujoks MID	1	2		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	5	5
A. Sliti	I Yegoian	I Yegoian	I Yegoian

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Sliti FWD	3	6	1	1
D. Garden FWD	3	4
I Yegoian MID	2	7	5	5
N Naujoks MID	2	2
C Widell DEF	1	1		1
R Meissen DEF	1	2
L Hartjes MID	1	3
N. Groen FWD	1	2	1	1
V. Sulzbacher MID	1	1
S Gassel GLK			1
J. Plug DEF		1
S Janssen DEF			3	4
I. Silva Timas FWD		1	1	2
Ágúst Þorsteinsson MID		1	1	2
A Jahanbakhsh FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
359	13	42
J. Plug	J. Plug	C Widell

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J. Plug DEF	359	13	24
S Gassel GLK	338		2
C Widell DEF	303	6	42
R Meissen DEF	297	11	27
I Yegoian MID	251	11	39
L Hartjes MID	234	8	22
S Janssen DEF	153	12	23
E. da Silva Moreira DEF	110	7	16
A. Sliti FWD	94	4	15
Ágúst Þorsteinsson MID	83	4	15
D. van Vianen MID	72	3	17
D. Garden FWD	68	1	22
K. Bos DEF	46	7	13
I. Silva Timas FWD	39	6	6
A Jahanbakhsh FWD	27	1	6
N Naujoks MID	25	3	7
N. Groen FWD	16	2	6
V. Sulzbacher MID	15		1
O. Turay DEF	11	2	3
G. Cairo DEF	8	1	1
Y. Muse Finey MID	6
M Dominguez FWD	5