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Ajax v NEC Nijmegen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 20:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

NEC Nijmegen are away on Saturday night, as manager Dick Schreuder takes his men to visit Ajax and Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz at the Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie. Stats for our tip of Ajax to win are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Ajax to win

As the Ajax players prepare themselves for this game, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Johan Cruijff Arena has not been an easy place to go for NEC in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday night. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
76%
27/100
14%
-
Draw
14%
9/2
22%
-
NEC
10%
17/2
73%
-
Ajax 2-0
9%
17/2
21%
-
Ajax 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
Ajax 3-0
8%
9/1
23%
-
Ajax 3-1
8%
9/1
9%
-
Ajax 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 1-1
6%
11/1
20%
-
Ajax 4-0
6%
12/1
38%
-
Ajax 4-1
6%
12/1
24%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
31%
-
Ajax 3-2
4%
18/1
12%
-
Ajax 5-0
3%
22/1
32%
-
Ajax 5-1
3%
22/1
21%
-
NEC 2-1
3%
25/1
37%
-
Ajax 4-2
3%
22/1-
Draw 0-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
1/3
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
12/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
1/3
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
9/4
24%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/7
9%
-
BTTS - No
41%
5/4
14%
-
BTTS - Home Win
41%
5/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
12%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
73%
-
Home/draw
90%
1/14
6%
-
Away/draw
24%
11/4
43%
-
Home/away
86%
1/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/12-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
7/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
4/5
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
10/11
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
7/4
5%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
2/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
4/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/6
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/150-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
25/1
10%
-
Home DNB
86%
1/12
10%
-
Away DNB
20%
7/1
85%
-
Ajax win to nil
35%
13/8
25%
-
NEC win to nil
4%
20/1
40%
-
Ajax / Ajax
47%
8/11
18%
-
Ajax / NEC
2%
40/1
41%
-
Ajax / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Ajax
19%
10/3
9%
-
Draw / NEC
4%
20/1
62%
-
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
11%
-
NEC / Ajax
5%
14/1-
NEC / NEC
5%
14/1
67%
-
NEC / Draw
4%
20/1
24%
-
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
NEC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
AZ Alkmaar76101219 
Oct 31
May 8
Feb 27
Dec 13
2
Feyenoord75201817 
Feb 27
Nov 29
l
 
1-3A
Feb 13
3
PSV75111416 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 24
Nov 21
May 16
4
Twente7511816 
Apr 3
Nov 8
Nov 29
Apr 24
5
Ajax74211214 
-
-
Mar 20
Oct 10
6
Fortuna7412-113 
May 1
w
 
1-5F
Oct 18
Mar 6
7
Excelsior7322611 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 13
d
 
2-2F
Mar 13
8
Groningen7322211 
Jan 17
Oct 18
Oct 25
Jan 31
9
GA Eagles7241210 
Feb 20
Dec 20
d
 
1-1F
Apr 3
10
Heerenveen723229 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 31
Apr 10
Oct 31
11
NEC7223-18 
Oct 10
Mar 20
-
-
12
S.Rotterdam7124-75 
May 16
Oct 25
Feb 20
Dec 5
13
Telstar7124-75 
Jan 23
w
 
0-4F
l
 
1-2A
Jan 16
14
Cambuur7124-95 
Dec 13
May 23
Jan 10
l
 
3-0A
15
Utrecht7124-135 
Dec 6
Apr 10
May 23
Nov 8
16
PEC Zwolle7115-144 
Mar 13
w
 
0-2F
May 1
w
 
1-3F
17
Den Haag7025-102 
Nov 22
Mar 6
Dec 20
May 8
18
Willem II7025-142 
w
 
5-1F
Jan 9
Jan 24
w
 
1-4F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
Ajax5 - 1Willem II
Ajax1 - 3PSV
Ajax2 - 2Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 0Utrecht
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Utrecht
Ajax2 - 2PSV
Ajax1 - 2Twente
Ajax4 - 0S.Rotterdam
Ajax1 - 1NEC
Ajax4 - 1Fortuna
Ajax2 - 0FC Volendam
Ajax2 - 2GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 0Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 0Groningen
Ajax1 - 2Excelsior
Ajax1 - 1Heerenveen
Ajax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 1NAC
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax5 - 1Willem II
AAjax5 - 1Fortuna
HAjax1 - 3PSV
AAjax4 - 0Telstar
HAjax2 - 2Heerenveen
AAjax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
HAjax0 - 0Utrecht
HAjax2 - 0Groningen
AAjax0 - 0Heerenveen
HAjax1 - 2Utrecht
HAjax2 - 2PSV
AAjax2 - 0NAC
AAjax3 - 0Heracles
HAjax1 - 2Twente
AAjax1 - 0Feyenoord
HAjax4 - 0S.Rotterdam
AAjax1 - 3Groningen
AAjax0 - 0PEC Zwolle
HAjax1 - 1NEC
NEC 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cambuur3 - 0NEC
PEC Zwolle1 - 3NEC
Willem II1 - 4NEC
Groningen2 - 1NEC
Twente1 - 1NEC
Excelsior0 - 2NEC
PSV2 - 3NEC
Ajax1 - 1NEC
S.Rotterdam1 - 1NEC
AZ Alkmaar1 - 3NEC
NAC3 - 4NEC
Telstar2 - 2NEC
FC Volendam2 - 3NEC
Feyenoord2 - 4NEC
Utrecht1 - 0NEC
PEC Zwolle2 - 2NEC
GA Eagles1 - 1NEC
Heerenveen3 - 2NEC
Fortuna3 - 2NEC
Heracles1 - 4NEC
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNEC1 - 1GA Eagles
ANEC0 - 3Cambuur
HNEC2 - 2Excelsior
HNEC1 - 3Feyenoord
ANEC3 - 1PEC Zwolle
ANEC4 - 1Willem II
HNEC1 - 2Telstar
HNEC2 - 1GA Eagles
ANEC1 - 2Groningen
HNEC1 - 1Telstar
ANEC1 - 1Twente
HNEC1 - 1Feyenoord
ANEC2 - 0Excelsior
HNEC2 - 2Heerenveen
ANEC3 - 2PSV
HNEC3 - 0FC Volendam
HNEC2 - 3Fortuna
ANEC1 - 1Ajax
ANEC1 - 1S.Rotterdam
HNEC1 - 3Utrecht
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
NEC
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
AJA
3
D
3
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3NEC
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ajax1 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at NEC since 2015
NEC
Ajax
Goals: Scored
6
15
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
AJA
5
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NEC
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Ajax
1 - 2Ajax
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Ajax
1 - 5Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
Goal Statistics

Ajax's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Eredivisie matches. A PG of 2.9 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Goals have been difficult to come by for NEC Nijmegen of late. It has been 6 Eredivisie games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Ajax.

Ajax 5th NEC 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
22%
There is a 84% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of NEC scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Ajax have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+20
NEC have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2026/2027 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
NEC
2.9
1
Attack rating
34%
better
AJA
NEC
view stats
Games scored7
6
Failed to score0
1
Scored first6
4
Goals scored21
12
Avg. goals scored3
1.7
Avg. shots per game18
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for2.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
41%
better
AJA
NEC
view stats
Games conceded5
7
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded9
13
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
22%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+41%

Ajax v NEC Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6442
C HenriqueJ BrandtO GloukhY Baas 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Henrique DEF71
1
-
Y Baas  DEF71
2
-
J Brandt MID74
-
O Gloukh MID714
1
-
J. Mokio MID71
1
-
D Klaassen MID73
2
-
A. Ouazane MID71
2
-
M Stegen GLK6
-
T Arokodare FWD631
-
K Dolberg FWD623
-
S Berghuis  FWD613
1
-
T Kehrer DEF411
-
A Gaaei DEF4
1
-
A. Bouwman DEF4
1
-
S Amrabat MID4
-
V Tsygankov FWD411
-
M Leonardo FWD41
-
O Edvardsen FWD4
-
L Rosa DEF31
1
-
D. Janse DEF2
-
O Wijndal DEF2
-
M Paes GLK1
-
J. Torrents Salvat DEF1
-
NEC Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6322
T StormT CheryT CheryN Lebreton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Lebreton MID71
2
-
T Storm DEF6
2
-
D Tadić MID61
1
-
J Monteiro MID6
1
-
T Chery MID632
-
C. Bischoff FWD61
-
A. Tahaui FWD62
-
B Linssen FWD61
-
G Crettaz GLK5
-
B Nuytinck DEF5
-
D Nejasmic MID51
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF4
2
-
P Schuurs DEF421
-
D Geiger MID4
-
E Mor FWD41
-
K Sierhuis FWD42
-
N Polster GLK3
-
Gabriel Brás DEF3
-
P Sandler DEF3
1
-
D. Fonville DEF3
-
A. Thomas FWD3
-
K. Kers FWD3
-
I Hansen-Aaroen MID2
1
-