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Ajax v NEC Nijmegen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam

Rogier Meijer will be hoping for a vital away win in the Eredivisie on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his NEC Nijmegen side to the Amsterdam ArenA to visit Ajax and Francesco Farioli. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.

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Ajax's next match is v Groningen at 19:00 on Wednesday 14th May
NEC Nijmegen's next match is v NAC at 19:00 on Wednesday 14th May
The last Dutch Eredivisie meeting between Ajax and NEC was on Sunday 11th May 2025
Dutch Eredivisie
May 11th 2025
Ajax 0
3 NEC
 
59' S. Hansen
67' B. Pereira
82' S. Ouaissa
 
AJA
NEC
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
8
1
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
AjaxNEC
 
R. Pasveer
J. Hato (O. Wijndal 73')
J. Šutalo (D. Janse 46')
A. Gaaei
D. Rugani (K. Fitz-Jim 59')
D. Klaassen
K. Taylor (J. Mokio 73')
J. Henderson
S. Berghuis
B. Traoré (M. Godts 59')
W. Weghorst
R. Roefs
(E. Lyratzis 80') P. Sandler
I. Márquez Álvarez
(B. Onal 59') T. Ouwejan
(Y. Sbai 80') football iconB. Pereira
C. Verdonk
football iconS. Ouaissa
K. Sano
V. van Crooij
(K. Shiogai 80') B. Linssen
(L. Schöne 87') football iconS. Hansen

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Ajax to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this Eredivisie fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Ajax to win and delight their home supporters is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for NEC, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Ajax claiming victory is the bet come Sunday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
71%
2/9
6%
-
Draw
18%
6/1
33%
-
NEC
11%
11/1
50%
-
Ajax 2-0
13%
6/1-
Ajax 1-0
11%
17/2
12%
-
Ajax 2-1
10%
17/2
12%
-
Ajax 3-0
9%
13/2
12%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
12/1
30%
-
Ajax 3-1
7%
9/1
9%
-
Ajax 4-0
5%
10/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1
12%
-
Ajax 4-1
4%
14/1
12%
-
NEC 1-0
4%
28/1
26%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
22/1
10%
-
NEC 2-1
3%
28/1
26%
-
Ajax 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Ajax 5-0
2%
18/1
27%
-
Ajax 5-1
2%
22/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
2/5
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
15/8
20%
-
Home 1st Goal
61%
1/6
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
15/4
19%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
53%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
13/8
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
7/1
14%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
18/1
46%
-
Home/draw
89%
1/25
4%
-
Away/draw
29%
10/3
27%
-
Home/away
82%
1/10
6%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/8
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
5/1
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
1/1
11%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
8/11
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
12/5
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
3/10
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11/2
19%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/9
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/66
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/1
24%
-
Home DNB
83%
1/16
4%
-
Away DNB
24%
9/1
43%
-
Ajax win to nil
42%
1/1
9%
-
NEC win to nil
6%
20/1
40%
-
Ajax / Ajax
50%
4/6
9%
-
Ajax / NEC
2%
50/1-
Ajax / Draw
4%
20/1
24%
-
Draw / Ajax
21%
3/1-
Draw / NEC
4%
22/1
21%
-
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1
25%
-
NEC / Ajax
5%
16/1
11%
-
NEC / NEC
4%
20/1
40%
-
NEC / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Eredivisie league table. Ajax are unbeaten at home after 15 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 63 goals to 43 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 15 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

NEC are in 14th position in the Eredivisie on 34 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 7. NEC have conceded 35 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
NEC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Ajax Home3223543374 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
2
PSV3223455973 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-0A
3
Feyenoord3219853865 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Utrecht3218861762 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Twente3215981654 
May 18
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
AZ Alkmaar3215892053 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
7
GA Eagles3213910348 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
5-0A
8
Heerenveen3211714-1640 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Fortuna3211615-1739 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
10
S.Rotterdam3291112-238 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
11
Groningen3210814-1138 
w
 
3-1F
May 14
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Heracles3291112-1738 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-2A
May 18
13
NEC Away3210715137 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
-
-
14
PEC Zwolle3281113-1135 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
NAC328816-2132 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-1A
May 14
l
 
1-0A
16
Willem II326719-2125 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1A
17
Waalwijk325720-3022 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
18
Almere City324820-4120 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax1 - 1S.Rotterdam
Ajax3 - 1NAC
Ajax2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2 - 0GA Eagles
Ajax4 - 0Heracles
Ajax2 - 1Feyenoord
Ajax2 - 1Waalwijk
Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Ajax2 - 2Utrecht
Ajax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
Ajax3 - 2PSV
Ajax1 - 0Willem II
Ajax3 - 1Groningen
Ajax5 - 0Fortuna
Ajax1 - 0Heerenveen
Ajax3 - 0Almere City
Ajax2 - 2Excelsior
Ajax2 - 1Twente
Ajax1 - 1GA Eagles
Ajax2 - 2Fortuna
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAjax1 - 1S.Rotterdam
AAjax0 - 4Utrecht
AAjax2 - 1Willem II
HAjax3 - 1NAC
AAjax2 - 0PSV
HAjax2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AAjax1 - 0PEC Zwolle
AAjax1 - 0Almere City
HAjax2 - 0GA Eagles
HAjax4 - 0Heracles
AAjax2 - 0Fortuna
HAjax2 - 1Feyenoord
AAjax2 - 0Heerenveen
HAjax2 - 1Waalwijk
AAjax2 - 0S.Rotterdam
HAjax3 - 0Almere City
AAjax1 - 2AZ Alkmaar
HAjax2 - 2Utrecht
AAjax2 - 1NEC
HAjax2 - 0PEC Zwolle
NEC 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heerenveen1 - 0NEC
S.Rotterdam2 - 0NEC
Utrecht0 - 1NEC
Feyenoord0 - 0NEC
Twente2 - 0NEC
Groningen2 - 1NEC
PEC Zwolle0 - 1NEC
Willem II4 - 1NEC
GA Eagles5 - 0NEC
Waalwijk0 - 3NEC
Almere City1 - 0NEC
NAC1 - 0NEC
PSV2 - 0NEC
Fortuna0 - 3NEC
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0NEC
Almere City1 - 4NEC
Excelsior0 - 3NEC
Vitesse0 - 3NEC
Fortuna1 - 1NEC
Utrecht1 - 0NEC
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNEC1 - 1Willem II
ANEC0 - 1Heerenveen
HNEC2 - 1Waalwijk
ANEC0 - 2S.Rotterdam
HNEC3 - 3AZ Alkmaar
ANEC1 - 0Utrecht
HNEC2 - 3GA Eagles
ANEC0 - 0Feyenoord
ANEC0 - 2Twente
HNEC2 - 2Almere City
ANEC1 - 2Groningen
HNEC3 - 3PSV
HNEC4 - 1Fortuna
ANEC1 - 0PEC Zwolle
ANEC1 - 4Willem II
HNEC1 - 1S.Rotterdam
ANEC0 - 5GA Eagles
HNEC1 - 2Ajax
HNEC1 - 2Utrecht
ANEC3 - 0Waalwijk
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Ajax have not lost to NEC in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
NEC
Goals: Scored
15
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
AJA
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Draw2 - 2Draw
Ajax1 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Ajax5 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at NEC since 2015
NEC
Ajax
Goals: Scored
4
13
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
AJA
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT NEC
1 - 2Ajax
1 - 2Ajax
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Ajax
1 - 5Ajax
0 - 2Ajax
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Ajax in their clash with NEC Nijmegen, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 62 consecutive Eredivisie outings.

Ajax 1st NEC 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of NEC scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
NEC have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278916/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
NEC
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
34%
better
AJA
NEC
view stats
Games scored30
22
Failed to score1
9
Scored first18
12
Goals scored63
43
Avg. goals scored2
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
30%
better
AJA
NEC
view stats
Games conceded16
23
Clean sheets15
8
Conceded first13
18
Goals conceded27
45
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+30%

Ajax v NEC Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28976
J HatoK TaylorJ HatoB Brobbey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK221
-
A Gaaei DEF2424
4
1
J Sutalo DEF272
3
-
D Rugani DEF15
1
-
J Hato DEF2927
5
-
D Klaassen MID2982
-
J Henderson MID264
5
-
K Taylor MID3196
3
-
B Traoré FWD3064
1
-
W Weghorst FWD2282
2
-
S Berghuis  FWD2424
2
-
Subs
J Gorter GLK
-
Matheus GLK91
-
L Rosa DEF41
1
-
O Wijndal DEF8
2
-
A Kaplan DEF8
2
-
J. Mokio DEF91
1
-
D. Janse DEF4
-
Y Regeer MID21
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID2621
3
-
B Brobbey FWD2843
6
-
M Godts FWD2742
2
-
C Rasmussen  FWD101
1
-
NEC Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30959
R RoefsV CrooijV CrooijC Verdonk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK30
-
B Pereira DEF2922
3
-
I Márquez DEF262
4
-
P Sandler DEF17
1
-
C Verdonk DEF3111
9
-
K Sano MID2321
3
1
V Crooij MID2495
6
1
S Hansen MID2953
3
-
S. Ouaissa MID317
2
-
T Ouwejan MID2725
1
-
B Linssen FWD132
3
-
Subs
R Janse GLK
-
S Gassel GLK2
-
E Lyratzis DEF142
-
M Hoedemakers MID251
1
-
A. Darelas MID5
-
L Schöne MID16
1
1
Y. Sbai MID1
-
K. Shiogai FWD2341
-
B. Onal FWD313
3
-
L Larsen FWD7
-