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Excelsior v Groningen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 15:45 BST, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam

the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion plays host on Sunday afternoon, as Ruben den Uil's Excelsior are visited by Dick Lukkien's Groningen in the Eredivisie. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Excelsior should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Groningen. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear winner in this clash. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Excelsior are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Excelsior 38%	6/4 11%	-
Draw 23%	13/5	-
Groningen 38%	6/4 11%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2	-
Groningen 2-1 8%	9/1 9%	-
Excelsior 2-1 8%	9/1 5%	-
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1	-
Groningen 1-0 6%	11/1 20%	-
Excelsior 1-0 6%	11/1	-
Groningen 2-0 5%	14/1 12%	-
Excelsior 2-0 5%	14/1	-
Groningen 3-1 5%	18/1	-
Excelsior 3-1 5%	18/1 12%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1 11%	-
Groningen 3-2 4%	20/1 9%	-
Excelsior 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Groningen 3-0 3%	25/1 10%	-
Excelsior 3-0 3%	25/1 13%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	8/15	-
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	7/5	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	10/11 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	10/11 5%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	16/1 11%	-
BTTS - Yes 64%	1/2 4%	-
BTTS - No 36%	6/4 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	10/3 15%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 23%	10/3 4%	-
Home/draw 62%	1/2 7%	-
Away/draw 62%	1/2 7%	-
Home/away 77%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/6 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	4/1 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	5/4 2%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	4/7 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	3/1 7%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	2/9 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	7/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/12	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	16/1 11%	-
Home DNB 55%	5/6 10%	-
Away DNB 55%	5/6 13%	-
Excelsior win to nil 16%	9/2 10%	-
Groningen win to nil 16%	9/2 15%	-
Excelsior / Excelsior 21%	3/1 11%	-
Excelsior / Groningen 4%	22/1	-
Excelsior / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Excelsior 13%	11/2 8%	-
Draw / Groningen 13%	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Groningen / Excelsior 4%	22/1 10%	-
Groningen / Groningen 21%	3/1 8%	-
Groningen / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Excelsior Groningen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	12	19	Dec 19	Mar 20	Feb 13	Nov 8
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	18	17	Jan 16	Nov 21	Dec 13	May 23
3	PSV	7	5	1	1	14	16	l 1-2A	May 8	Mar 20	l 5-1F
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	8	16	Nov 1	Feb 20	d 2-2A	May 8
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	12	14	Feb 13	d 2-2A	Oct 18	Jan 17
6	Fortuna	7	4	1	2	-1	13	Jan 22	Oct 25	l 2-3A	Apr 24
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	6	11	-	-	Apr 10	Oct 11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	2	11	Oct 11	Apr 10	-	-
9	GA Eagles	7	2	4	1	2	10	Nov 7	Mar 6	Jan 10	d 1-1F
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	2	9	Feb 27	Oct 16	Nov 21	Apr 3
11	NEC	7	2	2	3	-1	8	Mar 13	d 2-2A	Jan 31	Oct 25
12	S.Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	-7	5	w 2-1F	Jan 9	Nov 1	Jan 24
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	-7	5	Nov 28	May 23	Mar 6	Dec 4
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	-9	5	May 1	w 0-4F	May 16	Dec 20
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	-13	5	l 1-2A	Jan 29	w 2-1F	Mar 13
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-14	4	Apr 3	Dec 12	w 3-0F	Feb 20
17	Den Haag	7	0	2	5	-10	2	May 16	Dec 6	May 1	w 1-4F
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	-14	2	Apr 24	w 0-3F	Nov 27	Feb 27

	UEFA Champions League
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	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Excelsior	1 - 2	Utrecht
Excelsior	2 - 1	S.Rotterdam
Excelsior	1 - 2	PSV
Excelsior	1 - 1	FC Volendam
Excelsior	5 - 0	Utrecht
Excelsior	0 - 2	NEC
Excelsior	1 - 2	Heerenveen
Excelsior	0 - 1	GA Eagles
Excelsior	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior	2 - 2	Ajax
Excelsior	2 - 2	Telstar
Excelsior	2 - 1	PEC Zwolle
Excelsior	0 - 2	Groningen
Excelsior	1 - 0	NAC
Excelsior	1 - 2	Heracles
Excelsior	1 - 0	Fortuna
Excelsior	1 - 2	PSV
Excelsior	0 - 1	S.Rotterdam
Excelsior	1 - 0	Twente
Excelsior	1 - 2	Feyenoord

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Excelsior	2 - 2	Ajax
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	Utrecht
A	Excelsior	2 - 2	NEC
A	Excelsior	3 - 0	Willem II
H	Excelsior	2 - 1	S.Rotterdam
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	PSV
A	Excelsior	4 - 0	Cambuur
A	Excelsior	3 - 2	S.Rotterdam
H	Excelsior	1 - 1	FC Volendam
A	Excelsior	3 - 2	Groningen
H	Excelsior	5 - 0	Utrecht
A	Excelsior	2 - 2	PEC Zwolle
H	Excelsior	0 - 2	NEC
A	Excelsior	1 - 1	Heracles
A	Excelsior	1 - 2	Feyenoord
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	Heerenveen
H	Excelsior	0 - 1	GA Eagles
A	Excelsior	1 - 2	Fortuna
H	Excelsior	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
A	Excelsior	2 - 0	NAC

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
GA Eagles	1 - 1	Groningen
PSV	5 - 1	Groningen
Den Haag	1 - 4	Groningen
Ajax	2 - 0	Groningen
Heracles	1 - 2	Groningen
Feyenoord	3 - 1	Groningen
Telstar	0 - 2	Groningen
PEC Zwolle	1 - 1	Groningen
FC Volendam	3 - 2	Groningen
Twente	2 - 1	Groningen
S.Rotterdam	2 - 0	Groningen
Heerenveen	0 - 2	Groningen
GA Eagles	1 - 1	Groningen
Excelsior	0 - 2	Groningen
Ajax	2 - 0	Groningen
NEC	2 - 0	Groningen
Fortuna	1 - 2	Groningen
NAC	1 - 2	Groningen
Utrecht	0 - 1	Groningen
PSV	4 - 2	Groningen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Groningen	3 - 0	PEC Zwolle
A	Groningen	1 - 1	GA Eagles
H	Groningen	2 - 2	Twente
H	Groningen	2 - 3	Fortuna
A	Groningen	1 - 5	PSV
A	Groningen	4 - 1	Den Haag
H	Groningen	2 - 1	Utrecht
A	Groningen	0 - 2	Ajax
A	Groningen	2 - 1	Heracles
H	Groningen	2 - 1	NEC
H	Groningen	2 - 3	Excelsior
A	Groningen	1 - 3	Feyenoord
H	Groningen	0 - 0	GA Eagles
A	Groningen	2 - 0	Telstar
H	Groningen	3 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
A	Groningen	1 - 1	PEC Zwolle
H	Groningen	3 - 1	Ajax
A	Groningen	2 - 3	FC Volendam
A	Groningen	1 - 2	Twente
H	Groningen	1 - 2	Utrecht

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Excelsior

Groningen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

1 / 6

EXC

GRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Excelsior
	0 - 2	Groningen
Excelsior	1 - 0
	2 - 4	Groningen
Excelsior	2 - 0
Excelsior	2 - 0
Excelsior	2 - 1

Groningen

Excelsior

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

0 / 6

EXC

GRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Groningen
	2 - 3	Excelsior
Groningen	3 - 0
Groningen	1 - 0
Groningen	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Groningen	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Excelsior have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Groningen on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Excelsior 7th	Groningen 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Excelsior will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Groningen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 Excelsior have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	+1 Groningen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2026/2027 season

EXC

GRO

better

view stats

Games scored	7		7
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	3		5
Goals scored	15		15
Avg. goals scored	2.1		2.1
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	4		5
Conversion rate for	26		22
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+4%

14%

better

EXC

GRO

view stats

Games conceded	5		6
Clean sheets	2		1
Conceded first	4		2
Goals conceded	9		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	11%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.8
KickOff rating		+14%

Excelsior v Groningen Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	5	2
S Gassel	A. Sliti	I Yegoian	J. Plug

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Gassel GLK	7		1	-
J. Plug DEF	7			2 -
C Widell DEF	7	1		-
R Meissen DEF	7	1		1 -
S Janssen DEF	7		3	1 -
I Yegoian MID	7	2	5	1 -
L Hartjes MID	7	1		1 -
A. Sliti FWD	7	3	1	-
D. Garden FWD	7	3		-
I. Silva Timas FWD	6		1	-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF	5			-
N. Groen FWD	5	1	1	1 -
Ágúst Þorsteinsson FWD	5		1	1 -
A Jahanbakhsh FWD	5			-
K. Bos DEF	4			-
D. van Vianen MID	4			-
M Dominguez FWD	3			1 -
O. Turay DEF	2			-
G. Cairo DEF	2			-
V. Sulzbacher MID	2	1		2 -
Y. Muse Finey MID	1			-
N Naujoks MID	1	2		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	5	5
A. Sliti	I Yegoian	I Yegoian	I Yegoian

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Sliti FWD	3	6	1	1
D. Garden FWD	3	4
I Yegoian MID	2	7	5	5
N Naujoks MID	2	2
C Widell DEF	1	1		1
R Meissen DEF	1	2
L Hartjes MID	1	3
N. Groen FWD	1	2	1	1
V. Sulzbacher MID	1	1
S Gassel GLK			1
J. Plug DEF		1
S Janssen DEF			3	4
I. Silva Timas FWD		1	1	2
Ágúst Þorsteinsson FWD		1	1	2
A Jahanbakhsh FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
359	13	42
J. Plug	J. Plug	C Widell

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J. Plug DEF	359	13	24
S Gassel GLK	338		2
C Widell DEF	303	6	42
R Meissen DEF	297	11	27
I Yegoian MID	251	11	39
L Hartjes MID	234	8	22
S Janssen DEF	153	12	23
E. da Silva Moreira DEF	110	7	16
A. Sliti FWD	94	4	15
Ágúst Þorsteinsson FWD	83	4	15
D. van Vianen MID	72	3	17
D. Garden FWD	68	1	22
K. Bos DEF	46	7	13
I. Silva Timas FWD	39	6	6
A Jahanbakhsh FWD	27	1	6
N Naujoks MID	25	3	7
N. Groen FWD	16	2	6
V. Sulzbacher MID	15		1
O. Turay DEF	11	2	3
G. Cairo DEF	8	1	1
Y. Muse Finey MID	6
M Dominguez FWD	5

Groningen Eredivisie squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	4	3	2
E Vaessen	T Bergen	D. van der Werff	M. Csinger

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Vaessen GLK	7		1	1 -
J Schreuders DEF	7	1	2	-
T Blokzijl DEF	7		1	-
T Bergen MID	7	4	2	-
T Land MID	7	2	1	-
T. de Jonge MID	7			-
B Willumsson FWD	7	4		-
D. van der Werff FWD	7	2	3	1 -
P Clement FWD	7		1	-
M. Csinger DEF	6			2 -
W. Prins DEF	6			-
J Ondrejka FWD	6			1 -
T Hearnes MID	5			1 -
M Rente DEF	4			-
E. van der Laan DEF	4			-
N. Eggens FWD	4	1		-
N. Brandis DEF	3			-
O Zawada FWD	3			-
A. Nordin MID	2			-
T. Mercera DEF	1			-
H Hateboer DEF	1			-
J. Mosselaar DEF	1			-
R. Metu FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	3	4
T Bergen	T Bergen	D. van der Werff	T Bergen

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Bergen MID	4	11	2	4
B Willumsson FWD	4	9		1
T Land MID	2	2	1	1
D. van der Werff FWD	2	7	3	4
J Schreuders DEF	1	2	2	1
N. Eggens FWD	1	1
E Vaessen GLK			1	1
T Blokzijl DEF			1
T. de Jonge MID		4		3
P Clement FWD		2	1	1
W. Prins DEF				2
O Zawada FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
419	26	49
T Blokzijl	J Schreuders	T Bergen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Blokzijl DEF	419	5	19
E Vaessen GLK	341	2	5
T. de Jonge MID	318	10	27
J Schreuders DEF	294	26	34
T Land MID	291	5	17
P Clement FWD	254	5	23
D. van der Werff FWD	211	11	26
M. Csinger DEF	201	13	33
T Bergen MID	169	5	49
W. Prins DEF	127	3	16
B Willumsson FWD	102	3	34
M Rente DEF	76	4	7
E. van der Laan DEF	75	5	12
J Ondrejka FWD	39	1	10
T Hearnes MID	30		3
N. Brandis DEF	22		3
O Zawada FWD	20	1	8
H Hateboer DEF	18		1
A. Nordin MID	9	1	1
N. Eggens FWD	6		1
T. Mercera DEF	6	1	2
J. Mosselaar DEF	2	1	1
R. Metu FWD		1	1