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SC Heerenveen v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 20:00 BST, Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

It's an away match for Ruben Albes's Excelsior side on Saturday night, as they visit the Abe Lenstra Stadion for a Eredivisie showdown with Robin Dutt's SC Heerenveen. Stats power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Robin Dutt prepares his side for kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Statistics imply both sides are strong in attack, and have had few problems in finding the back of the net of late. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the fixture, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Heerenveen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Heerenveen
60%
1.601.62
Draw
20%
4.334.33
Excelsior
20%
5.004.80
Heerenveen 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 1-1
9%
8.508.00
Heerenveen 2-0
9%
9.008.50
Heerenveen 1-0
8%
9.508.50
Heerenveen 3-1
7%
12.0010.00
Heerenveen 3-0
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Excelsior 2-1
5%
15.0013.00
Excelsior 1-0
4%
17.0013.00
Heerenveen 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0013.00
Heerenveen 4-1
4%
21.0017.00
Heerenveen 4-0
3%
23.0017.00
Excelsior 2-0
3%
29.0021.00
Excelsior 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1.531.53
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
2.402.40
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.501.50
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.502.70
No 1st Goal
2%
17.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.621.60
BTTS - No
40%
2.202.25
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2.882.80
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8.007.00
Home/draw
80%
1.171.18
Away/draw
40%
2.302.25
Home/away
80%
1.201.20
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.171.17
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.004.80
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.252.25
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.571.57
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4.003.80
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.221.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.0013.00
Home DNB
74%
1.251.25
Away DNB
34%
3.753.50
Heerenveen win to nil
28%
3.25-
Excelsior win to nil
8%
10.00-
Heerenveen / Heerenveen
34%
2.402.40
Heerenveen / Excelsior
3%
34.0026.00
Heerenveen / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Heerenveen
17%
4.754.50
Draw / Excelsior
8%
11.009.50
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
Excelsior / Heerenveen
5%
19.0015.00
Excelsior / Excelsior
10%
8.507.00
Excelsior / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Won
Draw
Lost
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Feyenoord76101119 
Jan 11
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
Mar 14
2
PSV75111016 
Dec 6
Feb 21
l
 
1-2F
Jan 10
3
Ajax7430715 
May 17
Nov 1
Feb 1
Nov 22
4
NEC7403812 
w
 
3-2F
Mar 21
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
5
AZ Alkmaar7331412 
Nov 23
Apr 11
Feb 14
Dec 14
6
Groningen7403212 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
Dec 5
May 2
7
Utrecht7313610 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
Apr 23
l
 
4-1A
8
Twente7313210 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 7
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
9
Fortuna7313010 
Apr 23
Nov 8
Oct 19
Feb 21
10
GA Eagles723209 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 25
Feb 28
Oct 26
11
S.Rotterdam7304-119 
Feb 28
Dec 14
l
 
0-1A
May 17
12
FC Volendam7142-37 
d
 
1-1F
May 2
May 10
w
 
1-2F
13
Telstar7214-47 
Mar 14
Oct 19
Jan 16
Nov 1
14
PEC Zwolle7214-47 
Feb 14
Nov 28
Dec 20
Apr 11
15
NAC7214-57 
Oct 24
May 10
Nov 29
Feb 7
16
Heerenveen7133-26 
-
-
Mar 7
Oct 4
17
Excelsior7205-96 
Oct 4
Mar 7
-
-
18
Heracles7106-123 
Apr 4
Dec 19
Nov 8
Mar 21
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Heerenveen 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Excelsior 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
56
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Excelsior have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Heerenveen
League games at Heerenveen since 2015
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
HEE
3
D
1
EXC
2
League games at Excelsior since 2016
Excelsior
Heerenveen
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
HEE
2
D
2
EXC
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for SC Heerenveen in their meeting with Excelsior, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 80 consecutive Eredivisie games.

Heerenveen 16th Excelsior 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Heerenveen will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Excelsior will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Heerenveen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Excelsior have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
Heerenveen
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
25%
better
HEE
EXC
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score1
2
Scored first3
3
Goals scored8
5
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for2
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
HEE
EXC
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded10
13
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
17%
Avg. XG against0.9
2.1
KickOff rating
+13%

Heerenveen v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Heerenveen Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7313
V ZagaritisD VenteV ZagaritisV Zagaritis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Zagaritis DEF71
3
-
J Overeem MID71
2
-
M. Linday MID7
1
-
V Sejk FWD711
-
D Vente FWD73
-
M Rivera FWD71
1
-
J Trenskow FWD731
-
S Kersten DEF6
2
-
O. Johansen Braude DEF6
1
-
L Brouwers MID611
1
1
H Petrov DEF5
1
1
N Hopland DEF51
1
-
R Meerveld MID51
-
A Noppert GLK4
-
B Klaverboer GLK3
-
M. Willemsen DEF3
-
E. Gürbüz FWD3
-
M. Egbring DEF2
-
A Dongen FWD2
-
L. Smans MID11
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7212
C WidellS WlodarczykR MeissenA Carlén
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Bronkhorst DEF7
1
-
C Widell DEF7
-
R Meissen DEF71
-
A Carlén MID71
2
-
G Regt FWD71
1
-
D Fernandes FWD71
-
A Zagre DEF6
1
1
N Naujoks MID6
1
-
M Duinen FWD61
1
-
S Gassel GLK5
-
I Yegoian MID5
-
S Wlodarczyk FWD52
-
S. Hendrikx DEF4
1
D. Yun FWD41
-
J. Armantrading FWD4
1
-
N. Martens DEF31
-
S. Middendorp MID3
-
C. Nadje MID3
-
Z. Booth FWD3
-
S Mitrovic FWD3
-
C Raatsie GLK2
-
S Janssen DEF2
-
L Schouten DEF21
-
T. Holla GLK1
-
N. Groen FWD1
-