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Heracles Almelo v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 20:00 BST, Polman Stadion, Almelo

Óscar García Junyent leads his Ajax team to the Polman Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday night, with Ernest Faber's Heracles Almelo their challengers. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Heracles may feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Ajax. The bookies don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no obvious winner in this clash. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Ajax coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Heracles 31%	19/4	-
Draw 22%	10/3	-
Ajax 47%	1/2	-
Draw 1-1 10%	8/1	-
Ajax 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Heracles 2-1 7%	16/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	12/1	-
Ajax 1-0 7%	9/1	-
Ajax 2-0 6%	17/2	-
Ajax 3-1 6%	10/1	-
Heracles 1-0 5%	20/1	-
Ajax 3-2 4%	18/1	-
Heracles 2-0 4%	33/1	-
Ajax 3-0 4%	11/1	-
Heracles 3-1 4%	40/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	18/1	-
Heracles 3-2 3%	33/1	-
Ajax 4-1 3%	18/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	19/40	-
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	8/5	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	13/8	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	4/9	-
No 1st Goal 2%	18/1	-
BTTS - Yes 65%	4/7	-
BTTS - No 35%	5/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	15/2	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 28%	7/4	-
Home/draw 53%	6/4	-
Away/draw 69%	1/7	-
Home/away 78%	1/5	-
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	9/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	11/10	-
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	4/6	-
Over 4.5 Goals 25%	11/4	-
Under 4.5 Goals 75%	1/4	-
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	6/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/10	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/50	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1	-
Home DNB 46%	10/3	-
Away DNB 63%	1/5	-
Heracles win to nil 12%	12/1	-
Ajax win to nil 19%	2/1	-
Heracles / Heracles 9%	8/1	-
Heracles / Ajax 5%	16/1	-
Heracles / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Heracles 7%	11/1	-
Draw / Ajax 18%	7/2	-
Draw / Draw 11%	13/2	-
Ajax / Heracles 2%	33/1	-
Ajax / Ajax 37%	5/4	-
Ajax / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Heracles have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Heracles have conceded 70 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Heracles have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 29 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Ajax lay in 4th place on 48 points in the Eredivisie league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 9 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Heracles Ajax
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSV	28	22	2	4	41	68	l 1-3A	l 4-3A	May 2	d 2-2A
2	Feyenoord	28	16	5	7	21	53	l 0-7A	l 4-2A	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
3	NEC	28	14	8	6	22	50	l 1-4F	l 4-1A	d 1-1F	d 2-2A
4	Ajax	28	12	12	4	18	48	Apr 11	l 2-0A	-	-
5	Twente	28	12	11	5	17	47	l 0-2A	l 2-1F	Apr 4	w 2-3A
6	AZ Alkmaar	28	12	6	10	2	42	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	l 0-2A	d 1-1A
7	Utrecht	28	11	8	9	11	41	d 0-00-0	l 4-0A	May 10	l 2-1A
8	Heerenveen	28	11	8	9	3	41	l 0-3A	Apr 5	d 1-1F	May 17
9	S.Rotterdam	28	12	5	11	-12	41	w 3-0F	l 2-0A	w 4-0F	d 3-3F
10	Groningen	28	11	5	12	3	38	May 17	l 4-0A	w 2-0F	l 3-1A
11	Fortuna	28	10	5	13	-9	35	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	w 4-1F	w 1-3A
12	PEC Zwolle	28	8	9	11	-15	33	w 8-2A	May 3	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
13	GA Eagles	28	7	11	10	0	32	w 4-2F	l 4-0A	d 2-2F	d 2-2F
14	Telstar	28	6	9	13	-8	27	d 1-1A	May 10	w 2-0F	w 2-3F
15	FC Volendam	28	7	6	15	-18	27	Apr 26	l 3-0A	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
16	Excelsior	28	7	6	15	-18	27	d 1-1F	w 1-2A	l 1-2A	d 2-2F
17	NAC	28	5	8	15	-21	23	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	w 2-1F	Apr 25
18	Heracles	28	5	4	19	-37	19	-	-	w 2-0F	Apr 11

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Ajax have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heracles	1 - 1	Excelsior
Heracles	0 - 0	Utrecht
Heracles	1 - 3	PSV
Heracles	0 - 1	NAC
Heracles	2 - 1	Fortuna
Heracles	0 - 2	Twente
Heracles	0 - 3	Heerenveen
Heracles	1 - 1	Telstar
Heracles	4 - 2	GA Eagles
Heracles	8 - 2	PEC Zwolle
Heracles	0 - 7	Feyenoord
Heracles	3 - 0	S.Rotterdam
Heracles	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
Heracles	1 - 4	NEC
Heracles	1 - 2	NEC
Heracles	1 - 4	Feyenoord
Heracles	1 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
Heracles	2 - 1	Twente
Heracles	4 - 2	PEC Zwolle
Heracles	4 - 2	GA Eagles

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Heracles	1 - 1	Excelsior
A	Heracles	0 - 4	AZ Alkmaar
H	Heracles	0 - 0	Utrecht
H	Heracles	1 - 3	PSV
A	Heracles	0 - 4	GA Eagles
H	Heracles	0 - 1	NAC
A	Heracles	1 - 4	NEC
H	Heracles	2 - 1	Fortuna
A	Heracles	2 - 4	Feyenoord
H	Heracles	0 - 2	Twente
A	Heracles	0 - 2	S.Rotterdam
H	Heracles	0 - 3	Heerenveen
A	Heracles	3 - 4	PSV
H	Heracles	1 - 1	Telstar
A	Heracles	1 - 1	Fortuna
H	Heracles	4 - 2	GA Eagles
A	Heracles	2 - 1	Excelsior
H	Heracles	8 - 2	PEC Zwolle
A	Heracles	0 - 3	FC Volendam
H	Heracles	0 - 7	Feyenoord

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Feyenoord	1 - 1	Ajax
Groningen	3 - 1	Ajax
PEC Zwolle	0 - 0	Ajax
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 1	Ajax
Excelsior	2 - 2	Ajax
Telstar	2 - 3	Ajax
NEC	2 - 2	Ajax
Fortuna	1 - 3	Ajax
Utrecht	2 - 1	Ajax
Twente	2 - 3	Ajax
S.Rotterdam	3 - 3	Ajax
PSV	2 - 2	Ajax
FC Volendam	1 - 1	Ajax
GA Eagles	2 - 2	Ajax
Groningen	2 - 2	Ajax
Utrecht	4 - 0	Ajax
Willem II	1 - 2	Ajax
PSV	0 - 2	Ajax
PEC Zwolle	0 - 1	Ajax
Almere City	0 - 1	Ajax

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ajax	1 - 1	Feyenoord
H	Ajax	4 - 0	S.Rotterdam
A	Ajax	1 - 3	Groningen
A	Ajax	0 - 0	PEC Zwolle
H	Ajax	1 - 1	NEC
H	Ajax	4 - 1	Fortuna
A	Ajax	1 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
A	Ajax	2 - 2	Excelsior
H	Ajax	2 - 0	FC Volendam
H	Ajax	2 - 2	GA Eagles
A	Ajax	3 - 2	Telstar
A	Ajax	2 - 2	NEC
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Feyenoord
A	Ajax	3 - 1	Fortuna
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Groningen
H	Ajax	1 - 2	Excelsior
A	Ajax	1 - 2	Utrecht
H	Ajax	1 - 1	Heerenveen
A	Ajax	3 - 2	Twente
H	Ajax	0 - 2	AZ Alkmaar

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ajax have beaten Heracles in 6 consecutive league meetings

Ajax have not lost to Heracles in 9 consecutive league meetings

Heracles

Ajax

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

4 / 9

HER

AJA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Heracles
	3 - 4	Ajax
	2 - 4	Ajax
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Ajax
Heracles	1 - 0
Heracles	1 - 0
Heracles	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Ajax
	0 - 2	Ajax

Ajax

Heracles

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

4 / 10

Clean sheets

6 / 10

1 / 10

AJA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax	2 - 0
Ajax	4 - 0
Ajax	4 - 1
Ajax	3 - 0
Ajax	5 - 0
Ajax	4 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Ajax	1 - 0
Ajax	4 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Heracles Almelo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Ajax have conceded in each of their last 10 Eredivisie outings. A PG of 1.5 for E. Faber's side suggests that run should continue.

	Heracles 18th	Ajax 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Heracles will score 1 or more goals	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Heracles’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-9 Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season

HER

AJA

41%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		26
Failed to score	12		2
Scored first	7		17
Goals scored	33		53
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.9
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		17
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.7
KickOff rating		+41%

HER

AJA

40%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		21
Clean sheets	2		7
Conceded first	20		10
Goals conceded	70		35
Avg. goals conceded	2.5		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	21%		13%
Avg. XG against	2		1.3
KickOff rating		+40%

Heracles v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	5	6	7
I Mesík	L. Kulenović	A Hrustic	I Mesík

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Mesík DEF	27	2		7 -
D Mirani DEF	27	3		6 -
A Hrustic MID	26	1	6	5 -
L. Kulenović FWD	24	5	3	-
J Žambůrek MID	23		1	5 -
T Gilst MID	22	1		2 -
T Bruns MID	22	1		2 -
M Benita DEF	21			4 -
B Limbombe FWD	21	1	3	1 -
A Hoorenbeeck DEF	20	2		3 -
M Wierik DEF	20	1		2 -
W Ould-Chikh MID	19	1	4	2 -
M Engels FWD	18		2	3 1
J Wieckhoff DEF	16			3 -
D Kust DEF	15		2	1 -
T Jansink GLK	12			-
S Scheperman MID	11	1	1	2 -
Y Sanches FWD	11	2		-
L Zeefuik FWD	10	2		4 -
R Pasveer GLK	8			-
F Keijzer GLK	8			-
E Ahlstrand MID	8		1	-
N Ünüvar FWD	8		1	1 -
R. Bozinovski MID	6			1 -
S Cestic DEF	2			-
J. Tijink DEF	1			-
J Reine-Adélaïde MID	1			-
S. Blokhuis FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	6	14
L. Kulenović	L. Kulenović	A Hrustic	A Hrustic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L. Kulenović FWD	5	12	3	2
D Mirani DEF	3	5		1
I Mesík DEF	2	7		2
A Hoorenbeeck DEF	2	2		1
Y Sanches FWD	2	4
L Zeefuik FWD	2	9
A Hrustic MID	1	11	6	14
T Gilst MID	1	2		2
T Bruns MID	1	3
B Limbombe FWD	1	7	3	4
M Wierik DEF	1	1		1
W Ould-Chikh MID	1	4	4	4
S Scheperman MID	1	4	1	1
J Žambůrek MID			1
M Benita DEF		3		1
M Engels FWD		6	2	4
J Wieckhoff DEF		1
D Kust DEF			2	1
T Jansink GLK				1
E Ahlstrand MID		2	1
N Ünüvar FWD		2	1	2
S Cestic DEF		1
J Reine-Adélaïde MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1176	38	123
D Mirani	I Mesík	D Mirani

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Mirani DEF	1176	29	123
A Hrustic MID	966	34	88
A Hoorenbeeck DEF	959	21	85
I Mesík DEF	866	38	88
J Žambůrek MID	544	35	85
M Wierik DEF	443	26	82
T Jansink GLK	407		4
M Benita DEF	371	36	71
W Ould-Chikh MID	366	35	87
T Bruns MID	335	25	51
F Keijzer GLK	318
L. Kulenović FWD	309	7	114
B Limbombe FWD	297	10	43
R Pasveer GLK	295		2
J Wieckhoff DEF	258	23	38
S Scheperman MID	254	31	61
D Kust DEF	245	25	42
L Zeefuik FWD	163	10	71
T Gilst MID	145	8	29
E Ahlstrand MID	140	11	19
N Ünüvar FWD	135	17	36
Y Sanches FWD	114	13	24
M Engels FWD	108	4	22
R. Bozinovski MID	106	8	15
S Cestic DEF	82	2	5
J Reine-Adélaïde MID	14		1
S. Blokhuis FWD	2
J. Tijink DEF	1

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	14	9	5
Y Baas	M Godts	M Godts	W Weghorst

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Klaassen MID	27	6	2	1 -
M Godts FWD	26	14	9	2 -
Y Baas DEF	25	4	1	3 1
O Gloukh MID	24	5	5	2 -
W Weghorst FWD	22	6	2	5 -
L Rosa DEF	21			3 -
Y Regeer MID	21		2	5 -
A Gaaei DEF	20		4	2 -
J. Mokio MID	20	2	1	-
V Jaroš GLK	19			1 -
J Sutalo DEF	19			1 -
O Wijndal DEF	18	1		3 -
R. Bounida MID	17	1	4	4 -
K Dolberg FWD	17	3	3	1 -
K Fitz-Jim MID	16	1		2 -
K Itakura DEF	14	1		1 -
O Edvardsen FWD	14		1	2 -
S. Steur MID	13	1	1	-
S Berghuis FWD	13	2	2	1 -
A. Bouwman DEF	7	1		2 -
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD	7			-
T Tomiyasu DEF	6			-
M Paes GLK	5			-
O Zinchenko DEF	2			-
M. Carrizo FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	34	9	10
M Godts	M Godts	M Godts	M Godts

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Godts FWD	14	34	9	10
D Klaassen MID	6	11	2	2
W Weghorst FWD	6	13	2	4
O Gloukh MID	5	18	5	3
Y Baas DEF	4	7	1	3
K Dolberg FWD	3	10	3	4
J. Mokio MID	2	5	1
S Berghuis FWD	2	13	2	2
O Wijndal DEF	1	5		3
R. Bounida MID	1	9	4	5
K Fitz-Jim MID	1	4		2
K Itakura DEF	1	3		1
S. Steur MID	1	5	1	1
A. Bouwman DEF	1	2		1
L Rosa DEF		4
Y Regeer MID		1	2	1
A Gaaei DEF		5	4	9
O Edvardsen FWD		1	1	2
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1910	48	132
Y Baas	Y Baas	M Godts

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Baas DEF	1910	48	126
J Sutalo DEF	1098	11	70
L Rosa DEF	945	39	85
M Godts FWD	890	23	132
Y Regeer MID	885	46	90
K Itakura DEF	776	12	50
V Jaroš GLK	759		6
O Gloukh MID	665	20	67
O Wijndal DEF	651	21	62
D Klaassen MID	648	41	79
A Gaaei DEF	614	12	39
S. Steur MID	471	18	41
S Berghuis FWD	464	9	22
J. Mokio MID	439	28	57
A. Bouwman DEF	408	8	11
W Weghorst FWD	379	8	100
R. Bounida MID	352	13	52
K Fitz-Jim MID	337	19	32
O Edvardsen FWD	208	8	40
M Paes GLK	204		1
K Dolberg FWD	171	5	44
T Tomiyasu DEF	100	2	14
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD	34	2	14
O Zinchenko DEF	22	1	2
M. Carrizo FWD	4		2