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PEC Zwolle v Excelsior : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 13:30 BST, Mac3park Stadion, Zwolle

The Eredivisie is the focus for both PEC Zwolle and Excelsior on Sunday afternoon, as bosses Henry van der Vegt and Ruben den Uil go head to head at the Mac3park Stadion. For every Eredivisie match, KickOff explores the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither PEC Zwolle or Excelsior are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PEC Zwolle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PEC Zwolle
51%
1/1-
Draw
24%
13/5-
Excelsior
25%
12/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
PEC Zwolle 1-0
10%
9/1-
PEC Zwolle 2-1
10%
8/1-
PEC Zwolle 2-0
9%
10/1-
Excelsior 1-0
7%
12/1-
Excelsior 2-1
6%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1-
PEC Zwolle 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1-
PEC Zwolle 3-0
5%
18/1-
Excelsior 2-0
4%
20/1-
PEC Zwolle 3-2
3%
20/1-
Excelsior 3-1
2%
25/1-
PEC Zwolle 4-1
2%
28/1-
PEC Zwolle 4-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
5/4-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/7-
BTTS - No
45%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
5/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/1-
Home/draw
75%
3/10-
Away/draw
49%
4/5-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1-
Home DNB
68%
1/2-
Away DNB
42%
6/4-
PEC Zwolle win to nil
27%
3/1-
Excelsior win to nil
12%
6/1-
PEC Zwolle / PEC Zwolle
26%
11/5-
PEC Zwolle / Excelsior
3%
25/1-
PEC Zwolle / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / PEC Zwolle
15%
9/2-
Draw / Excelsior
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Excelsior / PEC Zwolle
4%
20/1-
Excelsior / Excelsior
15%
9/2-
Excelsior / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

PEC Zwolle have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. PEC Zwolle have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

PEC Zwolle have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Excelsior are in 16th position in the Eredivisie on 27 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Excelsior have conceded 44 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV2822244168 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 23
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-1A
2
Feyenoord2816572153 
May 17
l
 
6-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1F
3
NEC2814862250 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 4
l
 
5-0A
4
Ajax28121241848 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
5
Twente28121151747 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
6
AZ Alkmaar2812610242 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
7
Utrecht2811891141 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
8
Heerenveen281189341 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
S.Rotterdam2812511-1241 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
May 17
10
Groningen2811512338 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
May 2
11
Fortuna2810513-935 
w
 
1-0F
May 10
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
PEC Zwolle288911-1533 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
13
GA Eagles2871110032 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
14
Telstar286913-827 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
15
FC Volendam287615-1827 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
May 10
w
 
1-2F
16
Excelsior287615-1827 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1A
-
-
17
NAC285815-2123 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Heracles285419-3719 
May 3
l
 
8-2F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
PEC Zwolle 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Excelsior 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
48
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
PEC Zwolle have not lost to Excelsior in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at PEC Zwolle since 2015
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
PEC
3
D
2
League games at Excelsior since 2016
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
PEC
4
D
1
EXC
1
Goal Statistics

PEC Zwolle's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 6 Eredivisie games. A PG of 1.7 for Henry van der Vegt's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been a problem for Excelsior of late. It has been 6 Eredivisie matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against PEC Zwolle.

PEC Zwolle 12th Excelsior 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that PEC Zwolle will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Excelsior will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
PEC Zwolle have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
Excelsior have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season
PEC Zwolle
PG (predicted goals)
Excelsior
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
19%
better
PEC
EXC
view stats
Games scored24
22
Failed to score4
6
Scored first15
13
Goals scored38
29
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
PEC
EXC
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
23
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first12
14
Goals conceded53
47
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded13
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+2%

PEC Zwolle v Excelsior Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

PEC Zwolle Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281166
T OostingK. KostonsK. KostonsR Thomas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Oosting MID2851
3
-
K. Kostons FWD28116
1
-
A MacNulty DEF271
4
1
S Floranus DEF2713
4
-
K Rooij FWD2765
3
-
T. de Graaff GLK26
-
S Graves DEF262
5
-
R Thomas MID241
6
-
S Shoretire FWD2451
4
-
O Aertssen DEF222
2
-
T. Gooijer DEF203
3
1
J Monteiro MID1822
1
J Faberski FWD182
1
1
N. Fichtinger MID171
4
1
Z Buurmeester MID16
1
-
Y Namli  FWD1124
1
-
G. Reiziger MID9
-
J. Pereira da Gama MID8
3
-
O Velanas MID711
-
T Velthuis DEF6
-
T Buitink FWD5
1
-
D. Voute DEF3
-
D Haar DEF3
1
-
J Schendelaar GLK2
-
S Lagsir MID2
-
Excelsior Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28847
C WidellN NaujoksG RegtA Zagre
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Widell DEF28
2
-
G Regt FWD2824
3
-
R Meissen DEF272
4
-
I Bronkhorst DEF272
6
-
D Fernandes FWD2722
-
S Gassel GLK261
-
N Naujoks MID2581
3
-
I Yegoian MID2542
1
-
A Zagre DEF243
6
1
M Duinen FWD2412
1
-
J. Armantrading FWD22
1
-
A Carlén MID201
4
-
L Schouten DEF181
1
-
S Wlodarczyk FWD1721
1
-
L Hartjes MID15
1
-
S Janssen DEF111
-
S. Hendrikx DEF10
1
M Jonathans FWD92
1
-
C. Nadje MID7
2
-
E Hansson FWD71
1
-
C Raatsie GLK2
-
M Tielemans MID2
-
T. Holla GLK1
-
N. Groen FWD1
-