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Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 15:30 BST, Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

Saturday afternoon sees Erkan Sozeri’s Sparta Rotterdam and Johnny Heitinga’s Ajax go up against one another in a Eredivisie clash at the Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Eredivisie clash, with S.Rotterdam and Ajax going head-to-head, offers great potential in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Strikers for both will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant statistics and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Ajax coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
S.Rotterdam 24%	31/10	29/10
Draw 22%	31/10	3/1
Ajax 54%	3/4	4/5
Ajax 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Ajax 2-0 7%	9/1	17/2
Ajax 1-0 7%	9/1	8/1
Ajax 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
S.Rotterdam 2-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Ajax 3-0 5%	14/1	12/1
S.Rotterdam 1-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Ajax 3-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Draw 0-0 4%	18/1	12/1
Ajax 4-1 3%	22/1	16/1
S.Rotterdam 2-0 3%	22/1	16/1
S.Rotterdam 3-1 3%	28/1	20/1
S.Rotterdam 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 64%	8/15	8/15
Under 2.5 Goals 36%	7/5	11/8
Home 1st Goal 45%	11/8	29/20
Away 1st Goal 53%	4/7	3/5
No 1st Goal 2%	18/1	12/1
BTTS - Yes 63%	4/7	11/20
BTTS - No 37%	5/4	11/8
BTTS - Home Win 15%	11/2	19/4
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 30%	21/10	2/1
Home/draw 46%	1/1	1/1
Away/draw 76%	2/9	1/4
Home/away 78%	2/9	2/9
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/6	1/6
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	4/1	18/5
Over 3.5 Goals 42%	5/4	13/10
Under 3.5 Goals 58%	4/7	4/7
Over 4.5 Goals 24%	3/1	29/10
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	2/9	2/9
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	7/1	6/1
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/12	1/12
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	16/1	12/1
Home DNB 40%	2/1	19/10
Away DNB 69%	4/11	4/11
S.Rotterdam win to nil 10%	8/1	-
Ajax win to nil 24%	5/2	-
S.Rotterdam / S.Rotterdam 12%	6/1	5/1
S.Rotterdam / Ajax 4%	18/1	16/1
S.Rotterdam / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / S.Rotterdam 9%	17/2	15/2
Draw / Ajax 16%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	5/1
Ajax / S.Rotterdam 3%	28/1	22/1
Ajax / Ajax 30%	13/8	17/10
Ajax / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	S.Rotterdam Ajax
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	11	19	l 0-4A	Jan 18	Dec 14	Mar 21
2	PSV	7	5	1	1	10	16	Apr 11	l 6-1A	May 2	d 2-2A
3	Ajax	7	4	3	0	7	15	Oct 4	Mar 14	-	-
4	NEC	7	4	0	3	8	12	Feb 14	Nov 29	Feb 21	Dec 20
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	4	12	Nov 2	Feb 21	Oct 18	Feb 7
6	Groningen	7	4	0	3	2	12	Jan 31	Oct 19	Nov 30	Mar 7
7	Utrecht	7	3	1	3	6	10	w 2-1F	Jan 25	May 10	Nov 9
8	Twente	7	3	1	3	2	10	l 1-5A	May 10	Apr 4	Oct 26
9	Fortuna	7	3	1	3	0	10	Nov 22	Feb 7	Feb 14	Dec 6
10	GA Eagles	7	2	3	2	0	9	May 2	w 0-3F	Jan 17	d 2-2F
11	S.Rotterdam	7	3	0	4	-11	9	-	-	Mar 14	Oct 4
12	FC Volendam	7	1	4	2	-3	7	Mar 21	Dec 20	Jan 24	d 1-1A
13	Telstar	7	2	1	4	-4	7	Oct 25	Apr 23	w 2-0F	Jan 11
14	PEC Zwolle	7	2	1	4	-4	7	Mar 7	Nov 8	w 3-1F	Feb 28
15	NAC	7	2	1	4	-5	7	Dec 7	Apr 4	w 2-1F	Apr 23
16	Heerenveen	7	1	3	3	-2	6	Dec 14	Feb 28	Nov 1	May 17
17	Excelsior	7	2	0	5	-9	6	May 17	w 0-1F	Nov 22	Feb 1
18	Heracles	7	1	0	6	-12	3	Jan 11	l 3-0A	w 2-0F	Apr 11

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Ajax have drawn 4 consecutive away league games

Ajax have not lost in 9 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S.Rotterdam	1 - 5	Twente
S.Rotterdam	0 - 4	Feyenoord
S.Rotterdam	2 - 1	Utrecht
S.Rotterdam	1 - 3	PSV
S.Rotterdam	0 - 2	Twente
S.Rotterdam	3 - 1	Heerenveen
S.Rotterdam	2 - 0	NEC
S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	PEC Zwolle
S.Rotterdam	4 - 0	Willem II
S.Rotterdam	1 - 0	Groningen
S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	Waalwijk
S.Rotterdam	0 - 2	Ajax
S.Rotterdam	0 - 2	NAC
S.Rotterdam	1 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
S.Rotterdam	1 - 4	Utrecht
S.Rotterdam	2 - 2	Almere City
S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	Fortuna
S.Rotterdam	1 - 2	GA Eagles
S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	Feyenoord
S.Rotterdam	0 - 0	Heracles

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	S.Rotterdam	0 - 3	Heracles
H	S.Rotterdam	1 - 5	Twente
A	S.Rotterdam	1 - 0	Excelsior
H	S.Rotterdam	0 - 4	Feyenoord
A	S.Rotterdam	3 - 0	GA Eagles
H	S.Rotterdam	2 - 1	Utrecht
A	S.Rotterdam	1 - 6	PSV
H	S.Rotterdam	1 - 3	PSV
A	S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	Utrecht
A	S.Rotterdam	3 - 0	Almere City
H	S.Rotterdam	0 - 2	Twente
A	S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	Ajax
H	S.Rotterdam	3 - 1	Heerenveen
H	S.Rotterdam	2 - 0	NEC
A	S.Rotterdam	3 - 0	Fortuna
H	S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	PEC Zwolle
A	S.Rotterdam	1 - 1	NAC
H	S.Rotterdam	4 - 0	Willem II
A	S.Rotterdam	0 - 1	GA Eagles
A	S.Rotterdam	0 - 3	Feyenoord

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV	2 - 2	Ajax
FC Volendam	1 - 1	Ajax
GA Eagles	2 - 2	Ajax
Groningen	2 - 2	Ajax
Utrecht	4 - 0	Ajax
Willem II	1 - 2	Ajax
PSV	0 - 2	Ajax
PEC Zwolle	0 - 1	Ajax
Almere City	0 - 1	Ajax
Fortuna	0 - 2	Ajax
Heerenveen	0 - 2	Ajax
S.Rotterdam	0 - 2	Ajax
AZ Alkmaar	2 - 1	Ajax
NEC	1 - 2	Ajax
Twente	2 - 2	Ajax
Feyenoord	0 - 2	Ajax
Heracles	3 - 4	Ajax
Waalwijk	0 - 2	Ajax
GA Eagles	1 - 1	Ajax
NAC	2 - 1	Ajax

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Ajax	2 - 1	NAC
A	Ajax	2 - 2	PSV
H	Ajax	3 - 1	PEC Zwolle
A	Ajax	1 - 1	FC Volendam
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Heracles
A	Ajax	2 - 2	GA Eagles
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Telstar
H	Ajax	2 - 0	Twente
A	Ajax	2 - 2	Groningen
H	Ajax	0 - 3	NEC
H	Ajax	1 - 1	S.Rotterdam
A	Ajax	0 - 4	Utrecht
A	Ajax	2 - 1	Willem II
H	Ajax	3 - 1	NAC
A	Ajax	2 - 0	PSV
H	Ajax	2 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
A	Ajax	1 - 0	PEC Zwolle
A	Ajax	1 - 0	Almere City
H	Ajax	2 - 0	GA Eagles
H	Ajax	4 - 0	Heracles

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Ajax have not lost to S.Rotterdam in 16 consecutive league meetings

S.Rotterdam

Ajax

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

4 / 8

AJA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT S.Rotterdam
	0 - 2	Ajax
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Ajax
	0 - 1	Ajax
	0 - 1	Ajax
	1 - 4	Ajax
	2 - 5	Ajax
	1 - 3	Ajax

Ajax

S.Rotterdam

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

0 / 8

AJA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Ajax	2 - 1
Ajax	4 - 0
Ajax	2 - 1
Ajax	4 - 2
Ajax	2 - 1
Ajax	4 - 0
Ajax	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Ajax's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Eredivisie matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

	S.Rotterdam 11th	Ajax 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 63% probability that S.Rotterdam will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 59% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-25 S.Rotterdam have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted	-8 Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2025/2026 season

SPA

AJA

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		6
Failed to score	1		0
Scored first	3		4
Goals scored	8		12
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.7
Avg. shots per game	7		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	17		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		2
KickOff rating		+26%

SPA

AJA

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	4		4
Clean sheets	2		2
Conceded first	3		2
Goals conceded	16		6
Avg. goals conceded	2.3		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		13%
Avg. XG against	2.3		1
KickOff rating		+27%

S.Rotterdam v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

S.Rotterdam Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	3	4
J Drommel	T Lauritsen	P Aanholt	J Toornstra

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Drommel GLK	7			-
M. Young DEF	7			-
J Toornstra MID	7			4 -
J Kitolano MID	7	1	1	1 -
P Clement MID	7	1		-
S Ltaief FWD	7	1		-
T Lauritsen FWD	7	3	1	1 -
B Indi DEF	6			1 1
T Quintero DEF	6	1		-
P Aanholt DEF	6		3	-
A. Oufkir FWD	6	1		1 -
S Sambo DEF	5		1	2 -
M Bergen FWD	5			-
S Bakari DEF	4			-
L Duijvestijn MID	3			-
J Baas MID	3			-
M Kleijn DEF	2			-
J Guzmán MID	2			-
S Mito FWD	2		1	-
T Velthuis DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	3	2
T Lauritsen	T Lauritsen	P Aanholt	P Aanholt

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Lauritsen FWD	3	7	1	1
J Kitolano MID	1	1	1	1
P Clement MID	1	1		1
S Ltaief FWD	1	3
T Quintero DEF	1	1
A. Oufkir FWD	1	5		1
J Toornstra MID		1
B Indi DEF		1
P Aanholt DEF		2	3	2
S Sambo DEF		1	1	1
M Bergen FWD		3		1
L Duijvestijn MID		3
J Baas MID		1
S Mito FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
313	16	62
M. Young	J Toornstra	T Lauritsen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M. Young DEF	313	9	26
J Drommel GLK	282		2
B Indi DEF	280	3	28
J Toornstra MID	239	16	23
P Aanholt DEF	183	14	21
J Kitolano MID	178	9	32
P Clement MID	166	4	17
T Lauritsen FWD	153	4	62
T Quintero DEF	145	3	10
S Sambo DEF	144	11	20
S Ltaief FWD	110	11	27
M Bergen FWD	101	2	4
S Bakari DEF	78	4	7
A. Oufkir FWD	46	4	13
J Baas MID	37	2	3
L Duijvestijn MID	27	1	6
S Mito FWD	27	3	7
M Kleijn DEF	17	4	4
J Guzmán MID	16		4
T Velthuis DEF			1

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	2	2
V Jaroš	W Weghorst	K Taylor	O Wijndal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Jaroš GLK	7			-
O Wijndal DEF	7			2 -
D Klaassen MID	7	2	1	-
K Taylor MID	7	2	2	2 -
O Gloukh MID	7	2		-
S Berghuis FWD	7	1	2	-
Y Baas DEF	6	1		-
R Moro FWD	6			1 -
O Edvardsen FWD	6			2 -
W Weghorst FWD	6	3	1	2 -
K Itakura DEF	5	1		1 -
J Sutalo DEF	5			-
A Gaaei DEF	5		1	-
Y Regeer MID	5			2 -
J. Mokio MID	5			-
K Fitz-Jim MID	5			1 -
M Godts FWD	5	2	2	-
L Rosa DEF	4			1 -
A. Bouwman DEF	1			-
J. McConnell MID	1			-
R. Bounida FWD	1			-
K Dolberg FWD	1			-
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	10	2	3
W Weghorst	S Berghuis	K Taylor	K Taylor

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W Weghorst FWD	3	6	1	3
D Klaassen MID	2	3	1
K Taylor MID	2	6	2	3
O Gloukh MID	2	6		1
M Godts FWD	2	4	2	3
S Berghuis FWD	1	10	2	2
Y Baas DEF	1	2		2
K Itakura DEF	1	1
O Wijndal DEF		2		1
R Moro FWD		5		3
O Edvardsen FWD		1
A Gaaei DEF		2	1	1
J. Mokio MID		1
K Fitz-Jim MID		1
L Rosa DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
522	15	37
Y Baas	D Klaassen	W Weghorst

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Baas DEF	522	8	30
O Wijndal DEF	308	11	27
S Berghuis FWD	307	5	10
K Taylor MID	299	11	31
V Jaroš GLK	255		1
K Itakura DEF	242	5	17
D Klaassen MID	196	15	28
L Rosa DEF	196	3	9
O Gloukh MID	186	6	22
A Gaaei DEF	171	2	7
J Sutalo DEF	163	3	11
K Fitz-Jim MID	158	4	6
Y Regeer MID	135	5	10
W Weghorst FWD	130	3	37
M Godts FWD	108	5	18
O Edvardsen FWD	95	4	17
R Moro FWD	88	2	8
A. Bouwman DEF	61	2	3
J. Mokio MID	45	5	10
J. McConnell MID	7	1	1
K Dolberg FWD	5	1	3
D. Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu FWD	5	1	4
R. Bounida FWD	2