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Libertad v Barcelona Guayaquil : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 00:00 BST, Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

The Liga Pro is the focus for both Libertad and Barcelona Guayaquil on Sunday morning, as bosses Juan Carlos León Zambrano and Ismael Rescalvo Sánchez go head to head at the Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Libertad and Guayaquil will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Juan Carlos León Zambrano or Ismael Rescalvo Sánchez has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 75% probability.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Guayaquil coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Libertad 30%	11/5	-
Draw 26%	12/5	-
Guayaquil 44%	23/20	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Guayaquil 1-0 10%	15/2	-
Guayaquil 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Libertad 1-0 8%	10/1	-
Guayaquil 2-0 8%	10/1	-
Libertad 2-1 7%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	-
Libertad 2-0 5%	16/1	-
Guayaquil 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Guayaquil 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Libertad 3-1 3%	22/1	-
Guayaquil 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Libertad 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Libertad 3-0 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	11/10	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	4/5	-
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 46%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	10/3	-
Home/draw 56%	4/6	-
Away/draw 70%	4/11	-
Home/away 74%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Home DNB 48%	5/4	-
Away DNB 62%	4/7	-
Libertad win to nil 16%	5/1	-
Guayaquil win to nil 24%	3/1	-
Libertad / Libertad 16%	4/1	-
Libertad / Guayaquil 4%	22/1	-
Libertad / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Libertad 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Guayaquil 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Guayaquil / Libertad 3%	28/1	-
Guayaquil / Guayaquil 24%	5/2	-
Guayaquil / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Libertad have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad	1 - 3	I. Valle
Libertad	1 - 1	Catolica
Libertad	2 - 0	Orense
Libertad	1 - 0	Cuniburo
Libertad	0 - 1	LDU Quito
Libertad	3 - 2	Aucas
Libertad	1 - 2	Emelec
Libertad	1 - 0	Manta
Libertad	2 - 1	Cuenca
Libertad	4 - 1	Tecnico
Libertad	0 - 1	Macara
Libertad	0 - 1	Delfin
Libertad	3 - 1	Catolica
Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
Libertad	1 - 3	El Nacional
Libertad	4 - 1	Orense
Libertad	1 - 4	Guayaquil
Libertad	2 - 0	I. Valle
Libertad	2 - 1	Emelec
Libertad	3 - 1	Imbabura

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Catolica
A	Libertad	1 - 3	LDU Quito
H	Libertad	1 - 3	I. Valle
A	Libertad	0 - 1	Guayaquil
H	Libertad	1 - 1	Catolica
H	Libertad	2 - 0	Orense
H	Libertad	1 - 0	Cuniburo
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Macara
H	Libertad	0 - 1	LDU Quito
A	Libertad	0 - 0	Delfin
H	Libertad	3 - 2	Aucas
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Catolica
A	Libertad	2 - 1	Mushuc
H	Libertad	1 - 2	Emelec
A	Libertad	2 - 2	El Nacional
H	Libertad	1 - 0	Manta
A	Libertad	1 - 0	Orense
H	Libertad	2 - 1	Cuenca
A	Libertad	3 - 3	Guayaquil
H	Libertad	4 - 1	Tecnico

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orense	1 - 2	Guayaquil
Catolica	1 - 1	Guayaquil
LDU Quito	3 - 0	Guayaquil
Cuenca	0 - 1	Guayaquil
Emelec	0 - 4	Guayaquil
Cuniburo	0 - 1	Guayaquil
El Nacional	1 - 2	Guayaquil
Delfin	0 - 1	Guayaquil
I. Valle	1 - 1	Guayaquil
Mushuc	0 - 5	Guayaquil
LDU Quito	3 - 1	Guayaquil
Aucas	2 - 0	Guayaquil
Catolica	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Macara	0 - 1	Guayaquil
Orense	3 - 1	Guayaquil
Tecnico	0 - 1	Guayaquil
Libertad	1 - 4	Guayaquil
Manta	2 - 3	Guayaquil
Tecnico	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Aucas	1 - 1	Guayaquil

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Guayaquil	2 - 2	LDU Quito
A	Guayaquil	2 - 1	Orense
A	Guayaquil	1 - 1	Catolica
H	Guayaquil	1 - 0	Libertad
A	Guayaquil	0 - 3	LDU Quito
H	Guayaquil	0 - 3	I. Valle
H	Guayaquil	1 - 1	Aucas
A	Guayaquil	1 - 0	Cuenca
A	Guayaquil	4 - 0	Emelec
H	Guayaquil	2 - 3	Catolica
A	Guayaquil	1 - 0	Cuniburo
H	Guayaquil	0 - 2	Macara
A	Guayaquil	2 - 1	El Nacional
H	Guayaquil	2 - 0	Orense
H	Guayaquil	0 - 1	LDU Quito
A	Guayaquil	1 - 0	Delfin
H	Guayaquil	1 - 1	Tecnico
A	Guayaquil	1 - 1	I. Valle
H	Guayaquil	3 - 3	Libertad
A	Guayaquil	5 - 0	Mushuc

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Libertad

Guayaquil

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Libertad
	1 - 4	Guayaquil
	0 - 3	Guayaquil
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Guayaquil

Libertad

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

1 / 4

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guayaquil
Guayaquil	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Guayaquil	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Libertad of late. It has been 5 Liga Pro games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against Barcelona Guayaquil.

Barcelona Guayaquil's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Libertad have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga Pro matches. A PG of 1.5 for I. Rescalvo Sánchez's side suggests that run should continue.

	Libertad 6th	Guayaquil 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Libertad will score no more than 1 goal	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Guayaquil will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+13 Libertad have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted	+27 Guayaquil have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season

better

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Libertad v Guayaquil Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	14	8	8
I Zambrano	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	D Bolaños

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Zambrano MID	36	3	4	5 -
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	35	7	1	5 -
R Biojó DEF	34	1		6 -
C Arboleda FWD	34	4	8	1 1
W Ayoví FWD	34	4	3	5 -
E Caicedo FWD	33	14	2	4 1
K Becerra DEF	32	2		4 1
D Bolaños DEF	31		2	7 1
Y Nazareno FWD	29	1	5	3 2
J Monaga DEF	27	1		4 -
O Quiñónez DEF	27	1	1	5 -
J Humanante MID	26			5 -
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	23	1		1 -
D Ávila FWD	20	4	1	3 1
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	19	1		1 -
A García DEF	15			-
C Chamorro DEF	13			1 -
L Nazareno GLK	12			1 -
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	10		1	1 1
F Mina GLK	9			2 -
S. Bueno Quiñónez MID	2			-
B Zapatier FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	28	8	14
E Caicedo	E Caicedo	C Arboleda	C Arboleda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Caicedo FWD	14	28	2	2
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	7	17	1	1
C Arboleda FWD	4	8	8	14
W Ayoví FWD	4	20	3	3
D Ávila FWD	4	13	1	1
I Zambrano MID	3	15	4	3
K Becerra DEF	2	2		2
R Biojó DEF	1	4
Y Nazareno FWD	1	9	5	8
J Monaga DEF	1	2		1
O Quiñónez DEF	1	4	1	3
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	1	4
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	1	4
D Bolaños DEF		1	2	3
J Humanante MID		2
A García DEF				1
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF			1	1
F Mina GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1415	77	186
R Biojó	D Bolaños	I Zambrano

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Biojó DEF	1415	39	134
I Zambrano MID	1093	59	186
K Becerra DEF	990	45	157
O Quiñónez DEF	860	36	64
D Bolaños DEF	774	77	130
W Ayoví FWD	744	34	138
C Arboleda FWD	699	25	78
Y. Bravo Gurumendi MID	536	28	66
Y Nazareno FWD	434	37	133
E Caicedo FWD	432	17	167
A García DEF	428	13	46
L Nazareno GLK	327		6
J Monaga DEF	280	17	44
N. Caicedo Mina FWD	245	21	85
F Mina GLK	221	2	6
J Humanante MID	217	8	27
Ángel Quiñónez FWD	211	12	43
W. Bardales Tenorio DEF	131	9	26
D Ávila FWD	106	3	15
C Chamorro DEF	97	3	11
S. Bueno Quiñónez MID	12		1
B Zapatier FWD	2

Guayaquil Liga Pro squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	15	5	8
J Corozo	J Corozo	J Valiente	X Arreaga

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Corozo FWD	35	15	3	1 -
J Valiente MID	34	4	5	2 -
D Arroyo MID	32		1	6 -
B Carabalí DEF	31	1	3	2 -
G Campi DEF	30	3	2	6 -
J Quiñónez MID	30	2	2	6 1
I Arruabarrena GLK	27			3 -
B Castillo DEF	26			2 1
X Arreaga DEF	26	2		8 -
B Oyola FWD	26	1	4	4 -
E Vallecilla DEF	25		1	7 1
O Rivero FWD	24	9		6 1
Leonai MID	22		1	5 -
J. Gómez Cuero MID	21		3	1 -
G Cortez MID	20	6	2	2 -
A Chalá DEF	18		1	1
M Parrales FWD	18	4	3	2 -
C Montaño MID	15			2 -
C Solano FWD	13	1	2	-
F Caicedo FWD	13	2		2 -
M Pineida DEF	11			4 -
J Contreras GLK	10			-
A Rangel DEF	10			-
W Vargas DEF	9			-
J Rojas FWD	8		1	2 -
F Guerra DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	37	5	6
J Corozo	J Corozo	J Valiente	J Valiente

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Corozo FWD	15	37	3	5
O Rivero FWD	9	19		2
G Cortez MID	6	14	2	4
J Valiente MID	4	9	5	6
M Parrales FWD	4	11	3	3
G Campi DEF	3	6	2	1
J Quiñónez MID	2	6	2	3
X Arreaga DEF	2	2
F Caicedo FWD	2	4
B Carabalí DEF	1	3	3	6
B Oyola FWD	1	12	4	5
C Solano FWD	1	4	2	2
D Arroyo MID		3	1	1
B Castillo DEF		9
E Vallecilla DEF			1	2
Leonai MID			1	2
J. Gómez Cuero MID		10	3	1
A Chalá DEF			1	2
W Vargas DEF				1
J Rojas FWD		6	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1296	49	158
G Campi	B Carabalí	J Corozo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Campi DEF	1296	34	97
X Arreaga DEF	1225	40	121
D Arroyo MID	1140	34	82
B Carabalí DEF	1064	49	121
E Vallecilla DEF	1045	29	87
J Valiente MID	914	29	75
J Quiñónez MID	854	45	95
I Arruabarrena GLK	749	3	16
J Corozo FWD	668	46	158
C Montaño MID	648	27	61
B Oyola FWD	513	18	74
Leonai MID	458	41	99
B Castillo DEF	420	19	93
O Rivero FWD	418	8	57
A Chalá DEF	366	9	38
M Pineida DEF	316	12	32
G Cortez MID	299	1	28
A Rangel DEF	291	15	34
M Parrales FWD	278	4	54
J. Gómez Cuero MID	256	7	32
W Vargas DEF	198	7	20
J Contreras GLK	197		6
J Rojas FWD	183	2	17
F Caicedo FWD	124	6	30
C Solano FWD	89	8	28
F Guerra DEF	4	1	1