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Birmingham City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 26th Dec, 12:30 BST, St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

John Eustace pays counterpart Chris Davies a visit on Friday lunch time in the Championship, as their Derby County and Birmingham City charges go head to head at the St. Andrew's Stadium. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Birmingham
54%
--
Draw
23%
--
Derby
23%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Birmingham 2-1
10%
--
Birmingham 1-0
10%
--
Birmingham 2-0
9%
--
Birmingham 3-1
6%
--
Derby 2-1
6%
--
Derby 1-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Birmingham 3-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Birmingham 3-2
3%
--
Derby 2-0
3%
--
Birmingham 4-1
3%
--
Birmingham 4-0
2%
--
Derby 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
26%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
46%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
39%
--
Birmingham win to nil
28%
--
Derby win to nil
11%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Birmingham have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Championship league table. Birmingham are unbeaten in 10 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 10 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Birmingham have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Birmingham have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 22 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Derby are in 16th position in the Championship on 27 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Derby have conceded 24 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Birmingham
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2114523047 
Jan 4
l
 
3-0A
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
2
M'Boro2112631142 
Mar 2
l
 
2-1A
Jan 1
l
 
2-1F
3
Preston21984735 
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
4
Millwall211056-435 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 25
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
5
Ipswich219751334 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
6
Hull211047134 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 18
w
 
2-1F
Feb 24
7
Stoke211038833 
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
8
Leicester21876331 
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
Dec 29
9
QPR21948-531 
Mar 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
10
Southampton21867530 
Dec 29
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
11
Bristol C21867430 
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
12
Birmingham21858429 
-
-
Mar 21
Dec 26
13
Watford21786229 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 1
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
14
Wrexham216105128 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
15
West Brom21849-328 
Feb 14
d
 
1-1A
Jan 23
w
 
0-1F
16
Derby20767-227 
Dec 26
Mar 21
-
-
17
Charlton20668-624 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
d
 
1-1A
Jan 20
18
Sheff Utd217212-623 
Mar 14
Dec 20
May 2
w
 
1-3F
19
Swansea216510-723 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Feb 14
w
 
1-2F
20
Blackburn206410-622 
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
Feb 28
w
 
1-2F
21
Portsmouth205510-1020 
w
 
4-0F
May 2
Dec 20
Mar 14
22
Oxford Utd214710-819 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
23
Norwich214512-1017 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
24
Sheff Wed191612-22-9 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 20
Mar 7
Dec 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Birmingham 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Birmingham1 - 1Charlton
Birmingham2 - 1Watford
Birmingham4 - 1Norwich
Birmingham4 - 0Millwall
Birmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
Birmingham2 - 3Hull
Birmingham2 - 2Sheff Wed
Birmingham1 - 0Swansea
Birmingham1 - 0Oxford Utd
Birmingham1 - 1Ipswich
Birmingham4 - 0Mansfield
Birmingham0 - 0Crawley
Birmingham6 - 2Barnsley
Birmingham4 - 1Shrewsbury
Birmingham2 - 1Stevenage
Birmingham1 - 0Lincoln
Birmingham1 - 0Wycombe
Birmingham2 - 0L Orient
Birmingham1 - 0Charlton
Birmingham4 - 0Cambridge
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham1 - 1Charlton
ABirmingham1 - 2QPR
ABirmingham1 - 3Southampton
HBirmingham2 - 1Watford
ABirmingham1 - 1West Brom
HBirmingham4 - 1Norwich
ABirmingham1 - 2M'Boro
HBirmingham4 - 0Millwall
HBirmingham4 - 0Portsmouth
ABirmingham0 - 1Bristol C
ABirmingham1 - 0Preston
HBirmingham2 - 3Hull
ABirmingham1 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham2 - 2Sheff Wed
ABirmingham0 - 3Coventry
HBirmingham1 - 0Swansea
ABirmingham0 - 1Stoke
ABirmingham0 - 2Leicester
HBirmingham1 - 0Oxford Utd
ABirmingham2 - 1Blackburn
Derby 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Blackburn1 - 2Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 0Derby
Wrexham1 - 1Derby
West Brom0 - 1Derby
Ipswich2 - 2Derby
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Hull0 - 1Derby
West Brom1 - 3Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0Derby
Plymouth2 - 3Derby
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby1 - 3Leicester
ADerby1 - 2M'Boro
ADerby2 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 3Watford
ADerby2 - 1Blackburn
HDerby2 - 1Hull
ADerby3 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0QPR
HDerby1 - 0Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Oxford Utd
HDerby1 - 1Southampton
HDerby1 - 1Charlton
ADerby1 - 1Wrexham
HDerby0 - 1Preston
ADerby1 - 0West Brom
ADerby2 - 2Ipswich
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Birmingham since 1993
Birmingham
Derby
Goals: Scored
23
31
Games: Scored
14 / 17
13 / 17
Clean sheets
4 / 17
3 / 17
BIR
5
D
6
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Birmingham2 - 0
0 - 4Derby
1 - 3Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Derby
1 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Derby
Draw3 - 3Draw
Birmingham3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Birmingham1 - 0
1 - 4Derby
Birmingham3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
26
24
Games: Scored
15 / 17
16 / 17
Clean sheets
1 / 17
2 / 17
BIR
4
D
7
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Birmingham
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby1 - 0
0 - 3Birmingham
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 2
Derby2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Birmingham
0 - 1Birmingham
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Birmingham City have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Derby County on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Birmingham 12th Derby 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+36
Birmingham have scored 36% more goals at home than predicted
+25
Derby have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Birmingham
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
BIR
DER
10%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score4
2
Scored first9
10
Goals scored29
27
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
21
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
11%
better
BIR
DER
view stats
Games conceded15
17
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded25
29
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Birmingham v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21846
C KlarerJ StansfieldD GrayT Iwata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Klarer DEF212
4
-
T Doyle MID213
1
-
D Gray FWD2154
2
-
S Paik MID204
4
-
T Iwata MID2011
6
-
J Stansfield FWD2083
4
-
K Furuhashi FWD19
1
-
A Cochrane DEF1814
3
-
L Dykes FWD182
-
K Anderson  FWD171
1
-
P Neumann DEF161
2
-
P Roberts FWD1622
2
-
L. Koumas FWD16
1
-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF14
5
-
M Ducksch FWD133
-
J Beadle GLK12
2
-
M Leonard MID11
1
-
R Allsop GLK9
2
-
E Laird DEF71
-
J Robinson DEF6
2
2
E Cashin DEF6
-
W Willumsson MID3
-
A Sampsted DEF2
-
K Fujimoto MID1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201057
J ZetterströmC MorrisJ WardE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK20
1
-
M Clarke DEF201
3
-
D Sanderson DEF191
5
-
B Clark MID19
3
-
E Adams MID191
7
-
A Weimann  MID1812
1
-
C Elder DEF1612
4
-
P. Agyemang FWD1633
-
C Morris FWD1610
4
-
B Díaz FWD151
3
-
K Jackson FWD15
1
-
L Salvesen FWD1421
2
-
D Ozoh MID131
4
-
J Ward MID1315
-
S Langas DEF1021
1
-
R Brewster FWD101
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
C Forsyth DEF8
2
-
R Nyambe DEF7
1
-
L Thompson MID7
3
-
D Batth DEF6
-
L Travis MID61
4
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD51
-
C Nelson DEF1
-