Burnley's team badge Millwall's team badge

Burnley v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 12:30 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Scott Parker's Burnley side enjoy home advantage in the Championship on Saturday lunch time, as Cenk Laleci's Millwall travel to the Turf Moor. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Burnley to win

A Championship home win for Scott Parker's Burnley side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Burnley win is the bet we'd suggest, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
60%
8/13
5%
-
Draw
25%
27/10
3%
-
Millwall
15%
19/4
8%
-
Burnley 1-0
16%
5/1
20%
-
Burnley 2-0
13%
6/1
17%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
15/2
6%
-
Burnley 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Burnley 3-0
7%
11/1
9%
-
Millwall 1-0
7%
12/1
8%
-
Burnley 3-1
5%
14/1-
Millwall 2-1
4%
18/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
18/1
17%
-
Burnley 4-0
3%
22/1-
Millwall 2-0
2%
28/1-
Burnley 4-1
2%
28/1-
Burnley 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
-
Burnley 5-0
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
1/1
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
4/5
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
35%
12/5
9%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
11/10
7%
-
BTTS - No
61%
4/6
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
11/1
20%
-
Home/draw
85%
1/7
2%
-
Away/draw
40%
5/4
5%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/3
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
12/5
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/4
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/7
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6/1
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/10
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/1
25%
-
Home DNB
77%
1/5
2%
-
Away DNB
33%
10/3
4%
-
Burnley win to nil
41%
6/4
14%
-
Millwall win to nil
10%
8/1-
Burnley / Burnley
33%
6/4
4%
-
Burnley / Millwall
2%
40/1-
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Burnley
19%
10/3
8%
-
Draw / Millwall
8%
10/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Millwall / Burnley
4%
22/1
12%
-
Millwall / Millwall
8%
9/1
9%
-
Millwall / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 22 games and have kept 15 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 43 games against teams below in the table, having won 26, drawn 15 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 28 clean sheets and have failed to score in 13 fixtures. Burnley have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 22 games at home winning 13, drawing 9 and losing 0 games. They have scored 32 goals, kept 15 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Millwall are in 7th position in the Championship on 66 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 8 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Millwall have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Millwall
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds45281346497 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley Home45271625197 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 3
3
Sheff Utd45287102789 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
4
Sunderland452113111576 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Bristol C45171612467 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-3A
6
Coventry4519917466 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Millwall Away45181215066 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Blackburn4519818565 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
9
M'Boro451810171064 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
West Brom45141912861 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Swansea4517919-560 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
12
Sheff Wed45151218-957 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
Watford4516821-856 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2A
14
Norwich45131517154 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
QPR45131418-1153 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-5F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
16
Portsmouth45141120-1353 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Oxford Utd45131319-1652 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
18
Stoke45121419-1750 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
19
Derby45131022-849 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
20
Preston45101916-1149 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
21
Luton45131022-2249 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
22
Hull45121221-1048 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
23
Plymouth45111321-3646 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
24
Cardiff4591719-2344 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Burnley have won 3 consecutive home league games
22
Burnley have not lost in 22 consecutive home league games
Burnley 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
Burnley2 - 1Norwich
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Burnley1 - 1West Brom
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Burnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
Burnley2 - 0Hull
Burnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Sunderland
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Burnley2 - 1Watford
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Burnley2 - 0Coventry
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Burnley0 - 0QPR
Burnley0 - 0Preston
Burnley1 - 0Plymouth
Burnley2 - 1Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
HBurnley1 - 0Bristol C
ABurnley2 - 0Swansea
HBurnley1 - 1West Brom
HBurnley4 - 0Luton
ABurnley2 - 1Cardiff
HBurnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
ABurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley2 - 0Hull
HBurnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
ABurnley0 - 0Portsmouth
HBurnley0 - 0Leeds
ABurnley5 - 0Plymouth
HBurnley0 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley1 - 0Blackburn
Millwall 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn4 - 1Millwall
Sheff Utd0 - 1Millwall
Sunderland1 - 0Millwall
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Watford1 - 2Millwall
Derby0 - 1Millwall
Preston1 - 1Millwall
Plymouth5 - 1Millwall
Portsmouth0 - 1Millwall
Luton0 - 1Millwall
Sheff Wed2 - 2Millwall
Coventry0 - 0Millwall
Norwich2 - 1Millwall
M'Boro1 - 0Millwall
Oxford Utd1 - 1Millwall
Stoke1 - 1Millwall
Swansea0 - 1Millwall
West Brom0 - 0Millwall
Cardiff1 - 0Millwall
QPR1 - 1Millwall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMillwall1 - 0Swansea
HMillwall3 - 1Norwich
AMillwall1 - 4Blackburn
HMillwall1 - 0M'Boro
AMillwall1 - 0Sheff Utd
HMillwall2 - 1Portsmouth
AMillwall0 - 1Sunderland
HMillwall1 - 0Stoke
AMillwall0 - 2Leeds
AMillwall2 - 1Watford
HMillwall0 - 2Bristol C
AMillwall1 - 0Derby
AMillwall1 - 1Preston
HMillwall1 - 1West Brom
AMillwall1 - 5Plymouth
HMillwall2 - 1QPR
AMillwall1 - 0Portsmouth
AMillwall1 - 0Luton
HMillwall2 - 2Cardiff
HMillwall0 - 1Hull
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2001
Burnley
Millwall
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
BRN
4
D
4
MIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley2 - 0
Burnley3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Millwall
0 - 3Millwall
Burnley2 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Millwall since 2001
Millwall
Burnley
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
BRN
3
D
5
MIL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Millwall1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Burnley
0 - 1Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Millwall1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Burnley
Goal Statistics
Burnley 2nd Millwall 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Millwall will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Burnley have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
Millwall have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280630/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Millwall
1.6
0.7
Attack rating
12%
better
BRN
MIL
view stats
Games scored31
32
Failed to score14
13
Scored first24
23
Goals scored66
46
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
52%
better
BRN
MIL
view stats
Games conceded15
29
Clean sheets30
16
Conceded first9
19
Goals conceded15
46
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
7
Conversion rate against5%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+52%

Burnley v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4516713
M EstèveJ Brownhill J AnthonyJ Cullen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Estève DEF451
3
-
J Trafford GLK44
9
-
J Cullen MID4323
13
-
J Anthony FWD4277
5
-
J Laurent MID4122
5
-
J Brownhill  MID41166
4
-
C Egan-Riley DEF401
7
1
C Roberts DEF4023
4
-
H Mejbri MID3614
8
1
Z Flemming MID35124
3
-
J Sarmiento  MID344
4
-
L Pires DEF332
7
-
L Koleosho FWD282
3
-
L Foster FWD2725
3
-
B Humphreys DEF2512
2
1
M Edwards FWD1311
1
-
A Barnes FWD121
1
-
J Worrall DEF91
1
-
E Agyei FWD3
-
B Hedilazio FWD31
1
-
O Sonne DEF2
-
J Shelvey MID2
-
N Redmond MID21
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
A Ramsey MID1
-
Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
431158
C NorreM IvanovicF AzeezG Saville
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Norre MID4534
6
-
G Saville MID4414
8
-
L Jensen GLK41
1
-
J Tanganga DEF392
7
-
J Bryan DEF3911
7
-
G Honeyman MID3924
7
-
J Cooper DEF3531
4
-
M Ivanovic FWD3511
2
-
F Azeez FWD3325
4
-
M Langstaff FWD3312
-
R Leonard MID321
8
-
D Watmore FWD2651
-
A Emakhu FWD242
3
1
R Wintle MID211
3
-
T Crama DEF192
1
-
B Mitchell MID19
1
-
J Coburn FWD195
-
L Cundle MID151
2
-
A Connolly FWD141
3
-
D McNamara DEF13
1
-
M Wallace DEF11
-
S Hutchinson DEF9
1
-
W Harding DEF5
1
-
Z. Sturge DEF4
-
C. Scanlon DEF41
-
C Neghli FWD41
-
L Roberts GLK2
-
D Kelly MID2
-