Derby County's team badge Stoke City's team badge

Derby County v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Saturday afternoon at the Pride Park Stadium, and it’s a Championship showdown between Derby County and Stoke City. John Eustace and Mark Robins going all-out to ensure victory. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
39%
--
Draw
25%
--
Stoke
36%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Stoke 2-1
8%
--
Derby 1-0
8%
--
Stoke 1-0
8%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Derby 2-0
6%
--
Stoke 2-0
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Stoke 3-1
4%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Derby 3-0
3%
--
Stoke 3-2
3%
--
Stoke 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
61%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
56%
--
Away DNB
54%
--
Derby win to nil
19%
--
Stoke win to nil
17%
--
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Derby are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Derby have conceded 13 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Derby have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Stoke lay in 7th place on 13 points in the Championship league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea8521717 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
l
 
1-2F
Mar 6
2
West Ham84311115 
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
Mar 13
Nov 28
3
M'Boro8431415 
Mar 16
Dec 5
Oct 13
Feb 17
4
Wolves7421514 
May 1
Nov 24
Apr 17
l
 
4-1F
5
West Brom8422214 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 7
Dec 12
Jan 1
6
QPR8341313 
Feb 16
Oct 14
Dec 5
Mar 16
7
Stoke8413113 
Oct 17
Jan 16
-
-
8
Bristol C8413-113 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Oct 24
Dec 29
9
Charlton8332-312 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
10
Birmingham8251111 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 13
Nov 21
Feb 6
11
Millwall8323011 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Nov 25
May 1
12
Lincoln8323-111 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Apr 24
Dec 9
13
Southampton8422910 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Mar 3
l
 
3-1A
14
Wrexham8242-310 
Oct 10
Feb 27
Dec 26
Mar 20
15
Bolton8314-410 
Nov 6
Jan 30
Feb 27
Oct 10
16
Blackburn823309 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Jan 26
Nov 3
17
Norwich8305-19 
Nov 3
Jan 26
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
18
Sheff Utd8233-29 
Dec 29
Oct 24
w
 
2-1A
Feb 20
19
Portsmouth7223-18 
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
Jan 30
Nov 7
20
Watford8224-38 
Nov 28
Mar 13
Feb 13
w
 
1-2F
21
Cardiff8143-27 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
22
Derby8125-75 
-
-
Jan 16
Oct 17
23
Preston8116-74 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Oct 31
Jan 23
24
Burnley8044-84 
Feb 20
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
Dec 19
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 2Birmingham
Derby0 - 1West Brom
Derby0 - 3Swansea
Derby2 - 2Cardiff
Derby1 - 2Sheff Utd
Derby1 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby1 - 1Burnley
HDerby1 - 2Birmingham
HDerby0 - 1West Brom
ADerby0 - 3West Ham
ADerby2 - 0Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
Stoke 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford1 - 2Stoke
Cardiff1 - 1Stoke
Wolves4 - 1Stoke
Southampton3 - 1Stoke
Bristol C2 - 0Stoke
Wrexham2 - 0Stoke
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Preston3 - 1Stoke
Swansea2 - 0Stoke
Coventry2 - 1Stoke
Charlton1 - 0Stoke
West Brom0 - 0Stoke
Birmingham1 - 1Stoke
Norwich0 - 2Stoke
Hull0 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Ipswich1 - 0Stoke
Sheff Utd4 - 0Stoke
Leicester2 - 1Stoke
Oxford Utd0 - 3Stoke
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke2 - 1Sheff Utd
AStoke2 - 1Watford
AStoke1 - 1Cardiff
HStoke4 - 0Charlton
HStoke1 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 4Wolves
AStoke1 - 3Southampton
HStoke1 - 2Swansea
AStoke0 - 2Bristol C
HStoke1 - 3Portsmouth
HStoke1 - 3Millwall
AStoke0 - 2Wrexham
HStoke1 - 1Blackburn
AStoke0 - 2Derby
HStoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
AStoke1 - 3Preston
HStoke3 - 1Watford
HStoke3 - 3Ipswich
AStoke0 - 2Swansea
AStoke1 - 2Coventry
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1994
Derby
Stoke
Goals: Scored
25
11
Games: Scored
9 / 14
7 / 14
Clean sheets
7 / 14
5 / 14
DER
9
D
3
STK
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Stoke
Derby2 - 1
Derby3 - 1
0 - 3Stoke
Derby2 - 0
Derby3 - 1
Derby3 - 0
Derby4 - 2
League games at Stoke since 1994
Stoke
Derby
Goals: Scored
21
15
Games: Scored
13 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
1 / 14
DER
3
D
3
STK
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke3 - 1
Stoke2 - 1
1 - 2Derby
Stoke1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke2 - 0
1 - 2Derby
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
1 - 3Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Derby 22nd Stoke 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-30
Stoke have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
DER
STK
45%
better
view stats
Games scored5
8
Failed to score3
0
Scored first3
6
Goals scored7
13
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
DER
STK
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first5
2
Goals conceded14
12
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against2
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%

Derby v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8223
C TaylorB ClarkB ClarkS Langas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Taylor DEF8
1
-
S Langas DEF8
3
-
B Clark MID822
-
J Zetterström GLK7
-
D Sanderson DEF7
2
-
S Szmodics MID721
-
A Mowatt MID7
2
-
R Hedges FWD7
-
L Salvesen FWD71
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD7
2
-
O Fraulo MID61
1
-
J Ward MID6
-
R Brewster FWD61
1
-
M Johnston DEF5
1
-
D Ozoh MID4
1
-
M Fuseini FWD41
2
-
C Morris FWD411
-
R Nyambe DEF3
-
L Travis MID3
2
-
H. Meister FWD3
-
E Cashin DEF2
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-
F Bilbija FWD2
-
J Vickers GLK1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8324
V JohanssonE GalbraithE BocatE Galbraith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK8
-
E Bocat DEF822
1
-
B Wilmot DEF8
1
-
E Galbraith MID831
4
-
D. Soumaré MID8
1
-
B Johnson DEF71
-
G Hirst FWD71
1
-
L. Graham DEF6
2
-
M Taloverov DEF6
2
-
R Bozenik FWD61
-
S Gallagher FWD621
2
-
J. Bae MID5
1
-
L. Bombino DEF4
-
M Lawal DEF4
2
-
J Devenny MID42
1
-
J McGlynn MID42
-
L Cissé FWD41
-
M Manhoef FWD4
-
B Pearson MID3
-
T Rigo MID31
-
S Ingelsson MID2
1
1
J Tchamadeu DEF11
-
B Gibson DEF1
-