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Cardiff City v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 13th Oct, 19:45 BST, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Watford, led by manager Alessio Dionisi, visit Brian Barry-Murphy and his Cardiff City side at the Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday evening in the Championship. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cardiff
56%
--
Draw
25%
--
Watford
19%
--
Cardiff 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Cardiff 2-0
11%
--
Cardiff 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Watford 1-0
7%
--
Cardiff 3-0
6%
--
Cardiff 3-1
5%
--
Watford 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Watford 2-0
3%
--
Cardiff 4-0
3%
--
Cardiff 3-2
2%
--
Cardiff 4-1
2%
--
Watford 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
56%
--
Away 1st Goal
38%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
45%
--
BTTS - No
55%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
81%
--
Away/draw
44%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
74%
--
Away DNB
36%
--
Cardiff win to nil
35%
--
Watford win to nil
11%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Cardiff have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 21st position in the league. Cardiff are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept zero clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Cardiff have conceded 10 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cardiff have played 4 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Watford lay in 20th place on 8 points in the Championship league table having played 8 matches. Watford have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games. Watford are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 2 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 1 goal and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Watford have played 4 away games, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cardiff
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea8521717 
Mar 13
Nov 29
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
2
West Ham84311115 
Nov 4
Jan 27
d
 
1-1F
Apr 17
3
M'Boro8431415 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Nov 7
Jan 30
4
Wolves7421514 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Dec 29
Oct 24
5
West Brom8422214 
Apr 24
Dec 8
Apr 10
l
 
1-0A
6
QPR8341313 
Apr 21
l
 
2-1A
Jan 1
Dec 12
7
Stoke8413113 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
l
 
1-2A
Feb 13
8
Bristol C8413-113 
Apr 3
Dec 19
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
9
Charlton8332-312 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 20
Oct 17
Jan 16
10
Birmingham8251111 
Oct 24
Dec 29
Apr 24
Dec 8
11
Millwall8323011 
Dec 26
Mar 20
Dec 5
Mar 17
12
Lincoln8323-111 
Dec 5
Mar 16
Nov 3
Jan 26
13
Southampton8422910 
Dec 12
Jan 1
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
14
Wrexham8242-310 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 6
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
15
Bolton8314-410 
Feb 13
l
 
1-0A
Dec 19
Apr 3
16
Blackburn823309 
Feb 27
Oct 10
Nov 25
May 1
17
Norwich8305-19 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Jan 23
Oct 31
18
Sheff Utd8233-29 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 17
Feb 6
Nov 21
19
Portsmouth7223-18 
Apr 10
l
 
2-0A
Mar 20
Dec 26
20
Watford8224-38 
Oct 13
Feb 16
-
-
21
Cardiff8143-27 
-
-
Feb 16
Oct 13
22
Derby8125-75 
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
Mar 13
Nov 28
23
Preston8116-74 
Nov 24
May 1
w
 
2-1A
Apr 7
24
Burnley8044-84 
Nov 7
Jan 30
Oct 10
Feb 27
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Watford have lost 3 consecutive away league games
3
Watford have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Cardiff 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff3 - 1Charlton
Cardiff1 - 1Stoke
Cardiff2 - 2Sheff Utd
Cardiff1 - 1Wrexham
Cardiff5 - 1Northampton
Cardiff1 - 0Port Vale
Cardiff2 - 0Bolton
Cardiff0 - 0Blackpool
Cardiff0 - 2Wycombe
Cardiff0 - 2Lincoln
Cardiff4 - 1AFC Wim
Cardiff3 - 1Luton
Cardiff4 - 0Barnsley
Cardiff1 - 1Stockport
Cardiff1 - 0Wigan
Cardiff2 - 1Stevenage
Cardiff1 - 0Exeter
Cardiff4 - 3Doncaster
Cardiff3 - 2Huddersfield
Cardiff3 - 0Mansfield
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCardiff3 - 1Charlton
ACardiff0 - 1Bolton
HCardiff1 - 1Stoke
ACardiff0 - 2Portsmouth
ACardiff1 - 2QPR
HCardiff2 - 2Sheff Utd
ACardiff2 - 2Derby
HCardiff1 - 1Wrexham
ACardiff4 - 5Mansfield
HCardiff5 - 1Northampton
HCardiff1 - 0Port Vale
ACardiff3 - 1Reading
ACardiff1 - 1Huddersfield
HCardiff2 - 0Bolton
ACardiff1 - 1Peterborough
HCardiff0 - 0Blackpool
HCardiff0 - 2Wycombe
ACardiff4 - 0Exeter
ACardiff1 - 1Barnsley
HCardiff0 - 2Lincoln
Watford 20TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C1 - 0Watford
West Brom1 - 0Watford
Swansea2 - 0Watford
Wrexham1 - 1Watford
M'Boro5 - 1Watford
West Brom3 - 0Watford
Oxford Utd2 - 0Watford
QPR2 - 1Watford
Stoke3 - 1Watford
Sheff Wed1 - 1Watford
Bristol C1 - 2Watford
Preston2 - 2Watford
Southampton1 - 0Watford
Hull0 - 0Watford
Blackburn1 - 1Watford
Norwich0 - 1Watford
Leicester1 - 2Watford
Wrexham2 - 2Watford
Birmingham2 - 1Watford
Derby2 - 3Watford
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWatford0 - 1Bristol C
HWatford1 - 2Stoke
HWatford2 - 1Preston
AWatford0 - 1West Brom
AWatford0 - 2Swansea
HWatford1 - 1West Ham
AWatford1 - 1Wrexham
HWatford2 - 1Southampton
HWatford0 - 4Coventry
AWatford1 - 5M'Boro
AWatford0 - 3West Brom
HWatford0 - 2Sheff Utd
AWatford0 - 2Oxford Utd
HWatford1 - 1Charlton
AWatford1 - 2QPR
HWatford0 - 0Leicester
HWatford3 - 1Wrexham
AWatford1 - 3Stoke
AWatford1 - 1Sheff Wed
AWatford2 - 1Bristol C
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cardiff since 2003
Cardiff
Watford
Goals: Scored
24
29
Games: Scored
14 / 15
14 / 15
Clean sheets
1 / 15
1 / 15
CAR
5
D
3
WAT
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cardiff
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Watford
1 - 2Watford
1 - 5Watford
2 - 4Watford
Cardiff2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cardiff4 - 2
Cardiff3 - 1
Cardiff2 - 1
1 - 2Watford
1 - 3Watford
0 - 3Watford
Cardiff3 - 0
League games at Watford since 2003
Watford
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
18
22
Games: Scored
9 / 15
13 / 15
Clean sheets
2 / 15
6 / 15
CAR
6
D
5
WAT
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
1 - 2Cardiff
0 - 1Cardiff
1 - 3Cardiff
0 - 1Cardiff
Watford3 - 2
0 - 1Cardiff
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford4 - 1
0 - 4Cardiff
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Watford2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Watford2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Cardiff City's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Watford have conceded in each of their last 15 Championship matches. A PG of 1.6 for B. Barry-Murphy's side suggests that run should continue.

Cardiff 21st Watford 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Cardiff will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Watford scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Cardiff’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Watford have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
12%
better
CAR
WAT
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score2
3
Scored first3
3
Goals scored10
7
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game14
8
Avg. shots per goal11
9
Conversion rate for9
11
Avg. XG for2.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
CAR
WAT
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded12
10
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+7%

Cardiff v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8324
N TrottJ MoylanO TannerA Robertson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Trott GLK8
-
P Ng DEF81
3
-
J Bagan DEF8
1
-
J Moylan MID831
1
-
J Colwill MID81
2
-
A Robertson MID8
4
-
O Tanner FWD82
3
-
C. Ashford FWD821
1
-
C Willock FWD81
-
Y Salech FWD821
1
-
G Osho DEF7
-
C. Scanlon DEF7
-
K Bielik DEF6
1
-
R Colwill MID511
1
-
D Turnbull MID4
-
C Robinson FWD4
-
I Davies FWD4
-
R. Kpakio DEF31
-
D. Lawlor DEF1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8313
F RavagliaA. NabizadaE KayembeA. Nabizada
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Ravaglia GLK8
-
K Keben DEF8
2
-
M Pollock DEF8
2
-
E Kayembe MID811
2
-
H Kyprianou MID8
2
-
A. Nabizada FWD83
3
-
I Bravo FWD811
2
-
O. Maamma FWD8
2
-
M. Doumbia FWD81
2
-
J Zemura DEF7
1
-
L Kjerrumgaard FWD71
-
R Vata FWD7
-
O Traoré DEF61
1
-
M Payero MID5
2
-
E Bove MID5
1
-
S Mavididi FWD4
-
S Coulibaly DEF3
-
A. Eames DEF3
-
B. Mlacic DEF2
1
-
M Bola DEF1
-
M Boadu FWD1
-