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Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 15:00 BST, Macron Stadium, Horwich

Mark Robins takes his Stoke City side to the Macron Stadium in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, with Steven Schumacher's Bolton Wanderers waiting for them. For every Championship match preview, KickOff delves into the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Bolton and Stoke will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bolton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bolton
45%
6/4
7%
-
Draw
24%
12/5
5%
-
Stoke
31%
8/5
6%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Bolton 2-1
9%
9/1-
Bolton 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Stoke 2-1
7%
9/1-
Bolton 2-0
7%
12/1-
Stoke 1-0
7%
9/1
18%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
20%
-
Bolton 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
-
Stoke 2-0
4%
12/1
8%
-
Bolton 3-0
4%
25/1
10%
-
Bolton 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
Stoke 3-1
3%
20/1-
Stoke 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
Bolton 4-1
2%
40/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
10/11
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
10/11
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
10/11
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
20/21
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - No
41%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
15/4
14%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/1-
Home/draw
69%
1/2
2%
-
Away/draw
55%
1/2
4%
-
Home/away
76%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/7
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
11/5
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/11
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/8
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
10%
-
Home DNB
62%
5/6
4%
-
Away DNB
47%
5/6
2%
-
Bolton win to nil
22%
7/2
10%
-
Stoke win to nil
14%
4/1
15%
-
Bolton / Bolton
21%
3/1
11%
-
Bolton / Stoke
3%
25/1-
Bolton / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Bolton
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw / Stoke
13%
11/2
8%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Stoke / Bolton
3%
25/1
10%
-
Stoke / Stoke
19%
10/3
8%
-
Stoke / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Bolton have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league. Bolton are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Bolton have conceded 8 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Bolton have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Stoke lay in 7th place on 13 points in the Championship league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bolton
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea8521717 
Apr 24
Dec 8
l
 
1-2F
Mar 6
2
West Ham84311115 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 6
Mar 13
Nov 28
3
M'Boro8431415 
Oct 23
Dec 29
Oct 13
Feb 17
4
Wolves7421514 
Feb 17
Oct 13
Apr 17
l
 
4-1F
5
West Brom8422214 
Nov 25
May 1
Dec 12
Jan 1
6
QPR8341313 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 5
Mar 16
7
Stoke8413113 
Oct 10
Feb 27
-
-
8
Bristol C8413-113 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Oct 24
Dec 29
9
Charlton8332-312 
Jan 26
Nov 3
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
10
Birmingham8251111 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Nov 21
Feb 6
11
Millwall8323011 
Apr 10
l
 
4-0A
Nov 25
May 1
12
Lincoln8323-111 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 17
Apr 24
Dec 9
13
Southampton8422910 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Mar 3
l
 
3-1A
14
Wrexham8242-310 
Dec 11
Jan 1
Dec 26
Mar 20
15
Bolton8314-410 
-
-
Feb 27
Oct 10
16
Blackburn823309 
Dec 5
Mar 17
Jan 26
Nov 3
17
Norwich8305-19 
Feb 20
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
18
Sheff Utd8233-29 
Apr 20
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-1A
Feb 20
19
Portsmouth7223-18 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Jan 30
Nov 7
20
Watford8224-38 
Apr 3
Dec 19
Feb 13
w
 
1-2F
21
Cardiff8143-27 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 13
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
22
Derby8125-75 
Jan 30
Nov 6
Jan 16
Oct 17
23
Preston8116-74 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
Oct 31
Jan 23
24
Burnley8044-84 
Dec 26
Mar 20
Apr 3
Dec 19
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bolton 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Stoke 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bolton since 1996
Bolton
Stoke
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
BOL
3
D
3
League games at Stoke since 1997
Stoke
Bolton
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
BOL
2
D
1
STK
3
Goal Statistics
Bolton 15th Stoke 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Bolton have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-30
Stoke have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Bolton
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
BOL
STK
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BOL
STK
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Bolton v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Bolton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8312
J SheehanS DalbyM ConwayJ Sheehan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Conway DEF81
-
J Sheehan MID8
1
1
S Junior FWD81
1
-
S Dalby FWD83
-
T Gale FWD831
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF71
1
-
E Erhahon  MID71
-
K Dong FWD71
1
-
C Forino DEF6
1
-
R Hardie FWD6
1
-
J McAtee FWD61
1
-
J Bonham GLK5
-
L Brunt DEF5
-
A Famewo DEF5
1
-
B Davies DEF5
1
-
R Rodrigues MID511
-
E Toal DEF4
-
J Nelson FWD4
1
-
G Bazunu GLK3
-
X Simons MID31
-
T Bair FWD31
-
A Ito MID21
-
L. Stephenson DEF1
-
D Watson MID1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8324
V JohanssonE GalbraithE BocatE Galbraith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK8
-
E Bocat DEF822
1
-
B Wilmot DEF8
1
-
E Galbraith MID831
4
-
D. Soumaré MID8
1
-
B Johnson DEF71
-
G Hirst FWD71
1
-
L. Graham DEF6
2
-
M Taloverov DEF6
2
-
R Bozenik FWD61
-
S Gallagher FWD621
2
-
J. Bae MID5
1
-
L. Bombino DEF4
-
M Lawal DEF4
2
-
J Devenny MID42
1
-
J McGlynn MID42
-
L Cissé FWD41
-
M Manhoef FWD4
-
B Pearson MID3
-
T Rigo MID31
-
S Ingelsson MID2
1
1
J Tchamadeu DEF11
-
B Gibson DEF1
-