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Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Macron Stadium, Horwich

Steven Schumacher's Bolton Wanderers side enjoy home advantage in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as Mark Robins's Stoke City travel to the Macron Stadium. You'll find stats supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Bolton Wanderers's next match is v Southampton at 15:00 on Saturday 17th October
Stoke City's next match is v Derby at 15:00 on Saturday 17th October
The last English Championship meeting between Bolton and Stoke was on Saturday 10th October 2026
English Championship
October 10th 2026
Bolton 1
2 Stoke
 
T. Bair 90'45' L. Cisse
62' B. Wilmot
 
BOL
STK
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
14
4
Corners
10
4
Possession
68%
32%
Fouls
8
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/1
 
BoltonStoke
 
B. Davies (T. Bair 82')
E. Toal
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
J. Sheehan
R. da Rocha Rodrigues (R. Hardie 63')
E. Erhahon (A. Ito 46')
K. Dong (S. Iling 56')
S. Dalby
T. Gale (J. Nelson 56')
M. Conway
G. Bazunu
V. Johansson
B. Johnson
L. Graham
football iconB. Wilmot
E. Bocat
(J. Tchamadeu 69') J. McGlynn
E. William Galbraith
(G. Hirst 69') football iconL. Cisse
M. Talovierov
(L. Bombino 46') J. Devenny
(M. Bosun Lawal 69') D. Soumaré

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Bolton and Stoke will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bolton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bolton
45%
17/10-
Draw
24%
12/5
5%
-
Stoke
31%
6/4
2%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Bolton 2-1
9%
9/1-
Bolton 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Stoke 2-1
7%
9/1-
Bolton 2-0
7%
12/1-
Stoke 1-0
7%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
10%
-
Bolton 3-1
5%
20/1-
Stoke 2-0
5%
12/1
8%
-
Bolton 3-0
4%
25/1
10%
-
Bolton 3-2
3%
28/1-
Stoke 3-1
3%
20/1-
Stoke 3-2
3%
28/1-
Bolton 4-1
2%
40/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
10/11
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
10/11
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
1/1-
Away 1st Goal
46%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/11-
BTTS - No
42%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
4/1-
Home/draw
69%
1/2
2%
-
Away/draw
55%
4/9-
Home/away
76%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
10%
-
Home DNB
62%
10/11-
Away DNB
48%
4/5-
Bolton win to nil
22%
4/1-
Stoke win to nil
14%
7/2
4%
-
Bolton / Bolton
19%
10/3
4%
-
Bolton / Stoke
3%
25/1-
Bolton / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Bolton
13%
11/2-
Draw / Stoke
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Stoke / Bolton
3%
25/1
10%
-
Stoke / Stoke
19%
3/1-
Stoke / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Bolton have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league. Bolton are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Bolton have conceded 8 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Bolton have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Stoke lay in 9th place on 13 points in the Championship league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bolton
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea10721923 
Apr 24
Dec 8
l
 
1-2F
Mar 6
2
M'Boro10631621 
Oct 23
Dec 29
l
 
2-3A
Feb 17
3
West Ham105411719 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 6
Mar 13
Nov 28
4
Birmingham10451617 
Mar 13
Nov 28
Nov 21
Feb 6
5
QPR10451617 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 5
Mar 16
6
Wolves10523317 
Feb 17
w
 
1-3F
Apr 17
l
 
4-1F
7
West Brom10523217 
Nov 25
May 1
Dec 12
Jan 1
8
Southampton106221116 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Mar 3
l
 
3-1A
9
Stoke10514116 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 27
-
-
10
Blackburn10433215 
Dec 5
Mar 17
Jan 26
Nov 3
11
Millwall10424014 
Apr 10
l
 
4-0A
Nov 25
May 1
12
Bristol C10424-214 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Oct 24
Dec 29
13
Charlton10352-314 
Jan 26
Nov 3
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
14
Bolton10415-313 
-
-
Feb 27
w
 
1-2F
15
Sheff Utd10334012 
Apr 20
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-1A
Feb 20
16
Portsmouth9324-111 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Jan 30
Nov 7
17
Wrexham10253-411 
Dec 11
Jan 1
Dec 26
Mar 20
18
Lincoln10325-1011 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 17
Apr 24
Dec 9
19
Cardiff10244110 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 13
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
20
Norwich10307-39 
Feb 20
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 20
21
Burnley11155-58 
Dec 26
Mar 20
Apr 3
Dec 19
22
Watford10226-118 
Apr 3
Dec 19
Feb 13
w
 
1-2F
23
Derby10136-106 
Jan 30
Nov 6
Jan 16
Oct 17
24
Preston10118-124 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
Oct 31
Jan 23
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bolton 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton1 - 0Cardiff
Bolton2 - 3West Ham
Bolton0 - 1Lincoln
Bolton2 - 1Preston
Bolton4 - 1Stockport
Bolton1 - 0Bradford
Bolton2 - 3Luton
Bolton3 - 3Huddersfield
Bolton5 - 1Stevenage
Bolton2 - 2Stockport
Bolton0 - 0Doncaster
Bolton3 - 2Wycombe
Bolton2 - 2Blackpool
Bolton3 - 2Barnsley
Bolton2 - 1Burton
Bolton2 - 1L Orient
Bolton0 - 0Northampton
Bolton0 - 1Mansfield
Bolton2 - 1Rotherham
Bolton2 - 1Exeter
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABolton4 - 3Norwich
HBolton1 - 0Cardiff
HBolton2 - 3West Ham
ABolton0 - 4Millwall
ABolton2 - 3Sheff Utd
HBolton0 - 1Lincoln
ABolton0 - 0QPR
HBolton2 - 1Preston
HBolton4 - 1Stockport
ABolton1 - 0Bradford
HBolton1 - 0Bradford
HBolton2 - 3Luton
ABolton1 - 1Bradford
HBolton3 - 3Huddersfield
HBolton5 - 1Stevenage
ABolton0 - 2Cardiff
HBolton2 - 2Stockport
ABolton2 - 1Plymouth
ABolton0 - 1Port Vale
HBolton0 - 0Doncaster
Stoke 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford1 - 2Stoke
Cardiff1 - 1Stoke
Wolves4 - 1Stoke
Southampton3 - 1Stoke
Bristol C2 - 0Stoke
Wrexham2 - 0Stoke
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Preston3 - 1Stoke
Swansea2 - 0Stoke
Coventry2 - 1Stoke
Charlton1 - 0Stoke
West Brom0 - 0Stoke
Birmingham1 - 1Stoke
Norwich0 - 2Stoke
Hull0 - 1Stoke
Watford1 - 0Stoke
Ipswich1 - 0Stoke
Sheff Utd4 - 0Stoke
Leicester2 - 1Stoke
Oxford Utd0 - 3Stoke
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke2 - 1Sheff Utd
AStoke2 - 1Watford
AStoke1 - 1Cardiff
HStoke4 - 0Charlton
HStoke1 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 4Wolves
AStoke1 - 3Southampton
HStoke1 - 2Swansea
AStoke0 - 2Bristol C
HStoke1 - 3Portsmouth
HStoke1 - 3Millwall
AStoke0 - 2Wrexham
HStoke1 - 1Blackburn
AStoke0 - 2Derby
HStoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
AStoke1 - 3Preston
HStoke3 - 1Watford
HStoke3 - 3Ipswich
AStoke0 - 2Swansea
AStoke1 - 2Coventry
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bolton since 1996
Bolton
Stoke
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
BOL
3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bolton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bolton5 - 0
Bolton2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bolton3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Stoke since 1997
Stoke
Bolton
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
BOL
2
D
1
STK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Stoke2 - 0
1 - 2Bolton
Stoke2 - 0
1 - 2Bolton
Goal Statistics
Bolton 14th Stoke 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Bolton will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Bolton have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-30
Stoke have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Bolton
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
BOL
STK
33%
better
view stats
Games scored5
8
Failed to score3
0
Scored first3
6
Goals scored11
13
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
BOL
STK
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded15
12
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%

Bolton v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Bolton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10422
J SheehanS DalbyG LarrazabalG Larrazabal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Bazunu GLK5
-
G Larrazabal DEF912
2
-
E Toal DEF6
-
B Davies DEF6
1
-
M Conway DEF101
1
-
J Sheehan MID101
1
1
E Erhahon  MID91
1
-
K Dong MID81
1
-
R Rodrigues MID711
-
T Gale MID1031
2
-
S Dalby FWD104
-
Subs
J Bonham GLK5
-
L Brunt DEF6
-
A Famewo DEF6
1
-
X Simons MID41
-
A Ito MID42
-
T Bair FWD511
-
S Junior FWD101
1
-
J Nelson FWD6
1
-
R Hardie FWD7
1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10324
V JohanssonE GalbraithE GalbraithE Galbraith
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK10
-
B Wilmot DEF101
1
-
M Taloverov DEF7
2
1
L. Graham DEF8
3
-
B Johnson MID91
-
D. Soumaré MID10
1
-
E Galbraith MID1032
4
-
E Bocat MID1022
1
-
J Devenny FWD62
1
-
L Cissé FWD611
-
J McGlynn FWD621
1
-
Subs
J Griffiths GLK
-
J Tchamadeu DEF31
-
M Lawal DEF6
2
-
L. Bombino DEF6
-
B Pearson MID3
-
J. Bae MID6
1
-
R Bozenik FWD711
-
G Hirst FWD911
1
-
M Manhoef FWD4
-