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Derby County v Wrexham : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

the Pride Park Stadium plays host on Saturday afternoon, as John Eustace's Derby County are visited by Phil Parkinson's Wrexham in the Championship. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Derby and Wrexham will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookmakers have it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Wrexham coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
33%
13/8
9%
-
Draw
26%
11/5-
Wrexham
41%
31/20
9%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Wrexham 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
-
Wrexham 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
-
Derby 1-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Derby 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
-
Wrexham 2-0
7%
11/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Derby 2-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Wrexham 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
Wrexham 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
-
Derby 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
-
Wrexham 3-2
3%
28/1-
Derby 3-2
2%
33/1-
Derby 3-0
2%
25/1
10%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
46%
1/1
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
20/21
7%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5-
BTTS - No
45%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
59%
1/2
4%
-
Away/draw
67%
4/9
3%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
2/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/2-
Home DNB
51%
5/6
13%
-
Away DNB
59%
5/6
10%
-
Derby win to nil
17%
7/2
10%
-
Wrexham win to nil
22%
10/3
8%
-
Derby / Derby
19%
10/3
9%
-
Derby / Wrexham
3%
28/1
12%
-
Derby / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Derby
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw / Wrexham
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Wrexham / Derby
3%
28/1-
Wrexham / Wrexham
19%
10/3
15%
-
Wrexham / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Derby are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Derby have conceded 13 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Derby have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Wrexham lay in 14th place on 10 points in the Championship league table having played 8 matches. Wrexham are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 3 games. Wrexham are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams below them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 3 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Wrexham have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Wrexham have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Wrexham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea8521717 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
Apr 10
d
 
0-00-0
2
West Ham84311115 
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
Feb 13
l
 
6-0A
3
M'Boro8431415 
Mar 16
Dec 5
Nov 4
Jan 27
4
Wolves7421514 
May 1
Nov 24
Nov 7
Jan 30
5
West Brom8422214 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 7
Oct 13
Feb 16
6
QPR8341313 
Feb 16
Oct 14
Dec 19
Apr 3
7
Stoke8413113 
Oct 17
Jan 16
Mar 20
Dec 26
8
Bristol C8413-113 
Dec 9
Apr 24
May 1
Nov 24
9
Charlton8332-312 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
Dec 8
Apr 24
10
Birmingham8251111 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 13
l
 
1-2A
Apr 17
11
Millwall8323011 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Apr 20
w
 
0-3F
12
Lincoln8323-111 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Feb 6
Nov 21
13
Southampton8422910 
Feb 6
Nov 21
w
 
2-1F
Feb 20
14
Wrexham8242-310 
Oct 10
Feb 27
-
-
15
Bolton8314-410 
Nov 6
Jan 30
Jan 1
Dec 11
16
Blackburn823309 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Dec 29
Oct 24
17
Norwich8305-19 
Nov 3
Jan 26
Mar 16
Dec 5
18
Sheff Utd8233-29 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Jan 23
Oct 30
19
Portsmouth7223-18 
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
Nov 28
Mar 13
20
Watford8224-38 
Nov 28
Mar 13
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
21
Cardiff8143-27 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
Mar 6
d
 
1-1F
22
Derby8125-75 
-
-
Feb 27
Oct 10
23
Preston8116-74 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Oct 17
Jan 16
24
Burnley8044-84 
Feb 20
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Derby have lost 3 consecutive home league games
Derby 22ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 2Birmingham
Derby0 - 1West Brom
Derby0 - 3Swansea
Derby2 - 2Cardiff
Derby1 - 2Sheff Utd
Derby1 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby2 - 0Stoke
Derby1 - 0Birmingham
Derby2 - 1Sheff Wed
Derby3 - 1Blackburn
Derby2 - 0Swansea
Derby1 - 2Ipswich
Derby1 - 1West Brom
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby1 - 1Portsmouth
Derby1 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 3Leicester
Derby2 - 3Watford
Derby2 - 1Hull
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby1 - 1Burnley
HDerby1 - 2Birmingham
HDerby0 - 1West Brom
ADerby0 - 3West Ham
ADerby2 - 0Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 1Sheff Wed
HDerby3 - 1Blackburn
Wrexham 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Ham6 - 0Wrexham
Swansea0 - 0Wrexham
Millwall0 - 3Wrexham
Cardiff1 - 1Wrexham
Coventry3 - 1Wrexham
Oxford Utd0 - 1Wrexham
Birmingham2 - 0Wrexham
West Brom2 - 2Wrexham
Sheff Utd1 - 2Wrexham
Watford3 - 1Wrexham
Charlton0 - 1Wrexham
Bristol C2 - 2Wrexham
Sheff Wed0 - 1Wrexham
QPR2 - 3Wrexham
Derby1 - 2Wrexham
Blackburn0 - 2Wrexham
Swansea2 - 1Wrexham
Hull2 - 0Wrexham
Preston1 - 1Wrexham
Ipswich0 - 0Wrexham
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWrexham2 - 1Southampton
AWrexham0 - 6West Ham
HWrexham1 - 1Burnley
AWrexham0 - 0Swansea
AWrexham3 - 0Millwall
HWrexham1 - 2Birmingham
HWrexham1 - 1Watford
AWrexham1 - 1Cardiff
HWrexham2 - 2M'Boro
AWrexham1 - 3Coventry
AWrexham1 - 0Oxford Utd
HWrexham2 - 0Stoke
AWrexham0 - 2Birmingham
HWrexham1 - 5Southampton
AWrexham2 - 2West Brom
AWrexham2 - 1Sheff Utd
AWrexham1 - 3Watford
HWrexham2 - 0Swansea
HWrexham1 - 2Hull
AWrexham1 - 0Charlton
Goal Statistics
Derby 22nd Wrexham 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Wrexham will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Wrexham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Wrexham
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
DER
WRX
16%
better
view stats
Games scored5
6
Failed to score3
2
Scored first3
3
Goals scored7
9
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
DER
WRX
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded14
12
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against2
1.3
KickOff rating
+14%

Derby v Wrexham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8223
C TaylorB ClarkB ClarkS Langas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Taylor DEF8
1
-
S Langas DEF8
3
-
B Clark MID822
-
J Zetterström GLK7
-
D Sanderson DEF7
2
-
A Mowatt MID7
2
-
S Szmodics MID721
-
R Hedges FWD7
-
L Salvesen FWD71
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD7
2
-
O Fraulo MID61
1
-
J Ward MID6
-
R Brewster FWD61
1
-
M Johnston DEF5
1
-
D Ozoh MID4
1
-
M Fuseini FWD41
2
-
C Morris FWD411
-
R Nyambe DEF3
-
L Travis MID3
2
-
H. Meister FWD3
-
E Cashin DEF2
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-
F Bilbija FWD2
-
J Vickers GLK1
-
Wrexham Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8323
A PattersonK MooreD. ImrayD Hyam
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Patterson GLK8
-
C Doyle DEF81
-
D Hyam DEF8
3
-
B Whiteman MID81
2
-
L O'Brien MID81
-
S Smith FWD8
-
K Moore FWD831
1
-
M James MID7
-
J Ekomié DEF62
-
I Kaboré DEF61
1
-
D. Imray DEF612
-
Z Vyner DEF6
-
R Longman MID6
-
O Rathbone MID6
-
J Windass MID51
-
M Cleworth DEF4
-
C O'Hare MID4
-
N Broadhead FWD3
1
-
G Dobson MID2
-
G Thomason MID2
-
B Cadamarteri FWD2
1
-
J Worrall DEF1
-
B Sheaf MID1
-