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Watford v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vicarage Road, Watford

Burnley, led by manager Scott Parker, visit Tom Cleverley and his Watford side at the Vicarage Road on Friday afternoon in the Championship. For each and every Championship fixture, KickOff dives into the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside odds.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Watford's next match is v Portsmouth at 15:00 on Monday 21st April
Burnley's next match is v Sheff Utd at 17:30 on Monday 21st April

The last English Championship meeting between Watford and Burnley was on Friday 18th April 2025

English Championship

April 18th 2025

Watford 1	2 Burnley

M. Doumbia 8'	43' Z. Flemming
	58' J. Brownhill

	WAT BRN
Shots On	5 7
Shots Off	4 4
Corners	4 1
Possession	35% 65%
Fouls	17 4
Yellow/red cards	5/2 4/0

Watford	Burnley

E. Selvik J. Ngakia (R. Andrews 75') M. Pollock C. Wiley J. Abankwah (F. Sierralta Carvallo 85') E. Kayembe M. Sissoko P. Dwomoh I. Louza (A. Dele-Bashiru 85') R. Vata (T. Ince 75') M. Doumbia (V. Bayo 75')	J. Trafford L. Pires Silva M. Esteve C. Egan Riley C. Roberts H. Mejbri J. Cullen (A. Barnes 88') Z. Flemming (J. Sarmiento 90') J. Brownhill (J. Laurent 72') M. Edwards J. Anthony

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Watford and Burnley go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of Burnley coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Watford 16%	15/4 10%	-
Draw 27%	5/2 3%	-
Burnley 57%	4/5 3%	-
Burnley 1-0 19%	5/1	-
Burnley 2-0 13%	13/2 6%	-
Draw 0-0 13%	7/1 7%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Burnley 2-1 8%	8/1	-
Watford 1-0 8%	10/1 16%	-
Burnley 3-0 6%	12/1 13%	-
Burnley 3-1 4%	16/1	-
Watford 2-1 3%	16/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 2%	18/1	-
Watford 2-0 2%	22/1 10%	-
Burnley 4-0 2%	28/1 15%	-
Burnley 4-1 1%	33/1 17%	-
Burnley 3-2 1%	33/1	-
Watford 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	13/10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	8/13	-
Home 1st Goal 34%	21/10 8%	-
Away 1st Goal 57%	1/2 4%	-
No 1st Goal 9%	7/1 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 35%	11/10	-
BTTS - No 65%	4/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 5%	10/1 16%	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	7/2 5%	-
Home/draw 43%	19/20 2%	-
Away/draw 84%	2/11 2%	-
Home/away 73%	2/7 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	2/5 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	2/1 9%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 15%	10/3	-
Under 3.5 Goals 85%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	7/1 7%	-
Home DNB 35%	12/5 13%	-
Away DNB 76%	3/10 4%	-
Watford win to nil 11%	6/1 8%	-
Burnley win to nil 42%	13/8 5%	-
Watford / Watford 9%	7/1 7%	-
Watford / Burnley 3%	25/1	-
Watford / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Watford 8%	8/1 6%	-
Draw / Burnley 19%	10/3 4%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	-
Burnley / Watford 2%	40/1	-
Burnley / Burnley 30%	15/8 7%	-
Burnley / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 42 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 7. Watford have conceded 27 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Watford have played 21 games at home, winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Burnley lay in 2nd place on 88 points in the Championship league table having played 42 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 40 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 15 and losing 2 games. They have scored 56 goals and kept 27 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burnley have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 13 matches.

Away league performance

Burnley have played 21 away games, winning 12, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Watford Burnley
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	43	26	13	4	54	91	l 0-4A	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
2	Burnley Away	43	25	16	2	45	91	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	-	-
3	Sheff Utd	43	27	7	9	26	86	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	Apr 21	w 0-2F
4	Sunderland	43	21	13	9	18	76	w 2-1F	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
5	Bristol C	43	17	16	10	10	67	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
6	Coventry	43	19	9	15	7	66	d 1-1A	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	w 1-2A
7	M'Boro	43	18	9	16	11	63	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
8	West Brom	43	14	18	11	10	60	w 2-1F	l 2-1A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
9	Millwall	43	16	12	15	-3	60	l 1-2F	w 2-3F	May 3	l 1-0A
10	Blackburn	43	17	8	18	3	59	w 1-0F	Apr 26	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
11	Swansea	43	16	9	18	-5	57	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
12	Watford Home	43	16	8	19	-6	56	-	-	w 2-1F	w 1-2A
13	Norwich	43	13	14	16	3	53	l 0-1A	l 4-1A	w 2-1F	w 1-2A
14	QPR	43	13	14	16	-5	53	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 26
15	Sheff Wed	43	14	11	18	-10	53	May 3	w 2-6F	w 4-0F	w 0-2F
16	Stoke	43	12	14	17	-9	50	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
17	Preston	43	10	19	14	-9	49	l 1-2A	l 3-0A	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
18	Portsmouth	43	13	10	20	-14	49	w 2-1A	Apr 21	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
19	Oxford Utd	43	12	12	19	-18	48	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
20	Hull	43	11	12	20	-10	45	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
21	Derby	43	11	10	22	-11	43	w 2-1A	w 0-2F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
22	Luton	43	11	10	22	-25	43	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	w 4-0F	w 1-4F
23	Cardiff	43	9	15	19	-23	42	l 1-2A	d 1-1A	w 5-0F	w 1-2F
24	Plymouth	43	9	13	21	-39	40	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	w 0-5F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford	1 - 0	Hull
Watford	0 - 0	Plymouth
Watford	1 - 0	Swansea
Watford	1 - 2	Millwall
Watford	2 - 0	Luton
Watford	0 - 4	Leeds
Watford	0 - 1	Norwich
Watford	1 - 2	Preston
Watford	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
Watford	1 - 2	Cardiff
Watford	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Watford	2 - 1	West Brom
Watford	0 - 0	QPR
Watford	1 - 0	Bristol C
Watford	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Watford	1 - 0	Blackburn
Watford	2 - 1	M'Boro
Watford	2 - 1	Sunderland
Watford	1 - 1	Coventry
Watford	2 - 1	Derby

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Watford	1 - 2	West Brom
H	Watford	1 - 0	Hull
A	Watford	1 - 2	Bristol C
H	Watford	0 - 0	Plymouth
A	Watford	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
H	Watford	1 - 0	Swansea
H	Watford	1 - 2	Millwall
A	Watford	0 - 0	Stoke
H	Watford	2 - 0	Luton
A	Watford	1 - 0	M'Boro
H	Watford	0 - 4	Leeds
A	Watford	2 - 2	Sunderland
H	Watford	0 - 1	Norwich
A	Watford	1 - 2	Coventry
H	Watford	1 - 2	Preston
A	Watford	2 - 0	Derby
A	Watford	1 - 1	Cardiff
H	Watford	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	Watford	1 - 3	QPR
H	Watford	1 - 2	Cardiff

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
Coventry	1 - 2	Burnley
Swansea	0 - 2	Burnley
Cardiff	1 - 2	Burnley
Preston	0 - 0	Burnley
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Burnley
Plymouth	0 - 5	Burnley
Blackburn	0 - 1	Burnley
M'Boro	0 - 0	Burnley
Sheff Utd	0 - 2	Burnley
Norwich	1 - 2	Burnley
Stoke	0 - 2	Burnley
Bristol C	0 - 1	Burnley
West Brom	0 - 0	Burnley
Millwall	1 - 0	Burnley
Hull	1 - 1	Burnley
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Burnley
Oxford Utd	0 - 0	Burnley
Leeds	0 - 1	Burnley
Sunderland	1 - 0	Burnley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

4 / 20

Clean sheets

16 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Coventry
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Swansea
H	Burnley	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Burnley	4 - 0	Luton
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Cardiff
H	Burnley	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Hull
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Portsmouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Leeds
A	Burnley	5 - 0	Plymouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Blackburn
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Burnley	0 - 0	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Watford

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 18

15 / 18

Clean sheets

3 / 18

4 / 18

WAT

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Burnley
	0 - 3	Burnley
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Burnley
Watford	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Watford	3 - 2
	1 - 3	Burnley
Watford	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Burnley
Watford	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Burnley
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Watford	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Burnley
	0 - 1	Burnley

Burnley

Watford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

17 / 19

12 / 19

Clean sheets

7 / 19

2 / 19

WAT

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Burnley	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Watford
Burnley	1 - 0
Burnley	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Burnley	3 - 2
Burnley	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Burnley	4 - 1
Burnley	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Watford
	4 - 7	Watford
Burnley	1 - 0
Burnley	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for Watford fans, as should a 8 Championship matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Watford 12th	Burnley 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.6 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 54% 1 33% 2 3 4+ There is a 54% probability that Watford will fail to score	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-23 Watford have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted	-4 Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	0.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

WAT

BRN

better

view stats

Games scored	32		28
Failed to score	10		14
Scored first	15		22
Goals scored	50		57
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+6%

WAT

BRN

60%

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		13
Clean sheets	12		29
Conceded first	24		8
Goals conceded	55		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		20
Conversion rate against	14%		5%
Avg. XG against	1.4		0.9
KickOff rating		+60%

Watford v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	10	4	9
M Pollock	V Bayo	M Pollock	F Carvallo

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Selvik GLK	10			2 -
J Ngakia DEF	23	1		6 -
M Pollock DEF	39	1	4	6 -
J Abankwah DEF	13			2 1
C Wiley DEF	4			-
I Louza MID	27	2	2	8 -
P Dwomoh MID	4			-
M Sissoko MID	36	3	1	4 -
E Kayembe MID	39	8	1	7 -
R Vata MID	27	3	3	-
M. Doumbia FWD	13	1		1 -
Subs
A. Marriott GLK				-
F Carvallo DEF	28			9 -
J Morris DEF	16			2 -
R Andrews DEF	34	3	2	3 -
T Ince MID	28	1	1	-
T Dele-Bashiru MID	22	4		-
L. Ramirez-Espain MID				-
V Bayo FWD	36	10		4 1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	4	17
V Bayo	V Bayo	M Pollock	I Louza

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Kayembe MID	8	12	1	10
M Sissoko MID	3	8	1	9
R Vata MID	3	8	3	9
I Louza MID	2	12	2	17
J Ngakia DEF	1	3		5
M Pollock DEF	1	6	4	10
M. Doumbia FWD	1	2		1
J Abankwah DEF		1		3
P Dwomoh MID				1
Subs
V Bayo FWD	10	22		9
T Dele-Bashiru MID	4	7		3
R Andrews DEF	3	9	2	10
T Ince MID	1	5	1	8
F Carvallo DEF		3		4
J Morris DEF				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2429	77	249
M Pollock	J Ngakia	M Pollock

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Pollock DEF	2429	41	249
I Louza MID	1669	50	112
E Kayembe MID	1117	33	103
M Sissoko MID	967	43	122
J Abankwah DEF	686	20	65
J Ngakia DEF	566	77	116
E Selvik GLK	357		3
R Vata MID	258	21	62
C Wiley DEF	122	6	13
M. Doumbia FWD	86	4	35
P Dwomoh MID	86	5	14
Subs
F Carvallo DEF	1107	30	113
T Dele-Bashiru MID	943	19	76
R Andrews DEF	723	33	85
J Morris DEF	653	22	33
V Bayo FWD	370	19	109
T Ince MID	354	13	37

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
40	13	6	10
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Anthony	J Cullen

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Trafford GLK	39			8 -
C Roberts DEF	35	2	3	4 -
C Egan-Riley DEF	35	1		7 1
M Estève DEF	40	1		3 -
L Pires DEF	28		2	6 -
J Brownhill MID	36	13	4	4 -
J Cullen MID	38	1	2	10 -
M Edwards MID	9	1	1	-
H Mejbri MID	31		2	7 1
J Anthony MID	37	6	6	5 -
Z Flemming FWD	30	9	3	2 -
Subs
V Hladky GLK	1			-
O Sonne DEF	2			-
J Worrall DEF	7		1	1 -
J Sarmiento MID	30	2		3 -
N Redmond MID	1			-
J Laurent MID	36	2	2	5 -
L Koleosho FWD	27	2		3 -
J Banel FWD				-
A Barnes FWD	7	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	25	6	39
J Brownhill	J Anthony	J Anthony	J Anthony

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brownhill MID	13	22	4	27
Z Flemming FWD	9	25	3	16
J Anthony MID	6	25	6	39
C Roberts DEF	2	4	3	15
C Egan-Riley DEF	1	3		9
M Estève DEF	1	1
J Cullen MID	1	5	2	24
M Edwards MID	1	4	1	2
J Trafford GLK				1
L Pires DEF		3	2	22
H Mejbri MID		3	2	10
Subs
J Sarmiento MID	2	9		9
J Laurent MID	2	8	2	11
L Koleosho FWD	2	11		25
A Barnes FWD	1	1
J Worrall DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2692	60	181
M Estève	J Cullen	J Cullen

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Estève DEF	2692	42	145
C Egan-Riley DEF	2446	56	146
J Cullen MID	2329	60	181
C Roberts DEF	1876	42	121
J Brownhill MID	1365	54	116
J Trafford GLK	1351	1	20
L Pires DEF	1152	58	102
J Anthony MID	1151	48	140
H Mejbri MID	621	30	105
Z Flemming FWD	339	15	94
M Edwards MID	221	8	39
Subs
J Laurent MID	1016	51	140
L Koleosho FWD	509	31	97
J Sarmiento MID	334	37	94
J Worrall DEF	245	2	16
V Hladky GLK	34
O Sonne DEF	17		1
A Barnes FWD	11		3
N Redmond MID	6

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sunderland v Blackburn

Sheff Wed v Portsmouth

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Preston v Plymouth

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Oxford Utd v Sunderland

Sheff Utd v Blackburn

Watford v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Watford have played 42 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Burnley lay in 2nd place on 88 points in the Championship league table having played 42 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Watford v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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