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Watford v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 15:00 BST, Vicarage Road, Watford

Watford and their boss Alessio Dionisi will be looking to get one over on Nicky Hayen and his Burnley side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Vicarage Road in the Championship. Form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed both teams to score, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

After looking at the KickOff match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market which jumps out ahead of the rest for this fixture: both teams to score. In Watford and Burnley we have two sides going head-to-head with relative issues at both ends of the pitch, and we expect them to maintain that reputation on Saturday afternoon. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.67.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Watford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Watford 51%	19/10 7%	-
Draw 23%	12/5 3%	-
Burnley 26%	13/10 6%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	11/2	-
Watford 2-1 10%	10/1 10%	-
Watford 1-0 8%	9/1	-
Watford 2-0 8%	14/1	-
Burnley 2-1 7%	17/2 5%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Watford 3-1 6%	22/1 10%	-
Burnley 1-0 6%	8/1	-
Watford 3-0 5%	28/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	11/1 9%	-
Watford 3-2 4%	28/1	-
Burnley 2-0 4%	11/1 8%	-
Watford 4-1 3%	50/1 24%	-
Burnley 3-1 3%	18/1	-
Burnley 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	4/5 6%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	1/1 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	11/10 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	5/6 4%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 39%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	7/2 5%	-
Home/draw 74%	4/7 3%	-
Away/draw 49%	2/5 3%	-
Home/away 77%	3/10 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/4 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	3/1 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	11/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	9/2 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	1/7 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	10/1 15%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/25 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	11/1 9%	-
Home DNB 67%	11/10 10%	-
Away DNB 42%	4/6 7%	-
Watford win to nil 24%	9/2 10%	-
Burnley win to nil 11%	10/3 4%	-
Watford / Watford 17%	15/4 10%	-
Watford / Burnley 4%	22/1 12%	-
Watford / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Watford 12%	6/1 8%	-
Draw / Burnley 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Burnley / Watford 3%	25/1	-
Burnley / Burnley 22%	11/4 6%	-
Burnley / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 20th place in the Championship league table. Watford have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have scored in every game. They have been outscored by their opponents by 9 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Watford have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Burnley are in 24th position in the Championship on 4 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Burnley are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. Burnley are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 0 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Burnley have conceded 17 goals, scored 9, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Watford Burnley
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Swansea	8	5	2	1	7	17	Apr 21	l 2-0A	Feb 13	l 3-1A
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	11	15	d 1-1F	Apr 17	d 2-2A	Mar 6
3	M'Boro	8	4	3	1	4	15	Nov 7	Jan 30	d 1-1A	Apr 20
4	Wolves	7	4	2	1	5	14	Dec 29	Oct 24	Oct 16	Jan 16
5	West Brom	8	4	2	2	2	14	Apr 10	l 1-0A	Mar 2	l 3-1F
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	3	13	Jan 1	Dec 12	Jan 26	Nov 3
7	Stoke	8	4	1	3	1	13	l 1-2A	Feb 13	Dec 19	Apr 3
8	Bristol C	8	4	1	3	-1	13	Feb 20	l 1-0A	l 1-2F	Apr 10
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	-3	12	Oct 17	Jan 16	Oct 13	Feb 16
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	1	11	Apr 24	Dec 8	Nov 25	May 1
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	0	11	Dec 5	Mar 17	Mar 13	Nov 28
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	-1	11	Nov 3	Jan 26	Dec 29	Oct 24
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	9	10	w 2-1F	Mar 6	Apr 24	Dec 9
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	-3	10	Mar 2	d 1-1F	Apr 6	d 1-1F
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	-4	10	Dec 19	Apr 3	Mar 20	Dec 26
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	0	9	Nov 25	May 1	Nov 22	Feb 6
17	Norwich	8	3	0	5	-1	9	Jan 23	Oct 31	Apr 17	l 4-1A
18	Sheff Utd	8	2	3	3	-2	9	Feb 6	Nov 21	Jan 1	Dec 12
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	-1	8	Mar 20	Dec 26	Oct 31	Jan 23
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	-3	8	-	-	Feb 27	Oct 10
21	Cardiff	8	1	4	3	-2	7	Feb 16	Oct 13	Jan 30	Nov 7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	-7	5	Mar 13	Nov 28	d 1-1F	Feb 20
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	-7	4	w 2-1A	Apr 7	Dec 6	Mar 16
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-8	4	Oct 10	Feb 27	-	-

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford	1 - 2	Stoke
Watford	2 - 1	Preston
Watford	1 - 1	West Ham
Watford	2 - 1	Southampton
Watford	0 - 4	Coventry
Watford	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
Watford	1 - 1	Charlton
Watford	0 - 0	Leicester
Watford	3 - 1	Wrexham
Watford	0 - 2	Ipswich
Watford	2 - 0	Derby
Watford	0 - 2	Swansea
Watford	1 - 1	Portsmouth
Watford	0 - 2	Millwall
Watford	3 - 0	Birmingham
Watford	1 - 0	Stoke
Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
Watford	3 - 2	Norwich
Watford	1 - 1	Preston
Watford	1 - 1	Bristol C

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Watford	0 - 1	Bristol C
H	Watford	1 - 2	Stoke
H	Watford	2 - 1	Preston
A	Watford	0 - 1	West Brom
A	Watford	0 - 2	Swansea
H	Watford	1 - 1	West Ham
A	Watford	1 - 1	Wrexham
H	Watford	2 - 1	Southampton
H	Watford	0 - 4	Coventry
A	Watford	1 - 5	M'Boro
A	Watford	0 - 3	West Brom
H	Watford	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	Watford	0 - 2	Oxford Utd
H	Watford	1 - 1	Charlton
A	Watford	1 - 2	QPR
H	Watford	0 - 0	Leicester
H	Watford	3 - 1	Wrexham
A	Watford	1 - 3	Stoke
A	Watford	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Watford	2 - 1	Bristol C

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

20 / 20

Clean sheets

0 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea	3 - 1	Burnley
Wrexham	1 - 1	Burnley
Norwich	4 - 1	Burnley
West Brom	3 - 1	Burnley
Arsenal	1 - 0	Burnley
Leeds	3 - 1	Burnley
Nottm Forest	4 - 1	Burnley
Fulham	3 - 1	Burnley
Everton	2 - 0	Burnley
Chelsea	1 - 1	Burnley
C Palace	2 - 3	Burnley
Sunderland	3 - 0	Burnley
Liverpool	1 - 1	Burnley
Brighton	2 - 0	Burnley
Bournemouth	1 - 1	Burnley
Newcastle	2 - 1	Burnley
Brentford	3 - 1	Burnley
West Ham	3 - 2	Burnley
Wolves	2 - 3	Burnley
A Villa	2 - 1	Burnley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Derby
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Swansea
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Wrexham
H	Burnley	1 - 2	Bristol C
H	Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Burnley	1 - 4	Norwich
A	Burnley	1 - 3	West Brom
H	Burnley	2 - 2	West Ham
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Burnley	2 - 2	A Villa
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Leeds
H	Burnley	0 - 1	Man City
A	Burnley	1 - 4	Nottm Forest
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Fulham
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Bournemouth
A	Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
H	Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Chelsea

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Watford

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

15 / 19

16 / 19

Clean sheets

3 / 19

4 / 19

WAT

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
	1 - 2	Burnley
Watford	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Burnley
	0 - 3	Burnley
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Burnley
Watford	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Watford	3 - 2
	1 - 3	Burnley
Watford	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Burnley
Watford	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Burnley
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Watford	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Burnley
	0 - 1	Burnley

Burnley

Watford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

17 / 19

12 / 19

Clean sheets

7 / 19

2 / 19

WAT

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Burnley	1 - 0
	1 - 3	Watford
Burnley	1 - 0
Burnley	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Burnley	3 - 2
Burnley	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Burnley	4 - 1
Burnley	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Watford
	4 - 7	Watford
Burnley	1 - 0
Burnley	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Watford's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 16 Championship outings. A PG of 1.9 for A. Dionisi's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Burnley of late. It has been 7 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Watford.

	Watford 20th	Burnley 24th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 72% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-21 Watford have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted	-7 Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season

WAT

BRN

31%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		8
Failed to score	3		0
Scored first	3		4
Goals scored	7		9
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+31%

15%

better

WAT

BRN

view stats

Games conceded	8		8
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	10		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		5
Conversion rate against	12%		21%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.6
KickOff rating		+15%

Watford v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	1	3
F Ravaglia	A. Nabizada	E Kayembe	A. Nabizada

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Ravaglia GLK	8			-
K Keben DEF	8			2 -
M Pollock DEF	8			2 -
E Kayembe MID	8	1	1	2 -
H Kyprianou MID	8			2 -
A. Nabizada FWD	8	3		3 -
I Bravo FWD	8	1	1	2 -
O. Maamma FWD	8			2 -
M. Doumbia FWD	8	1		2 -
J Zemura DEF	7			1 -
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	7	1		-
R Vata FWD	7			-
O Traoré DEF	6		1	1 -
M Payero MID	5			2 -
E Bove MID	5			1 -
S Mavididi FWD	4			-
S Coulibaly DEF	3			-
A. Eames DEF	3			-
B. Mlacic DEF	2			1 -
M Bola DEF	1			-
M Boadu FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	1	2
A. Nabizada	I Bravo	E Kayembe	E Kayembe

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Nabizada FWD	3	4
E Kayembe MID	1	2	1	2
I Bravo FWD	1	6	1	1
M. Doumbia FWD	1	1
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	1	2		1
F Ravaglia GLK		1
M Pollock DEF		2
H Kyprianou MID		2
O. Maamma FWD		3		2
J Zemura DEF		1		1
R Vata FWD		3
O Traoré DEF		1	1	1
M Payero MID		1		1
S Mavididi FWD		1		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
453	13	43
M Pollock	H Kyprianou	I Bravo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Pollock DEF	453	12	29
K Keben DEF	363	10	26
H Kyprianou MID	346	13	35
F Ravaglia GLK	237		8
E Kayembe MID	217	5	19
I Bravo FWD	200	7	43
J Zemura DEF	173	10	29
S Coulibaly DEF	139	3	9
O. Maamma FWD	138	7	29
E Bove MID	125	10	21
A. Nabizada FWD	124	9	13
O Traoré DEF	112	7	13
M. Doumbia FWD	102	6	24
B. Mlacic DEF	85	2	3
S Mavididi FWD	63	4	10
L Kjerrumgaard FWD	57	1	16
R Vata FWD	57	4	10
M Payero MID	57	5	11
A. Eames DEF	45	3	6
M Bola DEF	10
M Boadu FWD	3	1	1

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	1	3
M. Alleyne	Z Amdouni	M. Alleyne	J Laurent

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M. Alleyne DEF	8		1	-
U Raghouber MID	8	1		2 -
Z Amdouni FWD	8	2	1	-
M Weiß GLK	7			-
O Sonne DEF	7			1 -
A Ramsey MID	7	1		1 -
J Laurent MID	7	1		2 1
K Walker DEF	6			1 -
C Roberts DEF	6			-
J Larsen FWD	6		1	-
L Pires DEF	5		1	2 -
H Mejbri MID	5			1 -
L Ramazani FWD	5	1	1	-
A Hountondji FWD	5			-
A Broja FWD	5			1 -
A Ahmedhodzic DEF	4			1 -
R Hatate MID	4		1	1 -
M Edwards FWD	4			1 -
Igor DEF	3		1	1 -
H Ekdal DEF	3			1 -
D. Satpaev FWD	3			-
B Humphreys DEF	2			-
M Trésor MID	2			-
J Vardy FWD	2			-
G Coudert GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	1	3
Z Amdouni	Z Amdouni	M. Alleyne	J Larsen

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Amdouni FWD	2	6	1
U Raghouber MID	1	2
A Ramsey MID	1	3
J Laurent MID	1	3
L Ramazani FWD	1	2	1	3
M. Alleyne DEF			1
O Sonne DEF		1
J Larsen FWD			1	3
L Pires DEF			1	1
A Hountondji FWD		3
A Broja FWD		2		1
R Hatate MID			1
M Edwards FWD				2
Igor DEF		1	1	1
D. Satpaev FWD		3		2
M Trésor MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
481	10	30
M. Alleyne	A Ramsey	U Raghouber

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M. Alleyne DEF	481	8	18
K Walker DEF	375	5	18
C Roberts DEF	269	6	16
M Weiß GLK	254	2	6
J Laurent MID	242	6	20
A Ahmedhodzic DEF	224	5	14
U Raghouber MID	212	6	30
O Sonne DEF	199	7	14
Igor DEF	199	1	8
A Ramsey MID	175	10	21
J Larsen FWD	123	3	9
H Mejbri MID	111	4	12
H Ekdal DEF	104	3	11
Z Amdouni FWD	89	4	20
L Ramazani FWD	85	4	10
L Pires DEF	85	7	10
B Humphreys DEF	80	2	7
R Hatate MID	79	6	6
M Edwards FWD	67	1	6
D. Satpaev FWD	67	2	11
G Coudert GLK	39	1	1
A Broja FWD	33	2	15
A Hountondji FWD	20	2	3
M Trésor MID	11	1	1
J Vardy FWD	4		1