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Southampton v Portsmouth : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 12:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

the St. Mary's Stadium is the stage on Sunday lunch time, as 's Southampton welcome John Mousinho's Portsmouth in the Championship. We've got bespoke stats for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Southampton to win

As training goes on this week and the Southampton players prepare themselves for this clash, the bookies are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The St. Mary's Stadium hasn't been a successful away day for Portsmouth in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday lunch time. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
63%
1.55
5%
-
Draw
21%
3.90
5%
-
Portsmouth
17%
5.50
8%
-
Southampton 2-0
10%
8.00-
Southampton 2-1
10%
8.50-
Southampton 1-0
10%
8.00
6%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00-
Southampton 3-0
7%
12.00
9%
-
Southampton 3-1
7%
12.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
13%
-
Portsmouth 2-1
5%
17.00
11%
-
Portsmouth 1-0
5%
17.00
11%
-
Southampton 4-0
4%
21.00
11%
-
Southampton 4-1
4%
21.00-
Southampton 3-2
3%
23.00-
Portsmouth 2-0
2%
29.00
15%
-
Southampton 4-2
2%
41.00
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.67
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.20
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.50
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
2.75
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.73-
BTTS - No
46%
2.00-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
3.20
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.00
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10.00
9%
-
Home/draw
83%
1.14
1%
-
Away/draw
38%
2.38
10%
-
Home/away
79%
1.25
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.20-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.63-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.50-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.20-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.07-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
13%
-
Home DNB
77%
1.20
3%
-
Away DNB
31%
4.33
13%
-
Southampton win to nil
33%
2.75
5%
-
Portsmouth win to nil
8%
11.00-
Southampton / Southampton
35%
2.38
8%
-
Southampton / Portsmouth
2%
34.00
17%
-
Southampton / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Southampton
19%
4.50
4%
-
Draw / Portsmouth
7%
12.00
8%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
7%
-
Portsmouth / Southampton
4%
19.00-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
9%
9.00
10%
-
Portsmouth / Draw
5%
17.00-
Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Portsmouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea8521717 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 6
Nov 3
Jan 27
2
West Ham84311115 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Nov 24
May 1
3
M'Boro8431415 
Nov 27
Mar 13
Apr 3
Dec 19
4
Wolves7421514 
Mar 16
Dec 5
Apr 6
Oct 20
5
West Brom8422214 
Jan 26
Nov 3
Dec 5
Mar 16
6
QPR8341313 
Oct 31
Jan 23
l
 
1-3F
Mar 6
7
Stoke8413113 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 3
Nov 7
Jan 30
8
Bristol C8413-113 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 13
Apr 17
l
 
2-1A
9
Charlton8332-312 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Feb 13
d
 
0-00-0
10
Birmingham8251111 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Dec 12
Jan 1
11
Millwall8323011 
w
 
5-1A
Apr 17
Oct 24
Dec 29
12
Lincoln8323-111 
Apr 10
d
 
1-1F
Mar 3
w
 
1-3F
13
Southampton8422910 
-
-
Feb 28
Oct 11
14
Wrexham8242-310 
Feb 20
l
 
2-1A
Mar 13
Nov 28
15
Bolton8314-410 
Oct 17
Jan 16
Feb 6
Nov 21
16
Blackburn823309 
Dec 19
Apr 3
d
 
2-2F
Feb 20
17
Norwich8305-19 
Feb 17
Oct 14
Jan 16
Oct 17
18
Sheff Utd8233-29 
May 1
Nov 24
Oct 14
Feb 16
19
Portsmouth7223-18 
Oct 11
Feb 28
-
-
20
Watford8224-38 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1A
Dec 26
Mar 20
21
Cardiff8143-27 
Jan 1
Dec 12
w
 
2-0F
Apr 10
22
Derby8125-75 
Nov 21
Feb 6
l
 
0-2A
Apr 20
23
Preston8116-74 
Jan 30
Nov 7
Apr 24
Dec 9
24
Burnley8044-84 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Jan 23
Oct 31
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Southampton have won 4 consecutive home league games
Southampton 13TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Portsmouth 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Southampton have drawn with Portsmouth in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Southampton since 2003
Southampton
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
SOU
2
D
2
League games at Portsmouth since 2004
Portsmouth
Southampton
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
2
POR
2
Goal Statistics
Southampton 13th Portsmouth 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Southampton will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Portsmouth scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Southampton have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
+10
Portsmouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Portsmouth
2.1
1
Attack rating
43%
better
SOU
POR
view stats
Games scored8
5
Failed to score0
2
Scored first5
4
Goals scored19
9
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for21
12
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
SOU
POR
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
5
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded10
10
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%

Southampton v Portsmouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8743
D PeretzC LarinF AzazR Manning
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Peretz GLK8
-
R Manning DEF811
3
-
J Bree DEF81
2
-
F Downes MID82
3
-
F Azaz MID834
-
K Matsuki MID811
-
L Scienza FWD822
-
D Mubama FWD811
1
-
C Larin FWD87
2
-
N Wood DEF7
2
-
L Dobbin FWD7
-
K Schlotterbeck  DEF61
-
J Ward-Prowse MID611
-
T Fellows MID61
1
-
C. Bragg MID61
-
S Edozie FWD51
-
J Stephens DEF4
-
Welington  DEF21
-
R. Akachukwu MID1
-
Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7211
A KamaraM MilovanovicE AdamsZ Swanson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Swanson DEF71
1
-
R Shein MID7
1
-
E Adams MID711
1
-
R. Kavuma-McQueen FWD711
-
A Kamara FWD71
-
A Segecic FWD711
-
C Bishop FWD71
-
B. Arthur DEF6
-
T Devlin DEF61
1
-
C Shaughnessy DEF61
-
M Pack MID6
1
-
M Milovanovic FWD52
-
D Bielica GLK4
-
N Schmid GLK3
-
J. Meghoma DEF3
-
R Poole DEF3
-
M. Dia DEF3
-
I Mohamed MID3
-
O Bailey MID3
-
T Shade FWD31
-
L. Brooke-Smith FWD3
-
J Murphy FWD2
-
J Swift MID1
-
H Blair FWD1
-