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Southampton v Bolton Wanderers : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Championship, and ’s Southampton will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Steven Schumacher’s Bolton Wanderers are their visitors to the St. Mary's Stadium. For each and every Championship match preview, KickOff dives into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then brought forward alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Southampton to win

As the stadium fills and the Southampton players prepare themselves for this fixture, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we use in our predictive algorithms. The St. Mary's Stadium hasn't been a successful away day for Bolton in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
66%
1.48
6%
-
Draw
17%
4.75-
Bolton
17%
6.00
8%
-
Southampton 2-1
9%
8.50-
Southampton 3-1
8%
11.00-
Southampton 2-0
7%
9.50
12%
-
Draw 1-1
7%
9.50
5%
-
Southampton 3-0
6%
12.00
9%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00-
Southampton 1-0
6%
11.00
10%
-
Southampton 4-1
5%
17.00-
Southampton 3-2
5%
19.00-
Bolton 2-1
4%
19.00
10%
-
Southampton 4-0
4%
19.00
12%
-
Southampton 4-2
3%
29.00-
Bolton 1-0
3%
23.00-
Southampton 5-1
3%
34.00
17%
-
Bolton 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
1.44-
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
2.75-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.44
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.63
9%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
21.00-
BTTS - Yes
66%
1.53
6%
-
BTTS - No
34%
2.38
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
40%
2.63
1%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8.50
15%
-
Home/draw
83%
1.13
2%
-
Away/draw
34%
2.63
4%
-
Home/away
83%
1.18-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1.13
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
6.00
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
2.10-
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
1.73-
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
3.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
1.30-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
6.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1.13-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
21.00-
Home DNB
78%
1.18
4%
-
Away DNB
29%
4.50
18%
-
Southampton win to nil
26%
3.00
9%
-
Bolton win to nil
5%
13.00
13%
-
Southampton / Southampton
38%
2.20
7%
-
Southampton / Bolton
2%
34.00
17%
-
Southampton / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Southampton
19%
4.50
4%
-
Draw / Bolton
6%
13.00
13%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
8.00-
Bolton / Southampton
5%
17.00-
Bolton / Bolton
9%
9.50
14%
-
Bolton / Draw
5%
17.00-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Southampton have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table. Southampton have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 1 clean sheet.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Southampton have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Southampton have played 5 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 4 goals at home.

Bolton are in 14th position in the Championship on 13 points having played 10 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Bolton have conceded 10 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Bolton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea10721923 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 6
Apr 24
Dec 8
2
M'Boro10631621 
Nov 27
Mar 13
Oct 23
Dec 29
3
West Ham105411719 
Dec 29
Oct 24
l
 
2-3A
Apr 6
4
Birmingham10451617 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Mar 13
Nov 28
5
QPR10451617 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
6
Wolves10523317 
Mar 16
Dec 5
Feb 17
w
 
1-3F
7
West Brom10523217 
Jan 26
Nov 3
Nov 25
May 1
8
Southampton106221116 
-
-
Jan 16
Oct 17
9
Stoke10514116 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 3
l
 
1-2A
Feb 27
10
Blackburn10433215 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Dec 5
Mar 17
11
Millwall10424014 
w
 
5-1A
Apr 17
Apr 10
l
 
4-0A
12
Bristol C10424-214 
w
 
4-1F
Feb 13
Oct 31
Jan 23
13
Charlton10352-314 
Mar 20
Dec 26
Jan 26
Nov 3
14
Bolton10415-313 
Oct 17
Jan 16
-
-
15
Sheff Utd10334012 
May 1
Nov 24
Apr 20
l
 
3-2F
16
Portsmouth9324-111 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
Nov 21
Feb 6
17
Wrexham10253-411 
Feb 20
l
 
2-1A
Dec 11
Jan 1
18
Lincoln10325-1011 
Apr 10
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 17
19
Cardiff10244110 
Jan 1
Dec 12
w
 
1-0F
Feb 13
20
Norwich10307-39 
Feb 17
w
 
0-1F
Feb 20
w
 
3-4A
21
Burnley11155-58 
Dec 9
Apr 24
Dec 26
Mar 20
22
Watford10226-118 
Mar 6
l
 
2-1A
Apr 3
Dec 19
23
Derby10136-106 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Jan 30
Nov 6
24
Preston10118-124 
Jan 30
Nov 7
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Southampton have won 5 consecutive home league games
Southampton 8TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Bolton 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 1995
Southampton
Bolton
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
3 / 6
SOU
1
D
2
BOL
3
League games at Bolton since 1996
Bolton
Southampton
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
4 / 6
SOU
2
D
4
Goal Statistics
Southampton 8th Bolton 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
26%
There is a 27% probability that Southampton will score 4 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Bolton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Southampton have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Bolton have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Bolton
2.6
1.3
Attack rating
37%
better
SOU
BOL
view stats
Games scored10
7
Failed to score0
3
Scored first7
4
Goals scored21
15
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
23%
better
SOU
BOL
view stats
Games conceded8
8
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first3
5
Goals conceded10
18
Avg. goals conceded1
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against10%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+23%

Southampton v Bolton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10754
D PeretzC LarinF AzazR Manning
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Peretz GLK10
-
J Bree DEF1011
2
-
J Stephens DEF6
-
K Schlotterbeck  DEF81
1
-
R Manning MID1011
4
-
C. Bragg MID71
1
1
J Ward-Prowse MID811
-
K Matsuki MID1021
-
F Azaz MID1035
1
-
L Scienza MID922
-
C Larin FWD107
3
-
Bolton Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10422
J SheehanS DalbyG LarrazabalG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Bazunu GLK5
-
E Toal DEF6
-
L Brunt DEF6
-
A Famewo DEF6
1
-
G Larrazabal MID912
2
-
J Sheehan MID101
1
1
E Erhahon  MID91
1
-
S Junior MID101
1
-
A Ito MID42
-
T Gale MID1031
2
-
S Dalby FWD104
-