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Birmingham City v Queens Park Rangers : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Mar, 19:45 BST, St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

The Championship is the focus for both Birmingham City and Queens Park Rangers on Wednesday evening, as bosses Chris Davies and Julien Stéphan face one another at the St. Andrew's Stadium. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our expansive database and found the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Birmingham and QPR combined during 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 74% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Birmingham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Birmingham 52%	1.73	1.75
Draw 25%	3.75	3.70 5%
QPR 23%	4.50	4.60 2%
Birmingham 1-0 12%	6.50 13%	6.00 14%
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00	6.50 7%
Birmingham 2-0 10%	8.00 6%	7.50 6%
Birmingham 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00 7%
Draw 0-0 8%	10.00 17%	9.00 10%
QPR 1-0 7%	12.00 8%	10.00 17%
QPR 2-1 6%	15.00	13.00 8%
Birmingham 3-0 5%	13.00 13%	11.00 8%
Birmingham 3-1 5%	15.00 15%	12.00 9%
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00 13%	13.00 8%
QPR 2-0 4%	23.00	17.00
Birmingham 3-2 2%	29.00 26%	21.00 11%
Birmingham 4-0 2%	29.00	21.00 11%
Birmingham 4-1 2%	29.00	21.00 11%
QPR 3-1 2%	41.00 21%	29.00 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	2.00 11%	1.95 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	1.80 10%	1.75 13%
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.57	1.55
Away 1st Goal 42%	2.63 5%	2.80 4%
No 1st Goal 5%	10.00 17%	8.50 15%
BTTS - Yes 50%	1.91 10%	1.91 9%
BTTS - No 50%	1.80 10%	1.80 10%
BTTS - Home Win 22%	4.00 11%	3.80 12%
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.00 5%	4.80
BTTS - Away Win 10%	9.50 19%	8.50 21%
Home/draw 77%	1.18	1.18 2%
Away/draw 48%	2.05	2.05
Home/away 75%	1.25	1.29 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1.30 4%	1.30 4%
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	3.50 13%	3.20 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	3.50 17%	3.40 21%
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1.30 7%	1.29 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6.50 18%	6.50 24%
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1.11 3%	1.10 4%
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	15.00 36%	13.00 30%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.03 2%	1.02 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.06 2%	1.05 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10.00 17%	9.00 10%
Home DNB 70%	1.29 3%	1.29 1%
Away DNB 40%	3.50 8%	3.30 2%
Birmingham win to nil 30%	2.75 15%	-
QPR win to nil 13%	8.00	-
Birmingham / Birmingham 30%	2.75	2.60
Birmingham / QPR 2%	41.00 21%	29.00 12%
Birmingham / Draw 6%	15.00 15%	13.00
Draw / Birmingham 18%	4.50 5%	4.50 2%
Draw / QPR 9%	9.50	9.00
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50 8%	5.00 9%
QPR / Birmingham 4%	23.00 10%	21.00 24%
QPR / QPR 11%	8.00 7%	7.00 8%
QPR / Draw 5%	17.00 13%	13.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Birmingham have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Both Birmingham and Queens Park Rangers have scored 46 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Birmingham have played 17 games at home winning 8, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

QPR are in 16th position in the Championship on 47 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 8. QPR have conceded 43 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Birmingham QPR
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Coventry	36	22	8	6	36	74	w 3-2F	l 3-0A	w 2-1A	l 7-1A
2	M'Boro	36	20	9	7	23	69	l 1-3A	l 2-1A	l 0-4A	l 3-1A
3	Millwall	36	19	8	9	9	65	w 4-0F	l 3-0A	l 1-2A	Apr 18
4	Ipswich	35	18	10	7	26	64	d 1-1F	Apr 6	l 1-4A	May 2
5	Hull	36	18	6	12	5	60	l 2-3A	Apr 18	w 3-2A	w 1-3F
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	9	57	Apr 11	d 1-1A	l 2-3F	w 1-3F
7	Derby	36	15	9	12	7	54	d 1-1A	Mar 21	Apr 25	l 1-0A
8	Southampton	35	14	11	10	11	53	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	l 1-2A	l 5-0A
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	4	51	w 2-1F	l 3-0A	Apr 3	l 2-1A
10	Bristol C	36	14	8	14	2	50	Apr 25	l 1-0A	Apr 11	w 1-2A
11	Sheff Utd	36	15	4	17	2	49	Mar 14	l 3-0A	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
12	Birmingham	36	13	10	13	-1	49	-	-	w 2-1F	Mar 11
13	Swansea	36	14	7	15	-1	49	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	Apr 21	w 0-1F
14	Preston	36	12	13	11	-1	49	Apr 22	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	Apr 6
15	Stoke	36	13	8	15	3	47	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
16	QPR	36	13	8	15	-12	47	Mar 11	l 2-1A	-	-
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	3	45	w 4-1F	w 1-2F	l 1-2A	l 3-1A
18	Charlton	36	11	11	14	-10	44	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
19	Portsmouth	35	10	10	15	-10	40	w 4-0F	May 2	Mar 21	d 1-1A
20	Blackburn	36	10	9	17	-13	39	Apr 3	w 1-2A	l 1-3A	w 0-1F
21	West Brom	36	9	9	18	-18	36	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	w 3-1F	l 2-1A
22	Leicester	36	10	11	15	-9	35	w 2-1F	l 2-0A	w 4-1F	Mar 14
23	Oxford Utd	36	8	11	17	-14	35	w 1-0F	w 0-2F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
24	Sheff Wed	36	1	8	27	-51	-7	d 2-2F	w 0-2F	w 3-0F	d 1-1A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Birmingham	1 - 3	M'Boro
Birmingham	0 - 0	West Brom
Birmingham	2 - 1	Leicester
Birmingham	1 - 1	Stoke
Birmingham	3 - 2	Coventry
Birmingham	1 - 1	Southampton
Birmingham	1 - 1	Derby
Birmingham	1 - 1	Charlton
Birmingham	2 - 1	Watford
Birmingham	4 - 1	Norwich
Birmingham	4 - 0	Millwall
Birmingham	4 - 0	Portsmouth
Birmingham	2 - 3	Hull
Birmingham	2 - 2	Sheff Wed
Birmingham	1 - 0	Swansea
Birmingham	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Birmingham	1 - 1	Ipswich
Birmingham	4 - 0	Mansfield
Birmingham	0 - 0	Crawley
Birmingham	6 - 2	Barnsley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Birmingham	0 - 1	Charlton
H	Birmingham	1 - 3	M'Boro
A	Birmingham	0 - 3	Millwall
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Birmingham	0 - 0	West Brom
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Leicester
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Stoke
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Swansea
H	Birmingham	3 - 2	Coventry
A	Birmingham	0 - 3	Watford
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Southampton
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Derby
A	Birmingham	0 - 3	Sheff Utd
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Charlton
A	Birmingham	1 - 2	QPR
A	Birmingham	1 - 3	Southampton
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Watford
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	West Brom

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton	5 - 0	QPR
Hull	1 - 3	QPR
Charlton	0 - 0	QPR
Oxford Utd	0 - 0	QPR
Stoke	0 - 0	QPR
West Brom	2 - 1	QPR
Portsmouth	1 - 1	QPR
M'Boro	3 - 1	QPR
Norwich	3 - 1	QPR
Blackburn	0 - 1	QPR
Sheff Utd	0 - 0	QPR
Derby	1 - 0	QPR
Swansea	0 - 1	QPR
Bristol C	1 - 2	QPR
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	QPR
Wrexham	1 - 3	QPR
Coventry	7 - 1	QPR
Watford	2 - 1	QPR
Sunderland	0 - 1	QPR
Preston	1 - 2	QPR

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	QPR	0 - 4	M'Boro
H	QPR	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	QPR	0 - 5	Southampton
A	QPR	3 - 1	Hull
H	QPR	1 - 3	Blackburn
A	QPR	0 - 0	Charlton
H	QPR	2 - 1	Coventry
H	QPR	2 - 3	Wrexham
A	QPR	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	QPR	0 - 0	Stoke
H	QPR	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	QPR	1 - 2	Norwich
A	QPR	1 - 2	West Brom
A	QPR	1 - 1	Portsmouth
H	QPR	4 - 1	Leicester
A	QPR	1 - 3	M'Boro
H	QPR	2 - 1	Birmingham
H	QPR	3 - 1	West Brom
A	QPR	1 - 3	Norwich
A	QPR	1 - 0	Blackburn

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Birmingham

QPR

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 16

8 / 16

Clean sheets

8 / 16

5 / 16

BIR

QPR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Birmingham	2 - 0
	1 - 2	QPR
Birmingham	2 - 1
	0 - 2	QPR
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	QPR
	1 - 4	QPR
Birmingham	2 - 1
	0 - 2	QPR
Birmingham	1 - 0
Birmingham	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Birmingham	2 - 0
Birmingham	1 - 0
Birmingham	1 - 0

QPR

Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 17

11 / 17

Clean sheets

6 / 17

5 / 17

BIR

QPR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT QPR
QPR	2 - 1
QPR	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Birmingham
QPR	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	3 - 4	Birmingham
QPR	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
QPR	2 - 0
QPR	1 - 0
QPR	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Birmingham
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Birmingham
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Birmingham 12th	QPR 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of QPR scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+15 Birmingham have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted	-14 QPR have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season

better

BIR

QPR

view stats

Games scored	27		27
Failed to score	9		8
Scored first	17		12
Goals scored	46		46
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		15
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+2%

better

BIR

QPR

view stats

Games conceded	28		26
Clean sheets	8		9
Conceded first	18		18
Goals conceded	47		54
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	16%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+4%

Birmingham v QPR Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	9	6	8
T Iwata	J Stansfield	J Stansfield	T Iwata

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Iwata MID	35	2	1	8 -
J Stansfield FWD	34	9	6	8 -
C Klarer DEF	33	2		7 1
S Paik MID	33	4		6 -
T Doyle MID	32		3	1 1
P Roberts FWD	31	3	5	2 -
D Gray FWD	28	5	4	2 -
M Ducksch FWD	27	9	2	1 -
P Neumann DEF	26	2		4 -
K Furuhashi FWD	26	1		1 -
J Beadle GLK	25			3 -
L. Koumas FWD	23	1		1 -
L Dykes FWD	21	2		1 -
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	20		1	5 -
A Cochrane DEF	19	1	4	3 -
K Anderson FWD	19	1		2 -
M Leonard MID	15			1 -
R Allsop GLK	11			2 -
J Robinson DEF	11	1	1	2 2
E Cashin DEF	11			-
E Laird DEF	11		1	1 -
W Willumsson MID	10			-
A Sampsted DEF	6			-
K Fujimoto MID	3			-
S Wright FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	22	6	10
J Stansfield	J Stansfield	J Stansfield	J Stansfield

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Stansfield FWD	9	22	6	10
M Ducksch FWD	9	21	2	1
D Gray FWD	5	15	4	8
S Paik MID	4	9		2
P Roberts FWD	3	8	5	7
T Iwata MID	2	9	1	5
C Klarer DEF	2	3		1
P Neumann DEF	2	4
L Dykes FWD	2	2		1
K Furuhashi FWD	1	9		1
L. Koumas FWD	1	2
A Cochrane DEF	1	4	4	4
K Anderson FWD	1	4		3
J Robinson DEF	1	3	1	1
T Doyle MID		5	3	3
B Osayi-Samuel DEF		1	1	2
M Leonard MID		1		2
E Cashin DEF		1		1
E Laird DEF		1	1	1
W Willumsson MID				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2217	57	241
C Klarer	T Iwata	C Klarer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer DEF	2217	35	241
T Iwata MID	1558	57	129
S Paik MID	1321	46	123
P Neumann DEF	1282	28	111
T Doyle MID	976	33	61
J Beadle GLK	935		13
A Cochrane DEF	834	22	66
P Roberts FWD	728	37	109
D Gray FWD	527	30	98
J Robinson DEF	488	8	59
M Leonard MID	478	32	47
R Allsop GLK	477	1	6
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	416	16	67
M Ducksch FWD	412	1	32
J Stansfield FWD	380	34	66
K Anderson FWD	285	21	53
E Laird DEF	249	11	50
E Cashin DEF	240	12	36
L. Koumas FWD	157	13	37
L Dykes FWD	126	7	47
W Willumsson MID	125	10	21
A Sampsted DEF	100	2	9
K Furuhashi FWD	91	9	26
K Fujimoto MID	4		1
S Wright FWD	2	1	2

QPR Championship squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	10	6	11
J Dunne	R Burrell	N Madsen	A Mbengue

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Dunne DEF	34	3	3	4 -
N Madsen MID	34	3	6	1 -
R. Kone FWD	34	7	2	4 -
A Mbengue DEF	32	2		10 1
K Saito FWD	29	3	2	-
R Norrington-Davies DEF	28			6 -
K Dembélé MID	28	1		3 -
S Cook DEF	27	1		2 -
J Varane MID	27	1	2	2 -
R Burrell FWD	26	10	3	3 -
P Smyth FWD	26	3		5 -
I Hayden MID	23		2	4 -
H Vale MID	21	2	1	3 -
K. Morgan DEF	19	2	1	3 -
S Field MID	18		1	-
P Nardi GLK	16			1 -
R. Kolli FWD	16	2		-
J Silva DEF	15		1	-
J Walsh GLK	14			-
M Frey FWD	13			-
L Morrison DEF	12		1	3 -
I Chair MID	11	1	2	1 -
D. Bennie FWD	10	1		1 -
K Poku FWD	8			-
B Hamer GLK	7			-
J Clarke-Salter DEF	7			-
K. Adamson DEF	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	26	6	6
R Burrell	R. Kone	N Madsen	H Vale

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Burrell FWD	10	21	3	2
R. Kone FWD	7	26	2	5
J Dunne DEF	3	7	3	4
N Madsen MID	3	13	6	5
K Saito FWD	3	10	2	4
P Smyth FWD	3	8		1
A Mbengue DEF	2	5
H Vale MID	2	7	1	6
K. Morgan DEF	2	2	1	2
R. Kolli FWD	2	4
K Dembélé MID	1	10		3
S Cook DEF	1	3
J Varane MID	1	3	2	2
I Chair MID	1	11	2	4
D. Bennie FWD	1	3		1
R Norrington-Davies DEF		1
I Hayden MID		4	2	2
S Field MID		1	1	1
P Nardi GLK				1
J Silva DEF		1	1
M Frey FWD		1
L Morrison DEF			1	1
J Clarke-Salter DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1460	57	233
J Dunne	N Madsen	J Dunne

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Dunne DEF	1460	47	233
N Madsen MID	1373	57	120
A Mbengue DEF	980	54	148
S Cook DEF	948	17	114
R Norrington-Davies DEF	836	54	141
J Varane MID	827	56	121
R. Kone FWD	604	33	184
I Hayden MID	506	32	79
L Morrison DEF	491	8	52
K Saito FWD	489	28	87
P Nardi GLK	459	2	8
J Walsh GLK	446		6
K Dembélé MID	418	21	81
H Vale MID	408	16	54
I Chair MID	378	13	28
K. Morgan DEF	351	11	22
S Field MID	284	17	53
R Burrell FWD	268	8	78
J Silva DEF	260	18	40
P Smyth FWD	226	16	75
B Hamer GLK	188		4
J Clarke-Salter DEF	163	2	21
R. Kolli FWD	144	7	30
D. Bennie FWD	103	6	18
K Poku FWD	100	4	16
M Frey FWD	77	6	18
K. Adamson DEF	28	3	6