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Middlesbrough v Cardiff City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 12:30 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Saturday lunch time sees Kim Hellberg’s Middlesbrough and Brian Barry-Murphy’s Cardiff City go up against one another in a Championship clash at the Riverside Stadium. You'll find statistics supporting our top of M'Boro to win below, but there are 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: M'Boro to win

After looking at the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this Championship game, a bet on win / draw / win for M'Boro to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they'll be too strong for Cardiff, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have a track record of doing so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but M'Boro winning is the bet come Saturday lunch time.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
62%
1.50-
Draw
20%
4.50
4%
-
Cardiff
19%
5.75
5%
-
M'Boro 2-1
10%
9.00
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
9.50
6%
-
M'Boro 2-0
8%
11.00
16%
-
M'Boro 1-0
8%
12.00
9%
-
M'Boro 3-1
7%
11.00-
M'Boro 3-0
6%
13.00
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Cardiff 2-1
5%
19.00-
M'Boro 3-2
4%
17.00
11%
-
M'Boro 4-1
4%
17.00
11%
-
Cardiff 1-0
4%
26.00
24%
-
M'Boro 4-0
4%
21.00-
Draw 0-0
3%
23.00
10%
-
M'Boro 4-2
2%
26.00
10%
-
Cardiff 2-0
2%
41.00
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1.40
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
3.00
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.44-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.63-
No 1st Goal
2%
23.00
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.50
2%
-
BTTS - No
39%
2.50
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
33%
2.50
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8.50-
Home/draw
81%
1.14-
Away/draw
38%
2.50-
Home/away
80%
1.18
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.11
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
6.50
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
1.91
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
1.91
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3.20
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1.36
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
5.50
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
21.00-
Home DNB
75%
1.18
2%
-
Away DNB
32%
4.50
4%
-
M'Boro win to nil
28%
3.40
5%
-
Cardiff win to nil
7%
15.00
15%
-
M'Boro / M'Boro
38%
2.20-
M'Boro / Cardiff
2%
34.00-
M'Boro / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / M'Boro
18%
4.75-
Draw / Cardiff
6%
13.00
8%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
8.50
13%
-
Cardiff / M'Boro
5%
17.00-
Cardiff / Cardiff
9%
9.00-
Cardiff / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
-
Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. M'Boro are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. M'Boro have outscored their opponents by 20 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 5 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 7 goals at home.

Cardiff are in 19th position in the Championship on 10 points having played 10 matches so far this season. Cardiff are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Cardiff have conceded 12 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Cardiff
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea10721923 
Nov 24
May 1
Mar 13
Nov 29
2
M'Boro10631621 
-
-
Jan 16
Oct 17
3
West Ham105411719 
Apr 24
Dec 8
Nov 4
Jan 27
4
Birmingham10451617 
Feb 20
d
 
2-2F
Oct 24
Dec 29
5
QPR10451617 
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
Apr 21
l
 
2-1A
6
Wolves10523317 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
Jan 23
Oct 31
7
West Brom10523217 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 17
Apr 24
Dec 8
8
Southampton106221116 
Mar 13
Nov 27
Dec 12
Jan 1
9
Stoke10514116 
Feb 17
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
10
Blackburn10433215 
Mar 2
l
 
2-1F
Feb 27
l
 
2-1A
11
Millwall10424014 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 6
Dec 26
Mar 20
12
Bristol C10424-214 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Apr 3
Dec 19
13
Charlton10352-314 
Oct 31
Jan 23
w
 
3-1F
Feb 20
14
Bolton10415-313 
Dec 29
Oct 23
Feb 13
l
 
1-0A
15
Sheff Utd10334012 
Mar 20
Dec 26
d
 
2-2F
Apr 17
16
Portsmouth9324-111 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Apr 10
l
 
2-0A
17
Wrexham10253-411 
Jan 27
Nov 4
d
 
1-1A
Mar 6
18
Lincoln10325-1011 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 6
Dec 5
Mar 16
19
Cardiff10244110 
Oct 17
Jan 16
-
-
20
Norwich10307-39 
w
 
4-3A
Feb 13
Feb 6
Nov 21
21
Burnley11155-58 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Nov 7
Jan 30
22
Watford10226-118 
Jan 30
Nov 7
w
 
5-1F
Feb 16
23
Derby10136-106 
Dec 5
Mar 16
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
24
Preston10118-124 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Nov 24
May 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Cardiff have lost 4 consecutive away league games
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Cardiff 19TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at M'Boro since 2009
M'Boro
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
17
15
Games: Scored
10 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
3 / 13
MID
6
D
2
CAR
5
League games at Cardiff since 2010
Cardiff
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
10
19
Games: Scored
9 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
4 / 13
MID
7
D
1
CAR
5
Goal Statistics
M'Boro 2nd Cardiff 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that M'Boro will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Cardiff will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
M'Boro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Cardiff have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Cardiff
2.2
1.1
Attack rating
33%
better
MID
CAR
view stats
Games scored10
8
Failed to score0
2
Scored first7
4
Goals scored20
16
Avg. goals scored2
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.9
2.1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
24%
better
MID
CAR
view stats
Games conceded8
10
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded14
15
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+24%

M'Boro v Cardiff Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10822
R VítekW. LankshearL AylingS Berhalter
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK10
-
L Ayling DEF102
-
A Phillips DEF71
1
-
A Malanda DEF91
1
-
C Brittain DEF1011
1
-
N Borges DEF101
1
-
S Berhalter MID1021
2
-
A Morris MID91
-
A Cozier-Duberry MID522
-
J Sarmiento  MID71
-
W. Lankshear FWD108
2
-
Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10524
N TrottJ MoylanO TannerP Ng
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Trott GLK10
-
P Ng DEF1011
4
-
W Fish DEF1
-
G Osho DEF9
-
J Bagan DEF10
1
-
A Robertson MID10
4
-
O Tanner MID1012
3
-
C. Ashford MID1022
1
-
J Moylan MID1052
1
-
C Willock MID101
-
C Robinson FWD62
-