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Middlesbrough v Cardiff City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 12:30 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough and their manager Kim Hellberg will be hoping for victory against Brian Barry-Murphy and his Cardiff City side on Saturday lunch time, as the pair go head to head at the Riverside Stadium in the Championship. Analysing both teams' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
55%
--
Draw
21%
--
Cardiff
24%
--
M'Boro 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
M'Boro 2-0
8%
--
M'Boro 1-0
7%
--
M'Boro 3-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Cardiff 2-1
6%
--
M'Boro 3-0
5%
--
Cardiff 1-0
5%
--
M'Boro 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
M'Boro 4-1
3%
--
Cardiff 2-0
3%
--
Cardiff 3-2
3%
--
Cardiff 3-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
63%
--
BTTS - No
37%
--
BTTS - Home Win
31%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
76%
--
Away/draw
45%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
39%
--
M'Boro win to nil
24%
--
Cardiff win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table. M'Boro are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept zero clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. M'Boro have outscored their opponents by 16 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Cardiff are in 21st position in the Championship on 7 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Cardiff are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Cardiff have conceded 10 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Cardiff
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea8521717 
Nov 24
May 1
Mar 13
Nov 29
2
West Ham84311115 
Apr 24
Dec 8
Nov 4
Jan 27
3
M'Boro8431415 
-
-
Jan 16
Oct 17
4
Wolves7421514 
Oct 10
Feb 27
Jan 23
Oct 31
5
West Brom8422214 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 17
Apr 24
Dec 8
6
QPR8341313 
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
Apr 21
l
 
2-1A
7
Stoke8413113 
Feb 17
Oct 13
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
8
Bristol C8413-113 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Apr 3
Dec 19
9
Charlton8332-312 
Oct 31
Jan 23
w
 
3-1F
Feb 20
10
Birmingham8251111 
Feb 20
d
 
2-2F
Oct 24
Dec 29
11
Millwall8323011 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 6
Dec 26
Mar 20
12
Lincoln8323-111 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 6
Dec 5
Mar 16
13
Southampton8422910 
Mar 13
Nov 27
Dec 12
Jan 1
14
Wrexham8242-310 
Jan 27
Nov 4
d
 
1-1A
Mar 6
15
Bolton8314-410 
Dec 29
Oct 23
Feb 13
l
 
1-0A
16
Blackburn823309 
Mar 2
l
 
2-1F
Feb 27
Oct 10
17
Norwich8305-19 
w
 
4-3A
Feb 13
Feb 6
Nov 21
18
Sheff Utd8233-29 
Mar 20
Dec 26
d
 
2-2F
Apr 17
19
Portsmouth7223-18 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Apr 10
l
 
2-0A
20
Watford8224-38 
Jan 30
Nov 7
Oct 13
Feb 16
21
Cardiff8143-27 
Oct 17
Jan 16
-
-
22
Derby8125-75 
Dec 5
Mar 16
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
23
Preston8116-74 
Jan 1
Dec 12
Nov 24
May 1
24
Burnley8044-84 
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Nov 7
Jan 30
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro2 - 2Millwall
M'Boro4 - 3Norwich
M'Boro3 - 1West Brom
M'Boro2 - 1Lincoln
M'Boro0 - 0Southampton
M'Boro5 - 1Watford
M'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
M'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
M'Boro1 - 2Millwall
M'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
M'Boro0 - 1Charlton
M'Boro1 - 1Leicester
M'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
M'Boro1 - 0Norwich
M'Boro4 - 0Preston
M'Boro4 - 0Southampton
M'Boro0 - 1Hull
M'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
M'Boro3 - 1QPR
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro2 - 2Birmingham
HM'Boro2 - 2Millwall
HM'Boro4 - 3Norwich
AM'Boro1 - 0QPR
AM'Boro1 - 1Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 1West Brom
AM'Boro1 - 2Blackburn
HM'Boro2 - 1Lincoln
AM'Boro0 - 1Hull
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro2 - 2Wrexham
HM'Boro5 - 1Watford
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro2 - 2Ipswich
HM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
AM'Boro2 - 2Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 2Millwall
AM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
Cardiff 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton1 - 0Cardiff
Portsmouth2 - 0Cardiff
QPR2 - 1Cardiff
Derby2 - 2Cardiff
Mansfield5 - 4Cardiff
Reading1 - 3Cardiff
Huddersfield1 - 1Cardiff
Peterborough1 - 1Cardiff
Exeter0 - 4Cardiff
Barnsley1 - 1Cardiff
Doncaster0 - 4Cardiff
Plymouth5 - 2Cardiff
Rotherham0 - 3Cardiff
Burton2 - 2Cardiff
Bradford1 - 2Cardiff
L Orient1 - 1Cardiff
Wycombe1 - 1Cardiff
Lincoln2 - 1Cardiff
Stevenage0 - 1Cardiff
Northampton1 - 3Cardiff
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCardiff3 - 1Charlton
ACardiff0 - 1Bolton
HCardiff1 - 1Stoke
ACardiff0 - 2Portsmouth
ACardiff1 - 2QPR
HCardiff2 - 2Sheff Utd
ACardiff2 - 2Derby
HCardiff1 - 1Wrexham
ACardiff4 - 5Mansfield
HCardiff5 - 1Northampton
HCardiff1 - 0Port Vale
ACardiff3 - 1Reading
ACardiff1 - 1Huddersfield
HCardiff2 - 0Bolton
ACardiff1 - 1Peterborough
HCardiff0 - 0Blackpool
HCardiff0 - 2Wycombe
ACardiff4 - 0Exeter
ACardiff1 - 1Barnsley
HCardiff0 - 2Lincoln
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at M'Boro since 2009
M'Boro
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
17
15
Games: Scored
10 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
3 / 13
MID
6
D
2
CAR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 0
2 - 3Cardiff
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Cardiff
0 - 1Cardiff
M'Boro3 - 1
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 2Cardiff
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 1Cardiff
League games at Cardiff since 2010
Cardiff
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
10
19
Games: Scored
9 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
4 / 13
MID
7
D
1
CAR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cardiff
0 - 2M'Boro
1 - 4M'Boro
1 - 3M'Boro
0 - 2M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cardiff1 - 0
Cardiff1 - 0
Cardiff1 - 0
0 - 1M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 0
2 - 3M'Boro
0 - 3M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Championship matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday lunch time.

M'Boro 3rd Cardiff 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that M'Boro will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Cardiff will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
M'Boro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Cardiff have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Cardiff
2
1.3
Attack rating
40%
better
MID
CAR
view stats
Games scored8
6
Failed to score0
2
Scored first5
3
Goals scored16
10
Avg. goals scored2
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
14
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for18
9
Avg. XG for1.9
2.1
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
20%
better
MID
CAR
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first3
5
Goals conceded12
12
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%

M'Boro v Cardiff Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8622
R VítekW. LankshearL AylingR McGree
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK8
-
L Ayling DEF82
-
C Brittain DEF81
1
-
N Borges DEF8
-
S Berhalter MID821
-
R McGree MID81
2
-
W. Lankshear FWD86
2
-
K Joseph FWD8
-
A Malanda DEF71
1
-
M Peart-Harris MID7
-
A Morris MID71
-
M Arfsten FWD71
-
T Conway FWD62
-
A Jones DEF51
1
-
A Phillips DEF51
1
-
J Sarmiento  FWD51
-
L. Castledine MID3
-
A Cozier-Duberry FWD321
-
D Strelec FWD2
-
R Pukstas MID1
-
Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8324
N TrottJ MoylanO TannerA Robertson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Trott GLK8
-
P Ng DEF81
3
-
J Bagan DEF8
1
-
J Moylan MID831
1
-
J Colwill MID81
2
-
A Robertson MID8
4
-
C. Ashford MID821
1
-
O Tanner FWD82
3
-
C Willock FWD81
-
Y Salech FWD821
1
-
G Osho DEF7
-
C. Scanlon DEF7
-
K Bielik DEF6
1
-
R Colwill MID511
1
-
D Turnbull MID4
-
C Robinson FWD4
-
I Davies FWD4
-
R. Kpakio DEF31
-
D. Lawlor DEF1
-