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Queens Park Rangers v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 14th Feb, 20:00 BST, Loftus Road Stadium, London

Derby County, led by manager John Coleman, visit Martí Cifuentes Corvillo and his Queens Park Rangers side at the Loftus Road Stadium on Friday night in the Championship. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head records, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think QPR are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
QPR
49%
2.05
9%
2.10
9%
Draw
26%
3.40
3%
3.10
11%
Derby
25%
3.60
20%
3.90
30%
QPR 1-0
13%
5.50
21%
5.50
15%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
8%
QPR 2-0
9%
8.50
15%
8.00
16%
QPR 2-1
9%
9.508.50
Draw 0-0
8%
7.00
22%
6.00
25%
Derby 1-0
8%
8.00
6%
8.00
7%
Derby 2-1
6%
13.00
18%
12.00
20%
QPR 3-0
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
QPR 3-1
5%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Draw 2-2
5%
21.00
24%
15.00
15%
Derby 2-0
4%
17.00
13%
15.00
25%
QPR 3-2
2%
41.00
41%
26.00
13%
Derby 3-1
2%
41.00
58%
29.00
53%
QPR 4-0
2%
41.0029.00
15%
QPR 4-1
2%
41.0034.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
2.62
25%
2.50
22%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1.50
13%
1.48
13%
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.67
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.75
20%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7.00
22%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
2.20
20%
2.20
15%
BTTS - No
51%
1.62
11%
1.62
11%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
5.50
10%
5.00
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
5%
4.80
4%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9.00
38%
8.50
48%
Home/draw
75%
1.29
5%
1.25
8%
Away/draw
51%
1.73
7%
1.73
8%
Home/away
74%
1.30
1%
1.35
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.53
13%
1.50
10%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
2.50
22%
2.45
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
5.00
25%
4.80
30%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.17
6%
1.17
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11.00
38%
10.00
33%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.05
3%
1.04
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
26.00
53%
21.00
40%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.01
1%
1.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.10
3%
1.10
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7.00
22%
6.00
29%
Home DNB
68%
1.44
11%
1.44
13%
Away DNB
43%
2.62
19%
2.62
22%
QPR win to nil
29%
3.00
20%
-
Derby win to nil
14%
5.50
10%
-
QPR / QPR
24%
3.40
9%
3.30
6%
QPR / Derby
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
26%
QPR / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / QPR
17%
4.75
14%
4.60
12%
Draw / Derby
11%
7.50
7%
7.50
15%
Draw / Draw
19%
4.33
9%
4.00
17%
Derby / QPR
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Derby / Derby
13%
6.50
30%
6.00
30%
Derby / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Win / draw / win Championship table

QPR have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. QPR have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

QPR have played 16 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

Derby are in 21st position in the Championship on 29 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 6 and won 7. Derby have conceded 38 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
QPR
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3220934769 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Sheff Utd3221652367 
Mar 1
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley32171323064 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland32171142162 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Blackburn3214612648 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
6
West Brom32111471147 
l
 
1-3F
Mar 8
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
7
Bristol C3211129445 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
Sheff Wed3212911-345 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
9
M'Boro3112811844 
l
 
1-4A
Mar 11
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
10
Coventry3212812244 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
11
Norwich32111011643 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
12
Watford3212614-642 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
13
QPR Home32101111-641 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
14
Millwall31101011-140 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
15
Preston319139-440 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
16
Oxford Utd3291112-1138 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
17
Swansea3210715-1037 
Apr 21
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
18
Portsmouth328915-1633 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
19
Stoke3171113-1132 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
May 3
l
 
2-1A
20
Cardiff3171014-1931 
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
21
Derby Away327817-929 
Feb 14
l
 
2-0A
-
-
22
Hull317816-1129 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
23
Plymouth3161015-3028 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
24
Luton317618-2127 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
9
Derby have not won in 9 consecutive league games
QPR 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Derby 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
9
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at QPR since 2004
QPR
Derby
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
9 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
5 / 14
QPR
4
D
5
DER
5
League games at Derby since 2005
Derby
QPR
Goals: Scored
17
16
Games: Scored
12 / 16
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
4 / 16
QPR
6
D
4
DER
6
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Derby County of late. It has been 7 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday night against Queens Park Rangers.

QPR 13th Derby 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that QPR will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
QPR’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-20
Derby have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280482/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
QPR
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.5
1
Attack rating
%
better
QPR
DER
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
QPR
DER
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

QPR v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

QPR Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
326510
P NardiM FreyI ChairS Field
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Nardi GLK32
1
-
P Smyth FWD3213
6
-
J Dunne DEF3141
8
-
S Field MID313
10
-
K Saito FWD3112
-
J Varane MID291
7
1
K Paal DEF2712
3
-
S Cook DEF25
3
-
K. Morgan MID2212
6
-
N Madsen MID212
1
-
L Andersen MID211
-
H Ashby DEF20
4
-
I Chair MID205
1
-
M Frey FWD2061
2
-
Z Celar FWD182
1
-
M Fox DEF171
4
-
R. Kolli FWD1542
-
A Lloyd FWD141
1
-
J Clarke-Salter DEF11
3
-
J Colback MID111
1
1
K Dembélé MID1013
2
-
D. Bennie FWD9
1
-
L Morrison DEF8
1
-
R Edwards DEF7
1
-
E Dixon-Bonner MID3
1
-
M. Yang FWD3
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30749
J ZetterströmJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Jackson FWD3232
4
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3224
2
-
K Goudmijn MID3122
4
-
J Zetterström GLK30
1
-
E Adams MID304
9
-
J Yates FWD2973
1
-
C Nelson DEF2721
3
-
M Harness MID2711
9
-
C Forsyth DEF2612
2
-
C Elder DEF231
8
-
K Wilson DEF2321
-
B Osborn MID221
2
-
N Phillips DEF21
3
-
L Thompson MID18
3
-
D Brown FWD151
-
T Barkhuizen FWD13
1
-
R Nyambe DEF12
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD121
1
-
D Ozoh MID91
-
J Ward MID7
1
-
L Salvesen FWD51
-
M Clarke DEF3
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
S Langas DEF2
-
H. Armstrong MID2
-